Mini Normal 1817 - Dank Meme Mafia (Game Ended)
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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I'm triggered. VOTE: Kraska77In post 16, kraska77 wrote:alpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaalpacaCurrently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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What do you mean? ^_^In post 88, Postie wrote:Are the ^_^ faces making anyone else really nervous?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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In post 23, Luna Fox wrote:Beeboy's most likely town.In post 48, Luna Fox wrote:IV probs town.
I'm assuming this is reaction testing.In post 98, Luna Fox wrote:But you're probably town anyway.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Seemed quite obvious after this:In post 112, kraska77 wrote:Saru if you thinks it's a reaction test then why would you out it.
She pretty much confirmed it herself.Luna Fox wrote:So welcome to being my first strong townread, and that only took like 3-4 posts.
Which everyone else was more obvtown.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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In post 71, Dragon of the West wrote:I'm wondering how seriously to take beeboy's miller claim
Strange thing to say. If you're not dumb enough to point out the relevance to you, why even make it relevant in the first place by bringing it up?In post 74, Dragon of the West wrote:
Don't worry bud I'm not that dumbIn post 73, beeboy wrote:Obviously don't tell us if it is relevant to you now.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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Nah, wasn't a read.In post 181, Aristophanes wrote:Saru, is this one post being similar to a past town game reliable enough for a read? If so, why do you believe it is worth putting stock into?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Not a comprehensive one, no. Just a starting point.In post 184, Aristophanes wrote:
So, "probably town" isn't a read then?In post 183, Saru wrote:
Nah, wasn't a read.In post 181, Aristophanes wrote:Saru, is this one post being similar to a past town game reliable enough for a read? If so, why do you believe it is worth putting stock into?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Just the willingness to break down a player's actions and provide a read. You seemed to do that without question in the previous game as well. Of course, this means nothing in the long run, but for now, it feels town.
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Saru Goon
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I'm getting a town vibe from both Luna and beeboy after their interactions with each other. Luna tends to do a lot of "in hindsight" type posts, which come off as townie because scum would probably be nervous about being so wishy-washy at the start of the game. It also doesn't look forced or faked.
I want to see more from MURDERCAT and I don't quite understand his vote on Luna.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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I like this from Aristo because he was already voting Random for voting the miller claim. His sheep is consistent in thought. However, it is strange that he forgot he was voting Random. Or at-least, I'm assuming he did.
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Saru Goon
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I brought it up as more of a question towards Luna to confirm that she was in fact reaction testing. Would have help towards my read of her. She claimed it wasn't a reaction test, but just playstyle. I can live with that.In post 450, Dragon of the West wrote:If she pretty much confirmed it to the point that you were okay with outing it, seems pretty trivial to even bring it up.
You made that post AFTER my question towards you, so I can't "omit" what doesn't exist... Plus, your answer seemed fine to me and hence why I didn't push you on it further. As for your brain, can't help you there.Dragon of the West wrote:Omits the post where we've already discussed my original comment and how I realized why beeboy claimed immediately. Also, that sentence doesn't make any sort of sense to my brain.
Not sure how you read it like that. It was an observation to show to Luna why Aristo WASN'T just sheeping with Luna when Aristo voted for Random. Even Aristo had forgotten that he voted Random. It wasn't shade. If it were, I wouldn't have said I felt "good" about his post, because then it would seem inconsistent.Dragon of the West wrote:Feels like just chiming in to say he's okay with what people are doing, but throws really weak shade at Ari by finding it strange he forgot where his vote was. I'm gonna go meta Saru to see how this fits with his previous play, considering I've never played with him before. Regardless, VOTE: Saru for now
DotW, I appreciate you picking up your activity. Good on you for taking the initiative.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Read my wiki.In post 456, Dragon of the West wrote:Saru, is that your main account or is it an alt?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Yes it was strange. Not scummy. Don't get the two confused. I eventually chalked it up to him not paying much attention to the game as a whole, which isn't surprising as it seems most people here aren't.In post 460, Dragon of the West wrote:
See to me, it did feel inconsistent. You said you were fine with the vote and pointed out how it was in fact already on random but then still wanted to point out that it was "strange" he forgot where his vote was. That strange comment is what I'm referring toIn post 457, Saru wrote:Not sure how you read it like that. It was an observation to show to Luna why Aristo WASN'T just sheeping with Luna when Aristo voted for Random. Even Aristo had forgotten that he voted Random. It wasn't shade. If it were, I wouldn't have said I felt "good" about his post, because then it would seem inconsistent.
Yes people will try to meta me as best they can. However, that doesn't mean I actually have one. And yes, you aren't playing with that Saru, at the moment. That Saru had a lot to work with at the start of that game. This Saru doesn't. This Saru might become that other Saru depending on the eventual activity level.Dragon of the West wrote:Lol. I hate meta sections that are like "too bad I don't have meta". People will still try to meta you as best they can. Continuing that thought, we aren't playing with this Saru: http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 9#p7989681Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Alright, so looking back at some of these posts: yes, I'm active lurking. Explanation for that is the last point in 462. Seeing as more people are starting to pick up activity now, I can start to do some scum hunting. I haven't been trying to dodge it, more like I'm trying to read into things too much, when there is too little content, which might give me a false read which I'm wary of from my last game. In other words, I'm treading more cautiously as a whole. I would argue, given the circumstances, that, that is NAI.
Let me address some concerns about my experience with mafia: I'm in no way, shape, or form a "noobie." I'm not sure what one might consider a noobie, but I happen to think that after playing mafia for a couple of years, I can safely say I'm not someone who needs their hand held through games, or that I don't understand basic concepts in mafia games. Looking at some of the ages in the game, I've probably been playing since some of you were in diapers(half kidding). That's not to say I don't have a couple of mental hiccups from time to time, but, hey, who doesn't?
As for where my reads stand right now:
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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Pressure.In post 625, Aristophanes wrote:If 611 is a preflip associative which requires my scum flip first, why the hell are you voting him and not me??
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Saru Goon
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No. Pressure is pressure. Someone who refuses to respond to it will most likely end up being policy lynched.In post 627, Aristophanes wrote:Classic.
Now that the fact your vote is pressure has been announced, does it not diminish the effects of the pressure?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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See, the issue with that is I shouldn't have to ask. You can't go around expecting people to provide reasons for their reads, but not do it yourself. If you're the kind of person that loves to ask "why" a lot, I can only assume you're the kind of person who would be willing to give explanations for things without question. Am I wrong?In post 629, Postie wrote: I mean if you want me to explain my reasoning you could always do what I'm doing and, you know, ask?
Furthermore, why is it scummy when I give reads without reasons, but not when anyone else consistently doesn't do that?
Throwing shade onto others doesn't help you here. The issue is that you choosing not to provide reasons for a SPECIFIC person is part of an associative scum read. What beeboy doing is different. Covering the entire player-list with a read with no explanation seems to be part of an agenda of some sort for him. Or just playstyle. Either way.
Yes, I understand that you might not be fully acquainted. That doesn't excuse you giving no reasoning. Never asked for detailed explanations, but just anything. You're scummy(not scum) for using ambiguous language as part of an associative read. If it weren't one, then you probably wouldn't look so scummy to me.I can go through his ISO again and pinpoint the exact things that feel towny to me if you want? This is D1; expecting me to be able to give detailed explanations of everything already is a touch unrealistic. I'm still in the process of getting a general feel for the overall playerlist.
And again, why am I scum for using ambiguous language but not anyone else?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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I guess you don't understand what I mean by pressure. By pressure I mean getting him to produce content. Anything. My goal right now isn't to lynch any one person because I don't have anyone in a "total scum" read yet. I'm feeling my "maybe scum" people out via their responses. Since 611 hasn't produced a response, I'm hoping my vote on him will do that. You and Postie have responded, which is good. Now I'm waiting on 611 before I go any further with my reads.In post 631, Aristophanes wrote:I honestly think you did it for your own survival moreso.
Can we get more votes on Saru please!
He was tied with 611 at 3 votes each, has me as his top "probably scum" read, and yet voted 611 for "pressure," making him the lead wagon, instead of pushing me. His interactions with me don't feel like I'm someone he's scumreading either, so I'd bet it's fabricated.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Huh? That's not the point at all. I just found it odd that you ask "why" a lot but chose not to produce an explanation on someone you had a STRONG town read for. Especially considering he was your first one. Why do you expect others to ask you for reasons? Better yet, why SHOULD they have to ask you for reasons? If you can go through Aristo's ISO and pinpoint things you felt were townie, why didn't you do that earlier when you town read him?In post 634, Postie wrote:Yes. If I can take time to ask people "why?" then you can do the same for me.
No thanks on the past town games, I'll figure that part out on my own. This might very well be your playstyle, but with the kind of playstyle it is, it sounds as if it could work equally well both as town or scum. Do you disagree?This is playstyle for me too though; D1 I attack random things and then consolidate what I'm thinking once I've sorted most of the playerlist. Do you want links to past towngames?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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It's not? It's null. Look more carefully at the reads list.In post 639, Luna Fox wrote:
Why is this maybe town then? You seem to point out negative/scummy things but nothing towny, unless his townreads giving you indigestion is towny?In post 621, Saru wrote:Alpaca - Not enough content either.Most of the content that is posted seems to be mostly IIoA. His town reads in 441 give me a severe case of indigestion. More reasoning and more reads please.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Fair enough. This is actually a good response. I guess I'll hold you to your promise about a read wall on the target you want lynched before I do anything further with my read.In post 643, Postie wrote:Because ISOing and writing my thoughts down in a way that makes sense takes time and effort that I would rather spend sorting everyone else. Especially since I mostly work with PoE, getting an impression of the whole player list takes priority because I need to do that to decide where to vote and apply pressure. If I stopped to articulate all the thoughts I was having about everyone, that process would be severely impeded.OnceI've decided who needs to die, I'll do a readswall and give explanations to persuade people to vote there.
In other words, I'm not explaining myself as much at this point in time becauseI'm trying to solve the gamerather than make myself look town.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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In post 621, Saru wrote:Aristo - When someone does counter his reasoning, he doesn't seem to fight back much, and just says "ah I see your point, ok moving on" which just feels like cautious scum trying to avoid a huge conflict to avoid attention.
Well then...this is awkward. Any reason why you're not feeling it Aristo? What has got you thinking that you might be off here? Besides what other people are saying.In post 645, Aristophanes wrote:Meh, maybe I'm pursuing the wrong line of things. Iunno. Not feeling it myself.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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UNVOTE: 611
Will come back to this.
@Aristo, any reason you ignored my question?In post 657, Saru wrote:Any reason why you're not feeling it Aristo? What has got you thinking that you might be off here? Besides what other people are saying.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Isn't it Vacation/Limited Access?In post 693, beeboy wrote:@611 VLA = Voluntary leave of absence.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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So I'm assuming you felt my reads list wasn't an attempt at sorting in the game? If so, why? Also, why haven't you put out a real reads list yet?In post 700, Aristophanes wrote:I'm just not seeing a sorting of the game from you, nor am I seeing the array of interactions I expect.
I'm at work, so I'll see about making an actual case later.
If you want to make an actual case on me, then does that mean you now feel that you'll actually be pursuing the right line of things, in contrast to 645? If you do, what changed your mind from 645?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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It's really strange that you would say that my 177 is what set you off about me, seeing as in 187 you said you "could deal with it." This shows to me that you're not consistent in your thought process about me and are likely reaching for reasons, rather than trying to find actual ones. Only strengthens my scum read of you.In post 786, Aristophanes wrote:I'm still hung up on Saru's lack of commitment to his reads. In 177 he clearly shown a townlean on Dire, but he quickly retracts it as a "starting point" when questioned. This is the first thing that set me off about him. He continues to undermine it in 290 as if he's trying to keep all options open.
The progression of my read on Dierfire seems to be clear enough, in my opinion. In 177 I say "probably town" because of his play last game matching up with that in this game, and then in 290, I clearly state that he "feels town" in the short term because of that. If anything, me saying that it doesn't matter in the "long term" matches up well with my "starting point" comment as it shows that I'm reading him as town in the short term. It shows consistency in thought process, which you don't seem to have at the moment.
If me throwing "easy townreads" on Luna and Beeboy with little reasoning is scummy, then isn't your 226 equally as scummy? You literally say that Luna and Beeboy are town because of discussion and flow, which is similar to what I said about Luna. Again, you're reaching instead of thinking.Aristophanes wrote:Throws easy townreads on Luna and Beeboy with little reasoning after 60 posts without having any real reasoning or commenting on anything else from the thread.
Congratulations, you just contradicted yourself here. Earlier in your post you said the issue with me is that I don't commit to my reads, and now the issue is that I commit to them? So I'm scum if I do and scum if I don't? That's a scummy argument, in my opinion.Aristophanes wrote:After making a readslist, he seems to commit to those reads. I've seen this from scum. Heck, I've done this as scum! You play it vague until you are forced to commit to something, then you stick to that or fear of looking wishy-washy.
Aristo is now my strongest scum read by far. 611's scum read is also getting stronger for me, given the association I point to in my reads list. I'd be happy with either person's lynch today, but given that 611 has a wagon on him, I want to see what he has to say about that and the accusations thrown his way as well as a definite scum read from him before I proceed with a vote on him.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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In post 688, 611 wrote:Aristophanes - On the one hand, I have no issue with you, on the other... No, I'm seeing things. The meanderings of an old man made me think that you were choosing the easy reads, but who am I kidding, that's how this works.
Both scum were HIGHLY ambiguous about their read on Aristo. It's rather obvious why this is. More votes on him please.In post 807, kraska77 wrote:ari: he's uhh...idk i cant place him one way or another so im putting him as null for now. gut says town though...idkCurrently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Murder hit the nail on the fucking head imo.In post 762, MURDERCAT wrote:Ari your interaction with the 611 wagon is weird, you gave an obviously fake intent and 611 did not react to you asking for a claim. I take that to suggest you are scum with him and he was comfortable knowing you wouldn't hammer, iff (if and only if) he is scum.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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The way I see it, with a mafia doctor and two NKs, he is either town vig OR SK. Let's not forget about the SK. A town vig claim is easily lynch-able in this scenario because then there is only 1 scum left. We have a 50/50 chance on hitting SK here, and then going after the last scum.In post 853, Aristophanes wrote:Lmfao!
I'm the Vig and I shot Kraska! XD
Get your fucking votes off me please
Either way, we don't lose much if we lose the town vig in this scenario. It's worth it.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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How about you actually try to refute my point? Oh right, because you know I'm right. If you were town vig, you would agree to this plan. A sacrifice is worth it if you're town vig. Even if you're town vig, then it confirms that there is no SK in the game and we only need to kill one more scum. Your unwillingness to sacrifice is noted.In post 855, Aristophanes wrote:
Are you fucking serious??In post 854, Saru wrote:
The way I see it, with a mafia doctor and two NKs, he is either town vig OR SK. Let's not forget about the SK. A town vig claim is easily lynch-able in this scenario because then there is only 1 scum left. We have a 50/50 chance on hitting SK here, and then going after the last scum.In post 853, Aristophanes wrote:Lmfao!
I'm the Vig and I shot Kraska! XD
Get your fucking votes off me please
Either way, we don't lose much if we lose the town vig in this scenario. It's worth it.
How about we don't, okay?Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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lmfao what. What associatives? Please quote them for me, because I'm obviously blind.In post 861, Aristophanes wrote:
Except that when we had a fusking Scumflip D1, I went back through, Iso'd you, Kraska, and 611, and found enough associatives to make me shoot him instead of you.In post 859, Saru wrote:lmfao omg please just stop random. If he were vig, he would have shot me because I was his only real scumread D1. There is no indication of him ever scum reading Kraska D1 that would make him want to shoot her.Currently Playing:
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Yes, I'm relentless because I know that your claim of who you shot doesn't match up with your thinking. I don't see any real link between Kraska and 611 on D1. Like none at all. Please enlighten me because I just don't see it.In post 868, Aristophanes wrote:
You're relentless.In post 867, Saru wrote:
lmfao what. What associatives? Please quote them for me, because I'm obviously blind.In post 861, Aristophanes wrote:
Except that when we had a fusking Scumflip D1, I went back through, Iso'd you, Kraska, and 611, and found enough associatives to make me shoot him instead of you.In post 859, Saru wrote:lmfao omg please just stop random. If he were vig, he would have shot me because I was his only real scumread D1. There is no indication of him ever scum reading Kraska D1 that would make him want to shoot her.
I'll see what I can do, but you are distracting from the actual scumhunting we need to do here.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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I actually left out another possibility which is why I think some people are confused.
It's not that he can ONLY be vig OR sk. He could also be scum, which means that a vig or SK would still be around if Aristo was lynched.
If he is vig: he shot Kraska who he scum read after the flip. I don't see this.
If he is SK: he killed Kraska because she had no real opinion on him, which makes her a safe kill overall.
If he is scum: makes sense with the evidence from Kraska and 611 that I pointed to. If he gets lynched and is scum, then that means that there is still a vig or SK around. I'm curious to see if anyone will actually cc his vig claim here.
So I don't mean to say that he is only vig or SK. That was my mistake in haste after seeing his vig claim. He could still VERY WELL be scum. Knowing that there is a mafia doctor and two NKs, all three possibilities make sense. This means we have a 66.6%(repeating of course) chance of hitting a non-town player here. I'm pretty sure that's worth it.Currently Playing:
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If he is scum, then that doesn't mean that there is NECESSARILY a vig in the game. So I really don't think the "real" vig is going to CC, because there probably isn't one. Unless the SK wants to draw attention to themselves by CC'ing? I doubt that.
The possibility of him being scum or SK is worth it. 2 positive flips for town beats 1 negative flip. Even if he is town vig, then that confirms no SK and only 1 scum left(I've never seen 4 scum in a mini normal). What is the point of being so hesitant in this case? I really don't understand. It makes 0 sense to me. How can you possibly argue this!?Currently Playing:
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Are you kidding me!? SERIOUSLY? Of course you would fucking claim vig in this scenario as scum. You're the last fucking scum left in that case. Of course you're going to take the risk and hope there is an SK instead of a vig. What else would you do as scum!? Huh!? Both you're partners would be dead if you're scum. You would be desperate and hope you made the right call. No shit sherlock.In post 880, Aristophanes wrote:Are you seriously saying I could be Scum fakeclaiming Vig and hoping the actual Vig is actually an SK?
I can't deal with this.
VOTE: Saru
If you aren't lynched, I'm shooting you tonight.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Yup, I'm going to bet you're scum and not SK. If no one CCs you later on, then that means there is an SK around who is obviously hiding. I'm 100% certain about this.
And yes, scum WOULD make a gambit in this scenario. WHAT ELSE COULD THEY DO!? They saw their partners dead and that they were at L-2 and hoped for the best. Stop denying that, that is a possibility.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Also, I like how you didn't vote me at first because I couldn't possibly be scum because I've been too crazy about getting you lynched. But now you're voting me because I'm scum because I'm being too crazy. Sounds like you were trying to appeal to me to get me to back off. Not doing it.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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lmfao really? If you're vig, then THERE IS NO SK. Like, none at all. That'd be impossible and horribly unbalanced. The fact that you said "probably" reveals a lot to me.In post 885, Aristophanes wrote:
Maybe some scum would, but I would not.In post 883, Saru wrote:Yup, I'm going to bet you're scum and not SK. If no one CCs you later on, then that means there is an SK around who is obviously hiding. I'm 100% certain about this.
And yes, scum WOULD make a gambit in this scenario. WHAT ELSE COULD THEY DO!? They saw their partners dead and that they were at L-2 and hoped for the best. Stop denying that, that is a possibility.
I'm a Vig and there isprobablyno SK.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Yes, yes, after I point out that you said "probably", you quickly switch to "safe to say." Give me a break. Can we lynch this already!? Holy crap.In post 888, Aristophanes wrote:
Lmfao fuck off XDIn post 887, Saru wrote:
lmfao really? If you're vig, then THERE IS NO SK. Like, none at all. That'd be impossible and horribly unbalanced. The fact that you said "probably" reveals a lot to me.In post 885, Aristophanes wrote:
Maybe some scum would, but I would not.In post 883, Saru wrote:Yup, I'm going to bet you're scum and not SK. If no one CCs you later on, then that means there is an SK around who is obviously hiding. I'm 100% certain about this.
And yes, scum WOULD make a gambit in this scenario. WHAT ELSE COULD THEY DO!? They saw their partners dead and that they were at L-2 and hoped for the best. Stop denying that, that is a possibility.
I'm a Vig and there isprobablyno SK.
It is unlikely, but possible that I shot the same person as an SK, should there be only 2 Mafia.
I do not believe this to be the case, so I think it's safe to say there isn't one.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Again, no actual refutation of point here. Just plain insults. This is what scum does when they know they have no real argument.In post 886, Aristophanes wrote:
Nope, you're just being a dumbass and I don't want to deal with it.In post 884, Saru wrote:Also, I like how you didn't vote me at first because I couldn't possibly be scum because I've been too crazy about getting you lynched. But now you're voting me because I'm scum because I'm being too crazy. Sounds like you were trying to appeal to me to get me to back off. Not doing it.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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hahaha ur so funny oh look im laughing
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Saru Goon
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The thing is, there is probably no vig in the game even if Art is scum. It could be Art scum and then an SK out there somewhere. Obviously the SK will never CC.In post 895, Luna Fox wrote:Mod forgot to say i was V/LA but i also have some free time rn so im going to contribute.
1) There's no way there's both SK and Vig, but this has already been covered.
2) If Art is scum fake claiming Vig, vig shouldnt CC unless they are getting lynched, Vig can simply shoot Art during the night, we dont need to lynch Art.
3) If Art is town vig, i dont need to say why it's a bad idea to lynch him.
4) If Art is SK, then scum likely is going to want to kill him during the night, same if he's town vig.
So why do we need to lynch Art again?
The reason I think Art is most likely scum is because of the way 611 and Kraska chose to read him. They were both very careful with him. I don't think this was coincidence. Also, read this: 762. MURDER most likely hit the nail on the head there. Art's response to him was weak as fuck. Basically, it was a non-response. The associatives between the three are way too much.
Also, vig is THE ONLY THING that makes sense for scum to claim here. Both partners are dead and the scum was at L-2. They need to make a gambit here. They have no other choice.
Again, I don't understand what's wrong if Art is vig. How is that a major loss to town? If anything, it confirms that there is only 1 scum left and no SK. Then the hunt for that last scum begins. Heck, wouldn't it be dumb for me as the last scum to even suggest this scenario, because then I'd be setting up my own lynch on D3 just by saying that.
If Aristo flips vig, go ahead and lynch me D3. I don't care. I'm willing to take one for the team. If I'm scum, yay, you guys win D3. Congrats. I just don't think him being vig is very likely here given the evidence.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Luna, you do understand that SK killing "potential threat" doesn't make much sense. SK NOW KNOWS that Aristo is scum. Because there isn't both a vig and SK in this game. That's been established. So if Aristo claimed vig, the SK now knows that Aristo HAS TO be scum. Essentially, for Aristo to survive, he would have hoped not to get to L-2 and having to claim. You have to understand that their are 2 potential win-cons here that are bad for town, not just one. Aristo lost his win-con when he got to L-2 because he had to claim, and he chose to claim vig. That was game over for him because now the SK can just kill him N2 and be on their merry way with their own win-con. But since this town can't see that and refuses to lynch Aristo, now the SK and scum win-cons are still in play. Which is doubly worse for town. Congrats.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Meh. Whatever. This town has no brains. I can see that with beeboy.
Yes, I'm informed, to an extent.
I'm a town follower. Basically, I can follow a player at night and see what action that player performed(i.e. protecting, killing, etc.) but not WHO they did it to. I followed Art last night because I was scum reading him, and I got a result back of him performing a "killing" action.
I knew at that point that he was either scum, SK, or vig. Looking at the evidence and the percentage argument that I laid out previously, it only makes sense to lynch him because we have 2/3 chance of hitting a non-town player. Which also helps us confirm other things based on the flip. I guess I didn't present that argument too well or that people just don't understand it or what's the deal.
I didn't want to claim earlier because I was hoping Art could have been lynched without a claim having to go out. Because, now, if Art is vig, that means that the last scum now knows both town PRs. Which is bad for obvious reasons.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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No it's not. Dude, and I'm saying this genuinely, if you're town vig, why are you so against being lynched? Like, you haven't told me specifically why my case is bullshit. You're a player with experience. I feel like you out of most people would understand this.
Please, show me why my case is crap. I really want to know. Where exactly am I off? And please, be specific. If you can show me that I'm just dead wrong, I'll stop pushing you and get to actual scum-hunting. But you've not attempted to do this, instead choosing to throw petty insults my way. I think you can see why I think you're scum.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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There has to be only 1 scum left. I've never heard of a mini normal multi-ball. Every mini normal I see is ALWAYS 3 scum.
Both Vig and SK can't exist because there were only 2 deaths last night. Why would vig(apparently Art) shoot someone, and the SK just sit back? The more deaths from either faction(for SK) is a good thing.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Just curious, by X-shot do you mean 1 shot only or more?In post 914, Aristophanes wrote:
Funny enough, I am X-shot.In post 911, beeboy wrote:If there is a SK or another scum let's just find them first because it isn't like Ari can submit kills after tomorrow without looking terrabad. ^_^Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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But see, that's the thing, a gambit is just that. He of course doesn't know what roles are in play. How was he to know that the mafia doc was going to be lynched and then his partner killed(if he's scum). It obviously was an out of the blue thing. He would have hoped there wasn't a vig in the game.In post 924, innocentvillager wrote:scum!Ari was the most fos'd for a bit due to associatives, but I think it would've been weird to claim vig as scum. If he was going to gambit, what if a tracker or something else indicative was on him instead of follower? That would show that he killed DotW instead of kraska. But more importantly, after seeing kraska dead, he would know that there is a vig or SK in the game somewhere. He would get counterclaimed by a vig and autolose, or the SK would stay silent. I'm not 100% sure on the theory, but I doubt that letting the SK know who you are as scum is a good strategy. So scum!Ari makes almost no sense to me.
The whole point I was trying to make earlier is that scum!Ari could have still very well won the game if he wasn't forced to claim. The nature of the kills would have led him to claim vig as scum. At that point, he would be screwed because either he would be lynched, or if town believed him(which seems to be the case), he would probably be killed by SK. However, even then, if there is a protective town role in the game(which I'm not sure of), it stands to reason that scum!Ari could have breezed through the game with the SK never being able to kill him. Of course, my claim makes that more complicated, as I would probably take priority over him in terms of protection. Point being, scum!Ari's win-con is still very much in play with the vig claim. I don't think it matters much at this point though. Guess we'll just have to wait until the night to see what happens.
I'm not sure I totally understand the votes on Alpaca. I'm assuming it's pressure to get him to talk. I don't know his status since he's V/LA until narnia, so I'm going to wait and see if he even says anything.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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But it doesn't. But, I've argued that enough. There is also the possibility of Ari SK and whatnot.In post 931, MURDERCAT wrote:Ari claiming that shot makes it impossible to win the game as scum. Ari is clear. Let's lynch the last scum and if the game continues we flip Ari.
And, again, even if he's vig, he is still 100% the best choice for a lynch here because of the 2/3 chance. I don't buy the whole SK and vig in same game theory(that they both killed the same person, very unlikely), which is the only thing that makes my point invalid.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Sad times.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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It just helps us to get info quicker. I'm just not content with spending all of D2 looking for, what is probably going to be a ML. It just makes sense to act on the info you have at hand, rather than just blindly lynch someone.In post 935, MURDERCAT wrote:
No matter what his role is he's getting shot tonight by someone so why lynch him?In post 932, Saru wrote:
But it doesn't. But, I've argued that enough. There is also the possibility of Ari SK and whatnot.In post 931, MURDERCAT wrote:Ari claiming that shot makes it impossible to win the game as scum. Ari is clear. Let's lynch the last scum and if the game continues we flip Ari.
And, again, even if he's vig, he is still 100% the best choice for a lynch here because of the 2/3 chance. I don't buy the whole SK and vig in same game theory(that they both killed the same person, very unlikely), which is the only thing that makes my point invalid.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Sad times.
With the current state of the game, I don't think we're really going to catch scum today. Especially if there is only one. 611 was a lucky/policy lynch. Nothing to be proud of, basically.
But, meh, go ahead and spend a week or so looking for someone to mislynch. Have fun.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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In post 924, innocentvillager wrote:Also, if Ari is SK, I feel like there's probably an investigative role somewhere that can confirm it.Probably an investigative role somewhereProbably an investigative rolean investigative role
May the lord help this town. Amen.investigative roleCurrently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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zzzz doesn't matter zzzz still needs to be lynched zzzzIn post 944, MURDERCAT wrote:Saru, there is a VERY high likelihood that Ari is a town vig.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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I did. If he's SK, scum now know this. He's dead. If he's scum, the SK now knows this. He's dead. Either way, he's screwed. My point still stands that if he wasn't forced to claim, he could have still been able to win as either role. And given the fact that there might be a town protective pr somewhere, he could still win as either role if my claim hadn't happened. Basically, nothing is still out of consideration.In post 948, MURDERCAT wrote:Did you read the rest of that post? That was pretty much the only line that didn't matter.
I'm going to stop arguing about him though. It really doesn't matter. Just hurry up and ML. This is getting boring.Currently Playing:
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Saru Goon
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Saru Goon
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