In post 1664, Prism wrote: Looking at Maria's ISO, either one of them is really scum, more likely boring than Dierfire in my opinion, or MariaR is 5/5 in her townreads in
#751. I'm inclined to believe the latter regardless of if the former is true. Cry WIFOM but you want but you only WIFOM if you think you're more likely to win because of it. This kill doesn't make sense if other, more town players are on the right track. nn30, Shadow, and PP line up nicely with my reads, Eager is flipped, and Grendel isn't a stretch. It seems unlikely for any of them to kill her if they're scum. I think they're all town, Grendel being the one I'm least sure on.
I wasn't gonna say it so early, but my pet theory currently is that scum killed off the Eager wagon to prevent their buddies on that wagon from being PoE later. This of course means that I'm thinking that scum will keep killing off that wagon to make narrowing things down harder. Also I the most scum kills tend to have their own pattern to them dependent to the team. Unfortunately its hard to divine it until later into the game. This theory would mean that I'm expecting two scum on the Eager wagon, with the third scum being off. Also, I predict that the scum off the wagon is the one setting themselves up to go deep.
There is also the possibility that scum thought MariaR was PR laying low or some such.
boring wrote:@Grendel, what are your thoughts on PP and LUV?
Pengiun has been
flying I mean swimming under the radar so far. His, "lets just lynch him already", mentality could have scum intent. My original feelings for hard scum reading him have become pretty stale since it seems more then a few people feel his reactions to me were more likely to come from town back on D1. I definitely dislike his play, and I do think he is a viable scum. Not sure how I feel about Zoronos leading the wagon though. Zoronos has been an active voice, but many of his stances that he doesn't back up with a vote, or an aggressive push come off to me as middling, and I just don't trust him. ei I don't want to support a wagon founded by a null-scum slot.
Luv is all over the place and I'm having trouble pacing him. I definitely didn't like his hammer, or the unnatural transitions in his reads. I can't help feeling like it is all to easy though.
I could vote either if it meant pushing a lynch through EoD. I think I need to think a little more before putting a vote on either.
I might try to look into Gamma first. There is something he has
not been doing that I have been expecting him to do for a while now. And that is bothering me.