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Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:21 am
by T S O
I am debating in my head whether Nero is Mafia and our hood was 2 town 1 wolf 1 mafia - I was clearing Nero before on the neighbourhood, but I'm not doing that anymore.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:22 am
by T S O
Pine and I are on Thor, Nero is on Boon, Boon is on Pine, Thor and Slandaar are on no-one.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:30 am
by Thor665
In post 6299, T S O wrote:One of Thor or Boon has to be scum, and here's why:

There are 3 Neighbourhoods -
5 player - Anen, goodmorning, Izariael, Shiro, Boon
4p - Scripten, dave, TSO, Nero
3p - Egg, Thor, Pere

I don't think that both the 5 -and- the 3 player hoods were all town. One of Thor and Boon is scum.

:neutral:

Here's a more interesting thought and why I am currently thinking Pine is not Mafia.

There are 2 flipped Mafia - 0 neighbors.
There is 1 flipped Wolf - 1 neighbor.

I am currently suggesting that the unflipped mafia (who is likely a Goon as is the flipped Wolf) is a Neighbor - as Mafia currently lacks a neighbor.
Ergo - people who are not neighbors are not the last Mafia.

Thoughts?

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:31 am
by Boonskiies
boon-town
tso-town
pine-wolf
slandaar/thor-wolf
slandaar/nero-mafia

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:31 am
by Boonskiies
Thor, I agree. Meaning we lynch Pine toDay.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:32 am
by Thor665
@TSO - Hint: it is also supporting evidence on my Pine/Slandaar = Wolves theory.

@Boon - why not lynch Slandaar? Why do you not suspect him?

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:32 am
by T S O
In post 6302, Thor665 wrote:
In post 6299, T S O wrote:One of Thor or Boon has to be scum, and here's why:

There are 3 Neighbourhoods -
5 player - Anen, goodmorning, Izariael, Shiro, Boon
4p - Scripten, dave, TSO, Nero
3p - Egg, Thor, Pere

I don't think that both the 5 -and- the 3 player hoods were all town. One of Thor and Boon is scum.

:neutral:

Here's a more interesting thought and why I am currently thinking Pine is not Mafia.

There are 2 flipped Mafia - 0 neighbors.
There is 1 flipped Wolf - 1 neighbor.

I am currently suggesting that the unflipped mafia (who is likely a Goon as is the flipped Wolf) is a Neighbor - as Mafia currently lacks a neighbor.
Ergo - people who are not neighbors are not the last Mafia.

Thoughts?


Yeah, probably true. So Slandaar and Pine aren't Mafia.

What a pity it is Pine didn't stick with that claim of his.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:35 am
by Boonskiies
I still felt that he could be mafia, but you gave a good argument, I guess. I did suspect him, as I said either you or him were the last wolf. If that's the case, we should just lynch Pine. We all universally agree pretty much that he is the wolf. Actually, you make a good point about mafia probably being in one of the neighborhoods. I don't think you'd bring it up if you were mafia, which helps me have even more confidence in my Nero mafia read.

Pine/Slandaar, Nero. = scum. let's lynch Pine.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:36 am
by Thor665
In post 6306, T S O wrote:What a pity it is Pine didn't stick with that claim of his.

I actually agree - if he was town it was an idiot gambit that does nothing. If he's scum, then he sure as hell shouldn't have backed off of it - it was good Wolf play.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:37 am
by Thor665
My working theory could also explain why Slandaar got a burr up his backside when I kept pointing out how badly scum chose their shots.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:37 am
by Thor665
It doesn't justify Nero's power fail game avoidance though.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:37 am
by T S O
There can only be max one Mafia neighbour, so it makes sense there can only be one Wolf neighbour. And that was Scripten.

So. everyone in the hoods are now clean ...?

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:38 am
by T S O
Well, that would make it Pine/Slandaar.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:38 am
by Boonskiies
We agree that he's the lynch? Have to convince Slandaar or Nero to vote him, though...ugh.

@TSO - No, everyone in the hoods are not clean. We don't have that mafia neighbor flip yet.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:39 am
by Boonskiies
for today's lynch, you meant. My bad. Yes, they are clean.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:39 am
by T S O
This is EXACTLY like Completely Ridiculous where I fucked up in LyLo when I was the only town player posting and after days of Cephrir and AngryPidgeon posting I finally lost it and voted town.

But it all seems so clean and logical.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:40 am
by T S O
I would bet there is a Mafia neighbour. If there's a Wolf neighbour, there's a Mafia neighbour.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:40 am
by Thor665
In post 6307, Boonskiies wrote:I still felt that he could be mafia, but you gave a good argument, I guess. I did suspect him, as I said either you or him were the last wolf. If that's the case, we should just lynch Pine. We all universally agree pretty much that he is the wolf. Actually, you make a good point about mafia probably being in one of the neighborhoods. I don't think you'd bring it up if you were mafia, which helps me have even more confidence in my Nero mafia read.

I reversed a wagon on Pine to lynch Flubber and also reversed a semi wagon on Beast to lynch Reinoe - my chance of being Mafia is immensely minimal at this stage. Even DGB could see it, and when DGB clears thor os something you might as well mint it as pure obvious.

In post 6307, Boonskiies wrote:Pine/Slandaar, Nero. = scum. let's lynch Pine.

Explain the Nero = Mafia thing.
I am not there with you.
You need to start talking to people if you are town - that's how town wins games.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:41 am
by T S O
I was, at one stage, thinking 4 scum in the neighbourhoods - so Scripten ww, Nero Mafia, Boon and Thor one or the other, but no.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:41 am
by Thor665
In post 6315, T S O wrote:This is EXACTLY like Completely Ridiculous where I fucked up in LyLo when I was the only town player posting and after days of Cephrir and AngryPidgeon posting I finally lost it and voted town.

But it all seems so clean and logical.

I will admit my paranoia is looking the gift horse in the mouth right now.
It feels too clean.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:41 am
by Boonskiies
WAITT!!!! PINE CAN'T BE A VT LIKE HE CLAIMS!!!

there are 8 spots not in the neighborhoods.

2 are VT, 2 are town PR's, 2 are mafia slots that have flipped. The final two are werewolf slots. Pine/Slandaar are the werewolf team. no doubt about it.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:42 am
by Thor665
Let's get derp Slandaar to at least full claim - I'd like to be looking at all the cards on the table now rather than tomorrow. This is functional lylo for town so all claims should be in.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:43 am
by T S O
In post 6319, Thor665 wrote:
In post 6315, T S O wrote:This is EXACTLY like Completely Ridiculous where I fucked up in LyLo when I was the only town player posting and after days of Cephrir and AngryPidgeon posting I finally lost it and voted town.

But it all seems so clean and logical.

I will admit my paranoia is looking the gift horse in the mouth right now.
It feels too clean.


Do you think Aegor would make the set-up symmetrical like that?

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:43 am
by Thor665
In post 6320, Boonskiies wrote:WAITT!!!! PINE CAN'T BE A VT LIKE HE CLAIMS!!!

there are 8 spots not in the neighborhoods.

2 are VT, 2 are town PR's, 2 are mafia slots that have flipped. The final two are werewolf slots. Pine/Slandaar are the werewolf team. no doubt about it.

Welcome to the conversation already in progress?

I'd like your Nero case now - unless you're dropping it to sheep my game analysis.
Heck - even if you're dropping it I'd like to hear it.

Posted: Sat Jan 10, 2015 11:43 am
by Thor665
In post 6322, T S O wrote:
In post 6319, Thor665 wrote:
In post 6315, T S O wrote:This is EXACTLY like Completely Ridiculous where I fucked up in LyLo when I was the only town player posting and after days of Cephrir and AngryPidgeon posting I finally lost it and voted town.

But it all seems so clean and logical.

I will admit my paranoia is looking the gift horse in the mouth right now.
It feels too clean.


Do you think Aegor would make the set-up symmetrical like that?

I have no mod meta awareness of him - do you?