mmmm.
On the Flying Scumsman (Abandoned)
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Blake X Yang Goon
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First, the trajectory between 1613 and 1623 reflects very similarly to my own trajectory towards the end of this engagement, without directly being affected by my own. At an early point in the engagement this was based around, I initially found problems with John Cena and had an inkling that scum were involved within that engagement somehow. Popsofctown came in and hinted at Pink Ball potentially being scum, perhaps even scum with John Cena. I decided to poke at her to see if she was getting the same weird feeling that I was, despite the fact that she had already stated that John Cena's perspective was the most relateable to her. I was not expecting a response that she suspected there are no scum within that list. This made me wonder, since she had been fairly active throughout this exchange between John Cena, insomnia, and Pink Ball, what exactly she was looking to get out of this as a member of the scumteam. I thought this trajectory was too strange to be likely from a scum mindset.In post 2567, Spiffybringer wrote:Blake can you explain why you are town reading Black Hole Deflection because I am not seeing it
~Spiffy
Then, 1773 happened. Popsofctown went back on this in order to start pushing insomnia as potential scum, which on the surface does put a damper on my analysis. My initial conclusion was that the trajectory was strange since she had to have been looking to take advantage of the chaos building to set it up for something later, but she willingly defused the situation on her own part against what she had already been thinking before that. Her scumgame is strong enough not to just throw random posts out there and I wasn't exactly putting pressure onto her with my question as much as I was simply asking her to further her thoughts, so the most likely possibility is that she was working from an inner thought process and wasn't inherently reacting to try to find a 'correct' answer to my query.
There's also the fact that at the time, I was becoming more curious about insomnia, and that trajectory makes even less sense if she's scum with him. I believe it wouldn't be hard for her to come up with things to say that make more sense as scum, considering that she's had remarkably little issue doing that throughout the rest of the game as well. Functionally, the whole thing doesn't make any sense from a scum mindset in my eyes, and I find that particularly compelling because I believe that section of the game was the most indicative of alignment for the most slots.
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Could you link any thoughts D1 that conveyed whether he was a mislynch?In post 2681, Disaster Artists wrote:Ok. I'm town and was almost totally confident it was a mislych
Your turn
there's like 20 walls per person to read into
-yangHydra of Blake Belladonna and Yang Xiao Long-
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Okay.In post 2700, Unapologetically Foxy wrote:
I’m going to level with you, I’ve barely skimmed anything. I tried to get in at the end of D1 to throw down a vote, but day ended. I don’t really have any strong opinions, as I’ve been way more focused on the mini games, but it’s D2. Time to take things seriously.In post 2695, Blake X Yang wrote:Pine, what have you read and/or what thoughts do you have currently?
-Blake
Let me know when you're more caught up, your slot is one I'm looking at as one of my potential incorrect townreads.
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The same reason I had a townread on Xofelf in Alisae vs Pine.In post 2710, Unapologetically Foxy wrote:
That’s reasonable, but I’ve been saying it for a couple of years now - I’m a mid game hero. The penguin shuffle of the early game annoys and disinterests me. I’ve effectively not been playing until now, so I’m a little curious as to how you have any kind of read on me at all.Blake X Yang wrote:
Okay.In post 2700, Unapologetically Foxy wrote:
I’m going to level with you, I’ve barely skimmed anything. I tried to get in at the end of D1 to throw down a vote, but day ended. I don’t really have any strong opinions, as I’ve been way more focused on the mini games, but it’s D2. Time to take things seriously.In post 2695, Blake X Yang wrote:Pine, what have you read and/or what thoughts do you have currently?
-Blake
Let me know when you're more caught up, your slot is one I'm looking at as one of my potential incorrect townreads.
-Blake
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This.In post 2735, Disaster Artists wrote:Yeah winner usually gets more but it'd be nice if you actually said the prize thread since you *only* talked about the $10 and did not mention a first place award, and not every event on day 1 had a first place award
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When you assume that there isn't a first place award, my play was always correct.
I had no reason to assume that the $100 would be given by default, since the only event I played in before this one was the Blackjack one, which did not have any reward for first place.
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I cashed out because you had a pretty significantly advantage going into the final two, being the placement of my revealed letters and having the opportunity to guess first after I remove Taly.In post 2745, Unapologetically Foxy wrote:
It wasn't. Alyssa guessed her own word at the end, and I can't figure out why.In post 2739, Disaster Artists wrote:
why are you dabbing over what was basically a mod error?In post 2734, Pine wrote:Offing yourself at the end doesn't seem so clever now, does it Alyssa? I have no idea what a phosgene is, though I probably would have started throwing out letters like P and H, they're way more common in a scientific lexicon than standard English.
And eww, dabbing.
I would have taken the risk if I had known there was a $100 prize for being the last man standing.
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i guessed my word mostly because i thought it was obvious
plus i dont think this hydra has gained a concrete +100$ hallmark yet, so getting a little more was nice
need to check our bank account
k who do you guys think scum NKed and who the scummy might be?
-yangHydra of Blake Belladonna and Yang Xiao Long-
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This was not a flippant or rhetorical question, and it was posed to the entire playerlist.In post 2750, Blake X Yang wrote:i guessed my word mostly because i thought it was obvious
plus i dont think this hydra has gained a concrete +100$ hallmark yet, so getting a little more was nice
need to check our bank account
k who do you guys think scum NKed and who the scummy might be?
-yang
Good to see we have a similar approach.In post 2762, Black Hole Defection wrote:I'm not confident in my understanding of what happened last night. Many of the COs guesses seem to make varying amounts of sense.
I dislike CO SirCakez's dismissive attitude towards a changing battlefield.
Similar to CO Blake I feel interested in trying to identify Orange Star COs based on the rhythm of this particular battle, and since CO Spiffeh was someone I had not identified as such I feel pushed towards that strategy even more.
So, who are the first 3 people you look at / are looking at right now to identify as Orange Star COs?
Any thoughts on theIn post 2778, Cappy wrote:I'd like to inform all members of Orange Star that I have another post restriction for today. It requires me to imitate any other CO within the game for all of my posts. Blame The Beast.
-HecticPBNK?
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Disaster Artists is still town.
The Searchers is still town.
Hectic is still town.
Feminist Bloc is still town.
I want to believe that Black Hole Defection, Unapologetically Foxy, and Imperium are still town, but I'm not as certain on that itself. I know Yang has shifted overall somewhat as well, but we haven't had a proper talk about it yet.
Everybody else is back into the assessment pool. None of my other townreads are strong enough at this point to warrant being out of the lynch pool.
For those keeping track at home, those names are Egospray, Mikoto and Kuroko, NL, Equitable Androids, Flavortown, Despair Night, and Latias and Latios.
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Did you roll scum, Titus?In post 2818, Equitable Androids wrote:In post 2809, Blake X Yang wrote:I find it more likely that scum were either on the front end of the lynch wagon or simply mostly off of it.
VCs might actually be quite useful in analysis today. Remind me to look through them later.
-Blake
Every wagon but Smol yesterday was a vanity wagon. The Smol lynch tested the theory whether scum were apathetic because town was that well coordinated. I would suspect scum were in the 3-6 range of Smol that gave it momentum. The end of day was NAI. The hammer annoyed me personally because I wanted more time to recover but the day was over if I am objectively honest.In post 2810, Blake X Yang wrote:Shotgun read through the VCs confirm to me that the slots on vanity wagons should hold multiple scum.
-Blake
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You are willing to say that the middle votes are the most suspicious when ever other wagon was perpetually stalled beforehand? When every other wagon essentially vanished once it started? When the looming deadline is inherently a factor that will make people consolidate?In post 2827, Equitable Androids wrote:
No. My analysis is just the truth. No one in this setup would be threatened by a wagon at L minus 4ish. Anything unthreatening is a vanity wagon. I asked yesterday to start consolidating but I lacked the energy to actually push it.In post 2823, Blake X Yang wrote:
Did you roll scum, Titus?In post 2818, Equitable Androids wrote:In post 2809, Blake X Yang wrote:I find it more likely that scum were either on the front end of the lynch wagon or simply mostly off of it.
VCs might actually be quite useful in analysis today. Remind me to look through them later.
-Blake
Every wagon but Smol yesterday was a vanity wagon. The Smol lynch tested the theory whether scum were apathetic because town was that well coordinated. I would suspect scum were in the 3-6 range of Smol that gave it momentum. The end of day was NAI. The hammer annoyed me personally because I wanted more time to recover but the day was over if I am objectively honest.In post 2810, Blake X Yang wrote:Shotgun read through the VCs confirm to me that the slots on vanity wagons should hold multiple scum.
-Blake
-Blake
You may not like reality, but it doesn't change it.
~Titus
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The neighborhood has, I believe, 8 or 9 posts within it. Half of them were Yang asking for anything and most of the rest were greetings.In post 2877, Mikoto and Kuroko wrote:
Also by this flip, blake and yang were in a hood with smol might.In post 2647, Superb Subtlety wrote:We'll work on flavor later.
Smol Might was Tokoyami and Dark Shadow. They were aligned with theTown
Smol MightTokoyamiDark ShadowReader
ID
Faction
RoleEragon
Tokoyami
Town
HeroReader[/align]
ID
Faction
RoleShadowlessCloud
Dark Shadow
Town
Totally not a stand powerActives[/align]PassivesActivesPassivesnone.Black Ankh
Your bulletproof ability is extended to Tokoyami for the night.
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Black Fallen Angel
Target a head to follow them and determine what types of actions they used during the night.
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Ragnarok
Target a hydra. You will kill them.Power from Darkness
You are immune to nightkills, unless you are exposed to light, which will also roleblock you. You may only perform each of your abilities once during the game, and only one ability per night.
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Totally not a Stand Power
You will die if Tokoyami dies.
YOU WILL WIN THE GAME WHEN ALL THREATS TO THE TOWN HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED.
Night 1 ends in (expired on 2020-04-16 03:45:31). Actions 1 hour before the end of the night will not be accepted.
Did you learn nothing from that, not even when they were active?
-F
I actually forgot it had existed.
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@mod, blake voted despair for reasons that I will understand soon
Titus, why are the vote placements 3-6 most likely scum and not earlier or later within the wagon? Is that based on reads or vote analysis?
BecauseFeministwas the 7th vote, and your vote is there.
what led to the confidence? I'm trying to get a better grasp of the game at the moment, so I'm taking a more inquisitive approach here.In post 2792, popsofctown wrote:Spoiler:
I don't think it's clear whether Black Hole used a limited power that protects Nightkill CO Power from curvatures, one designed to punish Tag Team Imperium for sharing too much information, or whether CO Spiffeh used his Bodyguard CO Power to rescue Tag Team Imperium. It could be helpful for Tag Team Imperium to message and find out who would die if both a Bodyguard CO Power and a Lightning Rod CO Power are trying to affect the same thing, because it seems unclear to me.
The players I have not identified as Orange Star confidently but am optimistic about are Tag Team Feminist Blocc, Tag Team Equitable Androids, and Tag Team Mikoto x Kuroko. All three are players I had more confidence in their placement as Orange Star COs previously in the game compared to my feelings right now.
In post 2828, Mikoto and Kuroko wrote:I agree with equitable androids, and i wonder why blake is doubting a confirmed softclaim. Do you have any reason to do so, blake? Would EA and DN stick their nose out in that fashion today if they're scum together?
Also, i think Feminist Bloc matches best with VCA and NKA. They should be the lynch today, but i want to hear from Flavortown about black hole, and from imperium about what happened last night. Several results are still off and imperium must know something more.
-FarkranEAhad a softclaim?
I'm a bit skeptical that you sayFeministis scum off VCA -and- NKA, what's your reasoning?
yeah, I was over half of those posts trying to stir conversation.In post 2878, Blake X Yang wrote:
The neighborhood has, I believe, 8 or 9 posts within it. Half of them were Yang asking for anything and most of the rest were greetings.In post 2877, Mikoto and Kuroko wrote:
Also by this flip, blake and yang were in a hood with smol might.In post 2647, Superb Subtlety wrote:We'll work on flavor later.
Smol Might was Tokoyami and Dark Shadow. They were aligned with theTown
Smol MightTokoyamiDark ShadowReader
ID
Faction
RoleEragon
Tokoyami
Town
HeroReader[/align]
ID
Faction
RoleShadowlessCloud
Dark Shadow
Town
Totally not a stand powerActives[/align]PassivesActivesPassivesnone.Black Ankh
Your bulletproof ability is extended to Tokoyami for the night.
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Black Fallen Angel
Target a head to follow them and determine what types of actions they used during the night.
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Ragnarok
Target a hydra. You will kill them.Power from Darkness
You are immune to nightkills, unless you are exposed to light, which will also roleblock you. You may only perform each of your abilities once during the game, and only one ability per night.
--
Totally not a Stand Power
You will die if Tokoyami dies.
YOU WILL WIN THE GAME WHEN ALL THREATS TO THE TOWN HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED.
Night 1 ends in (expired on 2020-04-16 03:45:31). Actions 1 hour before the end of the night will not be accepted.
Did you learn nothing from that, not even when they were active?
-F
I actually forgot it had existed.
-Blake
I asked you about what you felt over the NK on your other head, or so I thought, hahaHectic wrote:VOTE: Flavortown
I forgot I had a vote.
This is your vote, but there's a wagon onFeministwith reasoning that she's scum based off the NK. Thoughts?
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In post 2916, Taly wrote:LMFAO 10/10
oh shit, you lost all your money? D:In post 2917, Taly wrote:...aw shit
so you're mechanically town?
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In post 2920, Hectic wrote:Hello.
I did. I was told I was robbed. I had $360.
Why does that make me mechanically town?shhhhh im waiting for other people to read the assertion
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Of course I would call this lethargic.
There was a brisk pace throughout most of day one, and it vanished overnight. This is even with a slot that wasn't among the most significant sources of the pacing being removed from the game. That's a rather steep change, wouldn't you think?
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Very well.In post 2943, Unapologetically Foxy wrote:Almost 100 pages isn’t “brisk,” it’s “breakneck.”
I find the slowdown unremarkable and pleasant. Quit yer bitching.
Tree
I will take my leave until something interesting happens, then.
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In post 2952, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:I will not push you.
I can not and will not promise more.
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No, unless it's related to your or the killer's role.In post 2951, Flavortown wrote:If DEB gets night killed, which i don’t think he ever will, do I die with him?
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This isn't even a majority.In post 3106, Black Hole Defection wrote:
Neat! If only I trusted group consensus, but I don't. I don't even trust my own hydra partner's.In post 3103, Blake X Yang wrote:John Cena has been transparently town for at least half of the game by this point.
-Blake
This is largely a read from me only.
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In post 1840, Blake X Yang wrote:
This is functionally incorrect. I've seen John Cena have similar reactions in the past as town. He understands when a push is not necessarily good for the game, even if he otherwise would be looking to gun them down in the street.In post 1726, The Searchers wrote:
I actually disagree on the first part. I think it has somewhat valid logic behind it. Disaster Artists getting super worked up over this kinda reads scum to me. Like he doesn't want to get caught for something he views as not-AI. If that makes sense. This has been a decently reliable tell for me in the past. 1723 is pretty close to what I'm thinking about the slot.In post 1548, Blake X Yang wrote:Pink Ball's scumread is ridiculous, but I don't believe it's necessarily scum indicative.
-Blake
It's also very possible he isn't as convinced on Insomnia being scum as he let on. He tends to not push relentlessly on slots that he isn't absolutely sure are scum.
-Blake
John Cena has very real towntells that appear very differently within his scumgames. He's somebody you are unlikely to catch as mafia. You catch him by figuring out that he just isn't town.In post 1926, Blake X Yang wrote:This John Cena is virtually identical to the John Cena in Titus v Alisae.
I would be very shocked if he was not town this game.
-Blake
And his actions this game are simply out of his scumrange.
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In post 3117, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:
In this case, incorrect. I initially scumread his emotion.In post 3114, Imperium wrote:Basically a prod dodge. I can’t look at a computer any more today. Gonna take a break and play some ff7 and see if my brain unscrambles; I don’t expect to be back Though!
I went through my reads in the neighborhood last night, so I’ll meed to go through them and paraphrase them tomorrow probably.
titus - were you town reading us to such an extent that you would have been fine with us receiving money last night?
BHD - I think you get false positives when a player shows emotion.In post 3103, Blake X Yang wrote:John Cena has been transparently town for at least half of the game by this point.
-Blake
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I've seen this exact same behavior in his town games. I've also seen him make pushes as scum. Emotion for him is not alignment indicative, but my initial impression that he was potentially scum for not acting upon that was overshadowed by the town response he gave me when I pressured him upon it. It reminds me of, again, a previous town game.In post 3119, Black Hole Defection wrote:
Is this Nacho or Tammy?In post 3114, Imperium wrote:BHD - I think you get false positives when a player shows emotion.
For Blake, it seems like the action you think is outside of their range is the DN/JC interaction with the vigs. I think what you're saying seems to reinforce my point. It took JC seemingly forever to remember that insomnia had "these moments", when that should have been one of the first things he realized.
I believe that he was angry, but this looked to me like someone who realized that this push would not benefit him in the longrun even in the best case scenario of getting a DN mislynch. I probably won't look at it again anytime soon but pops isn't voting here and I should probably just focus elsewhere.
This by itself would not be enough for him to be obviously town, but I expressed it as such at the time because it became inherently disadvantageous to town for a wagon on him to form. Over time, however, the way he bounced back from this altercation has given enough cause for a townread of that strength to be warranted.
However, this I will say. If I die sooner rather than later and John Cena is still alive when there is in the ballpark of five hydras left, then lynch him. Before then, I am shielding him.
This explains why "Bad Hair Day" didn't quite seem to fit what you were saying.In post 3120, Imperium wrote:I was referring to orism with the emotion comment.
I was unclear, which is why I need to step away from the computer.
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So do you believe it's possible for hydras to have different alignments across heads or not?In post 3162, Despair Night wrote:Never mind I'm just memeing don't listen to me.
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As you might have been able to surmise, I've been looking to reframe my view of the game. I also am not as interested in you specifically at the moment as of now, and will not be looking to rebuild my view of the game until I have my rock here to share thoughts with.
I'm unsure if I have stated this here or not yet, but I'm also very close to burnout on mafia in general, so I'm being careful not to extend too far otherwise.
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I paid no attention to the events before the ones I played in.In post 3198, Latias and Latios wrote:
Again it was a rerun so you had a previous data set to look at. Not too concerned about this because this is probably an anti-scum tell but it's silly.In post 2746, Blake X Yang wrote:When you assume that there isn't a first place award, my play was always correct.
I had no reason to assume that the $100 would be given by default, since the only event I played in before this one was the Blackjack one, which did not have any reward for first place.
-Blake
-Latios
The first event I had joined didn't have a first place prize. Everybody had their own cash payout.
The second event was shown to have individual cash payouts, and there was no mention of a first place payout.
I maintain that in these conditions, it was reasonable to assume that there was no first place prize, and therefore my play was correct from my own point of view.
This doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things and I was never that upset about it in the first place, but it still is an oversight that potentially shifted the outcome of that event.
-BlakeHydra of Blake Belladonna and Yang Xiao Long-
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Blake X Yang Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 309
- Joined: March 15, 2020
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Blake X Yang Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 309
- Joined: March 15, 2020
You're doing a remarkable job of taking the safe route to any situation, Farkran.
Your list of townreads are people nobody is contesting.
Your scumreads and lynchable list includes one of the only two slots that have had scumreads on you this game, the slot that hasn't been around, the other slot that hasn't been around, the slot with the most content that isn't universally townread, and the slot with a player that openly isn't playing combined with a notably easy push player.
The blunt truth is that you have not done anything significantly town this game. I'm strongly questioning your decision to park on a vanity vote towards the end of day one followed by an apathy wagon. Not only this, but you defending the counter wagon by VCA when they had literally responded to my pressure by stating that every wagon outside of the lynch wagon was a vanity wagon is absolutely asinine.
I'm not convinced these events are doing more than damaging town's chances of winning now that I think about it.
-BlakeHydra of Blake Belladonna and Yang Xiao Long-
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Blake X Yang Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 309
- Joined: March 15, 2020
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Blake X Yang Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 309
- Joined: March 15, 2020
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Blake X Yang Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 309
- Joined: March 15, 2020