Best Athletes Mafia (Abandoned)
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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In post 19, DrRoy wrote:Benmage, my point is that if you try to reassure everyone you're town after the lightest of provocations, you look over-defensive, a common scum-tell. I reaction-tested you in order to probe further, and your reaction is a lot more town than, say, if you have said something along the lines of "Oh but of course I'm town."
Unvote
Kmd, why is what I just said a scumtell?
Doesn't matter. It's not as scummy as the unvote and "reaction test" comment. Is prosecutor also scum?KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Yeah, drroy and prosecutor are both scum.
By the way, since we have all these town claims out already, I claim serial killer. But I'm gonna be shooting for scum every night so keep me alive. I think we can break this game. Benmage and DDD already claimed town so I won't kill them.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
- I lost a bet.
- I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
- I lost a bet.
- I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Benmage, yeah. I want a computer to do it. Kind of annoying on my phone. Especially with my girlfriend looking over my shoulder. I don't see how it hurts to wait.
Actually I should bring that up now. The majority of my posts are from my phone. I can use a laptop between 1 and 3 times a week usually.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Meh. Looking at prosecutor in ISO, I see where you are coming from, Benmage.
Opinion on IS is that he hasn't started playing yet. Being an older player, he probably just doesn't feel like wasting time with early Day 1. I don't see any alignment tells in his ISO. All he's done is recognize the obvfake SK claim which says nothing at all.
DDD appears to be just shamelessly following his town-boner for you (Benmage). I could be wrong, but my impression of DDD is that he plays a better scum game and not as great of a town game. It could just be him not doing much because it's early, but I see town in DDD right now.
OnceAnd looks good except for saying "their" when he meant "they're". He isn't really explaining reads, but that's most likely playstyle. I don't always explain my reads. I'd say town even though there isn't a whole lot that stands out to me and the good feelings I get could be a subconcious bias because he has drroy (who I am voting) as scum and me as town.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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In post 99, Benmage wrote:The whole "scum don't read the thread" or pay attention argument.. never held any weight for me. As I am always more meticulous in my reading and posting when scum. Which goes hand n hand with the MD discussion that 'slips' are more often from town not thinking before posting... than scum, who often consider everything before posting.
This varies from player to player. I personally don't feel I read/post more carefully as one alignment than the other.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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So I have my drroy case done, but Barnes N Noble internet is acting up so I may not get to post it today. It's saved on the laptop I'm using, so as soon as I can get back here (probably tomorrow), all I have to do is copy and paste to the thread.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Sweet! Got internet back. Here's the case.
Ok, DrRoy is scum. Here's why:
1. The original Benmage vote
Vote: Benmage
Why would you claim town almost immediately?
I've heard of serious votes out of the gate to avoid dealing with RVS (and I usually do this myself). And you tend to reach a little when you do that. But really? This looks like scum jumping at the first thing they possibly can.
2. The way he backed off of the vote after my vote on him
Benmage, my point is that if you try to reassure everyone you're town after the lightest of provocations, you look over-defensive, a common scum-tell. I reaction-tested you in order to probe further, and your reaction is a lot more town than, say, if you have said something along the lines of "Oh but of course I'm town."
Unvote
Kmd, why is what I just said a scumtell?
He knew his vote was stupid and needed a way to excuse it. So he calls it a "reaction test". So someone "claims town" and you are going to "reaction test" them with a vote? Not buying it.
And then needing to come up with what scum would say in that situation, he goes with "of course I'm town". First, why would scum say that and not town? Second, how is it even that different from Benmage's reaction. I think the unvote is a combination of everyone else's reaction that Benmage is town and my vote.
Next, look at the placement of his response to me. He made sure the explanation came first, then the unvote. Finally, he addresses me almost as if saying "See? It's not so scummy after all."
3. Trying too hard to look town
OnceAndForEver, either explain your bandwagon or get off.
^Why only call out one of the unexplained votes. There were quite a few others. It's just a "look how town I am" callout.
4. The reaction to what he thought was a real SK claim
Vote: Kmd
I've seen too many games where the SK screwed the town over something awful after promising to vig for them. Until we have more solid evidence, I'm just going to have to take you at your word. The less non-town-aligned players we have out there the better.
Oh yeah, and I'm town, so don't kill me.
What does any good townie do? Vote the non-town (ignoring the lack of a sense of humor). And of course explain in detail why when if you're actual reason for voting is just "OMG SK!", you really, don't need to say much. I've also seen a lot of scums scared of SKs. Usually when a claimed SK is lynched, you see just as much, if not more, scum presence on the wagon as you do on a town lynch.
And of course he has to remind us at the end that he is town as well. Which isn't just point number 3 (trying to look town) in my books. It looks like scum trying to stay alive in the event the "SK" is alive tonight. He saw my "People claimed town so I won't kill them" and wanted to add himself to that list.
5. Deflecting
Godot, I don't think anybody is saying that "oh, for sure, KMD is town because no scum would say anything like that." If we start doing that, we WIFOM until the morning light and no actual productive discussion happens. We should keep an eye on him, but keep searching everybody else too. You're getting dangerously close to speaking in absolutes.
Unvote
Vote: Godot
Also, TheTrollie should post.
When the top targets are DrRoy, myself, and Prosecutor, and everyone is starting to realize I wasn't seriously claiming SK, where do you think DrRoy votes? And with a terrible reason. He's "speaking in absolutes". Wait, no. "getting dangerously close to" doing so. And all Prosecutor said was "everyone is saying". It's a common enough generalization.
Conclusion
Aka tl;dr:
The vote on Benmage was awful. I called it out as such at the same time as a handful of people called Benmage town and DrRoy backed off of it immediately, calling it a "reaction test", which I believe to be false. He is trying too hard to look town, and reacted terrible to the SK "claim", seemingly trying to stay alive in the even there was a SK shot tonight. When enough people realize the "claim" was a joke that the wagon dies down, DrRoy jumps on the most widely suspected player who is not himself for a terrible reason.
So let's lynch the guy.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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This series of events looks almost lynch-worthy on it's own:
In post 17, Kmd4390 wrote:unvote, vote drroy
Found scum. No need to try for a reaction from seanald.
In post 19, DrRoy wrote:Benmage, my point is that if you try to reassure everyone you're town after the lightest of provocations, you look over-defensive, a common scum-tell. I reaction-tested you in order to probe further, and your reaction is a lot more town than, say, if you have said something along the lines of "Oh but of course I'm town."
Unvote
Kmd, why is what I just said a scumtell?
Kmd, part of the DrRoy case wrote:He knew his vote was stupid and needed a way to excuse it. So he calls it a "reaction test". So someone "claims town" and you are going to "reaction test" them with a vote? Not buying it.
DrRoy in response to the above wrote:2. Okay, maybe that wasn't a reaction test in the traditional sense of the term. I only learned what those were like a week and a half ago. I stand by my opinion that it was a dumb claim, though, and that at such an early point in the game, with no leads, he was scummiest.
But to respond to DrRoy's response post.
1. Is exactly the thought process I outlined as the town thought process when I made this point. My only problem was that it looked like a lot more of a reach than I'd expect in that spot.
2. If this were true, I feel like you'd apply pressure somewhere else immediately after determining that Benmage was town.
3. Yeah, but this isn't the only instance of this. Just the one that stood out. What about saying TheTrollie needs to post? Why not call out Bub?
4. Really just strengthens the point. My point was that scums are scared of SKs and you looked to be in that spot. Your response is basically, "Yeah, I'm scared of SKs as scum but...". And what follows the "but" doesn't really explain why you felt the need to explain the vote so much.
5. Benmage was the only one to vote Steph other than Dry-fit, who also said Prosecutor was a "good vote".
Meh.
On a quick read last night, I thought I was going to come in here debating with myself on that exchange in the beginning of this post and the response that looked pretty town. But the response doesn't look as strong as I initially thought.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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And some questions for some of the people who I haven't seen much from:
absta, you don't seem to be explaining votes a whole lot. Why did you vote OnceAnd and what is your current read on him? And do you have reasons for finding Steph scummy that are your own, and not Benmage's? If not, why is Benmage right?
BS2, your ISO looks like a peanut gallery to me. You labeled your OnceAnd vote a serious one. What is your reason for it? What are your thoughts DrRoy? Benmage? Myself? Anyone?
Bub, what did you notice in that re-read?
Dry-Fit, do you have any reads that aren't related to reactions the the joke SK claim?
Internet Stranger, reads on...anyone? Thoughts on...anything?
Nero, is this backseat playstyle intentional? When can we expect any kind of post with some substance to it?
Seanald, any reads on anyone other than DrRoy? Your last post is the only one I'd consider content and it's just agreement and a vote.
TheTrollie, catching up soon?KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Bub and Benmage
What do you make of DrRoy's backtrack on his Benmage vote calling it a reaction test only to admit it wasn't really a reaction test?
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Steph wrote:I really think jokes that introduce WIFOM and can influence reads are anti-town.
Uhhhhhh.
If we can't influence reads, how do we.... develop reads? What do we do with players we aren't completely sure of? Asking them questions would influence the read so I guess that's out.
Also, WIFOM isn't bad and/or anti-town.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Trevor, what do you think of DrRoy? I almost get the feeling you saw him as scummy but saw all the votes on him and didn't want to come off as attacking an easy target.
Steph, jokes in the first few pages of a game are extremely common by both town and scum.
Internet Stranger is town. Good to know.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Looks like DrRoy was throwing spaghetti at the wall too see what stuck. The names he threw out seemed to be some of the most widely suspected. Now that Steph appears to have a wagon going, guess who DrRoy thinks is scum.
And this comes after:
Roy wrote:5. I thought the other big target at the time was steph. I was unaware why steph should get all the attention when Godot, in my mind, merited more
^this after I accused him of going after Godot, who I saw as the big not-roy target at that stage in the game.
So what happened?KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Yeah, DrRoy is clearly just trying to be a people pleaser now. He was called out for his votes, so he softened up. He was called out for that, so he says he'll vote when he thinks he's not misrepping. Then he votes DDD and basically said "hey, he did what I did, but he should KNOW BETTER cuz imma newb lol". With the DDD vote, he was obviously just looking for somewhere to voote after Bub's little callout. The thing I get out of this is my concern that Bub could be a DrRoy buddy is now reversed.
But yeah, I agree with Cheery. My vote on DrRoy, if anything, is more solid.
Benmage, you clearly don't get the point. It's not that DrRoy for some reason intentionally jumbled what happened when to make it look bad. It's that he was trying so hard to find something that he stretched and stretched until it was just plain wrong. Like he found one thing (the reaction to the joke claim) that he knew he himself got heat for, and went "this guy did it too". Next, he's like "omg hey even claimed town like I did". I mean, it really boils down to the old "why are you calling me out for this when so and so did it too?" which can be bad enough anyway, but it just doesn't fit here. Two players doing to exact same thing in the exact same way in a mafia game is extremely rare unless you are talking about wagoning or lurking (and even those aren't always identical). I don't know, maybe I'm not explaining well and am just rambling but I see a bad case on DDD at a time that would be convenient for DrRoy. I also think you (benmage) have your mind made up that DrRoy is town, so I'm probably wasting my time directing any DrRoy stuff at you.
Also can't help but laugh at the first part of 233 by Benmage saying that illogical crazy theory stuff is town after the game I just played with DTMasterscum who fakeclaimed poisoner at like L-3 or something and then survived to near-endgame even with all of his buddies bussing him on Day 1.
As for the "homework" question, id most likely analyze the lynching wagon as I almost always do. Obviously, there are more town than scum on the wagon, but scum are ALWAYS on a Day 1 mislynch. I can only remember one game in my entire mafia career where town was lynched Day 1 without a scum vote. Usually, 2 or 3 scum are on the lynch. But id have to look at everyone's reasons for voting. Who believed what they were saying and who was just like "cool, sounds good".KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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I want DrRoy lynched because I am most confident in him being scum.
There are two possibilites:
A) He is scum
B) He is non-scum (town or third party)
If he is scum, I can find his buddies tomorrow. If he isn't scum, multiple scum can probably be found on his wagon.
Both possibilities are realistic and I understand that. I've become quite a bit of a realist player. As in, I fully understand that if I go all out saying someone is scum, no matter how confident I am, I know I'm more likely to be wrong than right just based on the number of scum vs town.
That being said. DrRoy is still my strongest scum read and I see no reason to tear apart the wagon and say "OMG THERES SCUMS HERE IF IM WRONG". No, I'm dealing with my scum read first and I want to proceed from there after I see if I'm right or wrong.
Do I have other reads? Of course. As strong as my read on DrRoy? Not at all. Does this look like tunneling? Probably, but I don't give a shit. If we lynch him and he flips scum, I'll feel nice and accomplished. If he flips town, I can swallow my pride and figure out what happened.
I've found my choice for a Day 1 lynch and the only reason I can see for backing off of it would be if it didn't have support. Clearly, it does. Whether the support is townies seeing the same as me or scum laughing at how wrong I am can easily be determined with a flip. Either way, I strongly believe that we can lynch a scum Day 2 and/or Day 3 pretty easily.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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*sigh*
Nothing to say except that I'm sad to see the DrRoy wagon losing a few votes with deadline a few days away. We should be pushing him towards a claim now. Instead, we are twiddling our thumbs and will need to rush a lynch within probably 36 hours when we realize "oh shit, deadline".
Can we get those votes back on DrRoy along with some new ones please?KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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In post 385, Trevor wrote:Good to see the Roy wagon faltering. The Stepho wagon is really weak in terms of players voting him. Still like Once as a lynch.
Faltering? It's the lead wagon lolKMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Um. I'd still like to know what we are lynching before we do it. For example, if you have a cop for tonight, I want the result before you die.
Also, if this is in Day for the middle of the week, expect my activity to slow down until Friday.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Yeah, if steph doesn't have a claim to save him, I see no other reason to unvote.
Cheery, once is town. Look at the post where he votes me. He says everyone is going to hate him that means he believes he is going against popular opinion and going to get flak for it. Yet he does it anyway. What scum would do that?
Locke, who are your scumbuddies?KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Steph, if you claim abilities that I think will benefit town, I'll probably unvote. I'm not really convinced you are scum to begin with. If you have strong abilities, I really don't want you lynched. Only reason I'm voting you is because it came down to you or a strong town read (once).
Can I at least ask this? Do you have an ability that I would be likely to unvote for if you claimed?KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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But we are going opposite ways on this. The way I see it, if Once is scum, he's been trying to lay low and avoid spotlight. With this vote, not only is he not doing that, but he KNOWS he isn't. And he EXPECTS to be called out for it. It just doesn't make sense for Once as a scum player to make that vote. If he wanted me dead and didn't want to get flak, he could have NK'd me. If we were scumbuddies, I wasn't being voted by anyone so why bus/distance now, especially when it could put him over the top of Steph?
There's just no scenario where it makes sense.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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So why does 512 seem to put so much emphasis on the vengeful part of the role? If you didn't plan on being lynched, why would a Day 3 cop make sense because of an "estimated date of death". Basically, I asked why you chose Day 3 and your answer has to do with the vengeful part of the role rather than the cop part. So not wanting to be lynched doesn't fit with that.
Here's what I had in mind when I posted 509:
-Town thought process= "Sweet, cop! Day 1 for sure."
-Scum thought process= "Cop, that's useless but at least town doesn't have it. But hey, I have this vengeful. I'll stick that on Day 3 I guess"
The only thing that I thought stood in the way of this is if your athletes were just the order that you drafted them. But when you gave reasoning for the Day 2 doc (which is a point against you on it's own because you ignored the vengeful cop part of it), that went out the window.
This order for your athletes could kind of explain the refusal to claim for a while too. Only when facing death did you actually claim. I may be looking too much into this part though.
Meh. Tempted to hammer, but not entirely convinced yet. I want a few other people to weigh in.KMD is the coolest dude who ever lost a bet to me - vonflare-
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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Kmd4390 I lost a bet.
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