Trouble in The Cougar's Den (Game over!)
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In post 13, BotLane wrote:@Kthx- What do you think about Spif's suspicions?
Rvs vpteIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 35, Reasonably Rational wrote:
I went and looked at the opening post just to be sure my memory wasn't faulty. The mod hasn't specified whether the scum do or do not have day chat. Your statement has an implicit assumption that they do. Care to explain that?
Love,
Drixx
As his avatar dictates...oh snap!
VOTE: Reasonably RationalIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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I will say though, IF BotLane pulled scum and have day chat, it could be a thing since in our last game, they weren't very picky about if they chatted as their solo or their hydra in our Were chat.
RR explicitly saying "chatting in his scum chat" vs chatting in a hydra chat is a more concrete find.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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Also, I just caught a way to tell if I'm scum or town from that last post compared to how I word stuff when I'm scum. I'll have to fix that in my scum games. Be a dear and remind me?
P.edit: holy uber defensiveness batman. I like my vote more now.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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D3x. If I were paying more attention and my vote was on spiff, that would have made it a 10. Now I'm torn. I think a simple "you're dumb, reread what you quoted" from RR would have made me less paranoid than the novel he wrote in defense of himself when I was clearly being an idiot.
What to do...what to do....If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 186, Spiffeh wrote:Is that just because you've played with him before?
That's an understatmentIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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Prod received. I'll try and catch up later tonight or tomorrow. I still don't know why I let d3x talk me into large fucking games. Soooooooooooooooo many filler/meaningless posts from soooooo many players.
Quick question, is there a viable wagon going right now and if so, what's the case/reasoning? I'll prolly just end up just joining that. Barring some sort of dayvig or similar actions, D1 "info" is pretty much just blind guessing setting up real info for tomorrow.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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yay! Replacements to stall then clog the thread even more. Why do I do larges again?....oh yeah, thanks d3x.
How bout I try something new. I'm going to go ahead and just trust d3x/Ank are town this game and sheep them all day today. That should make things interesting enough for me.
VOTE: Performer
p.edit......and MattP is town as hell for his entry into this game. I hereby confirm town him.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 435, MattP wrote:I don't like BotLane
Like them. I just got done playing scum with them and this feels different than that. Ank specifically is being more stancy this game. Last they posted a lot but with a lot of filler. I could be wrong, but for now....If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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@MattP: Don't waste my uber town read on you and join the Performer wagon.
With Performer being a top contender for lead wagon and him laying super fucking low right now screams to me it's the best wagon for a scum D1 flip. If he was the ONLY wagon, I'd bet money he'd be in here defending himself. Good scum tactic to lurk while contending for lead wagon in the hopes people forget about you and move on....ESPECIALLY in large games where there's so much posting.....ESPECIALLY when there is a counter wagon to your on a person posting more than you. Lurking in the shadows till the wagon goes away is how I'm interpreting Performer's actions (or lack thereof) right now.
tl'dr: Performer is a good wagon, more need to join.
In post 567, Cephrir wrote:VCA is bullshit.
@Cephrir: How does that even make any sense? VCA is the ONLY factual information we have barring PRs. It's LITERALLY the only thing we have to go on that is solid, factual and can't be messed with by PR's redirecting, blocking, etc. How does the best info in the game equal bullshit to you? Yes, I'd like you to answer this.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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Firebringer (4): HerryPanther, pisskop, Reasonably Rational
HerryPanther (1): TheWayItEnds
LicketyQuickety (1):Performer
Performer(11): Heartless, BotLane, Cephrir,Kthxbye, Spiffeh,Maxous, Vedith, PeregrineV, MattP, MonkeyMan576,ika
Reasonably Rational (2): davesaz, Firebringer
Not voting (2): Teridax, Nobody Special
I'm giving everyone ON the Performer wagon a free pass for awhile (at minimum, today). Firebringer was the counter wagon to Performer, so he gets a pass as well. That leaves:
HerryPanther, pisskop, Reasonably Rational, TheWayItEnds, davesaz, Firebringer, Teridax, Nobody Special
In post 696, LicketyQuickety wrote:In post 603, Performer wrote:f there's a dead thread, I'll see you guys there
doesn't look like anyone cares about my reads but here are a few townreads of mine:
Ved because of his questioning , particularly on pg 9 of d1
dave I'm slight town leaning on because of the interaction with Heart and my interaction with him.
Reasonably Rational, I'm slight town leaning on because he looks like he's trying to figure out things with your posts. Disagree heavily with him on his stance on Fire's gut-read approach
Fire (replaced Bip) = town entrance
thanks for the fun game
I sorta feel like there has to be at least 1 Scum in this group and I think we should find out which one.
Dear Lord, Please tell me this guy is completely joking....
Seriously though, this is a dumb post. Performer KNEW he was lynched at the time he posted this. There is zero way to figure this post out in order to try and find scum. None of us know what he was trying to accomplish by posting this after the hammer and nothing good will come of trying to figure it out.
RR is your only good scum read imo.
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Firebringer is even more town as I see his IKA read today as an actual slip of him not knowing wtf is going on.
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@BotLane: Time for you to talk. You were early on the Performer wagon, but I know you to bus early and often so I'm worried about you (as I will probably be all game till you are cleared somehow if ever). That said, I'm still alive today AFTER pushing the Performer wagon to lynch (yeah, I'm taking credit) and I think scum you would likely target me for that. It's not strong, but strong enough for me atm. Anyway, talk.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 726, Kthxbye wrote:Firebringer (4): HerryPanther, pisskop, Reasonably Rational
HerryPanther (1): TheWayItEnds
LicketyQuickety (1):Performer
Performer(11): Heartless, BotLane, Cephrir,Kthxbye, Spiffeh,Maxous, Vedith, PeregrineV, MattP, MonkeyMan576,ika
Reasonably Rational (2): davesaz, Firebringer
Not voting (2): Teridax, LicketyQuickety
Botlane (1):Teridax
Teridax (5):MattP,Cephrir,Vedith,pisskop,Kthxbye
Vedith (3):Heartless,Spiffeh,LicketyQuickety,Firebringer
Not voting (8):BotLane,davesaz,HerryPanther,MonkeyMan576,PeregrineV,Reasonably Rational,TheWayItEnds
Green: Current hard town reads
Blue: Those who voted to lynch scum yesterday
Orange: Those who didnotvote scum yesterday
Dark Orange: Those who ended on the counter wagon to scum yesterday
Yeah, I still like the Teridax wagon more.
When I has more time, I'm going to look at each vote on the Performer wagon and judge if they sound town or scum and go from there.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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Yeah...sorry....but even if I don't agree with much of what RR says, his posting today gives me very much a case of the town vibes.
UNVOTE:
I don't see Ved as scum and I have too many town vibes from RR now to vote him.
Sigh...more to come when not phone posting.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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I'm good with the aforementioned town block and will be voting with it. D2 and still too much theory arguing and not enough case pushing. Very annoying to read. Also, I still haven't had time to look at those on the D1 scum lynch to see who might have been bussing if anyone.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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I updated my town reads from D1's wagon.Note: If there are 2 scum teams, these reads will change. Other than 2 kills last night, no proof so pressing with the idea there is one team and some 3rd party.
Scum wagoners:
Heartless: Definetely NOT mafia with performer. No question here. Prolly be dead soon
BotLane: I WANT to believe they aren't mafia. I really do. Those 2 make me paranoid though due to history. I have them leaning town enough to make them green according to D1's wagon. I don't see a bus there.
Cephrir: I lean town here due to his Dr Cox gif post and his jump onto scum when BPC was leading wagon gaining speed.
Spffeh: Leaning town slightly due to the genuine feel of his posts in general. Not enough to turn him green, but enough to not want to pursue him anytime soon. I like his jump to performer and the "lol" at performers claim. I don't however like his posts very much.
Vedith: Slight town read. Not really due to anything Vedith did, but b/c of performers obv buddying toward Vedith in p224. His reasoning for his vote sound original and legit though.
PV: I could easily see this as a bus vote. Doesn't mention anything about Performers play, just jumps onto the wagon with a weak excuse for unvoting Firebringer (formerly BPC). If there was a bus on Performer, here's one place I'd look.
MattP: Obv town through both days. My town read here is even stronger than my Heartless town read. He'll prolly be dead soon
MM: Shit posting, shit posting and more shit posting. I'd actually look here first when looking for a bus vote, then PV.
I think there has to be at least 1 scum here: HerryPanther, pisskop, Reasonably Rational
I think there has to be at least 1 scum here: TWIE, davesaz, Teridax, LQ
I think Firebringer has a few days of reprieve for being the counter wagon to scum. Could be a scum PR which I would look into if both PV and MM are scum bus votes, but not going to pursue anytime soon.
I'm pretty good voting pisskop or RR today due to the above. Leaning away from HP due to Performers slight buddying and interactions with them. HP's posting IS shit though.
NOW, lets look at current VCA with the above reads:
...no brainer here.
VOTE: RRIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 1412, Firebringer wrote:54-Too many people agreeing on RR, maybe I am wrong on this….Also a lot of fluff.
Yes, but look at WHO is doing the agreeing.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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21 fucking pages of nothing....ho-ly-shit.
Seriously, the entirety of 21 pages was a shit ton of noise so what, we could get a BP claim and unvote it? Seriously?! I will tell you one thing and that's if I was on a scum team headed for a second consecutive loss of member, I'd come up with the most crazy fake claim I could and gamble. A BP claim after a flipped scum claimed back-up BP fits that bill nicely. Add in all 21 pages of stupid asinine noise ending up with an almost disbanding of a good and justified wagon and I honestly don't know what to say.
I'll guess I try this. Those who are now doubting their vote on RR the claimed BP, ask yourselves this right now. Is his town the rest of the game no matter what or is he scum? You either put in your mind that RR is confirmed town and will never be lynched, or you lynch him today to find the truth. If he's town BP, he'll not be targeted by scum as they are already behind and if you have any doubts, you'll be dumb as a box of rocks to vote someone else to a claim today only to doubt your decision tomorrow should that person flip town and then we are right back to where we were 21 pages ago. If RR is scum, guess what, all the noise the past 21 pages leads to the rest of the team I'm betting.
Not moving my vote. That claim was as weak as Performers. It only looks town because it's so crazy it just might work which I'd put money on being the scums plan here. BP is a scum's go to claim as anything more powerful and people wonder why they aren't being killed at night and anything weaker, still gets them lynched.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 632, Reasonably Rational wrote:That was a pretty awful claim.While you're busy being bored in the dead thread, you should re-consider what I said about gut. If you play mafia based upon "gut" that you can't back up with something substantive, you are essentially playing a game based upon your bowels as they randomly digest food and produce feces. I mean ... you can disagree all you want, but if "gut feeling" has any meaning, it can only be one of two things, rationally:
1.) You are picking up on a situation being similar enough to a prior bad situation that your brain tells various glands to start releasing chemicals into your system as part of the fight or flight response. That's useless "gut feeling" in mafia because what happened in previous games and the situations therein can have no actual direct effect or impact upon whatever the current game is. Any similarity is coincidental and responding to that sort of gut feeling is essentially responding to pure chance. You might as well just flip a coin; you'll be just as successful.
2.) The other thing that "gut feeling" can be is your brain recognizing something that you aren't fully consciously aware of. When this happens, then you have something useful. Put in a little time and you can generally find out what was giving you that "gut feeling" and then voila, you have something substantive you can use to convince people you found scum other than the absurdly useless "my bowels say so".
Also, I have a personal boner for Cephrir. First person with join date older than a year on this site that I've met who actually realizes that VCA is a pile of shit and completely worthless.
I'm kind of morbidly curious about this flip. I don't think I've seen a wagon with less resistance ever ... not even a day one wagon. That inactivity and, to use the parlance, "Dat claim tho", are certainly bad but it's like someone greased him up and sent him down the chute or something. No resistance whatsoever. I've noticed that such things are usually bad.
Prediction: The claim seems like a lie. Probably scum.
Reaction: Irritated at Ika for quick hammering, but even if he's wrong, at least we'll be out of day one. Hooray!?
@PV - Before you see the flip: You really going to push ika if performer is scum?
With Love,
Drixx
So this is RR's posts after performer's claim. I personally don't think it reads, 'My role is that of BP and this guy is claiming to be my backup and I think he's full of shit', which is what I'd expect out of a town BP. It reads as though he just doesn't believe the claim and that is the end of it. I dunno. Things like the bolded 'seem' town but at the same time, are easy to fake. Then again, things like the underlined look like preping for the night.
@RR: Care to try and show us where in the quoted post you are thinking performer is full of itin relationto you being BP?If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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UNVOTE:
So the greased wagon that was Perfection was a success, but that doesn't mean RR is going to turn out the same way.
Call me silly, call me gullible, but RR sounds townish in his posting while being the leading wagon and/or probable lynch today....so much so that I just don't feel right about him being the lynch for today. It isn't sitting right. I get all the reasons for his lynch, I just can't get behind it. I just can't. I'm drunk, it's Halloween and this lynch seems wrong to me.
On another note:
VOTE: MM
Fuck this waste of space. I'd rather play with scum RR posting townish than this waste of slot. Wagon up.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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Unofficial VC:
As promised:
In post 2087, Reasonably Rational wrote:Kthxbye: I love you because even though you don't have much content, you give me actual things to read. You said this "I think there has to be at least 1 scum here: HerryPanther, pisskop, Reasonably Rational
I think there has to be at least 1 scum here: TWIE, davesaz, Teridax, LQ"
Can you explain what lead to the separation of those two lists? Why isn't it just I think there's 2 scum is this larger group, instead of the exclusiveness. I assume there's a reason. Share please.
The first group were the 3 on Firebringer who, regardless if anyone else thinks so or not, was the only wagon option other than performer (counter wagon) that was really being pushed yesterday. I think if Firebringer is town, there is prolly 1 scum there just based on VCA. It doesn't confirm FB as town, but good enough for today to assume he is. The second group are those not voting either wagon (minus FB). It's my opinion based on VCA and experience that there is likely 1 or more in this group who avoided voting either lead wagon in hopes of going under the VCA radar. I would guess the remaining scum bussed and I personally think MM is one of the bussers. His hop onto the scum lynch was late and weak. The only worry I have is that it's almost TOO perfect a bus vote. Hopefully we'll see.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 2114, MattP wrote:In post 2111, Spiffeh wrote:I reeeeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaaally don't like this MM lynch.
Not that I've read anything in awhile
I mean this is what I would imagine scum would say before a mislynch to get credit but whatever
I can see that....but damn it all if MM isn't just dead weight. His wagon is even easier than performers though. /shrug. Whatever you wanna do Matt and HeartlessIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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He's not posting cus he's scum silly, and he's smart enough to not give anything away and less jerky than Performer.
2 for 2 folks. Not bad. Here's me when MM flips scum:
p.edit: It's okay Matt, he'd have given complete bullshit anyway (IF he even came back to the thread to begin with...)If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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When MM flips scum, Spiffeh is town. I honestly think he was trying to get MM to "twilight" admit his scum role. Hell, even IF MM flips town, I still believe it was an honest ploy from Spiffeh. Welcome to my solid town reads list Spiff.
^That's me, heartless and Matt....and now Spiff.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 2198, Spiffeh wrote:In post 2194, Kthxbye wrote:When MM flips scum, Spiffeh is town. I honestly think he was trying to get MM to "twilight" admit his scum role. Hell, even IF MM flips town, I still believe it was an honest ploy from Spiffeh. Welcome to my solid town reads list Spiff.
^That's me, heartless and Matt....and now Spiff.
Can I replace Matt? He won't want me in
Nobody can replace Matt for me....but I'm sure he'll come around...no worriesIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 2261, Heartless wrote:if monkeyman ends up being town i'm going to shove a boxful of brillo pads up my ass and then take a fistful of laxatives
then i'm going to send strangercoug my er bill.
I feel the sentiment....honestly though....if MM were town and missed RR's claim it's not on SC....it's on MM being a worthless townie. I really don't see that happening though. I think this is scum MM being obtuse and making us sweat a little before his scum flip....then tomorrow, after RR doesn't die (duh), we get to try and figure out if RR is MMs buddy somehow or if RR is legit and blah blah blah. I see the scum fun in that.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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In post 2265, davesaz wrote:Reminder that even if MM were rolecop (regardless of alignment) and confirmed RR as BP, that doesn't mean anything for RR's alignment.
No reason MM can't be scum rolecop trying to muddy the waters. And in fact if he's scum rolecop and scum don't have daychat this would be the only way to confirm it for them.
this is a town post ftrIf you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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I'm very much not a fan of Ank being scum this game.
TheONLYway Ank is scum isIF: Scum most definitely don't have daychatANDthey didn't talk about how to fake claim pre-game and didn't talk about it N1.
Ank and d3x (now just Ank) are tooooo smart and leader-y in MS to letTWOof their scum mates get lynched like that and claim like that. No friends, the more I think about it, the more I don't like the speed of votes/wanna-be-votes on Ank when compared to the scum who have claimed/flipped and how awful their claims/play were. Scum!Ank would not have let them play so poorly.
In post 2362, davesaz wrote:
Umm, wasn't I among the first to peg MonkeyMan as scum? Yeah, I should have put my vote where that suspicion led me. RL interfered, something I'd rather not got into in depth.
I'm still thinking RR fits the SK profile. If the 2nd vote is a vig and not a SK then a claim will be needed at some point. In the meantime, the folks who are assuming it is a vig get weak scumreads.
Agree with a Botlane scum read.
Is it just me or was this post just so very much full of ewwww?If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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@MOD: I think d3x has dropped out completely so Ank is Botlane which makes the VC:
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To be honest all, I'm kinda okay lynching anyone from the following:
HP, TWIE, Vedith (assuming we tell him who to hit), pisskop, dave, LQ, FB
I don't hold high hopes for a perfect game here and none of the above give me anything near strong town vibes. If you throw VCA into the mix:
D1
D2
Cephrir and Spiffeh were on both scum lynch wagons so I make them green. If only one of them were to be bussing scum, it'd be Spiffeh's votes that are in the position of bussing.
Take the greens and thow them into today's VC:
Now, with Ank....I don't like him as scum. D1 could have easily went a different way and they were waaay early on the wagon. Vedith is going to get a pass from me today as his role is either going to be proven tonight by scared scum or tomorrow if I have my say. That makes D1 likely all town except flipped MM.
@Heartless and Spiffeh: Come on over to the dave wagon for consolidation. It's town block time. I'd say Ank and Vedith come as well, but no need for a quick hammer.If you think I'm scum D1, bet all your money I'm town.-
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