Summer Waltz - [Game Over]


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Post Post #1725 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:00 pm

Post by I Am Innocent »

In post 1723, SirCakez wrote:And FakeGod's modding was great again.
Thanks for modding FakeGod!
This!!!!
Show
Town 21-21-1
Mafia 10-6

Replaced Out (Town) 1-5
Replaced Out (Mafia) 3-2 (incl hydra game with Nero where I flaked)

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Post Post #1726 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:00 pm

Post by Creature »

Kill 1-2 scum, form 1-2 lovers townblock, win.
Sigh
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Post Post #1727 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:00 pm

Post by FakeGod »

assuming scum managed to get to first dance without losing a member (13/16 chance of that happening by random chance), and assuming scum all paired with town but not the IC, we have 8 pairs, of which 1 is IC-town and 3 is scum-town.

IC-town gets shot during intermission, so town simply has to correctly identify one pair that is scum free, chance of that is 4/7.

The actual expected win rate is pretty close to 50%.
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Post Post #1728 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:01 pm

Post by Antihero »

it's not townsided

it's
not
townsided
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Post Post #1729 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:01 pm

Post by Creature »

Funny to watch (like cytheflyguy being a lady).
Sigh
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Post Post #1730 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:03 pm

Post by FakeGod »

when cy gives me green light to release scum PT I'll go ahead and do that
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Post Post #1731 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:06 pm

Post by Luna Fox »

In post 1727, FakeGod wrote:The actual expected win rate is pretty close to 50%.
But we do know that town usually plays worse than random chance.
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Post Post #1732 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:07 pm

Post by Nahdia »

anyway, had a lot of fun with this one. glad i decided to sign up. thanks for modding FakeGod.
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Post Post #1733 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:07 pm

Post by thenewearth »

Actually screw that

FG was right

every mafia game is scum sided
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Post Post #1734 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:07 pm

Post by DrippingGoofball »

In post 1672, SirCakez wrote:Once again Marquis nails the scum but is screwed by townies playing to the scum win con
LOL <3
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Post Post #1735 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:07 pm

Post by Map Wolf »

In post 1724, I Am Innocent wrote:
In post 1719, Map Wolf wrote:I think it is town sided because of the fact that town can solely "kill" off their partner if they suspect them of being scum. Town simply didn't have a good success rate at that this game.
Well done btw on ending dance 1 in record time. That ended up being huge.
It was really out of desperation, so it was insane it ended up paying off.
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Post Post #1736 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:08 pm

Post by Luna Fox »

Yeah i had a lot of fun too. Thanks for modding FG!
And sorry again.
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Post Post #1737 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:09 pm

Post by DrippingGoofball »

In post 1674, Luna Fox wrote:Sigh...
Sorry as i said in the Dead PT, when pie said she had reservations about DGB, and considering i was townreading that pair at the time i kinda saw flash in front of me an scenario of pie's pair vs mine at endgame and either me getting lynched or getting too paranoid of DGB and leaving, and i reacted impulsively.
I heavily apologize for this, but i dont suspect any of you are gonna forgive me like ever, i cant even forgive myself, and i cant really face any of you right now.
I love you

you're adorable

It's epic mistakes like this that make the game fun

HUGS
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Post Post #1738 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:11 pm

Post by Antihero »

In post 1733, thenewearth wrote:every mafia game is scum sided
the sad thing is that you're joking but it's not that much of an exaggeration
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Post Post #1739 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:11 pm

Post by DrippingGoofball »

In post 1703, Antihero wrote:
In post 1702, thenewearth wrote:
everyone
town is suicidal
... which would explain why scum win most of these, i think
Exactly... scum won't suicide.
Paraphrasing a role PM takes seconds, fabricating a good fakeclaim takes an eternity.

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Post Post #1740 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:13 pm

Post by DrippingGoofball »

In post 1727, FakeGod wrote:assuming scum managed to get to first dance without losing a member (13/16 chance of that happening by random chance), and assuming scum all paired with town but not the IC, we have 8 pairs, of which 1 is IC-town and 3 is scum-town.

IC-town gets shot during intermission, so town simply has to correctly identify one pair that is scum free, chance of that is 4/7.

The actual expected win rate is pretty close to 50%.
That's not counting the town's natural propensity to impulsively die for their ideas!
Paraphrasing a role PM takes seconds, fabricating a good fakeclaim takes an eternity.

"Metadiving DGB is like playing Roblox" - T3
"She's sort of like a quantum computer, her reads exist in multiple states at once. u have to take into account the other dimensions." - Morning Tweet
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Post Post #1741 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:14 pm

Post by DrippingGoofball »

In post 1730, FakeGod wrote:I will run this setup again soon
pre in!!!!!!
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Post Post #1742 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:14 pm

Post by Antihero »

In post 1740, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 1727, FakeGod wrote:assuming scum managed to get to first dance without losing a member (13/16 chance of that happening by random chance), and assuming scum all paired with town but not the IC, we have 8 pairs, of which 1 is IC-town and 3 is scum-town.

IC-town gets shot during intermission, so town simply has to correctly identify one pair that is scum free, chance of that is 4/7.

The actual expected win rate is pretty close to 50%.
That's not counting the town's natural propensity to impulsively die for their ideas!
EXACTLY

but... nonetheless we have everyone howling TOWNSIDED post game even though the data demonstrate that it's not
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Post Post #1743 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:14 pm

Post by pieguyn »

I'm sorry.

I'm sorry to both Cakez and farside for being so completely awful D1.

I'm sorry Marquis for being rude to you D1.

I'm sorry to _everyone_ for being awful D2 and stalling out the IAI lynch the whole fucking game and not thinking it through enough.

I'm sorry again to farside for breaking our promise.

this loss = 100% my fault, and I don't know what else to say so I'll just step back and let you all hate on me all you want. I completely deserve it.
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Post Post #1744 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:18 pm

Post by pieguyn »

I tried so hard D2 because I really just a;slkjfsdf if I couldn't make up how awful my D1 was. but, in the end, I was still just completely awful.

I'm sorry.
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Post Post #1745 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:19 pm

Post by Nahdia »

you're way too hard on yourself, girl.
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Post Post #1746 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:20 pm

Post by pirate mollie »

In post 1745, Nahdia wrote:you're way too hard on yourself, girl.
whew!
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Post Post #1747 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:21 pm

Post by Antihero »

if it makes you feel any better pie, no one will remember this in a couple weeks
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Post Post #1748 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:22 pm

Post by DrippingGoofball »

In post 1743, pieguyn wrote:I'm sorry.

I'm sorry to both Cakez and farside for being so completely awful D1.

I'm sorry Marquis for being rude to you D1.

I'm sorry to _everyone_ for being awful D2 and stalling out the IAI lynch the whole fucking game and not thinking it through enough.

I'm sorry again to farside for breaking our promise.

this loss = 100% my fault, and I don't know what else to say so I'll just step back and let you all hate on me all you want. I completely deserve it.
It's just a game! <3
Paraphrasing a role PM takes seconds, fabricating a good fakeclaim takes an eternity.

"Metadiving DGB is like playing Roblox" - T3
"She's sort of like a quantum computer, her reads exist in multiple states at once. u have to take into account the other dimensions." - Morning Tweet
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Post Post #1749 (ISO) » Sat Jul 23, 2016 1:23 pm

Post by pieguyn »

I really wanted to somehow make up how fucking horrible my D1 was. I don't think I've ever wanted to win so much in my life, and I feel like crap that I couldn't make it up to all of you by making the correct play at the end.
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