Second Thoughts Mafia [SCUM WIN]

Post Post #7 (isolation #0) » Fri May 28, 2021 5:21 am

/in if this starts after XX:00

Post Post #16 (isolation #1) » Fri May 28, 2021 5:57 am

You might have to pm me; idr my privacy settings on Discord

Post Post #21 (isolation #2) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:05 am

yeah actually my oreference is site chat

Post Post #32 (isolation #3) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:10 am

Post Post #41 (isolation #4) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:11 am

optimal play is to never switch I think

Post Post #46 (isolation #5) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:12 am

If we do mafia, then switching means we always lose.
If we do town, well we lose if we don't switch, but we aren't guaranteed to be right even if we switch.

Post Post #57 (isolation #6) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:14 am

Like it's 3/5 to select town first and 2/5 to select mafia first.

If we select mafia, they always pick a townie.
If we select town, they have a 2/4 chance of picking scum.

So if we always switch, then we have a 3/5 * 2/4 ~ 3/10 chance of winning.
If we never switch, we have a 2/5 ~ 4/10 chance of winning.

Post Post #63 (isolation #7) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:15 am

VOTE: pooky

Post Post #71 (isolation #8) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:16 am

Vote yourself Pooky

Post Post #77 (isolation #9) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:17 am

No it was an attempted hammer, full stop

Post Post #79 (isolation #10) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:17 am

I was gonna vote Pooky anyway.

Post Post #88 (isolation #11) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:18 am

Nominate OkaPoka

Post Post #93 (isolation #12) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:19 am

peta and bingle are the other townies

Post Post #96 (isolation #13) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:19 am

VOTE: Oka

Post Post #102 (isolation #14) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:20 am

In post 95, petapan wrote:
In post 79, Ircher wrote:I was gonna vote Pooky anyway.
ok why

His first post was scum claim.

Post Post #106 (isolation #15) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:21 am

Cuz Oka's the other scum so I wanted to surprise y'all.

Post Post #111 (isolation #16) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:22 am

The odds I think change if the mod ends the game if it is unwinnable.

Post Post #119 (isolation #17) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:24 am

*cues Jeopardy music*

Post Post #127 (isolation #18) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:25 am

I am somewhat shocked you think I'd pick petapan here at all.

Post Post #129 (isolation #19) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:26 am

it's oka and pooky

Post Post #149 (isolation #20) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:28 am

I think it's a cool setup. Seems a bit scum sided though.

Post Post #151 (isolation #21) » Fri May 28, 2021 6:28 am

You had me fooled Bingle, but gg everyone.