The 2016 General Election Guessem

[zoraster]

It's time to make some guesses to see who the best prognosticator is!

FILL OUT THE FORM HERE

Deadline: 1pm EST on November 8th

Can I submit more than once?

Yup! But only your most recent one will count.

What do I win?

The satisfaction of besting me.

How about some resources for Guessing?

Real Clear Politics Election Map
538
The Upshot (New York Times)
Princeton Election Consortium
Cook Political Report

How about some for following along with results?

This will be updated once results start coming in.

[Maestro]

Done. My bold prediction isn't too bold, but I like it.

[KuroiXHF]

The satisfaction of besting me.

Uhm...

[zoraster]

What? Is that not sufficient prize?

[KuroiXHF]

What? Is that not sufficient prize?

I mean. I don't normally swing that way, but what the hell.

[KuroiXHF]

Is there any reason this doesn't ask the overall winner of the election?

[Maestro]

Shouldn't that be a direct conclusion from the states you pick for each candidate?

[KuroiXHF]

Shouldn't that be a direct conclusion from the states you pick for each candidate?

Not necessarily, because it only asks about battleground states.

[AxleGreaser]

I cant deal with reality so I just picked what I wanted to be true.

[SleepyKrew]

I must avenge myself

[zoraster]

KK and Maestro: I'm pretty sure you want to resubmit with a better tiebreaker answer. It's total seats controlled by Democrats in the House. 69 and 8 aren't answers likely to happen. Something in the 125-275 range is probably what you're looking for.

[Maestro]

KK and Maestro: I'm pretty sure you want to resubmit with a better tiebreaker answer. It's total seats controlled by Democrats in the House. 69 and 8 aren't answers likely to happen. Something in the 125-275 range is probably what you're looking for.

Pssst. I didn't really care about that one and was being humorous. I may resubmit at a later date after looking up some of these numbers - in

many

some cases I just did what Axle did and picked based on my desired outcome.

[AxleGreaser]

yeah i also didnt go full what I want. Tempered a bit with a look at

reality

polls.
But Id love to be wrong and get more than i picked.

[CooLDoG]

I have pretty standard predictions with all the really close states going to trump. My bold prediction is nice, and I think it will actually come true. I doubt any of the dark horse predictions will come even close to coming true though.

[pickemgenius]

I have some wagers on a few states so let's just hope those come true and whatnot.

[zoraster]

Currently we have 22 entries. Assuming no weirdness with the darkhorses, 20 think Clinton will win, 2 think Trump will win. None believe it will go to the House.

[chamber]

KK and Maestro: I'm pretty sure you want to resubmit with a better tiebreaker answer. It's total seats controlled by Democrats in the House. 69 and 8 aren't answers likely to happen. Something in the 125-275 range is probably what you're looking for.

I have bad reading comprehension and thought I was stating the number of republican seats, whoops. I'll just go with it though, why not.

[Randomnamechange]

I answered randomly so I could come down on either side

[CooLDoG]

trump is not going to win. I don't think it is mathematically possible.

[SleepyKrew]

wait a second there's a fatal flaw I can't predict gary johnson to win anything!

[Iprobablysuck]

Who the hell can predict state senates without living in that state lol

[Allomancer]

add gary and I'll play

[TwiszTed]

add gary and I'll play

Aren't you adorable?

[TwiszTed]

Also, idk who that Mastro chick is, but Masto is likely to take Nevada.

[zoraster]

Who the hell can predict state senates without living in that state lol

Living in a state isn't helpful. There are state level senate polls.