VOTE: Ank
I'm pretty sure our PT isn't a masonry.
Micro 867: Pick your Partner - Game Over
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I dunno, he's lynched a buncha town in my games with him. Like 6 alone in FotM, not to mention the D1 lynch in that super broken normal we trashed and the dual BoP losses.In post 21, Firebringer wrote:i don't know how many games he won this year, he is apparently on a long streak of scum lynches in games though
:shrug:
Maybe you're not looking at a cherry picked enough sample to make him look like a bad player.This is a Parachute.-
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This was a terrible idea btw. Was super hoping to roll scum, so I didn't say anything, but RC should have been approximately 0 people's picks.
This is a Parachute.-
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Oh, the reason I wanted the distribution secret:
If town, you have no incentive to claim your pick because you're not scumpaired.
If mason, you have incentive not to claim your pick because you don't want scum to mason hunt.
If scum, you now have to guess what people would pick as their partner.This is a Parachute.-
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That sounds like something an RC would say.In post 45, RadiantCowbells wrote:seems like a terrible way to play the game.This is a Parachute.-
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It was a coinflip between you and FB for me, tbh. I know I can play well with both of you, both of you are good but not BoP paranoia lynch scary, and I know we could have fun wrecking fayce.In post 44, Ankamius wrote:I wanted Firebringer as my partner because we could just shitpost our way to victory as either pairing
Also, in the infallible words of the great Ice T: "Talk shit, get shot."This is a Parachute.-
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I'd prefer you do something useful.In post 48, Voted wrote:I can count probabilities of people recieving scum. Do you want me to count myself as town or as unknown?This is a Parachute.-
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Actually, I want to hear about this.In post 45, RadiantCowbells wrote:seems like a terrible way to play the game.
Do you actually think that town you with the highest probability of being a mason makes it to D3 in any universe?This is a Parachute.-
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U wanna fite bout it?In post 58, Firebringer wrote:how dare u insinuate that we get along sir.This is a Parachute.-
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You claimed parity cop with a n0 same result on me and ank. Confirm your role pls.In post 69, Prince of Renais wrote:supThis is a Parachute.-
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Players who have done sufficient amounts of things:In post 0, singletonking wrote:Firebringer
RadiantCowbells
Ankamius
Yahmose
TTTT
Jingle
Miss Kobayashi Maru
Skygazer
Voted
Firebringer
Ankamius
Jingle
Players who should have done sufficient amounts of things:
RadiantCowbells
Ankamius
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Players who I would be fine lynching today:
Yahmose
TTTT
Miss Kobayashi Maru
Skygazer
VotedThis is a Parachute.-
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IF we numbers lynch today, we also masonclaim today. I would rather do 0 of those things.In post 85, Voted wrote:Yahmose and Prince of Renais had both 42% chance to draw scum. I really can't make reads so early on.This is a Parachute.-
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It's actually wrong, and obviously so at a glance, fwiw.In post 88, Miss Kobayashi Maru wrote:42% strikes me as higher than it should be
Not that I think math's a great approach to be taking rnThis is a Parachute.-
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what d'you mean expecting you to be a force? I just expect you to have a thread presence. Which you do.In post 89, Ankamius wrote:lol@expecting me to be a force d1This is a Parachute.-
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Liar, no one studies in college.In post 103, Firebringer wrote:I can interpret cat language. I studied for 2 years in college.This is a Parachute.-
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Not taking into account that the math is flawed based on Mason/Mafia overlap, the assumptions that you, me and Ank are all town can be made by exactly 0 people in this thread.
Probability of a single player being scum is P(S&!M). Probability of a team being scum is P(S1)&P(S2)&P(!M1)&(!M2), where P(S&M) is removed from the possible results.This is a Parachute.-
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Or a mason claim.In post 118, Ankamius wrote:the probabilities only matter when we already have a scumflip btwThis is a Parachute.-
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Fuck no. It's meaningless and the numbers in the original distributions chart give us a good enough idea anyway. Also, the %chance a player is scum == the %chance a player is mason, which is a REALLY bad way to scumhunt.In post 123, Firebringer wrote:Do the probablities for me Jingle.
I do Tax work, I don't do probability work.This is a Parachute.-
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Nah, just means scum can't be masons, but it is a funny sentence that makes me giggle.In post 125, Firebringer wrote:does that mean scum can't exist!?!?This is a Parachute.-
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Get on my level, I have 9/4 of them pegged.
This is a Parachute.-
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I mean... or he wants scum to think that he's joking so that they don't kill me. Or he wants scum to think that he wants scum to think that he's joking so they do kill me. Or he wants scum to think that he wants scum to think that he wants to think that scum are killing the joke so that I die.This is a Parachute.-
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ur reelly bad at it.In post 202, Firebringer wrote:Well I am trying to obvscum but u just won't accept me as obvscum.
Also, we need 5 obvtown to win. We only need two obvscum to win.
This is a Parachute.-
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What?In post 221, Prince of Renais wrote:if my tentative math is correct, that wouldn't actually change the ev.
Having 3 scum players wouldn't change the EV?This is a Parachute.-
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I mean... That means scum only needs 2 mislynches. And also would be an awful setup.In post 228, Prince of Renais wrote:3 scum players and 3 masonsThis is a Parachute.-
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I can't believe PR latched onto this setup discussion bit as opposed to actually discussing the game AND managed to miss the central conceit of the post.
The idea, PR, was that if I had sent SK two names instead of one, I would have a chance to be partnered with both of those people instead of just one, with the rest of the setup static.This is a Parachute.-
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There's a very good chance that it's NAI, actually, based on [reasons].In post 303, Miss Kobayashi Maru wrote:I just wanna say that the real Ephraim would never lurk until Day 3
Still makes me uncomfortable, but :shrug:This is a Parachute.-
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It wasn't a threat to policy lynch you? It was a declaration of intent to do the mechanically optimal thing in this setup. If you make it to D3 and don't mason claim, you're almost certainly scum. That would still be true, if to a lesser extent, if you weren't Raybells in the first place, but :shrug:In post 308, Prince of Renais wrote:I needed a healthier way to deal with people threatening to policy lynch me
now I just switch to an alt and shitpost
I'm not apologizing for not being an idiot. And honestly I don't believe that your response of "Jingle's trying to PL me" is reasonable given that about 1/3 of my (admittedly terrible) play in FotM was defending you despite you being an excellent candidate for a BoP lynch.This is a Parachute.-
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In post 316, Prince of Renais wrote:basically
if you're going to threaten to hold me hostage and lynch me at a certain point because i should have died or solved the game by then
then i'm simply not going to solve the game at allIn post 1839, RadiantCowbells wrote:ok
let's let ruirui and jingle lead the lynches in the non-copped player pool
davesaz/inferno/fumuki/tmck
if they don't hit scum over the next 2 days we lynch them in lylo
The amount of sympathy I have for that position is < 0.In post 5, singletonking wrote:RadiantCowbells 20This is a Parachute.
