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Post #18 (isolation #4) » Wed Mar 11, 2020 3:03 pm
Postby clidd »
My theory is that he sought to balance the scum alignment by adding a player, theoretically, more experienced with an intermediate / weak player.
So Ame immediately came to mind. I was in a scum game of Hectic (which he won), where only Ame had an SR on him, while the rest of the players had him as a TR. I believe that this event changed Hectic's perspective on Ame and, as a result, selected her to be a scum in this game. Part of it was balancing, because he knows she is good, and the other part is curiosity, because he never saw scum!Ame before.
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Post #35 (isolation #13) » Wed Mar 11, 2020 3:58 pm
Postby clidd »
Actually, no
My theory is based on the premise that you are scum due to balance and it seems that I am correct in that. You waited for me to totally disregard the theory in order to attack me, without giving a previous explanation.
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Post #40 (isolation #16) » Wed Mar 11, 2020 4:16 pm
Postby clidd »
I can see that reasoning coming from town! Ame and scum!Ame, but you're completely wrong about me. It seemed to me very biased the way you positioned yourself when I admitted that my theory was out of context.
For a moment, I considered that I had caught you, especially for the overreaction, so I sent the gif. It doesn’t make sense for the scum!Clidd scenario to attract so much attention with a theory that could be proved wrong later, and the fact that you pulled that out directly, without considering the possibility that it was a genuine mistake, is a main factor that I rate as indicative scum.
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Post #42 (isolation #18) » Wed Mar 11, 2020 4:25 pm
Postby clidd »
The fact that you suggested Kanna as partner says unconsciously that the reasoning you thought is something that came from your own experience, that is,
My hood is the town hood. Whoever is town in the other should selfvote.
???
This makes me want to self vote
And looking back at it, I find it very strange that Dsj did not question me.
He ignored the entire progression of the discussion and selected that post, out of context. Town!Dsj was very inquisitive during the lylo against Hectic, and it seems that this feature has been erased here.
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Post #90 (isolation #38) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 3:25 am
Postby clidd »
The partner could further strengthen the push on me by pressing a self-vote more quickly.
Which means:
Ame + Chemist> unlikely, as Chemist was online and did not interfere.
Ame + Dsj> unlikely, as his first post would not make sense to question his own partner (75)
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Post #110 (isolation #41) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 9:46 am
Postby clidd »
In post 96, Ame wrote:I think the hoods can be useful because it provides mafia an additional way to operate, which means an additional opportunity for catching them. Dsj has been scummy in mine.
And you tried to pocket me by agreeing with a clidd-kanna team
Also chem has completely stayed out of it
Unless either of you can convince me otherwise within the next dozen posts I'm going to make like Voltorb and self destruct
There's rocks are tripping me out maaan
12
I've been thinking about Datisi + Kanna, but with Kanna AFK and Datisi showing a genuine questioning attitude, it is very unlikely that both are scums. By PoE, Chemist + Dsj is the most likely pair.
Partly due to the Dsj's impartial pov, which has biased characteristics, and partly due to the lack of expressive Chemist engagement. Unless there is a hidden theater between Ame and Dsj.
In post 183, Ame wrote:Well there is the potential that Datisi dramatically altered his meta for the sake of contrast.
4
What do you think of this Clidd.
In post 186, Datisi wrote:I had a very similar thought wrt Kanna being scum this game. Either I'm right, and you self-vote to a win, you don't self vote because you're scum with her at which point you're outed, or my hood is scum in which case I trust you to figure it out.
For what reason do you place this trust? Especially considering there has not been enough content to read you with precision.
Furthermore, why are you not considering the possibility that I am scum with Chemist?
Scum win this game by pushing a player of the opposing neighborhood as they need one of the members there to self vote. dsj and I both should have taken this as a town tell on each other in the previous game (the fact that we were pushing each other, members of the same hood).
The fact that you and Clidd are both pushing for a Kanna lynch so early is suspicious. And it looks like Clidd is goading the other members of my hood to do the vote if I don't follow through.
Play to Ame's read on Kanna and play to Kanna's and Chem's paranoia on Ame's countdown.
2
183--> Possible, but Kanna is scummier. I only need to know 1 scum in a hood to know that it is scum sided.
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Post #200 (isolation #53) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:17 pm
Postby clidd »
Ame, listen:
im town, Kanna acted scummy and your read was identical to my read on her, so it was not malicious reasoning at all.
The fact that Datisi was acting extremely different confused me, so I thought he was town. Now I see that I am wrong, but I am STILL
TOWN
. It was also weird your insistence on such mechanic of selfvote for time, so it was not my fault the lack of precision in my reads in this game.
I always do my best based on the available impressions and you know it. You three MIGHT pick me, I am the only town in thiS hood and I acted entirely with a good intention to solve the game.
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Post #203 (isolation #54) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:42 pm
Postby clidd »
I am aware that I have damaged your view of me, but try to understand what I'm saying. Datisi and I were partners in the previous round and I noticed the way he plays. I also considered that it would change if he flip scum again, BUT NOT the way it was executed. Do you not agree with me that it would be extremely suspect if he changed radically ? he basically did not take the same questioning instance, nor did he act the same way in the chat on our hood. How could that not be suspicious? The action itself is very obvious and easy to recognize, so I considered it unlikely to occur in this game, especially because of the courage he had in the opening posts. His mentality, at no time, pointed to bias and that was why I had considered him town.
What I'm saying about your method is that you didn't worry about the fact that it didn't work in the last round, which seemed unrealistic for the town!Ame that I'm used to see. You simply repeated the same line of reasoning, with the reactions, without reflecting on past events and improving it. I know you added a slightly different mechanic, but it is still strange that you adopt this behavior WITHOUT a previous reflection.
In post 203, clidd wrote:Do you not agree with me that it would be extremely suspect if he changed radically ?
Correct, I don't agree with this. I don't see how it would be suspicious to play differently than you did as scum. This is backwards reasoning to me. That being said, I'm not doing anything until we hear from dsj. I think there a high probability that Datisi is leaving you out to dry here just waiting for us to vote dsj.
Additionally I town lean you more than not, but I am weary of your reasoning here.
This is NOT a backwards reasoning, I'm being completely logical here, If I see a player playing completely differently than he was as scum, I will always be inclined to think that this is his meta!town, it makes no sense for me to assimilate that he necessarily flips as scum
twice in a row
and is completely changing the way he plays, even looking like another player, to make it difficult for us to read him. If it were Hectic, I would even agree, but Datisi's own profile does not suggest it. I had no way of guessing that such a small chance would occur right now. My reasoning was perfectly in line with the information likely and available for evaluation. It is a fallacy to say that I was acting in bad faith to pull a random self-vote with ''false'' reads.
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Post #216 (isolation #59) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 12:36 am
Postby clidd »
In post 212, Kanna wrote:@Clidd; How was my intro so scummy that you had to have me as lockscum though? Also the previous round wasn't even my town meta, it was just me saying I'll come back later cause I was busy.
Team is Clidd/Datisi again, let's go guys
1. Your activity
2. Overreaction
3. Timing
4. Lamist
5. Lack of post-suspicion engagement
This with the fact that I thought it was unlikely that Datisi would be scum again, so I was sure my hood was entire town. I even tried to discuss this theory with them, but both were so receptive that I made the mistake of not doubting the lack of paranoia in our hood. They simulated a progression from "
Why do you think that?"
to
"we fully agree"
in a short period of time. I have proof of that, but I intend to paraphrasing it as soon as I get home.