Micro 623: Dem Tryouts 2 [GAME OVER]
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RachMarie- ongoing, can't discuss
DoctorPepper- never played with
The_Jester- played with as town in a portion of my first newbie game, no strong feelings
Korts- never played with
pistachi0n- played with twice, once as each alignment, somewhat uninvolved as town but I caught her when she was scum (though I got lynched and she ended up living to endgame )
drmyshottyizsik- played with twice, once as each alignment, also modded a game where he was scum, abrasive and hard to reason with, particularly as scum. Lynchbait as either alignment.-
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@mod: shotty will need to be replaced due to a tempban.
Why shouldn't I? This setup is so wildly different for the scum and for the town, I think it's much easier to find tells.In post 51, RachMarie wrote:How can you have a tell for a setup as swingy as this?
I think we shouldn't lynch unless we're very confident. I personally won't support a lynch unless I think I have the game solved. However I do think achieving those things D1 is feasible.In post 56, The_Jester wrote:@Smart, what do you think about NL D1? My thinking is: no townie can die tonight so we could wait one night and hopefully start D2 with potentially 2 mafia members dead. And even if they roleblock each other (doubtful) or decide on no kill (also doubtful) we'd just have a prolonged D1 to think of the strategy. Of course, it's early to debate on end of the day strats but it's not like the discussion's on fire anyway.
I will say that I already have one strong scumread, and two of my reads since my last post are actually starting to reverse.-
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*herIn post 103, The_Jester wrote:Ask him a question then. Provoke him to answer. If I say "I'd like ice-cream", it won't make it materialise out of nowhere.
Okay. @pistachi0n do you have any strong reads?
Theoretically, all games could be solved on day 1 by perfect scumhunting. For most setups it's really hard (although it has happened) but for reasons I explained before, getting reads is easier in this setup than in most.In post 105, SloppyJoe wrote:@Something_Smart How can you be sure this game can be solved on day 1?-
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I kinda want to hear your thoughts on the setup though.In post 110, pistachi0n wrote:
Scumread on Sloppy Joe.In post 109, Something_Smart wrote:Okay. @pistachi0n do you have any strong reads?
VOTE: sloppy joe
also, I'm bored with the theory talk. I'm voting to lynch someone today.-
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Okay. So here's what I've got.
First of all, I noticed that townies and scum are playing a different game here. Whereas scum are playing sort of a normal game of mafia (hunting 2 scum out of 5 players), town are playing something like Jungle of Bullshit; the majority of other players are scum, and we need to find those two precious townies out of six. However, as has been said before, the scum need to find the other scumteam and that's more important than identifying townies.
So here's my tell: players who play this like a standard mafia game and focus primarily on identifying scum (rather than identifying town) are most likely scum themselves, whereas players who express confusion at the setup and try harder to find townies are more likely to be town.
With that in mind, here are my reads:
Towniest
The_Jester: This townread comes both from my tell and from the feel I get from his posts, which is kind of an invulnerable feel; he's not afraid to post what he thinks and post a lot, which is a towntell that carries over from a standard mafia game, amplified by the fact that scum are more afraid of dying at night than town. As for my tell, The_Jester is not needlessly throwing out reads, but is asking questions and trying to figure out what the heck is going on.
RachMarie: The second town is a tossup right now between pistachi0n and RachMarie, with a chance for SloppyJoe as well. RachMarie does seem to be showing the town side of the tell in 130, but what she says is so blunt that it could be her forcing herself into a different mindset, rather than that mindset just coming naturally. Her early posts (30 and 32) are similar; they do show a mindset but they are very obvious with that mindset, rather than it just being there and being the driving force behind her posts, that makes me less confident on her.
pistachi0n: I haven't heard enough from pistachi0n to make a solid read. That in itself slightly implies that she's town, but it could be that she's afraid of being killed (which scum are). She is searching for townreads (127) but also for scumreads (68, 110) so like RachMarie, I can't really lump her in either category.
SloppyJoe: Shotty made a fairly scummy entrance, voting a scumread without really thinking about the setup. At first glance I didn't like Joe's posting (his complete backtrack from 73 to 79, his weird teaming theory that sounds super scum motivated, and how he misread 1-shot BP as 1-shot vig), but given that he's new, I'll need to see more and he has made some good points. I liked how he pointed out that Jester is enjoying his role (and a cursory meta of a couple games confirms that Jester does enjoy town more), and his early townread of me seemed towny, and not just because it was right ( ).
Korts: The only thing that makes me nervous about these two reads is that they're both on people who haven't played in a while and are just coming back. But while Korts is so concerned with the numbers of the setup (showing he is aware of its strangeness), he doesn't seem to townhunt at all.
DoctorPepper: Similar to Korts. Immediately jumping to find scum but doesn't try to find town even after he is aware of the setup.
Scummiest-
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I have a feeling both SloppyJoe and Korts are right about each other.
As I said before, town and scum are seeing a vastly different picture here.In post 168, DoctorPepper wrote:I find it weird that expressing confusion over the setup is a town tell when it could easily be a dumb tell. Why does this make people town?
Town sees: 4 scum & 2 town in 6 unknowns
Scum sees: 2 scum & 3 town in 5 unknowns
So from the scum POV it's kinda like a regular mafia game, whereas from the town POV it's not like that at all. Ergo, confusion is town indicative.
Until that post, I hadn't revealed my reads, and I haven't decided who I want to lynch yet. I'm about as confident on Korts as I am on you.Second, im your primary scum read for looking for scum. Why am I not your vote, youre still on Korts.
Scum would be stupid to aim for town as long as the other scumteam exists.Third, townhunting just gives scum a nightkill target they can try to coordinate.
I do want to do that. Ideally, I want to tell each scumteam who to nightkill. I also want to townhunt to confirm my scumreads.Why not just hunt for scum now to get a scum lynch, and then get the scum to night kill each other.
Your posts don't seem to suggest that. This sounds like something you'd say to get me off your back.I believe in town hunting, I dont believe in revealing it now-
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I want to pick out all four scum, lynch one (ideally a goon), and direct the scum to kill in the other three. I don't know if they will or not, but this setup was designed to rely on crosskills and attempting to target scum seems optimal for the scum. Because town clearly cannot win without crosskills.In post 174, SloppyJoe wrote:
What do you mean by this?In post 173, Something_Smart wrote:Ideally, I want to tell each scumteam who to nightkill.-
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I never did explain that, and to be honest it's an instance of a thing that I do that I hate and I don't know why I keep doing.In post 180, Korts wrote:Something_Smart:
High activity, makes and freely shares mostly gut-based reads. I get where he's coming from with the scumtell, but it assumes a counterintuitive optimal play, and that both town and scum adhere to it. I know I don't. Nevertheless, he appears to be invested in the survival of the town.
His very first post is kind of weird to me, though:
I'm sure there's some kind of site jargon for this, but I'm at a loss to express why the second sentence makes me uneasy. I'm assuming he was implying a town read, but there he doesn't definitely say, not does he provide any justification. It's just a vague statement of conviction addressed directly at the target of his read.In post 13, Something_Smart wrote:Hi Jester do you remember me?
Also btw I'm pretty sure I know your alignment.
It's where I see the wording of one thing (usually) and become absolutely convinced that that is scum wording for a little while.
Example
Example
Example
Example (Shiro read)
Example
Example
So I saw that post and I thought because Jester had said to "scumhunt normally" that he was scum for not saying "townhunt". So excuse my idiocy.-
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Actually, I just remembered my other reason for making that post. Yes, I thought I had locked onto something, but it was also a reaction test, which Jester passed resoundingly. If I say that ("I know your alignment") to scum with a high degree of confidence (assuming they trust my high degree of confidence), then it would probably make them nervous, whereas it would make town confident.
I've been starting to try to work out teams (because that should help me find the other townie), but I'm trying to wrap my head around the likelihood of bussing.
On the surface, it seems suicidal. I hardbussed my partner in a Fire & Ice game and nearly won, however Fire & Ice gives the lone scum more time to even the numbers and there's no roleblocker. Bussing the roleblocker seems to be suicide, though if scum have a weak goon who's going to die eventually (like I did in that Fire & Ice game), they might find it worth their while to bus. I don't think scum would vote each other without the intent to lynch because this game is capricious and wagons could turn serious with no way out.
[/braindump]
I'll make a chart of interactions in a little while, saying who's said what or done what about whom. Hopefully that will shed a little more light on this.-
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Because my goal is to find the other townie and if I can judge the likelihood of certain teams then that will help in judging the likelihood of people being scum.
And yes, my analysis might cause scum to act differently but (1) that might be noticeable, (2) that won't change what they've already done, and (3) no matter how you slice it, interacting naturally with your scumbuddies is hard.-
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I don't think the reaction test is a strong alignment indicator, to be sure. I have other stronger reasons for that read.In post 199, Korts wrote:
Okay, I think I'm finally keying into you, Something_Smart. You're too willing to engage in pop-psych analysis. I can see how "I know your alignment" can be a reaction test (although I'm not sure how you forgot that in your initial response), but the apparent slip that prompted it was based on the same setup-specific, counter-intuitive idea as your later tell.In post 192, Something_Smart wrote:Actually, I just remembered my other reason for making that post. Yes, I thought I had locked onto something, but it was also a reaction test, which Jester passed resoundingly. If I say that ("I know your alignment") to scum with a high degree of confidence (assuming they trust my high degree of confidence), then it would probably make them nervous, whereas it would make town confident.
I've been starting to try to work out teams (because that should help me find the other townie), but I'm trying to wrap my head around the likelihood of bussing.
On the surface, it seems suicidal. I hardbussed my partner in a Fire & Ice game and nearly won, however Fire & Ice gives the lone scum more time to even the numbers and there's no roleblocker. Bussing the roleblocker seems to be suicide, though if scum have a weak goon who's going to die eventually (like I did in that Fire & Ice game), they might find it worth their while to bus. I don't think scum would vote each other without the intent to lynch because this game is capricious and wagons could turn serious with no way out.
[/braindump]
Be aware that alignment is not the only difference between the players - we're different people with different instincts, judgment, priorities. Arguments based on expected behavior will not yield reliable results.
And while everyone is different, there are some things that are universal and go beyond instincts, judgements, and priorities. If you think my reads are bad, tell me. (You seem to be skirting around that point without actually making it.)
This game could be basically decided on Day 2. Living interactions are important because even if we do lynch scum Day 1, things go much more smoothly for town if their partner hits scum and isn't roleblocked.
Do that on Day 2.I'll make a chart of interactions in a little while, saying who's said what or done what about whom. Hopefully that will shed a little more light on this.
Why??In post 201, RachMarie wrote:Feeling even better about korts being town.-
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Ok so the reason I'm having trouble pushing my reads and making cases is that this is not a normal game at all. RachMarie described the difference as "guilty until proven innocent", and that's pretty close to how I see it, although not exactly.
Basically, I'm forming reads based on the mindset people are showing me. DoctorPepper and Korts both show a clear mindset to look at individual people and sort out the scummiest ones. As I explained, this is a scum mindset.
SloppyJoe seems to be looking at the bigger picture, trying to figure out the whole game instead of individual people, and he's probably my most confident pick for the second town at this point.
Pistachi0n has purposely not shared a lot of her thoughts. People seem to be attacking her for it, but I think that if anything, it's towny.
Now I think VCA can do a lot this game, as scum would at the very least be hesitant to bus. I would also expect scumpartners to avoid associating if possible.
So I suspect that one of <pistachi0n, SloppyJoe> is town, although it's very hard to tell who people are defending in their posts because there's so much to attack. If one of them is scum, their partner is probably on the other wagon, which makes me feel worse about pistachi0n. But regardless, I don't think a more comprehensive case is necessary. In fact, usually the burden of proof is on the accuser; however, since town in this game are harder to come by than scum, the burden of proof should really be on the defender. I've presented my reasons for why SloppyJoe and pistachi0n are more likely town; now, I'd like the people attacking them to explain why Korts and DoctorPepper are town.-
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First of all, if you'd like, you can look at my meta, which will show that I have no trouble at all as scum pretending to solve the game. Even if you do think I have no real idea how to solve the game (which is false), why would that make me scum? If I were pistachi0n's partner I'd be hammering, or encouraging someone to hammer, SloppyJoe.In post 263, The_Jester wrote:See, I think you're severly overthinking it. I don't think any of you looks town at this point. So my plan is to take the scummiest one and lynch him/her, rinse and repeat. I don't share your mindset of "townhunting" or "looking at the bigger picture". I also don't agree keping your thoughts to yourself is pro-town at all. I think you're trying to push your agenda to mask that actually you have no real idea as to how solve the game. For all I know you could very well be pistachi0n's partner.
Second of all, you don't share my mindset. That's fairly obvious by now, and I think your method works pretty well for you. But I've talked a lot about town vs scum mindsets, does that make you scumread me?
Finally, why do you think pistachi0n is scummy? She hasn't posted much content. Do you know why? It's impossible to dodge attention in this game like you could in a larger game. Scum possibly have more motivation than town to talk, because town have a bulletproof vest, whereas scum have to dodge crosskills with all their might.-
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VOTE: DoctorPepper I will definitely do this.
Whether or not Jester is intentionally townhunting and looking at the big picture, he is trying to sort everyone, which is really the end result of my method as well, rather than just one or two people, like some other players are focusing on. His method is also to post exactly what he's thinking in classical obvtown fashion. I don't know if I'd call him obvtown, but the openness is towny. (This openness is in contrast to my more controlled manner which works for me.)In post 273, Korts wrote:Sorry, it seems I have an itchy trigger finger today. This is my last EBWOP.
Hold up. You just said that individual scumhunting as opposed to collective townhunting is a scum mindset, to which Jester replied that his mindset is to find the scummiest person and lynch them regardless of the unconventional setup.In post 269, Something_Smart wrote:[Addressing Jester]
Second of all, you don't share my mindset. That's fairly obvious by now, and I think your method works pretty well for you.
So what do you mean when you say that Jester's method works pretty well for him? Are you saying that he's good at being scummy?
Why is lurking scum-motivated in this setup?In post 277, SloppyJoe wrote:
pistachi0n's activity is incredibly anti-town. I'm putting my vote off her because there is a possibility in my mind that she is a VI, not that she has done anything townie. Lurking is far more of a scum-motivated logic than a town-motivated logic.In post 262, Something_Smart wrote:Pistachi0n has purposely not shared a lot of her thoughts. People seem to be attacking her for it, but I think that if anything, it's towny.-
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Okay, so Korts/DoctorPepper is 100% one scumteam. Other team, it's your own loss if you don't believe me.
Among the other four, the team that makes the most sense is RachMarie/SloppyJoe. I'm not as confident on this one because SloppyJoe has been acting reasonably towny, but I think the fact that nobody (except me) has stepped up to pistachi0n's defense indicates that she's town.
Annoyingly, if all four scum want to force through a wagon, they can do so, so I ultimately can't stop pistachi0n's lynch altogether (though Jester unvoting would help, and voting SloppyJoe would be even better). But if this setup is any good at all, then town should be able to win if they catch all the scum; otherwise, it's not really Mafia. I think (hope) that the scum's best play is to cross-target and hope the other team doesn't.-
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Pistachi0n is probably town because she isn't trying to steer the lynch in any clear direction (like she does as scum) and because of the way she was pushed without anyone (sans me) coming to her defense. If she is scum, then the teams are likely DoctorPepper/pistachi0n and SloppyJoe/RachMarie.
RachMarie is probably scum because if she is town then there is no logical partner for SloppyJoe, and because of PoE and I haven't liked her push on pistachi0n.-
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Ok, I'm pretty sure we NL today.
The_Jester and I have been pretty universal townreads. It's hard to see team A shooting outside of <pistachi0n, SloppyJoe>, meaning we have this:
<The_Jester, Something_Smart> = Townies with vest
<Korts, pistachi0n, SloppyJoe> = <Goon A, goon B, townie without vest> in some permutation.
So that means that, assuming that Jester and I are both town, the A goon knows who the B goon is, and the B goon has the A goon down to one of two. It's in both scum's interest to shoot, because their best chance to win lies in trying to kill the other scum and hoping that the other scum screws up. Either both scum crosskill, and we win, or goon A crosskills and goon B misses, leaving me, Jester, and them alive, and we win again.-
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Well... I haven't sold anything, it's a fact. I've received little to no pressure this game, and the pressure I did receive was from DoctorPepper after I correctly identified him as scum.In post 385, Korts wrote:I mean, if you were just going by the logic that you know you're town, as opposed to saying thatthe townknows you're town, I think you would have a better case. But this just sounds like you think youlooktown, and you're trying to sell that idea.
Of course, because under my plan you lose.VOTE: Something_Smart
On consideration, I think we should lynch today.
You're not even making sense here. There was no successful roleblock, you knew it in 381, and I don't know why you would even say this if you believed what you said at all.We are at 3:1:1 now, with two vests intact, maybe even three if there was a successful roleblock.
In the same post you call me scum and ignore the scenario where I am scum. You want to lynch (me), yet you talk about what happens when I flip town. And in fact, the reason I don't want to lynch is that I'm afraid of lynching scum. If we NL, we will most likely achieve 2:1 (or we will win). But if we lynch scum, we end up in 3:1 without an extra mislynch, and two possible scum candidates.We can No Lynch and see what happens, or be proactive and risk 2:1:1 going into night. But I don't think 2:1:1 is dangerous to town - Day 3 will most likely end up in 2:1 MYLO, but that is not any worse than the 3:1 we can achieve with a No Lynch.
Not surprised that Korts isn't considering this.
However, now that I think about it, I would actually be open to lynching in <SloppyJoe, pistachi0n>, because if they flip town then the two scum will certainly crosskill, and if they flip scum then we just lynch Korts the next day (and we don't need that lost mislynch).
I was trying to emphasize that my plan works independent of the assumption that you are scum, which others don't necessarily share.In post 387, Korts wrote:Also I'm just now parsing this:
If you're going to call me scum, have the grace to call me by name.In post 383, Something_Smart wrote:It's hard to see team A shooting outside of <pistachi0n, SloppyJoe>,
So yeah, after thinking a little more, I would be ok lynching SloppyJoe or pistachi0n (as long as you all agree that Korts is definitely scum), or no lynching (which does not require that assumption to win).-
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My argument is based around the assumption that no scum would shoot me or Jester. Because we were widely townread.In post 393, Korts wrote:
The DP read means jackshit based on your own approach to this setup, and no pressure does not mean town. And you're sidestepping the meat of your slip, which is that you based your entire argument around yourIn post 392, Something_Smart wrote:I've received little to no pressure this game, and the pressure I did receive was from DoctorPepper after I correctly identified him as scum.appearanceof being town rather than a personal knowledge of your alignment.
"I know I'm town"
vs.
"I know you guys think I'm town"
You were considering the outcome that you're hoping for. It's not a foregone conclusion that lynching scum is better.
Do you not understand the verb "risk?" I was considering the worst case outcome of a lynch today, regardless of who we lynch.In post 392, Something_Smart wrote:We can No Lynch and see what happens, or be proactive and risk 2:1:1 going into night. But I don't think 2:1:1 is dangerous to town - Day 3 will most likely end up in 2:1 MYLO, but that is not any worse than the 3:1 we can achieve with a No Lynch.
In the same post you call me scum and ignore the scenario where I am scum. You want to lynch (me), yet you talk about what happens when I flip town.
Not if me and Jester are universally taken off the table as possible scum.
I dispute this. I do not have the patience to start calculating percentages (maybe later), but 3:1 seems the most likely Day 3 after a No Lynch today.In post 392, Something_Smart wrote:If we NL, we will most likely achieve 2:1 (or we will win).
Nor am I trying to. My point is, if the other townies want to lynch today, I would be up for that, as long as they agree with me on this. If they don't (really if Jester doesn't), I would also support NL.In post 394, Korts wrote:Also,
This is not the first time you positioned your opinion as consensus.In post 392, Something_Smart wrote:(as long as you all agree that Korts is definitely scum)-
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100% agree. (This was, in fact, what I thought yesterday, but nobody seemed to care.) The only thing that worries me is the question of why Korts/DoctorPepper didn't shoot SloppyJoe, but I still think SloppyJoe is likely the B goon.In post 410, The_Jester wrote:Keep in mind all this is based solely on interactions/PoE. I'll ISO everybody once again to see what I missed.
For the time being, my reads are (for clarity):
SomethingSmart ---> pistachi0n ---> SloppyJoe (scum B) / Korts (scum A)
Lemme know what y'all think about this.
100% disagree. Going by my assumption that no team would shoot me or you, if we lynch scum and the BP-less townie dies, that makes things simpler for us. I think we should be lynching the person we are less confident in, and I am super confident in Korts being scum, so I would rather lynch in <Joe, pistachi0n>. If we lynch Korts, then the scum will shoot one of us and we would have to choose right between them or else lose.In post 411, The_Jester wrote:Just wanted to add: if we do decide to lynch somebody, it should be our predicted scum A because it knows which townie (if any) has the vest taken off and scum B doesn't.-
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Regarding pistachi0n, that is a gross misrepresentation of her play.
However, that's a good point that scum might shoot townies and press their luck. However, I think town has a good shot in 2-1-1 if the 2 are me and Jester.
VOTE: SloppyJoe
I think this is best. If he flips town, then the scum are pistachi0n and Korts and at least one of them will definitely crosskill.-
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This would require both scum seeing either me or Jester as a potential member of the other team, and given the interactions that's quite unlikely.In post 423, SloppyJoe wrote:Worst case senerio, I haven't lost my vest yet. One scum shoots the town that did, the other shoots scum.
Now that I think about it, it's pretty unlikely but what is likely is us reaching a 2-1-1 where one townie (or both) lost his/her vest and we can no longer even afford to shoot scum. But the main point I'm trying to make is that with your plan, you're placing the strategies and plans right into the scums' hands. We can't afford to shoot anyone we're not very certain of.
And if you don't want to put strategies into scum's hands, you shouldn't have joined a game that's 57% scum. This setup is designed around forcing crosskills. If you're town, you almost certainly lost your vest last night, and your lynch should lead to a town win. In multiball, weird strategies sometimes become right, including self-voting and intentionally lynching townies. (That said, lynching the scum in you/pistachi0n would also be an effective strategy.)-
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^Says the one not voting him to the one voting him.
Wait, I just noticed this. How does Korts scum confirm you as town?In post 429, SloppyJoe wrote:VOTE: pistachi0n
[Lynching him today forces me and Jester to decide between pistachi0n and SloppyJoe, and if I had to choose right now, I'd pick SloppyJoe.]
I'm not sure why you're saying this when Korts as scum has basically confirmed me as town.
Sorry, I missed that tommorrow was a MyLo.-
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Why? (And what universe where pistachi0n is town makes sense?)In post 450, SloppyJoe wrote:pistachi0n, if you're town, please replace out.
Also, answer my previous question.-
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@SloppyJoe:
It's pretty clear that Korts doesn't want to lynch you. However, your logic only makes sense from the perspective that you are town. Suppose Korts shot pistachi0n last night and honestly believes me and Jester to be town (which I believe he does). Given the general bad feelings toward him, he needs to keep you alive and he needs you to shoot pistachi0n, so he goes after me.
I also don't see how you can say that pistachi0n's posts have no content. That's blatantly false.
@Jester:
Are you confident that it's not me? Because if we lynch Joe and he flips town, at least one of pistachi0n/Korts will crosskill for sure, giving us the win.-
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I see what you mean, and it does sound like it would be tough as either alignment. Though as I've thoroughly explained, given the strength of my read on you it is in the town's best interest to keep you alive today. (Don't blame me, this is a quirk of multiball.) If you really are town, the only thing I would suggest is to try to be as obvtown as possible; drop the analytical pretense and post exactly what you're thinking as often as you can.In post 456, Korts wrote:Guys, hey, I'm still here. I get that I'm the play here, for better or worse, but can you stop repeating how I'm absolutely for sure scum? It's just mean at this point. (It's also not actually the case, but you're only going to find that out when it's too late. It's a testament to my efforts that even scum genuinely believe that I'm scum.)
And any thought of keeping me alive today despite your absolute conviction that I am scum is a very strong indication that you either do not have the town's best interests at heart, or you just don't know what those interests are. I do not want to be mislynched at MYLO, and that is what's going to happen if I get to Day 3.
Scum are so used to faking cases to push mislynches, that it could be that the Korts/DoctorPepper team was pushing you while not believing that you were scum. It's very hard to analyze why a given scumteam shot a certain way; I saw a multiball game go into night at 1:1:2, and one of the teams aimed for town, even though that's a stupid play. (Ironically, they hit scum.) The interactions between you and Rach make so much more sense that the main reason I can even see pistachi0n as scum is because I would have expected the other team to shoot you over her. However, I still believe that lynching either one of you will win for town regardless of the flip.In post 459, SloppyJoe wrote:How does it make sense for scum!Korts to shoot pistachi0n over me?
I mean, I think I've been pretty obvtown and I want to form a townbloc with you. For what it's worth, I can assure you that I would not bus my roleblocker while hard defending two non-buddies, and I guess you can just remember that my vote and voice were critical in shifting the lynch from pistachi0n to RachMarie. (In fact, in my most recent scumgame, I hard defended my roleblocker to the point of getting myself vigged when he flipped scum.)In post 462, The_Jester wrote:
Are you so confident cause you're obvtown or you just want to buddy me? I honestly can't tell anymore. I'm coming up with scenarios that make me very paranoid. This game is so tiring.In post 454, Something_Smart wrote: @Jester:
Are you confident that it's not me? Because if we lynch Joe and he flips town, at least one of pistachi0n/Korts will crosskill for sure, giving us the win.-
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But then we'd be in MYLO without a clear scum. Do you see my logic for lynching the less confident ones first?In post 467, The_Jester wrote:Honestly I'd just like to hammer Korts. Seeing him flip scum would calm me down greatly.-
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I guess now is a good time to explain this.
So, Korts is definitely scum and Jester is definitely town. Worst case scenario, we lynch SloppyJoe and he flips town, and one of us is somehow killed overnight, leaving us in a 1v1v1 with both scum known.
If that townie is you, Jester, here's what you need to say:
"I know you both could get a draw by voting me. However, I promise that whoever votes me first, I will immediately vote, allowing the other scum to win. Therefore, it's in both of your best interests not to vote me, and instead to vote no lynch. Then you'll be in a Prisoner's Dilemma where your best chance to win is to shoot the other and hope the other shoots me."-
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We'll put it this way: if it fails, blame the mod. (Unless Jester is scum, of course.) If this plan doesn't work, then we can conclude that the setup is not viable.
Even if you could see me pulling an elaborate tactic with Rach as my partner, think of how much easier it could have been for me to hammer pistachi0n, or you, when I had the chance.
There's really not much more I can do here. If you aren't confident enough in my plan succeeding, then make a case convincing enough to score another vote on pistachi0n.-
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Well, they were both scumreading him and pushing his wagon.In post 505, Korts wrote:I'm sure you already did, but I don't care to find it - can you explain why a DP/stach team would have tried to kill Joe?
I did not pay much attention to DP Day 1. He was vaguely scummy, but I had nothing concrete, and I had stronger reads to pursue.
So, there's your readlist in 180:In post 506, Korts wrote:Also there was that fluffy PBPA you did on him that only increased my interest in you.
The_Jester
Something_Smart
RachMarie
pistachi0n
DoctorPepper
SloppyJoe
Soon thereafter you say that "Rach isn't particularly town-like" (228). This seems to imply a healthy townread on me and Jester and a de facto scumread on everyone else, including DoctorPepper. You disagreed with my method, the one I used to call you and DoctorPepper scum, but never discussed how you thought it happened to be correct on DoctorPepper.
By 318, those two townreads still don't seem to have changed, yet you don't seem keen to lynch Rach or DoctorPepper. DoctorPepper, in particular, has suddenly become your third-strongest townread, your go-to townread if one of your other two is wrong.
After my case, you feel even better about your DoctorPepper read. Why? I can see two possible reasons:
1. My case was so weak that it actually provided stronger reasoning for why he was town. This was what your post (341) seemed to imply, although it's patently ridiculous.
2. My case was so weak that you thought that I was more likely to be scum because I made it. This is the only excuse that makes any sense, except you never said anything about that in 341. In fact, you seem to go to significant length to discredit the case without actually calling me scum for it.
So my question is, why would you be ignoring any player in a 7p game, and how did your read change so firmly on a player you did not pay much attention to (especially given that you already apparently had two decent townreads)?-
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Korts: SS you should vote me
SS: No I won't, because I think you're scum
Lmao multiball is so weird
Anyway...
Regarding the "why wouldn't they shoot SJ" argument, I already conceded that you had a fair point.
And what did I forget in saying DP was your third-towniest read? He was. That's like saying that if I have some ice cubes at various temperatures, then I can't call the one at the highest temperature the hottest because it's not hot.
Regarding 509, first of all, you pretty much did ignore him. Second of all, are your reads zero-sum (every read change has to be balanced by an equivalent change in the opposite direction)? If not, why not?
Finally, why are you being rude to me and trying to assign an ulterior motive to everything I do while you are townreading me?-
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