micro 816-II: pokemon go (open game) (gambe over)

Micro Games (9 players or fewer). Archived during the 2023 queue overhaul.
Locked
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3025 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:04 am

Post by stungun0404 »

if i metadive you, which i don’t feel like right now tbch because i have hw to get done tonight, i would have to account for micro games just like with nico because obviously the scumread i got from that sample held up there.

i guess i can unvote you though UNVOTE: Profii
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3026 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:09 am

Post by profii »

Yea I know she probably didn’t - just seeing if you are totally set on lynching me or do I have any chance of convincing you otherwise

Will you at least concede when we see who the scum person is the obvious play for them is no kill mislynch me because they know I’m getting into trouble today so the worst thing to happen is that I get innod as you Maria Koki have to look at each other and the scum among you 3 probably has no idea how close to being outed you are given everything has revolved around me

All I’m saying is if NSG jails any other player tonight after a no lynch, scum pretty much has to try and kill rather than set me up for a mislynch so the no lynch is an optimal strategy

Sure if you want to lynch me tomorrow then fine but I think a no lynch is better


Also - if there is no kill again tomorrow - we should keep no lynching to force scum to try and kill otherwise we win
User avatar
northsidegal
northsidegal
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
northsidegal
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 11587
Joined: August 23, 2017

Post Post #3027 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:23 am

Post by northsidegal »

it's suboptimal to no-lynch today

assume for the sake of argument that profii was framed. given that town wins if nobody is lynched or killed for three phases, scum (not profii) will eventually be forced to kill me. this leaves us at 4 alive with 1 conftown (profii). that's an EV of 33%.

now assume that we lynch profii today, he flips town, and we go into the night with my jail target being pre-announced. we're at 4 people alive. if there is no kill,
then
we can continue to no-lynch, because even if scum is trying to frame someone again, they will eventually be forced to give up the ruse and kill me, leaving us with 3 alive and 1 conftown (50% EV). if there
is
a kill, we're still left at 3 alive with 1 conftown. (50% ev).

all of this is, of course, planning for the worst case scenario, and says nothing about my actual reads on anyone - merely what i think is the best strategy.
wiki | modded | Newbie NewD3 Stats | scripts

things fall apart
User avatar
northsidegal
northsidegal
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
northsidegal
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 11587
Joined: August 23, 2017

Post Post #3028 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:23 am

Post by northsidegal »

so let's lynch profii and then if that does't work i'll jail maria
wiki | modded | Newbie NewD3 Stats | scripts

things fall apart
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3029 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:38 am

Post by stungun0404 »

actually, profii might be on to something, even though this would take a ridiculous amount of unnecessary time up which i do not approve of personally

if we no lynch with him in the game, we can get a cop clear eventually if nsg is ever shot and she maybe alternates between maria and profii like continually

this guarantees scum has no way out if planned right

thing is this could outright be a distraction from prof, or it could be sth he thought of to get a cop clear.

i am considering this...

cuz like maria and profii are period the only options for nico partner fmpov, even though maria is virtually a nonexistent one in my mind
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3030 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:39 am

Post by stungun0404 »

but it may just be delaying the inevitable too :-/

i mean, scum would still have the choice of choosing not to do anything, right?
User avatar
northsidegal
northsidegal
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
northsidegal
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 11587
Joined: August 23, 2017

Post Post #3031 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:40 am

Post by northsidegal »

i have already detailed why it is mathematically suboptimal to no-lynch today

in fact, the only way that we can end up in lylo
without
a cop clear is by no-lynching today
wiki | modded | Newbie NewD3 Stats | scripts

things fall apart
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3032 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:43 am

Post by stungun0404 »

that is true

i did not consider that

never mind that strategy, that is pro-scum for sure.

right back where i started, profii lynch > no lynch. that reminds me he also favored no lynch over nico yesterday iirc.
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3033 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:44 am

Post by profii »

NSG is right lynch me
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3034 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:44 am

Post by profii »

VOTE: me
User avatar
northsidegal
northsidegal
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
northsidegal
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 11587
Joined: August 23, 2017

Post Post #3035 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:45 am

Post by northsidegal »

oh and i had already started writing out a very nice detailed elaboration, with capital letters and everything
wiki | modded | Newbie NewD3 Stats | scripts

things fall apart
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3036 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:45 am

Post by stungun0404 »

VOTE: Profii

I take that as surrendering at this stage in the game
User avatar
northsidegal
northsidegal
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
northsidegal
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 11587
Joined: August 23, 2017

Post Post #3037 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:46 am

Post by northsidegal »

VOTE: profii

jailing maria if profii flips town
wiki | modded | Newbie NewD3 Stats | scripts

things fall apart
User avatar
northsidegal
northsidegal
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
northsidegal
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 11587
Joined: August 23, 2017

Post Post #3038 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:46 am

Post by northsidegal »

everyone remember to submit fast nights!
wiki | modded | Newbie NewD3 Stats | scripts

things fall apart
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3039 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:47 am

Post by profii »

Full disclosure I’m....
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3040 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:47 am

Post by stungun0404 »

got it, if it applies!
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3041 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:47 am

Post by profii »

Spoiler: “I am...”
quite annoying
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3042 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:48 am

Post by profii »

&also town so quick night please wanna see the result :D
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3043 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:49 am

Post by stungun0404 »

something is giving me strange vibes here

why is it always after something you say prof this feeling happens?
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3044 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:50 am

Post by profii »

I am legit town but scum pretty much has to kill so you will go into lylo with 1 inno at least
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3045 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:50 am

Post by profii »

Or better yet a guilty
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3046 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:54 am

Post by stungun0404 »

fmpov if prof ever was to flip town

equals maria —> scum without any shadow of a doubt in my mind

there are quite a few anti associatives between koki and nico, and koki has a relatively town iso anyways
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3047 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:55 am

Post by profii »

In post 3046, stungun0404 wrote:fmpov if prof ever was to flip town

equals maria —> scum without any shadow of a doubt in my mind

there are quite a few anti associatives between koki and nico, and koki has a relatively town iso anyways
Do you not believe me :lol:
User avatar
stungun0404
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
stungun0404
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2292
Joined: May 25, 2018

Post Post #3048 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:56 am

Post by stungun0404 »

idk how to

do you scumread maria? like that’s the only other possible option, and it seems so remote to me it’s absurd
User avatar
profii
profii
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
profii
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 6791
Joined: December 19, 2017

Post Post #3049 (ISO) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:58 am

Post by profii »

I think we’ve established my reads are next to useless here
Locked

Return to “Mayfair Club [Micro Games]”