Micro 641: Confirmed Guilties (Game Over)

[DarkLightA]

Scum team
farside
creature
infinity
fire starter

/game

[enomis]

Oh wait we need to confirm lynch.

Confirm Infinity

BTD case is solid.

[DarkLightA]

Confirm Infinity

[Creature]

confirm Infinity

[Infinity 324]

Confirm lynch

[Infinity 324]

I got to page 2 self hammer...that must count for something

[enomis]

You need to vote for yourself before confirming btw.

[Infinity 324]

No I don't

[DarkLightA]

Lynch happened with post 27

[DarkLightA]

oh wait i misread. it's not just people on the wagon

[BTD6_maker]

Town won the moment I detected a pattern in my analysis. Next time scum should pick a setup that isn't broken. I'm sure I can help with that .

[zoraster]

Day 1

Creature ( 1 )

Infinity 324

[/color]

(L - 4 )

DarkLightA ( 1 )

farside22

[/color]

(L - 4 )

enomis ( 1 )

Fire Starter

[/color]

(L - 4 )

*** Infinity 324 ( 6 ) ***

Wingback

Comparing Realities

enomis

Creature

BTD6_maker

DarkLightA

[/color]

(L - -1 )

Not Voting ( 0 )

Total Votes ( 9 )

Needed to Lynch [ 5 ]

(expired on 2016-08-30 12:00:00)

Confirmations from enomis, Creature, BTD, Darklight. Need one more (from Wingback or Comparing Reality) to hammer. If this does not happen (or if the other two decline to confirm) within 24 hours, the votes will be reset.

[BTD6_maker]

By the way, Creature is NOT confscum. IF Creature is Town a logically plausible scum team is {myself, DLA, Enomis, Infinity}.

Also,

Zoraster, Infinity self-hammered the lynch

.

[Wingback]

confirm lynch

Haha. Nice job BTD6.

[zoraster]

Infinity 324 the Mafia Goon has been lynched

TOWN WINS

Scum Team

farside22
Infinity 324
Creature
Fire Starter


So... as I said before, you have to be careful your setup isn't broken. I need to look back to see whether they followed one of CFJ's setups or whether they messed up an element.

[Creature]

I would have one innocent child without a guilty.

[zoraster]

Which of the setups provided did you follow, Creature?

[Wingback]

I don't know why scum decided to go with an unproven setup. Can we see the PT where they planned it out?

[Creature]

I was going with one scum having one single guilty.

[DarkLightA]

AAB433443 (3 on 3, 3 on 4, 2 on A, 1 on B)

It's this one (but with the 3 & 4 flipped for obvious reasons)

[zoraster]

http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 6#p8273006

[BTD6_maker]

I can check CFJ's setups for you, if you want.

[Creature]

Again, the fifth guilty is hard to manage with and I saw no setup providing us a winrate bigger than 33%

[zoraster]

Again, the fifth guilty is hard to manage with and I saw no setup providing us a winrate bigger than 33%

It's actually around a 50% win rate for the most basic setup, and here's why:

So let's say you have 3 people with 3 votes on them: two are scum, one is town (with 3 scum on it)

Let's assume that scum aren't going to lynch their scummate. This means that in order to win, two townies from one of the wagons are going to have to choose between the other two wagons. Their choice is between the remaining scum being voted and the remaining town being voted by scum. That choice is 50/50, not 33/67

[Creature]

I would roll a dice between the three wagons.