Micro 644: Flavorless Mafia - Game Over

[Tenshii]

I thought forcing a tie would end the day.

[shannon]

If no one has come up with anything new by tomorrow morning (my time, it's currently almost 4PM so give it 16 hours from now) I'll hammer, but I think it's Ran and not NM.

Also for the love of god, Doc, please get on our even night doc x

[Not_Mafia]

You can easily force a Ranmaru lynch

[shannon]

What it really comes down to NM is that if you're town you're not playing to your wincon right now. Make a case on ranmaru instead of making assertions.

[Not_Mafia]

I kinda thinking it might be Tenshii now

[Not_Mafia]

I'm like 65-35 now on it being Ranmaru, before I was like 97-3

[shannon]

What is making you think it could be Tenshi?

[shannon]

Mod

coudl we please get a vote count just for the timer? xo

[Tenshii]

It'd be a miracle if NM would actually have a case on me here.

[Ircher]

Day 3 VC #5

BTD6_maker (0) -
Ranmaru (2) (L-2) - Not_Mafia, BTD6_Maker
Tenshii (0) -
Not_Mafia (3) (L-1) - Rach, Ranmaru, Tenshii
shannon (0) -
Rach (0) -
Not Voting (1) - shannon

Lynch Threshold

With 6 alive, it takes 4 to lynch!

Deadline

Day 3 will end on November 5, 2016 11:00 AM EDT or in (expired on 2016-11-05 11:00:00).

Moderator Notes

Moderator V/LA every Friday until November 11.
Moderator V/LA on October 24 and November 5.

Unless the planned migration happens, deadline will not be extended.

[shannon]

Awesome timing with the vote count Giant wall incoming - - please read it because I don't know whether I'll be back online today (it's Friday for me) and I think that the Day ends at midnight my time Saturday, so this could be my last substantive post before EOD.

I will come out and say this again:

I think not mafia is town

. Take away his short posting, which yep, he does do as each alignment and even in social posts here, and what is the case for him being scum?

Not Mafia led the push on Aristo, who was at that time under almost no threat, because I'd effectively started a wagon on BTD that would've taken off. Remember, we had a whole bunch of people willing to support the main wagon to avoid a no lynch, but Not Mafia came in and went Aristo and really pushed it. Not Mafia basically saved D1, and if that's a bus for town cred, it's a massive one. So if someone could hammer the Ranmaru wagon, that'd be great. VOTE: Ranmaru

I also want to talk about Tenshii. Earlier I went through his ISO and found basically nothing to commend him as town. He's effectively null, with the only reason to call him town being that BTD doctored him. So that's someone I'd like to look at in future.

The other wild card is Rach, but my gut feel is that if she was scum she'd have subbed out by now.

In case I don't get back to the game today and the Day is over before I post again (and also in case I'm super accurate and get night killed)

- Doc to always be on BTD. Protect who you *know* is town, not who you *think* is town. Don't give scum an easy town kill, make them work for it. Having both of you alive N4 could be really handy.
- Doc don't claim until as late in the game as possible. Don't claim if you don't 100% have to (Not Mafia if you're doc, don't claim it right now I think I'm going to be able to save you. Ranmaru I hope I'm going to lynch you today, if you're doc, you suck at playing doc, I can't give an honest assessment of whether you should claim now so up to you). Try to claim on an even night and then protect each other so we get to see who scum targets for the night kill.
- Stop claiming VT without pressure to claim, you're only narrowing down the doc options


Worst case scenario going forward is that *if we don't prevent any night kills* we have mislynches available today and D4 before we get to MYLO and LYLO. It's highly likely that scum will try to target 'confirmed' townies, so that's BTD, and probably me (I think you all town read me?), and Tenshii (who I think could be scum but I know everyone else disagrees).

I would say - If we lynch Ranmaru today and it's wrong, go for Rach next. If we lynch Not Mafia today and it's wrong, go for Ranmaru. Unless we buy more days with good night kill protects, we've gotta sort Tenshii in LYLO.

Anyway, this is all based on today's info and we'll get more tomorrow. I just wanted to be 100% clear about where I stand right now, since the Day will possibly end while I'm offline and history says I get night killed when I'm right - and I think I'm right about either Ran or Tenshii being the last scum.


The math for my mislynch calcs

Spoiler:

Currently D3 - 7 town 1 scum (assume a mislynch)
N3 starts with 6:1 and ends with 5:1
D4 starts with 5:1 and ends with 4:1
N4 starts with 4:1 and ends with 3:1
D5 is MYLO, no lynch
N5 starts with 3:1 and ends with 2:1
D6 is LYLO, must win

[RachMarie]

I will hammer

Simply because this day is been so insane and we need a flip, not as convinced it is him, and I definitely would take a serious look at NM tomorrow, as well as tenshii.


doc protect our even doc tyvm

[RachMarie]

VOTE: Ran

[Ranmaru]

damn it guys I was town

[Not_Mafia]

Twilight trolling

[Ranmaru]

Lynch NM tomorrow. I think Shannon is pretty obv townie by now and I appreciate the effort she's put in, she's just wrong.

[RachMarie]

Not everyone trolls NM like for example I don't troll once I am hammered.

[Ircher]

Day 3 VC #6 (LYNCH)

BTD6_maker (0) -

Ranmaru (4) (LYNCH) - Not_Mafia, BTD6_Maker, shannon, Rach

Tenshii (0) -
Not_Mafia (2) (L-2) - Ranmaru, Tenshii
shannon (0) -
Rach (0) -
Not Voting (0) -

Lynch Threshold

With 6 alive, it takes 4 to lynch!

Deadline

Day 3 will end on November 5, 2016 11:00 AM EDT or in (expired on 2016-11-05 11:00:00).

Moderator Notes

Moderator V/LA every Friday until November 11.
Moderator V/LA on October 24 and November 5.

Unless the planned migration happens, deadline will not be extended.

[Ircher]

And so it seems that our tale ends here!

Ranmaru,

Mafia Goon

, was lynched Day 3!

Town Wins!

Congratulations shannon, RachMarie, BTD6_Maker, Tenshii, and Not_Mafia! MagnaofIllusion and grapes also win post-humously.

[Ircher]

Links:

1. Review PT
2. Mod PT
3. Mafia PT
4. Dead PT
5. Game Thread

The Mod PT will take me awhile to release (prob. Sunday, maybe tomorrow).
Mafia have (expired on 2016-11-04 21:57:10) to censor any posts in the mafia PT.
You'll have to wait on N or Nexus to release the review thread.

[Not_Mafia]

Thank ircher for hosting, I wanna see the dead pt

[RachMarie]

woahh

wow

Sorry NM I really did think you were scum.

[Ircher]

Thank ircher for hosting, I wanna see the dead pt

The Dead PT is boring.

[RachMarie]

Part of that though besides the rarefaction game, might be that fact you have Ted Cruz as your avatar

[RachMarie]

Thanks for modding Ircher and I am glad I stuck with it, I almost replaced out of this game just because so awfully sick.