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Post #350 (isolation #204) » Wed Mar 27, 2024 3:21 am
Postby halfasleep »
ok i'm gonna go ahead and start looking more willing to lim you. i think you go tomorrow 100% if i go today whereas i could still have a 0.01% of worming my way out of being the default lim after you flip red. probably not a real chance at all but i'm gonna try.
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Post #378 (isolation #217) » Wed Mar 27, 2024 9:13 am
Postby halfasleep »
ok. i'm the one who should go today. thomith and ming aren't sold on us being partnered. me flipping is the only way forward here and there should still be a decent amount of room to argue tomorrow. kill fire imo. kay and jackson will
have
to convince one of them to get you out. if you get past that i don't know how you win d4 but you'll just have to do your best to make the final three as favourable to you as possible. good luck.
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Post #379 (isolation #218) » Wed Mar 27, 2024 10:20 am
Postby halfasleep »
feel free to get on my wagon at some point so i can self-hammer and end the day at the first opportunity. don't need to give them more room to talk and think than we need to.
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Post #383 (isolation #220) » Wed Mar 27, 2024 3:24 pm
Postby halfasleep »
no. no one will buy that coming from you. just keep asking innocent-looking questions about posts you either 'don't understand' or actually don't understand and hope enough players come to that sort of conclusion on their own. jackson and kay will go for you no matter what. we just have to hope for the best from thomoth and ming.
kjq: still the scummiest-looking to me. driving force behind the gimli mislim (jackson didn't start heavily scumreading the black/gimli slot until it was a matter of defending/siding with their main townread). we've lost if it's kay though so i hope i'm wrong.
purplemango: very resistant to expressing opinions of his own rather than just responding to others'. very resistant to voting ever. noncommital enough that he could be plausibly paired with anyone and not be obvious at all. and from skimming over previous games it looks like this is all completely NAI for him so i'm right back where i started. not sure i'd ever be able to read his alignment tbh.
thomith: coming into the uneviable position of having to follow on from jupiter's reaction to the 'perspective slip' situation (which i think i chose to take as charitably as possible just to move on at the time, but it's kinda hard to overlook on reread), but their own posting doesn't have anything scummy in it to me. all the solving attempts look completely honest to me (i assume this is sorta what jackson meant when they said thom looked like they's 'positioned as uninformed', in which case i agree). predecessor makes it hard to completely write off the slot as town though.
ming: still thinking that scum-ming probably doesn't bother to resist the purple-wagon so that looks good. but then he puts me back on the rollercoaster by pretending not to know why i scumread him so hard (e-1? d1? with no acknowledgement? ring no bells?). who knows man. probably the most likely to be town of these four but idk.
yeah going over d1 again pretty much gave me nothing new. 95% it's not fire or jackson so it's two out of the four above. i can't pair 'em up well enough to get to any conclusion as to who. sorry if this post seems more confused than coherent but that's where i'm at.
basically gotten lost in d2 since i can't fully follow the logic following the jake kill. i understand the assumption that it would come from me/fire/thomith on the logic that we were on the ming wagon and scum might not want to kill within their own assumed voting block. but this is being conflated with with the issue of who would've picked up on jake's possible hints that he was a mason, and seemingly to the exact same conclusion. i don't understand the method of reading who would be capable of seeing that. is it based on personality? experience (which wouldn't really track)? i genuinely just don't follow it. that's all i got.
when you can, (wait for other people to post a bit more first probably) you can reply to this post and say it looks more like trying to create doubt and/or confusion rather than trying to actually solve. it's kinda designed to look that way anyway. that can be your segue to voting for me.
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Post #387 (isolation #223) » Fri Mar 29, 2024 12:55 am
Postby halfasleep »
arguments you could make about my openwolf self-hammer:
the timing makes it look like i want to look like i'm partnered with you. would i do that if i actually was?
killing myself rather than continue to argue means i'm actually okay with the purple/thomith poe to be followed through on. a sign that neither are scum?
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Post #388 (isolation #224) » Fri Mar 29, 2024 1:01 am
Postby halfasleep »
kill anyone but ming tonight. i don't know the right answer here.
thomith would be the bold play since you'd need to convince ming and fire of what i was suggesting above. which would be really hard but has the best potential payoff.
fire is a safer pick on paper but i think it leads to you getting limmed in just about every scenario.
kay or jackson probably doesn't give us any chance of winning but it might make the path to losing less tiring. pick you poison, really.
sorry to leave you with this situation. i don't think i had a better play. we don't have a good chance at all here but this gives you at least a tiny bit of room to play in. good luck and no pressure.
