Mini 1906 - It's An Owners Market Blitz (Mafia QT)

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Post Post #50 (ISO) » Sun May 07, 2017 11:53 am

Post by Gamma Emerald »

I'm not even JKing tonight.
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Post Post #51 (ISO) » Tue May 09, 2017 4:42 pm

Post by Prism »

Those bids are honestly hilarious. I haven't placed any yet but I should probably do so soon.
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Post Post #52 (ISO) » Tue May 09, 2017 4:46 pm

Post by Gamma Emerald »

I'm the 35s fyi
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Post Post #53 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 12:08 am

Post by Gamma Emerald »

I have a long game plan.
Tonight we kill someone other than Tywin and Infinity. Night 3 we kill Infinity, and if I get pushed for the Night 3 kill I'll use an argument I used in a game that happened a while back.
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Post Post #54 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 10:56 am

Post by Socrates »

If I died right this minute I think we'd actually be in great shape. People's associatives are all over the place for me and Gerry is the only one linking me and gamma. I think my flip would look better than gamma's, so I'm starting to think I should fall on my sword here.
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Post Post #55 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 12:24 pm

Post by Gamma Emerald »

In post 53, Gamma Emerald wrote:I have a long game plan.
Tonight we kill someone other than Tywin and Infinity. Night 3 we kill Infinity, and if I get pushed for the Night 3 kill I'll use an argument I used in a game that happened a while back.
BTW if we do this a good frame job is Gerry since he was a traitor in the game the plan comes from.
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Post Post #56 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 5:25 pm

Post by Prism »

I bet $240 on Doctor x2, $110 on Doctor x1, and $80 on Gravedigger.

Gravedigger is actually very valuable for us and we should consider betting more on it.
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Post Post #57 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 5:42 pm

Post by Socrates »

For what it's worth, I really did think I had been hammered.
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Post Post #58 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 6:09 pm

Post by Socrates »

Unless we get a flashwagon on Momo at deadline, I'm just going to buy both doctors. Hide the final cost of hitman.

Remember that you can block someone with the jailkeep.
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Post Post #59 (ISO) » Wed May 10, 2017 10:39 pm

Post by Regfan »

Please remember to submit what you want hidden.
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Post Post #60 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 6:48 am

Post by Gamma Emerald »

hide hitman
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Post Post #61 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 9:08 am

Post by Gamma Emerald »

Prism I'm going to need you to vote Momo. I'd suggest you grill me before you do so.
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Post Post #62 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 3:32 pm

Post by Prism »

I think I got Doctor x1 and Gravedigger, lmao
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Post Post #63 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 3:34 pm

Post by Prism »

I think Gerry dies tonight. Clearly town, removes some pressure off of you both directly and indirectly.
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Post Post #64 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 4:20 pm

Post by Socrates »

Yeah, he's the obvious target.

I think starting the Momo push at the moment I did was a mistake, though. I already saved Gamma day 1, and that push is going to look like an attempt to save him again. Ironically, the reason I did it was to try to make myself the default lynch by ensuring I was the biggest wagon, not actually get a mislynch, but RC's prediction proved correct, and now I feel like I'm up shit-creek.
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Post Post #65 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 4:28 pm

Post by Socrates »

And I apologize for weighing you down, Prism. I have played exceptionally poorly this game and that isn't fair to you.
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Post Post #66 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 5:32 pm

Post by Prism »

No worries, you tried. I'm probably going to get wrecked by mechanics but that's okay.
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Post Post #67 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 8:15 pm

Post by Prism »

I got Doctor x1 and Gravedigger x2 for $110 and $80 respectively. I've got $610 left. What about you?
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Post Post #68 (ISO) » Thu May 11, 2017 8:48 pm

Post by Socrates »

Full cash. I tried to dump it all when I thought I was dead because I thought it wouldn't even count anyway, but the mod let me take it back when I realized I was still alive.

Are you going to dig Vecna and find out if they got commuter, or are we just assuming they would have used it if they had it?
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Post Post #69 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2017 6:02 am

Post by Prism »

I don't think it matters all too much. I want to use it on the next two night kills.

For now,
Kill: Gerryoat
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Post Post #70 (ISO) » Sat May 13, 2017 6:17 am

Post by Prism »

What a lucky draw for us, and just when we desperately needed it. Infinity's math is wrong too, we got even luckier. The real chance is 1.44%. That's the beauty of probability, I suppose.

I'm thinking I go for Ninja x2 while you go for Daykill.
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Post Post #71 (ISO) » Sat May 13, 2017 7:44 am

Post by Prism »

It's actually even worse than that. It's 0.34%. This is amazing.

Poor Tywin.
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Post Post #72 (ISO) » Sat May 13, 2017 8:24 am

Post by Prism »

With 10 minutes left in the day (after bids are in), I'm going to outline a strategy for town autowin that happens if scum is both Tywin and goes for the daykill. Namely, if scum grab the daykill they'll only have $399 left and we could, if Tywin was scum, root them out mechanically.

Obviously it won't be used, but we need to start thinking of how to claim how much we've bid, won, and why. I actually think me grabbing Doctor x1 and Gravedigger was a mistake but we'll see.
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Post Post #73 (ISO) » Sat May 13, 2017 8:25 am

Post by Prism »

Gamma kind of royally fucked us by claiming he got the JK-otherwise we could have claim we won it for $311, $312, or something like that that scum wouldn't have guessed.
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Post Post #74 (ISO) » Sat May 13, 2017 8:11 pm

Post by Socrates »

Mafia is a wonderful demonstration of how Occam's Razor is a shit bet.

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