On Nash equilibria and calculating EVs

[BuJaber]

What a fun read and an interesting topic.

To total up GL's table:

Town win %:

Town vote first: 30%
Scum vote first: 50%

[BuJaber]

Anyway from a practical standpoint wouldn't this mean just vote for the crossvoter everytime?

The community is not that aware of each other and other games. There is obviously a site meta that is always changing but not everyone will be aware of:

1. Topics like these
2. Other players' experiences with lylo
3. How other games ended

Heck they wouldn't even remember their own games and would have to manually check.

The 2/3 win chance only decreases if scum 'catch on'. But information about games is not that easily available for scum to catch on fast enough and new players are always coming in while old players are always leaving.

Also what happens if you're town and you self vote? That's 50% chance that you win depending on which other player comes on first.
And if scum does it also feels like 50% win chance for town. They could either vote for scum right there and kill them or decide the other is scum. That's assuming scum comes back before 2nd town.
If 2nd town comes they will either hammer or vote for 1st town in which case they should have even higher than 50% chance. If the two townies end up playing one after the other in this scenario they will win 100% of the time.

I know these scenarios depend too much on speed and who posts first but it'd be interesting to talk about self voting strategies.

[BuJaber]

OK I thought about it some more and self-voting is just dumb.

Carry on