Gerrymandering Shadow Government Democracy Mafia Mod Topic

[jjh927]

I need to meme the fact that people are believing the 3p fakeclaim lmao

[zMuffinMan]

havent been following

has anyone believed whemestar's third party claim in this game?

[jjh927]

No, I mean the hebi fakeclaim

[jjh927]

Goddamn I think Wheme is crashing and burning

[jjh927]

Okay so pre-election analysis

Central Park

123456789
Firebringer
Invisibility
Ausuka


This is ostensibly a 1-1-1-1 split district. Invisibility probably decides it if scum realise that it's very split. Might even give it to whemestar if they do because invisibility has hardly posted and can justify it.

Mayfair Club

ofrhz
Not Known 15
Ruby Red

This is gonna go to mutant 2-1, probably. Ruby red can only vote in 1 district unless she postal votes before the deadline.

The greatest city in the World!

Hebichan
Myloninja13
skitter30
Aronis

Skitter is gonna lolvote whemestar and whemestar takes it 2-1-1

Coney Island

Ruby Red
Wraith
Blind Bandits

Firm 2-1 ruby red district.

Theme Park

the worst
Tazaro
mutantdevle
Whemestar

Highly split district but the worst probably votes mutant over himself, mutant could vote anywhere but probably votes himself seeing as he has a shot this time, tazaro has already submitted a postal vote for Aronis and will probably fraud for that purpose.
Personal prediction is a 2-1-1-1 to Aronis but there's 2 people I can't really predict in the midst so it's up in the wind.


Final result: I think either Wheme takes it 2-1-1-1, or Ruby Red goes 2-1-1-1 after Blind Bandits settle the central park tie. But mutant could make it to 2 districts based on the final district, so it might end up being a 2-2-1 coalition between either wheme or ruby and mutant.

It's worth noting that the final district does not have a ruby red voter within it, meaning if it ties up then who knows where blind bandits settle the tie. This will be yet another closely fought election, but with voter histories and more allegiances known it is easier to predict than the first.

[zMuffinMan]

No, I mean the hebi fakeclaim

nah my question about wheme's claim was just a general question unrelated to #75

[zMuffinMan]

as in wheme had claimed it earlier, no one believed him?

hebi claims 3p, some people buy it

[jjh927]

Yeah nobody is believing wheme lmao

[zMuffinMan]

questionable choice of claim!

[zMuffinMan]

i think i'd go with the lyncher route

"I HAVE TO LYNCH HEBI THEN I WIN"

[jjh927]

Goddamn I think Wheme is crashing and burning

[jjh927]

Discussion in setup based on a previous version of his role led me to believe his best possible claim was that he got to lynch 2 people if he became president

[zMuffinMan]

oh yeah double lynch claim might work

or skipping night phase

or something like that

but then you might have town questioning "why would a third party get to do that and what's their actual win con?"

because being able to double lynch before exiting the game seems kind of pointless and if they dont exit the game then uh... theyre just a third party who has no incentive to help either faction...

[zMuffinMan]

some form of "lyncher with special condition" fits a third party even if it isnt as "protown" sounding

[zMuffinMan]

oh wait, you meant without claiming third party, right?

in that case, yeah for sure

but once he's claimed third party (lol) it's not so great an idea

[jjh927]

Yeah

He shouldn't have claimed 3rd party lmao

[jjh927]

My wheme predictions are probably highly off course rn

[jjh927]

Highly split district but the worst probably votes mutant over himself, mutant could vote anywhere but probably votes himself seeing as he has a shot this time

Ding ding ding!

Mutant is gonna win

[jjh927]

Votes so far!

Central Park

123456789 -ruby red (postal)
Firebringer
Invisibility
Ausuka -ruby red (reg)

Looks like a ruby red district

Mayfair Club

ofrhz -mutant (reg)
Not Known 15 -mutant (reg)
Ruby Red

This is 100% going to mutant as anticipated

The greatest city in the World!

Hebichan
Myloninja13 -myloninja13 (reg)
skitter30
Aronis - Aronis (reg)

??? This is up in the air rn. This was previously gonna be a wheme district but wheme crashed and burned. It's in scum's hands

Coney Island

Ruby Red
Wraith -whemestar (reg)
Blind Bandits

Well, ruby red and blind bandits haven't actually voted yet so WHO KNOWS, maybe whemestar takes it- but it's probably a Ruby Red district because if it's a tie then blind bandits give it to ruby

Theme Park

the worst -mutant (reg)
Tazaro - Aronis (postal)
mutantdevle -mutant (reg)
Whemestar -whemestar (reg)

Mutant takes this one unless Tazaro frauds for Aronis and blind bandits pick them. But that won't happen because they almost certainly pick mutant there every time.





I am personally gonna predict 3 to mutant and 2 to ruby, especially since that will further emphasise the efficacy of these mechanics by basically creating a close-fought 2-party system despite that not being anyone's intention. I think scum will try to avoid voting for Ruby in that critical third district, The greatest city in the World!, because last time there was a tie it was broken in favour of Ruby and I don't think they actually want Ruby elected. However, if it does tie up, it'll end up being 3 to Ruby and 2 to Mutant. Either way, it's gonna be 3-2.

[zMuffinMan]

i wonder if ruby buses on becoming president

probably

[zMuffinMan]

realistically, it doesnt earn any additional town credit and isn't a necessity

but there may be a fear that not busing will make him look bad so he'll do it for that reason

[zMuffinMan]

and well some people will probably only look at it at a surface level ("he lynched scum so he's town!" or "he didn't lynch hebi and hebi was scum so he's scum!") so it's generally a good thing

[jjh927]

Pretty sure she busses hebi and that's the right play

[jjh927]

Hebi just voted firebringer


My guess is off and it's probs gonna be a 2-2-1 coalition

[zMuffinMan]

can mutantdevle be mod killed for invoking democracy in a game where democracy is apparently dead?