Open 730: Donner Party [Terminado]


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Post Post #5 (isolation #0) » Tue Jun 26, 2018 1:44 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

First
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Post Post #7 (isolation #1) » Tue Jun 26, 2018 1:47 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

VOTE: LuckOtter

I dont want to be damned.
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Post Post #10 (isolation #2) » Tue Jun 26, 2018 2:24 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Fun Fact of the day:

Korina is well known on my forum for hardclaiming scum and making a reroll
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Post Post #15 (isolation #3) » Tue Jun 26, 2018 3:18 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 8, Not_Mafia wrote:Where's my joke? Also fix the second post please
What if you are the joke?
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Post Post #19 (isolation #4) » Tue Jun 26, 2018 5:40 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

VOTE: ejjinami

That cow avi gets weirder and weirder.
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Post Post #25 (isolation #5) » Wed Jun 27, 2018 10:47 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 24, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:ManateeDude, may I ask you to get an avatar? It makes it easier to read the thread, and allows us to put an avatar on your name.
I'll get to that asap.

Question: are we hypoing?
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Post Post #30 (isolation #6) » Wed Jun 27, 2018 1:20 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 27, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 25, ManateeDude wrote:
In post 24, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:ManateeDude, may I ask you to get an avatar? It makes it easier to read the thread, and allows us to put an avatar on your name.
I'll get to that asap.

Question: are we hypoing?
Hypoing? As in HYYYYYYYYYYYPE? If so, yes we are :)
Hypoclaiming

Ex "If I am the cop, MM is town."
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Post Post #39 (isolation #7) » Wed Jun 27, 2018 3:02 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 38, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 34, BlackStar wrote:I can already tell this game will be interesting
Why?
Because of the funky setup.
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Post Post #45 (isolation #8) » Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:27 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Thats a fair point in retrospect ejj.
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Post Post #84 (isolation #9) » Thu Jun 28, 2018 9:26 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 76, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:Ignore what I said about him trying to confuse town... I think I'm the one who's confused right now lol
This just feels like a bad way to back away from their actions.

VOTE: MM
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Post Post #86 (isolation #10) » Thu Jun 28, 2018 9:36 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 85, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 84, ManateeDude wrote:
In post 76, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:Ignore what I said about him trying to confuse town... I think I'm the one who's confused right now lol
This just feels like a bad way to back away from their actions.

VOTE: MM
http://www.sc2mafia.com/forum/showthrea ... he-Smith-s

Convinced?
I have and will always be terrible at meta reads.
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Post Post #106 (isolation #11) » Thu Jun 28, 2018 4:41 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 105, LuckyOtter wrote:So far CJ I just don't have much to latch onto. I put in my two cents in on the claiming/crumbing talk and I don't have any more to contribute on that front. If you filter it out there's not much else going on yet. In our game I had a pretty specific thing to focus on right away.

I know we played together so you have that meta, but if 'not being engaged' is what's bothering you, how do you feel about shizune, who has posted once to say hello, ask a question that was already answered, and not give a RVS vote?
I actually really like this response. The tone just gives me a gut villa read atm
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Post Post #116 (isolation #12) » Fri Jun 29, 2018 2:06 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 115, ceejayvinoya wrote:Darn I see your point.

VOTE: LuckyOtter
What the hell is this 180

VOTE: CJV

Just for now.
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Post Post #124 (isolation #13) » Fri Jun 29, 2018 6:45 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 120, BlackStar wrote:This feels like TvT to me
Who are you referring to?
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Post Post #161 (isolation #14) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 8:27 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 156, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 151, BlackStar wrote:
In post 140, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 139, BlackStar wrote:I really don't like the vibe I'm getting from Marsh. He seems way too frantic and desperate for town validation
So because I'm not as lethargic as you, I'm scummy? :lol: I'm always top poster on my forum, every game (unless I die early of course, but even there lol). And "desperate for town validation"? Elaborate on that please.

If you want a link to a game on my forum, http://www.sc2mafia.com/forum/showthrea ... ht=spirits. My newbie game: viewtopic.php?t=76171&start=875.

Does anyone know BlackStar's meta, or have a link to a game he was in to give me?
In post 141, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:@BlackStar I want reaction to #140, please. Going to bed now, good morning people :P
Im not lethargic. And you're scummy because you're freaking out and flopping around all over the place hoping that people will stop being suspicious with you. You're moving your vote in order to have it line up with the general consensus and you're extremely defensive. I didn't even ask about your meta or past games and you offered it up because you're so desperate for people to stop scum reading you lol
You're not posting much, and you're refusing to put your vote somewhere (until recently).

I'm not freaking out. I will always flop all around the place :)

Nope. The general consensus atm doesn't exist lol. I initiated the vote on you. And it seems that you want to deflect it by attacking me? Also, I'm "defensive" if I say I don't want to be lynched... Isn't it normal to be willing to survive? I believe everyone should link their meta tbh, it makes the reading much easier.

I still want YOUR meta by the way. You still didn't give it. This makes me think I was right about you deflecting the suspicions by throwing shade at me.
This counterarguement is so scummy wtf.

@UnrealSeal Is Not_Mafias meta that identifiable that you can read him this early in? What tells are towny/scummy for him?

I'd also like to say that ejj is a strong null, I always have an extremely difficult time reading them as either alignment, and all posts so far have been NAI.

I've been stuck on mobile for a while now, I'm not sure when I can get an avi.
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Post Post #186 (isolation #15) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 4:24 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Sando v ceejay feels heavy T v T atm. Im gutreading both of them as town because of their tone.
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Post Post #188 (isolation #16) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 4:47 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 187, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 186, ManateeDude wrote:Sando v ceejay feels heavy T v T atm. Im gutreading both of them as town because of their tone.
So you believe the entire thing with Ceejay is a huge misunderstanding?
It just turned into a dumb fight I can't see scum initiating

VOTE: MM

This feels very pure atm
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Post Post #192 (isolation #17) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 5:07 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Fuuuuuck
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Post Post #195 (isolation #18) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 5:09 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Welp. I hope this flips scum. :facepalm:
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Post Post #198 (isolation #19) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 5:14 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 196, Not_Mafia wrote:
In post 193, Korina wrote:
MM may continue posting until their role is flipped btw

Twilight posting is also fine with me, all rules still apply though
Twilight is the time between a hammer and mod coming to the thread, not whatever this is
R u the mod?
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Post Post #200 (isolation #20) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 5:15 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Im actually confident this flips scum tbh
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Post Post #202 (isolation #21) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 5:16 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 201, Sando wrote:NM is just pissed someone took his lol hammer glory.
Feelsgoodman
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Post Post #205 (isolation #22) » Sat Jun 30, 2018 5:29 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 204, UnrealSeal wrote:god fucking dammit.

i leave for a few hours and stupid shit happens.

i'd bet money this flips town.
( ._.)
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Post Post #216 (isolation #23) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:21 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 90, Sando wrote:
I think decent chance of scum in ejj/MM, and I don't think they're scum together. 44 through 49 did not feel organic to me and I'm trying to put my finger on anything specific in there, it feels a bit buddying to me. They're both disagreeing with a hypo claim (which is fine to disagree with) using talk about whether the
cop
GS should claim or not if threatened with lynching (which is not a fine conversation, obviously they should and that has no bearing on us hypoing or not). They also both focus on the
cop
GS while ignoring the other PRs, who is the biggest threat to SK since no block there, and obviously a big threat to Mafia as well
This was the only comment sando made on MM, and later in the day didn't comment at all. I feel like this was a weak attempt at distancing. Also the excessive on smth I felt was T v T gives me scummy vibes.

VOTE: Sando

Also agree with eragon wagon was probably pure of mafia.
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Post Post #217 (isolation #24) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:22 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 214, OkaPoka wrote:VOTE: not_mafia

why are u doing naked votes and doing nothing of substance
I'm told it's his meta and NAI.
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Post Post #230 (isolation #25) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:44 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Town core
- Manatee
- Eragon

Town lean
- ceejay
- UnrealSeal
- LuckyOtter
- OkaPoka

Null
- ejjinami

Scum
- Sando

Scum is either ejj or someone in Townlean imo, I'll explain any reads you ask for an explanation for
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Post Post #232 (isolation #26) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:45 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 230, ManateeDude wrote:Town core
- Manatee
- Eragon

Town lean
- ceejay
- UnrealSeal
- LuckyOtter
- OkaPoka

Null
- ejjinami
- AP

Scum
- Sando

Scum is either ejj or someone in Townlean imo, I'll explain any reads you ask for an explanation for
Edited
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Post Post #236 (isolation #27) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:47 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 234, Eragon wrote:@manatee why am I already towncore?

and why is ejji likely scum?
1) meta
2) its null because I can never freaking read ejj. But if anything she's SK.
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Post Post #242 (isolation #28) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:50 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 238, OkaPoka wrote:wait ur towncoring eragon cuz meta?
what meta do u have prior experience with him what
I play with him consistently on the ToS forums.
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Post Post #245 (isolation #29) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:51 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 241, OkaPoka wrote:@manateedude what does eragon scumgame look like
Never has this much confidence, much more timid, takes easier read choices.
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Post Post #246 (isolation #30) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 6:52 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 244, Eragon wrote:my scum game looks like shit, let me tell you that much

last time I was scum I was lynched D1
Ew self meta
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Post Post #254 (isolation #31) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:00 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

I'd like some other opinions on sando
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Post Post #258 (isolation #32) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:03 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Korina contradicts himself in the OP
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Post Post #266 (isolation #33) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:11 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

So either
1) Maf and SK had the same target
2) The roleblocker blocked the goon
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Post Post #269 (isolation #34) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:12 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 264, Sando wrote:
In post 260, Eragon wrote:does anyone else find it odd that Sando voted the only person V/LA and is calling them flat out SK?
He's had the VLA up all game I believe.
She had quite a few contenful posts
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Post Post #275 (isolation #35) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:18 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Wait I actually think it's highly plausible the roleblocker targeted mafia. Im suggesting the roleblocker targets the same person and if their is only one NK. Than the target is close to conf.scum
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Post Post #280 (isolation #36) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:22 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

@AP
could you explain your top tier TR on Sando?
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Post Post #287 (isolation #37) » Mon Jul 02, 2018 7:27 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Ok sleeping now, gn all
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Post Post #307 (isolation #38) » Tue Jul 03, 2018 2:49 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 296, AP wrote:
In post 280, ManateeDude wrote:
@AP
could you explain your top tier TR on Sando?
I'd rather call it a meta-gut mix, but if you ISO him you might actually see he's sticking his neck out too far he can't be the stand-alone scum (SK), and while he didn't push MM much he did specify him as one of two possible scums and never actually defended him or tried to redirect the pressure off him.
Thats what I think made them buddies, some soft pushing for some easy towncred.
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Post Post #333 (isolation #39) » Tue Jul 03, 2018 3:48 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 330, OkaPoka wrote:can yall throw some votes down preferably on n_m
No. Hes playing bad bot not nessacarily scummy.
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Post Post #345 (isolation #40) » Wed Jul 04, 2018 5:04 am

Post by ManateeDude »

I still fail to see your logic on sando AP, some light distancing D1 is certainly not unheard of, and certainly shouldn't clear them of being scum.
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Post Post #353 (isolation #41) » Wed Jul 04, 2018 5:42 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Ok case incoming
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Post Post #354 (isolation #42) » Wed Jul 04, 2018 6:07 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Spoiler: Sando case
In post 14, Sando wrote:
In post 8, Not_Mafia wrote:Where's my joke? Also fix the second post please
VOTE: NM

You're meant to send the joke, not get one :lol: :lol: :lol:
RVS vote, NAI

In post 20, Sando wrote:
In post 18, ceejayvinoya wrote:I don't get it.

VOTE: Not_Mafia
Oxo is a brand of beef/chicken stock.
Random comment, NAI

In post 29, Sando wrote:
In post 25, ManateeDude wrote:Question: are we hypoing?
SK and mafia want to kill the "cop" and there's no way to stop the SK N1 since they've got a 1 shot protection from it. Seems bad on first pass to give any potential hints to the SK or mafia on the "cop".
I mean this was a misunderstanding, but the attempt at explanation felt a little weird. Idk why it pings me so much

In post 31, Sando wrote:
In post 30, ManateeDude wrote:Hypoclaiming

Ex "If I am the cop, MM is town."
Wait do you mean tomorrow? Yeah I think that idea rates a discussion. It's going to be interesting given we may have no information on the flips. Given that mafia/SK have even more knowledge compared to town than usual, I'm thinking that hypo-ing tomorrow seems like a good way to address some of that. Haven't thought through the practicalities of it yet though.
Fine post

In post 46, Sando wrote:
In post 42, ejjinami wrote:
In post 6, LuckyOtter wrote:VOTE: ceejayvinoya like I should have last time.

Pedit: Damn you manatee
are you from the game where cee was super townie and explained his reads? Was he scum?
We (me included with Otter and CJ) just played a newbie (I was SE, Otter was newbie slot after coming back from break, CJ replaced into a newbie game) where CJ was scum.
In post 44, ejjinami wrote:And I wouldn't want to hypo with flipless kills tbh.
I think it depends on the # of kills. If there's less than 3 kills then
something
happened overnight and town want that information or to free up the vig/RBs knowledge of what happened. That said, hypo might not be the best bet.
A fine post, but the hypoclaiming part makes no sense

In post 51, Sando wrote:
In post 47, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:Hypoclaiming is quite useless, because the cop really should claim if he's put on stand.
Wat? These two are completely separate functions. The cop (and any other PR) should claim if they're about to get lynched as per normal. Hypoclaiming is to allow you to give results as a PR without giving away your PR status.
First interaction with MM, not anything that would make me think "scumteam"


Ignoring any more posts on hypoing because they're NAI

In post 90, Sando wrote:Happy with AP being town here. Only thing that gave me pause was the calling me out on GS vs cop and simultaneously getting the roleblocker thing wrong but after letting him respond to that his backdown was townie. Scum don't put themselves out there like this and especially don't theory-craft this hard.

I mean, I fail to see his logic here, AP had mostly talked about theory until here and giving a TR seems silly


I think decent chance of scum in ejj/MM, and I don't think they're scum together. 44 through 49 did not feel organic to me and I'm trying to put my finger on anything specific in there, it feels a bit buddying to me. They're both disagreeing with a hypo claim (which is fine to disagree with) using talk about whether the
cop
GS should claim or not if threatened with lynching (which is not a fine conversation, obviously they should and that has no bearing on us hypoing or not). They also both focus on the
cop
GS while ignoring the other PRs, who is the biggest threat to SK since no block there, and obviously a big threat to Mafia as well.

Like I said, A comment on ejj and MM both of whom he made no later comment on.


N_M strikes me as outside scum-meta, but I'm a far cry from an expert on that one, and Math is the one I've heard most discussion of NMs play from previously so I'd like more from both of them.

*shrug*


I also prefer to TR in early days, based on an article written by Math I believe, and basically POE. My early day scumreads tend to be pretty bad, especially compared to my TRs.

weird meta. Idk tbh


AP I'm struggling to see the advantage of hypoing in the case of 3 kills. We've got a vig with a result we don't know and would like, but no way of confirming the vig without them outing themselves, and the setup is such that confirming the vig (them flipping in front of town) confirms their result as well (correct me if I'm wrong here). The only advantage I see of hypoing a 3 kill day2 is to then massclaim D3, if we don't get a vig claim we can narrow down their results. Vig getting eaten N2 onwards is a really bad situation for town though, I'm not sure any hypo on a 3 kill night is worth that risk.

Hence my talk about what to do in the case of 1-2 kills. Either the vig has a result that we'd like to have, or the RB stopped a kill and we'd like to know that, or the vig hit the SK and we'd like to know that, or two factions hit the same person and I don't think we can know that except by POE. My thoughts haven't fully percolated through yet, but I think we can potentially get enough info through to the GS+Vig to let them break the game open at least a little bit.
Ignoring rest on hypo

In post 176, Sando wrote:Wait AP, who is A, B & C in this crocodile escapade?

A = CJ, B = Otter, C = Unreal?
In post 169, ceejayvinoya wrote:1) I voted LuckyOtter for meta reasons. Everything was fine then.

2) LuckyOtter then explains why my vote on him was wrong.

3) Then UnrealSeal comes along. He votes LuckyOtter, but for reasons different for what I put forward, reasons which I feel come from not reading LuckyOtter's explanation on why my vote was wrong.

4) I voted UnrealSeal and told him I didn't understand his vote, and that LuckyOtter already provided what I had asked of him.

5) UnrealSeal then tells me he voted LuckyOtter for being deflective in his answer.

6) Finding his answer satisfactory, I switched back.
I added numbers for readability and ability to reference.

My main issue is around (2), did you think it fair enough from Otter or did you not think it a reasonable explanation?

When you say deflective from Otter, you're saying that this progression happened:
a) CJ accuses Otter of being unengaged compared to his town-game
b) Otter says "yo no-one engaged me"*
c) CJ accepts unengaged explanation
d) Unreal says "yo that's no excuse, that's deflection"*
e) CJ accepts Unreals deflection point.
(*artistic liberties taken)

Yet:
In post 173, ceejayvinoya wrote:I don't think Lucky is being deflective in his answer.
This despite what actually happened:
In post 114, UnrealSeal wrote:Otter's answer seems deflective and that's my big problem with it.
then very next post:
In post 115, ceejayvinoya wrote:Darn I see your point.

VOTE: LuckyOtter
I think saying that Unreal voted for different reasons is not really a reasonable statement, you made a case, Otter responded, Unreal thought the response wasn't good enough. To say his point is unrelated isn't really fair... I also think the language of "I see your point" is an indication you agree with it, when I think you're implying in (6) that you merely thought it was good enough to warrant an unvote, rather than agreeing with it.

You're flip-flopping alllll over the place with the deflection point.
Makes some comments on CJ about flip flopping, but still doesnt push them. I see them not voting as a towncred grab in case CJ was the lynch

In post 178, Sando wrote:
In post 177, ceejayvinoya wrote:But that's not agreement. That's me saying I understood him. I "saw" his point. I didn't say "I agree with you" or "hey, you're actually right".
Even if I follow your logic (which I disagree with, but semantics I guess), you then voted someone who you'd made a case on who had then made a convincing argument to you about why your case was weak.

If Otter convinced you your unengaged case was weak, and you didn't agree with Unreal's reasoning (only agreed it was reasonable town-argument if unconvincing to you), then why did you go back to voting Otter? You expressed 1 reason for voting Otter, Unreal expressed another, apparently Otter convinced you the first wasn't reasonable and you never agreed that Unreals was reasonable...yet you then vote Otter? For what reason?
This is mainly apersonal thing, but Otter and CJ is likely T v T imo, and when TvT happens I tend to ignore it instead kf wasting discussion time one two town members

In post 243, Sando wrote:
In post 218, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 217, ManateeDude wrote:
In post 214, OkaPoka wrote:VOTE: not_mafia

why are u doing naked votes and doing nothing of substance
I'm told it's his meta and NAI.
ive played with him a couple years back and although he was trolly he was a lot more substantive
I've seen a lot of people claim this about N_M and I'm yet to see the whole "he's good as town" ever materialise. I've only seen him troll as either alignment and it's just the amount of form of trolling that is NAI. Early votes on MM is town-indicative of him, and believe it or not I'd say the amount of discussion from him D1 was fairly townie too.

I think those that have played with him a decent amount will be fairly confident of reading him, it's a bit of a "ohhh, that's how it works" kind of realisation and you feel confident about it after that. This is also telling me the vig has probably played with N_M a few times since N_M is basically universally seen as vig-bait from what I've seen, so the vig either got blocked, N_M is SK (neither of these are likely) or the vig is confident of N_M read.

CJ flat out isn't Mafia and I very much doubt is SK. He doesn't proactively make cases like he did on MM yesterday, he doesn't answer back like he did with me yesterday. By far the scummiest thing he did was the late vote with no rationalisation on MM, and if MM had flipped town I'd have run at him hard, but he flipped red and CJ doesn't bus at all that I've seen, and that was not what a bus looks like. It could be SK but I don't think so, mostly because I think Ejj is.

I still think from early interactions with MM that Ejj doesn't seem genuine, especially compared to his later case on MM, I think he's SK.

VOTE: Ejj
Sando failed to quote or explain any of the interactions between those two. Mindmelding a bit on ejj being possible SK, but not really strongly
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Post Post #417 (isolation #43) » Sun Jul 08, 2018 4:06 am

Post by ManateeDude »

Im really hating Oka's push on Not_Mafia, but I still get towny vibes from it. So Idm joining the seal vote

VOTE: UnrealSeal

L-1
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Post Post #421 (isolation #44) » Sun Jul 08, 2018 6:47 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 420, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 417, ManateeDude wrote:Im really hating Oka's push on Not_Mafia, but I still get towny vibes from it. So Idm joining the seal vote

VOTE: UnrealSeal

L-1
what do you hate about it?
BECAUSE HE DOES THIS ALL THE TIME. ITS NOT SCUMMY FOR HIM.
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Post Post #461 (isolation #45) » Mon Jul 09, 2018 4:28 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 459, AP wrote:I'm happy to say I'm not happy with the game state. Where is everybody else?
I kinda wanna hammer seal, and sed what happens overnight.
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Post Post #588 (isolation #46) » Tue Jul 10, 2018 5:01 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Can people actually look at my sando case? I mean I provided reasons why I was SRing him, but it was completely glossed over by the unrealseal and nm cases
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Post Post #600 (isolation #47) » Wed Jul 11, 2018 5:55 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 354, ManateeDude wrote:
Spoiler: Sando case
In post 14, Sando wrote:
In post 8, Not_Mafia wrote:Where's my joke? Also fix the second post please
VOTE: NM

You're meant to send the joke, not get one :lol: :lol: :lol:
RVS vote, NAI

In post 20, Sando wrote:
In post 18, ceejayvinoya wrote:I don't get it.

VOTE: Not_Mafia
Oxo is a brand of beef/chicken stock.
Random comment, NAI

In post 29, Sando wrote:
In post 25, ManateeDude wrote:Question: are we hypoing?
SK and mafia want to kill the "cop" and there's no way to stop the SK N1 since they've got a 1 shot protection from it. Seems bad on first pass to give any potential hints to the SK or mafia on the "cop".
I mean this was a misunderstanding, but the attempt at explanation felt a little weird. Idk why it pings me so much

In post 31, Sando wrote:
In post 30, ManateeDude wrote:Hypoclaiming

Ex "If I am the cop, MM is town."
Wait do you mean tomorrow? Yeah I think that idea rates a discussion. It's going to be interesting given we may have no information on the flips. Given that mafia/SK have even more knowledge compared to town than usual, I'm thinking that hypo-ing tomorrow seems like a good way to address some of that. Haven't thought through the practicalities of it yet though.
Fine post

In post 46, Sando wrote:
In post 42, ejjinami wrote:
In post 6, LuckyOtter wrote:VOTE: ceejayvinoya like I should have last time.

Pedit: Damn you manatee
are you from the game where cee was super townie and explained his reads? Was he scum?
We (me included with Otter and CJ) just played a newbie (I was SE, Otter was newbie slot after coming back from break, CJ replaced into a newbie game) where CJ was scum.
In post 44, ejjinami wrote:And I wouldn't want to hypo with flipless kills tbh.
I think it depends on the # of kills. If there's less than 3 kills then
something
happened overnight and town want that information or to free up the vig/RBs knowledge of what happened. That said, hypo might not be the best bet.
A fine post, but the hypoclaiming part makes no sense

In post 51, Sando wrote:
In post 47, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:Hypoclaiming is quite useless, because the cop really should claim if he's put on stand.
Wat? These two are completely separate functions. The cop (and any other PR) should claim if they're about to get lynched as per normal. Hypoclaiming is to allow you to give results as a PR without giving away your PR status.
First interaction with MM, not anything that would make me think "scumteam"


Ignoring any more posts on hypoing because they're NAI

In post 90, Sando wrote:Happy with AP being town here. Only thing that gave me pause was the calling me out on GS vs cop and simultaneously getting the roleblocker thing wrong but after letting him respond to that his backdown was townie. Scum don't put themselves out there like this and especially don't theory-craft this hard.

I mean, I fail to see his logic here, AP had mostly talked about theory until here and giving a TR seems silly


I think decent chance of scum in ejj/MM, and I don't think they're scum together. 44 through 49 did not feel organic to me and I'm trying to put my finger on anything specific in there, it feels a bit buddying to me. They're both disagreeing with a hypo claim (which is fine to disagree with) using talk about whether the
cop
GS should claim or not if threatened with lynching (which is not a fine conversation, obviously they should and that has no bearing on us hypoing or not). They also both focus on the
cop
GS while ignoring the other PRs, who is the biggest threat to SK since no block there, and obviously a big threat to Mafia as well.

Like I said, A comment on ejj and MM both of whom he made no later comment on.


N_M strikes me as outside scum-meta, but I'm a far cry from an expert on that one, and Math is the one I've heard most discussion of NMs play from previously so I'd like more from both of them.

*shrug*


I also prefer to TR in early days, based on an article written by Math I believe, and basically POE. My early day scumreads tend to be pretty bad, especially compared to my TRs.

weird meta. Idk tbh


AP I'm struggling to see the advantage of hypoing in the case of 3 kills. We've got a vig with a result we don't know and would like, but no way of confirming the vig without them outing themselves, and the setup is such that confirming the vig (them flipping in front of town) confirms their result as well (correct me if I'm wrong here). The only advantage I see of hypoing a 3 kill day2 is to then massclaim D3, if we don't get a vig claim we can narrow down their results. Vig getting eaten N2 onwards is a really bad situation for town though, I'm not sure any hypo on a 3 kill night is worth that risk.

Hence my talk about what to do in the case of 1-2 kills. Either the vig has a result that we'd like to have, or the RB stopped a kill and we'd like to know that, or the vig hit the SK and we'd like to know that, or two factions hit the same person and I don't think we can know that except by POE. My thoughts haven't fully percolated through yet, but I think we can potentially get enough info through to the GS+Vig to let them break the game open at least a little bit.
Ignoring rest on hypo

In post 176, Sando wrote:Wait AP, who is A, B & C in this crocodile escapade?

A = CJ, B = Otter, C = Unreal?
In post 169, ceejayvinoya wrote:1) I voted LuckyOtter for meta reasons. Everything was fine then.

2) LuckyOtter then explains why my vote on him was wrong.

3) Then UnrealSeal comes along. He votes LuckyOtter, but for reasons different for what I put forward, reasons which I feel come from not reading LuckyOtter's explanation on why my vote was wrong.

4) I voted UnrealSeal and told him I didn't understand his vote, and that LuckyOtter already provided what I had asked of him.

5) UnrealSeal then tells me he voted LuckyOtter for being deflective in his answer.

6) Finding his answer satisfactory, I switched back.
I added numbers for readability and ability to reference.

My main issue is around (2), did you think it fair enough from Otter or did you not think it a reasonable explanation?

When you say deflective from Otter, you're saying that this progression happened:
a) CJ accuses Otter of being unengaged compared to his town-game
b) Otter says "yo no-one engaged me"*
c) CJ accepts unengaged explanation
d) Unreal says "yo that's no excuse, that's deflection"*
e) CJ accepts Unreals deflection point.
(*artistic liberties taken)

Yet:
In post 173, ceejayvinoya wrote:I don't think Lucky is being deflective in his answer.
This despite what actually happened:
In post 114, UnrealSeal wrote:Otter's answer seems deflective and that's my big problem with it.
then very next post:
In post 115, ceejayvinoya wrote:Darn I see your point.

VOTE: LuckyOtter
I think saying that Unreal voted for different reasons is not really a reasonable statement, you made a case, Otter responded, Unreal thought the response wasn't good enough. To say his point is unrelated isn't really fair... I also think the language of "I see your point" is an indication you agree with it, when I think you're implying in (6) that you merely thought it was good enough to warrant an unvote, rather than agreeing with it.

You're flip-flopping alllll over the place with the deflection point.
Makes some comments on CJ about flip flopping, but still doesnt push them. I see them not voting as a towncred grab in case CJ was the lynch

In post 178, Sando wrote:
In post 177, ceejayvinoya wrote:But that's not agreement. That's me saying I understood him. I "saw" his point. I didn't say "I agree with you" or "hey, you're actually right".
Even if I follow your logic (which I disagree with, but semantics I guess), you then voted someone who you'd made a case on who had then made a convincing argument to you about why your case was weak.

If Otter convinced you your unengaged case was weak, and you didn't agree with Unreal's reasoning (only agreed it was reasonable town-argument if unconvincing to you), then why did you go back to voting Otter? You expressed 1 reason for voting Otter, Unreal expressed another, apparently Otter convinced you the first wasn't reasonable and you never agreed that Unreals was reasonable...yet you then vote Otter? For what reason?
This is mainly apersonal thing, but Otter and CJ is likely T v T imo, and when TvT happens I tend to ignore it instead kf wasting discussion time one two town members

In post 243, Sando wrote:
In post 218, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 217, ManateeDude wrote:
In post 214, OkaPoka wrote:VOTE: not_mafia

why are u doing naked votes and doing nothing of substance
I'm told it's his meta and NAI.
ive played with him a couple years back and although he was trolly he was a lot more substantive
I've seen a lot of people claim this about N_M and I'm yet to see the whole "he's good as town" ever materialise. I've only seen him troll as either alignment and it's just the amount of form of trolling that is NAI. Early votes on MM is town-indicative of him, and believe it or not I'd say the amount of discussion from him D1 was fairly townie too.

I think those that have played with him a decent amount will be fairly confident of reading him, it's a bit of a "ohhh, that's how it works" kind of realisation and you feel confident about it after that. This is also telling me the vig has probably played with N_M a few times since N_M is basically universally seen as vig-bait from what I've seen, so the vig either got blocked, N_M is SK (neither of these are likely) or the vig is confident of N_M read.

CJ flat out isn't Mafia and I very much doubt is SK. He doesn't proactively make cases like he did on MM yesterday, he doesn't answer back like he did with me yesterday. By far the scummiest thing he did was the late vote with no rationalisation on MM, and if MM had flipped town I'd have run at him hard, but he flipped red and CJ doesn't bus at all that I've seen, and that was not what a bus looks like. It could be SK but I don't think so, mostly because I think Ejj is.

I still think from early interactions with MM that Ejj doesn't seem genuine, especially compared to his later case on MM, I think he's SK.

VOTE: Ejj
Sando failed to quote or explain any of the interactions between those two. Mindmelding a bit on ejj being possible SK, but not really strongly

Here it is for reference
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Post Post #606 (isolation #48) » Wed Jul 11, 2018 10:07 am

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 357, LuckyOtter wrote:
In post 352, Sando wrote:
In post 349, Eragon wrote:I’m not sure what that whole post was really about, but it seems like “Oh I understand this is and I’m trying to make it clearer so that it seems like I’m being pro-town by clearing things up”
Wait what? I tried to clear something up with AP, but the main part of the post was going after CJ saying he was trying to rewrite history. I posted his words and put them side by side to show that they didn't really make sense together. I then follow up in 178 and again in 182. I was pretty clearly digging into CJ there, I dunno how you think I was just trying to "clean things up".
This part makes sense to me. I don't see a case being made against Sando because of this. If anything, Manatee had a better point about Sando not following up on this with a vote, but if I'm reading Manatee's 'case' right, that's about the most damning thing that we see from him. Is that correct, Manatee? (Most of your case is really just an ISO with lots of null reads in it, as far as I can tell).

As far as I can tell the best case against Sando is his lack of vote and focusing too much on theory talk D1. N_M what do you think?
It was more of an analysis per se. I looked through the ISO and got a scum!sando conclusion
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Post Post #618 (isolation #49) » Wed Jul 11, 2018 6:45 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 613, Skygazer wrote:
In post 606, ManateeDude wrote:It was more of an analysis per se. I looked through the ISO and got a scum!sando conclusion
Why did you call it a case that everyone needs to look at, then?
:shrug:

VOTE: Sando

Seems this is gaining traction
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Post Post #641 (isolation #50) » Thu Jul 12, 2018 7:33 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Agree on eragon, but not sando. Cant say im loving oka, but much prefer sando.
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Post Post #642 (isolation #51) » Thu Jul 12, 2018 7:34 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 621, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 188, ManateeDude wrote:
In post 187, Marshmallow Marshall wrote:
In post 186, ManateeDude wrote:Sando v ceejay feels heavy T v T atm. Im gutreading both of them as town because of their tone.
So you believe the entire thing with Ceejay is a huge misunderstanding?
It just turned into a dumb fight I can't see scum initiating

VOTE: MM

This feels very pure atm
what are the chances that this is completely on accident, and he hammered his scum partner?
0.01%
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Post Post #646 (isolation #52) » Fri Jul 13, 2018 9:23 am

Post by ManateeDude »

Rber should rb the same person again, vig should attempt to shoot again.
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Post Post #675 (isolation #53) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:00 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

So im guessing that rber hit SK or vig...
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Post Post #681 (isolation #54) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:03 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 676, OkaPoka wrote:what makes you say that
Well only one NK

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Post Post #683 (isolation #55) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:04 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 682, OkaPoka wrote:what if vig is dead
what if vig hit sk
O im big dumby
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Post Post #686 (isolation #56) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:08 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Anyone see SK!CJV here?
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Post Post #688 (isolation #57) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:12 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

VOTE: CJV

We have enough time to risk this
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Post Post #699 (isolation #58) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:17 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

VOTE: skygazer

Can we quicklynch and move on?

Actually agree with that Oka
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Post Post #702 (isolation #59) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:19 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 700, Skygazer wrote:I think yall are reading too much into that

FoS mana for pushing quicklynches twice now
:shifty:

Who would you lynch?
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Post Post #704 (isolation #60) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:21 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 703, Skygazer wrote:Yall can lynch me before lylo but I want some time to gamesolve

Quicklynching can only hurt the town tho

Thinking rn
:shifty:

I was joking
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Post Post #708 (isolation #61) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:24 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 706, OkaPoka wrote:do u actually scumread manatee
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Post Post #711 (isolation #62) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:26 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 710, OkaPoka wrote:VOTE: skygazer

no reason
:shifty:
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Post Post #717 (isolation #63) » Sun Jul 15, 2018 6:29 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Eragon never gambits as scum so thats
+towncred
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Post Post #786 (isolation #64) » Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:28 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

In post 753, OkaPoka wrote:alright manatee why u trolling with that vt claim
I wasnt fully confident in dkygazer flipping SK, so decided to not out my self on two people unlikely to be lynched.
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Post Post #787 (isolation #65) » Tue Jul 17, 2018 3:30 pm

Post by ManateeDude »

Im actually happy for lynching sando, probably my first time pushing a SR, lynching it and flipping scum.
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