2018 NFL 4 Strikes Challenge - Gamma vs. Kmd

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2018 NFL 4 Strikes Challenge - Gamma vs. Kmd

Post Post #0 (isolation #0) » Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:40 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

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2018 NFL 3 Strikes Challenge

(Format and rules and everything taken from Pablito's hostings of this game the last three years)
Pretty much the standard Eliminator challenge, but you get additional lives.

RULES

The objective of the challenge is to correctly select a "Winning Pick" for one NFL game each week.

Each week, you must select one team which you believe will be the winner of that game. Please post in thread and bold your pick for that week. If you are correct, you stay alive. However, if your pick for that week loses its game, or you fail to make a pick for a given week, you earn a Strike. If you earn three Strikes, you are eliminated.
Once you pick a team, you can't use that team the rest of the season.


The last remaining person wins. If more than one person is left standing after Week 17, the following tiebreaker is used:

1. The person who has the least amount of Strikes
2. The person who has the longest streak of correct picks
3. I don't want to deal with more tiebreakers than this, so we'll just call it a tie between any players tied after the first two tiebreaker rules.

Lock-time
All selections will lock at the scheduled kick-off of each game (as found on the NFL website). Players must make sure their picks are submitted by the scheduled locktime each week. You will not be able to make selections for games that have already locked. Selections submitted after the deadline are considered invalid, and will not be counted as Winning Picks. Entrants who submit selections after the lock time and do not submit another entry for the week will earn a Strike. Feel free to change your pick as long as both the game you are changing from and the game you are changing to have not reached their respective lock-times.

Tie Games
In the event a game should end in a tie after overtime, players that had selected teams in the game as their picks for that week will neither be recorded with a Winning Pick or a Strike.

Joining in Late:
Players have until Week 3 to join.
If you join in Week 2, you start the game with one Strike. If you join in Week 3, you start the game with two Strikes.

Standings:
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Post Post #1 (isolation #1) » Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:43 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Sorry for waiting so long to put this up, I was hoping someone else would do it but I guess not. Feel free to pick tonight's game if you can get your pick made in time.

WEEK ONE GAMES: (all times ET)
Falcons @ Eagles, Thursday 8:20p
Titans @ Dolphins, Sunday 1:00p
49ers @ Vikings, Sunday 1:00p
Texans @ Patriots, Sunday 1:00p
Buccaneers @ Saints, Sunday 1:00p
Jaguars @ Giants, Sunday 1:00p
Bengals @ Colts, Sunday 1:00p
Steelers @ Browns, Sunday 1:00p
Bills @ Ravens, Sunday 1:00p
Chiefs @ Chargers, Sunday 4:05p
Redskins @ Cardinals, Sunday 4:25p
Cowboys @ Panthers, Sunday 4:25p
Seahawks @ Broncos, Sunday 4:25p
Bears @ Packers, Sunday 8:20p
Jets @ Lions, Monday 7:10p
Rams @ Raiders, Monday 10:20p
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Post Post #2 (isolation #2) » Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:44 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Titans
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Post Post #15 (isolation #3) » Fri Sep 07, 2018 6:22 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

I’m interpreting it as if a tie would break a streak but not count as a strike.
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Post Post #18 (isolation #4) » Fri Sep 07, 2018 9:32 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

In post 17, Irrelephant11 wrote:Go
Browns
Quoted for posterity
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Post Post #22 (isolation #5) » Fri Sep 07, 2018 2:44 pm

Post by D3f3nd3r »

The latter, I think. It’s a streak of correct picks, not a streak of games without a strike.
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Post Post #32 (isolation #6) » Tue Sep 11, 2018 5:43 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

I’ll put up results for this week some time tonight, but feel free to pick for week two in the meantime.

LA Chargers
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Post Post #34 (isolation #7) » Tue Sep 11, 2018 6:36 am

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We've got a bit of a bloodbath on our hands...
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Post Post #44 (isolation #8) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:25 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

10/11 picks so far are on the Saints, Rams, or Chargers. Will anyone other than Aronis be bold and break from the others?

Still waiting on submissions from Snakes, Vash, Panzer, Racefan, Shaft.ed, Pablito, Nero, and Haschel. We’re also still open to new players, but you would start with a Strike from last week.
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Post Post #51 (isolation #9) » Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:29 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Ties are neither wins nor losses; you're better off picking someone that ties than someone that loses but you're also better off picking someone that wins than someone that ties.

Essentially ties count as losses when it comes to tiebreakers. Which is almost exactly what Pabs did the last several years.
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Post Post #54 (isolation #10) » Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:55 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Shaft.ed and Nero need to make their picks before tonight’s game if they don’t want to get strikes for not submitting.
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Post Post #56 (isolation #11) » Tue Sep 18, 2018 2:56 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Yeah, I got it. Full Week 2 stats will be up in the next few hours, but feel free to make Week 3 picks now.
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Post Post #64 (isolation #12) » Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:39 pm

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Good news - everyone that was right Week 1 continued to be right!

Bad news - Shaft.ed and Nero Cain failed to submit and get their second strike. Vash, Racefan, and Aronis went for teams in the Northeast - and all got their picks wrong to go to two strikes.

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Post Post #65 (isolation #13) » Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:39 pm

Post by D3f3nd3r »

Also, for what it's worth the Browns are favored against the Jets...
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Post Post #78 (isolation #14) » Sun Sep 23, 2018 2:19 am

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Still need picks from Snakes, Panzer, Sharon, Aronis, Shaft.ed, and Nero!
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Post Post #80 (isolation #15) » Sun Sep 23, 2018 4:33 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

I’ve never seen anyone go perfect here, FWIW. Picking against bad teams always backfires - Browns in 2016, Jets last year, and I’m sure there will be more.
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Post Post #83 (isolation #16) » Sun Sep 23, 2018 11:43 am

Post by D3f3nd3r »

11/13 people whose picks have completed their games have gotten a Strike this week. The Eagles and (oh god I’m actually saying this) the Browns are the only teams picked correctly so far.
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Post Post #92 (isolation #17) » Tue Sep 25, 2018 10:51 am

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It's...bad.
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Post Post #93 (isolation #18) » Tue Sep 25, 2018 10:53 am

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Seattle
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Post Post #108 (isolation #19) » Mon Oct 01, 2018 6:06 am

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Ravens


Stats will be posted tomorrow after the last game tonight.
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Post Post #118 (isolation #20) » Sat Oct 06, 2018 7:12 am

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Waiting on Haschel/Vash/Racefan!
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Post Post #121 (isolation #21) » Sun Oct 07, 2018 9:58 am

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Panzer, Pabs, and I are eliminated. F.

Last chance for Haschel to pick!
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Post Post #123 (isolation #22) » Sun Oct 07, 2018 1:53 pm

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Wait shit I misread something and put the Rams down as losing...before their game kicked off. Whoops.
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Post Post #128 (isolation #23) » Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:55 am

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I’ll try to when I get to a computer. For now your best bet is probably just to ISO yourself.
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Post Post #132 (isolation #24) » Tue Oct 09, 2018 5:34 pm

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In post 131, Micc wrote:
Rams
You picked the Rams in Week 2.
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Post Post #133 (isolation #25) » Tue Oct 09, 2018 5:50 pm

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Post Post #140 (isolation #26) » Sat Oct 13, 2018 5:55 am

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Still waiting for four people!
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Post Post #148 (isolation #27) » Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:18 am

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IPS is the only person to get a strike last week, as the Panthers lost to Washington.
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Post Post #152 (isolation #28) » Tue Oct 16, 2018 4:21 pm

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In post 151, Iprobablysuck wrote:
have i picked atlanta yet?
Now you have!
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Post Post #156 (isolation #29) » Sat Oct 20, 2018 9:38 am

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Are you Vash, Haschel, Racefan, TWIE, or Panzer? If so, you should submit!
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Post Post #163 (isolation #30) » Mon Oct 22, 2018 1:50 am

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Hey, all you have to do is have faith in this man:

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Post Post #175 (isolation #31) » Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:59 am

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Waiting on IPS and Irrelephant!
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Post Post #177 (isolation #32) » Sun Oct 28, 2018 6:39 am

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Will do!
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Post Post #185 (isolation #33) » Tue Oct 30, 2018 2:14 am

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I’ll get a chart up mid-day today.
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Post Post #187 (isolation #34) » Tue Oct 30, 2018 7:51 am

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Post Post #192 (isolation #35) » Thu Nov 01, 2018 9:39 am

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Since others only have one strike, they’re only a week behind (and lose the tiebreaker) so they still have until Week 16 as it stands.
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Post Post #198 (isolation #36) » Mon Nov 05, 2018 10:56 am

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Snakes has gotten his second strike from his Washington pick. Kmd and TWIE are the only two players on one strike (plus Gamma of course).
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Post Post #205 (isolation #37) » Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:32 pm

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Post Post #208 (isolation #38) » Fri Nov 09, 2018 12:11 pm

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Still need submissions from Racefan, Flicker, and Snakes!
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Post Post #213 (isolation #39) » Sun Nov 11, 2018 6:40 pm

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Strike two for TWIE...Snakes and Flicker strike out.
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Post Post #218 (isolation #40) » Tue Nov 13, 2018 5:21 am

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In post 216, Kmd4390 wrote:
Saints
You used them last week
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Post Post #221 (isolation #41) » Sat Nov 17, 2018 7:42 pm

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Waiting on Irrelephant and Racefan
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Post Post #224 (isolation #42) » Sun Nov 18, 2018 1:35 pm

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With that, my consecutive correct pick streak from 2016 will hold for another year. But Kmd and Gamma are still at just one strike, with TWIE right behind them at 2 (along with Irrelephant if he gets a pick in).
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Post Post #227 (isolation #43) » Sun Nov 18, 2018 6:04 pm

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Will do tomorrow - don’t want to have to remake it immediately if Irrelephant submits.
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Post Post #230 (isolation #44) » Tue Nov 20, 2018 6:03 am

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With two correct picks in a row, Kmd will be tied for the most consecutive picks this season with ten - a third one will give him the lead. TWIE is still in it but needs both Gamma and Kmd to strike out.
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Post Post #234 (isolation #45) » Sun Nov 25, 2018 4:28 pm

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And then there were two...
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Post Post #236 (isolation #46) » Mon Nov 26, 2018 3:45 am

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If Kmd gets one of the next two weeks wrong then Gamma will have a bit of room for error since he’ll still have a longer/equal streak.
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Post Post #240 (isolation #47) » Sun Dec 02, 2018 6:46 am

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I’ll get an updated scoreboard up tonight
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Post Post #243 (isolation #48) » Mon Dec 03, 2018 6:04 am

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@Gamma #BotchItForBosa
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Post Post #251 (isolation #49) » Sun Dec 16, 2018 1:47 pm

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Gamma gets a second strike, and we are tied up anew!
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Post Post #256 (isolation #50) » Sat Dec 22, 2018 7:56 am

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Post Post #259 (isolation #51) » Thu Dec 27, 2018 12:50 pm

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Also - since I’m going to be on V/LA next week I won’t be able to run the postseason prediction challenge again. If anyone wants to run it this year, go for it.
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Post Post #264 (isolation #52) » Mon Dec 31, 2018 1:38 pm

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If you both agree to go into the playoffs then we’ll do that, otherwise we’ll call it a tie.
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Post Post #267 (isolation #53) » Mon Dec 31, 2018 4:20 pm

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I think we’d reset
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Post Post #271 (isolation #54) » Tue Jan 01, 2019 3:56 am

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I’m back on Sunday, so we should be okay until then since we have all of the picks for next week.
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Post Post #272 (isolation #55) » Fri Jan 04, 2019 3:36 am

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Don’t think I actually said this anywhere, but my predictions are HOU/SEA/LAC/CHI
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Post Post #275 (isolation #56) » Sun Jan 06, 2019 2:35 pm

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I mean

We can always do it again
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Post Post #279 (isolation #57) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 2:16 am

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(Title updated)
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Post Post #281 (isolation #58) » Sun Jan 13, 2019 4:26 pm

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Third time’s the charm?
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Post Post #287 (isolation #59) » Sun Jan 20, 2019 9:05 am

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We will have a winner following this game, as Gamma has taken the Rams and Kmd has taken the Saints.
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