In post 590, yessiree wrote:The first lynch was supposed to give town grounds for the second, but it didn’t really work well in this case. There wasnt much progress to be made in the 2 remaining vt claims. There SHOULD have been.
We did follow the optimal strategy: lynching strictly from the claimed VT pool. Following that strategy in and of itself gives town a 2/3 chance of winning, we just put our trust in the wrong VT.
If Clemency at least agreed with us on that strategy (even while scumreading us), he would have advocated for lynching LolWagons on day one rather than our slot, since he was convinced that LolWagons was our scum partner. Obviously Bambi would have never agreed to a LolWagons lynch, and Bambi's push for a Michael Scott lynch but refusal to join a LolWagon's lynch would have (hopefully) been a big red flag for Clemency, since Bambi publicly agreed with Clemency's sentiment that the scumteam was Michael Scott/Mcqueen/LolWagons. Clemency could have tested Bambi by switching from his push on us to pushing LolWagons instead (Bambi obviously couldn't commit to this push).
That's what I really don't get. Clemency can scumread us to his heart's content, but he had no reason to reject the optimal strategy of lynching from the claimed VT pool. He should have been pushing for LolWagon's lynch rather than our lynch on day one if he was convinced that the scumteam was Michael Scott/Mcqueen/LolWagons. That alone could have changed the entire course of the game -- if everyone aligned with the town embraced the strategy of lynching from the claimed VT pool, regardless of which players they townread or scumread.
Although in the end we did lynch from the claimed VT pool, I think things really started to go downhill for town when the idea of lynching from the claimed town lover pool was embraced by some townies.
Neither Dong nor Overkill did enough to convince either myself or Auro that we should locktown them. Wagons did an excellent job at coming across as a strategic pro-town leader.