i feel very attacked rnIn post 14, Erika Furudo wrote:A Town Loss is where town handed the win for free, simply by the act of imploding onto each other. Its hard to look at that game and that MoI deserved the win when Town for the most part had imploded in the game.
Mini Normal 2002: The Thaw OVERRRRRRRRR
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I don't think 51 is likely how scum enters the game after the first couple pages.In post 90, MagnaofIllusion wrote:a question toward me
55/57 are also pretty good. Doesn't feel like an especially likely thing for scum to want to fake.- implosion
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You seem to have mistaken me for someone.In post 108, MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Read his completed scum win game and get back to me again ...In post 92, implosion wrote:
I don't think 51 is likely how scum enters the game after the first couple pages.In post 90, MagnaofIllusion wrote:a question toward me
55/57 are also pretty good. Doesn't feel like an especially likely thing for scum to want to fake.
Got any cliffnotes? Is it just that those things are within his range, or that you specifically think he's the kind of player that would be particularly cheeky as scum?- implosion
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Is this @me?In post 136, GreyICE wrote:Anyway like how cheeky do you think Saudade is?
If it is then idk. Moderately? I haven't played with him.- implosion
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This is also either flat bullshit or poor sarcasmIn post 119, Flavor Leaf wrote:But yeah, I was very aware I was putting myself at L-2 and not L-1. Wanted to bait the hammer- implosion
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The part that is bullshit is you claiming you wanted to bait the hammer. I don't doubt as either alignment that you thought you were putting yourself at L-2. I just think it's complete bullshit that you were trying to bait a hammer if you're town, or it's some kind of really bad sarcastic jab like you weren't actually trying to bait a hammer and are being snide. In which case fine but it still leaves a bad taste.Flavor Leaf wrote:Eh. I was clearly aware. But you saying that means you think that I’d either risk taking a hammer as scum on page 4, or you think i’m town who actually thought I thought I was putting myself at L-1.- implosion
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I don't know if I will figure out how to read Hoopla. This is pretty much what I expected from her as either alignment, though I haven't played with her in 6.5 years.In post 162, Erika Furudo wrote:Actually lets make my life easier.
If any one of CoA, Implo, and GreyICE has a read on {Hoopla or Cheetory} that can be explained with words please educate me, I will likely sheep right now if it sounds good.
Preferibly all 3 would be nice.
Cheetory is p much his town self so far. Though not strongly so. There is some merit to what Grey said.- implosion
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oh mercy me so do iIn post 283, Gamma Emerald wrote:I think you might be town rn
Saudade is doing a lot of actions that are less likely to come from scum in the gamestate. Going after flavor specifically for selfvoting is not an especially likely scum play, because it draws attention to him and inevitably draws ire from flavor if saudade is scum and flavor is town. He doesn't seem especially interested in being townread, his investigation into his wagon feels genuine.- implosion
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He's consistently getting on peoples' bad sides; his treatment toward you and toward boon and toward the wagon on him (eg 236 217 254) does not look like someone seeking to be townread, it just looks like a townie who's a little bit annoyed that they're being wagoned. I'd expect scum here to be cautious, since he'd either know this is a high profile player list or he'd have no clue about the player list. Like it's possible for him to fake this stuff in theory but it would take a lot of skill. And "but he won a newbie game as scum!" is not enough reason for me to discount it.In post 299, Gamma Emerald wrote:
These both don't feel true, what makes you say these things?In post 288, implosion wrote:He doesn't seem especially interested in being townread, his investigation into his wagon feels genuine.
WRT his wagon it's sort of the same thing, he's being kind of unnecessarily antagonistic. It's more direct than I'd expect scum to take as a tact here. Idk. It just doesn't feel right as the scum angle. I'd expect him as scum to be a bit more wishy-washy about the people on his wagon, or I'd expect him to be happy to join the MoI wagon. The way he's reacting to the wagon as a whole feels genuine. There are just a lot of little things that I don't think are what he'd do as scum.- implosion
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you seem to have fallen out of the times of the current meta, the kids are calling it a 'neapolitan' these daysIn post 351, GreyICE wrote:A VT weak investigative role that's confusing in a normal?- implosion
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thought i answered this yesterday for some reason.
I'm bored with the day and still think he's scum and never really had the best reasons for unvoting him.
Disagree. I use the word antagonistic specifically; the way he's doing it makes me think he doesn't really care what they think of him. This isn't a personality tell, some players tend to be more aggressive in general yes but it's rare for scum to go out of their way to alienate half of the player list.MoI wrote:1. He’s more antagonistic against those voting him than scum should be? Um, no that purely a function of personality than alignment – some people are always going to be more aggressive against attackers while some are going to be downright passive.
Yeah I didn't explain this piece well.MoI wrote:2. He’d expect scum Saud to be more wishy-washy about the people on his wagon. I’d argue that is exactly what his is doing. For reference Saud posted this –
False. My vote on you was mostly a placeholder/blindly wagoning. I don't have a good read on you yet. I was vaguely hoping to see how you'd react directly to my vote on you, but then you disappeared for that day and I got tired of waiting. And now you're making a hell of a lot of assumptions about my vote; you're assuming that it was because of an explicit scumread on you, you're assuming that I wanted the wagon to keep growing, and you're assuming that I should be exonerating every vote on the wagon just because I was on it? That is such an un-nuanced way of looking at things. Like, this line:MoI wrote:Implosion is implicitly saying he’s Town in his posts. Next he’s voting me at this stage so he is presenting that he thinks I am scum.
is really one-dimensional. Sure, I might not give saud-scum townpoints for avoiding jumping on a wagon on you if I'm completely sold that you're scum... but even if I have a scumread on you, I'm not going to assume that you're scum when I evaluate Saudade's actions. my day one reads are crap like half the time. I don't see why you think I should be looking at Saudade's actions through the lens of my read on you. It could function as evidence that you're scumWhy in god’s green earth would Saud get Town points for being hesitant to vote a person he thinks is quite possibly scum who jumped on his wagon? Does that make sense? If anything I’d expect Town Implosion who thinks I am scum to wonder why Saud didn’t jump on the wagon not give him Town points.togetherbut d1 associatives are crap.
If Saudade is scum, then unless you're also scum, the wagon on you would be an incredibly easy vote for him to make. He could justify it super easily, he was already throwing some vague shade in your direction, the wagon was growing, etc. You're ignoring my argument to instead talk about pretend reasoning for my vote that I never presented.- implosion
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To try to explain that piece better, yeah you're basically taking a single piece of my argument out of context of the rest of it. Basically I just don't think this is the prudent way to react to the pressure on him if he's scum and I don't think it looks like it's faked.In post 300, implosion wrote:I'd expect him as scum to be a bit more wishy-washy about the people on his wagon, or I'd expect him to be happy to join the MoI wagon. The way he's reacting to the wagon as a whole feels genuine.
There's a class of tells that I've had in the back of my mind for a bit that are things that scum is somewhat less likely to do because those things are going to draw more negative attention than positive. And I think those tells have a good chance of being some of the most accurate, because even if they're publicly known, scum will still avoid doing them because there's still a large portion of the population who thinks that they're scummy. And it's not too scummy to be scum, per se, it's just doing things that don't really have the clearest motivation if he's scum.
I don't see saudade's motivation for reacting the way he has, as a whole, if he's scum.- implosion
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It's impossible to understand flavor's play without some knowledge of his meta. He does things in a very intentionally arbitrary way and makes a point to be inconsistent in certain regards.In post 394, StefanB wrote:So perhabs my question should be: Why is Flavor playing like he does? If someone has a scum-motivation good.
His scum motivation here, if he's scum, is simply to try to emulate his meta. He's screwing around with the claim-backtrack-differentclaim shenanigans to try to get people to think in the back of their heads that this isn't something he'd do as scum, even though his sig is very explicit that he'll do pretty much anything as scum.
In a sense, his existence in a game is -EV for town in the same way that creature's is +EV for town.- implosion
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MoI is very consistent in his style of logic and argumentation. He's actually doing a very similar sort of set of assumptions toward Erika and Saudade as he does toward me. He criticizing erika's prism vote on the grounds that based on what erika has said, she should be voting elsewhere. He criticizes Saudade for being skeptical of my vote despite voting in the same direction. It's almost like MoI is assuming that everyone else in the game if they are town is communicating the exact state of their thought process in this game perfectly. And that's just not true of town in general. The problem is that I'm pretty sure this isn't a tell for MoI and I have no idea how to actually read him, and the push even feels vaguely reminiscent of the last game I played with MoI where we were both town and suspected each other. Which is why I can understand why erika wants to just lynch him the day before lylo if he's still alive. And why I don't really understand why he's critical of erika for claiming inability to read him. I just don't know how to interpret any of this with regards to his alignment.- implosion
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also yes this post was a joke if that wasn't clear.In post 384, StefanB wrote:was hopfully a joke or he wins the are you reading the posts or just skimming them, award.
Stefan is also probably town. Which nominally leaves hoopla/moi/hiraki/prism to sort. Two people who haven't posted substantially and two people who I have no clue how to read. Although I can see hoopla as scum here maybe.- implosion
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The EV thing isn't how I'm thinking about the game, it's just an attempt to help explain boon's meta. I'm not sure how you get that from the post.Prism wrote:This seems off to me. You're thinking of this in terms of expected outcomes/values already. Do you feel as though the backtrack on the claim is more likely as scum?
Pretty sure I've explained elsewhere why exactly I think the scum motivation is more likely. I guess I haven't really in depth but basically just a lot of what he's done around it reads like plain bullshit. The claim about wanting to bait a hammer, the half-assed "oh i'm not sure if i remember what my role pm was maybe it was vt". And the admitting that he's really scummy and claiming he's willing to eat a lynch for it. All of that is just gross.From your perspective though, I feel like this is a statement on possible motivation with little focus on the likelihood of each, and I don't like it.
This isn't the point I'm making; the point is just that MoI is making a lot of assumptions. It's partially a rhetorical style he has but his read on me in particular is rooted in assumptions about/misinterpretations of my posts. It's certainly protown to be clear and logical but town players aren't always, and don't always explain the entirety of their decision-making process unprompted.Stefan wrote:I think beeing clear and logical are not exactly antitown.
So a player who looks protown is the same as someone who allways looks scummy?- implosion
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Won't have time to post more than this tonight.
I'm really, really tempted to just not respond to MoI's last wall at all because I'm pretty sure we're both just misunderstanding each other and it's unproductive to keep going back and forth. So a select couple of points:
This is a complete misrep. It was not a reaction test more than it was just a placeholder of i-don't-have-anywhere-better-to-put-this.so your vote was a reaction test that failed miserably
Like I said (at least I'm pretty sure I said this) I was somewhat concerned about the claim even though I didn't believe it. Or at least I felt like I should unvote because of it. I went back and forth about it a bit in my head, and it's all colored by the fact that it's boonskiies.as opposed to keeping a vote on your claimed scum suspect in Flavor?
Why the hell would I.Umm whut? You are giving him a solid Town read on his refusal to jump on a bandwagon on me. And are not to going to assume my alignment in doing so?
Your alignment has very little directly to do with his; town are wrong sometimes. Scum bus sometimes. Jumping or not jumping onto a wagon that happens to be on scum is not a tell out of the context of the jump/lack thereof itself. Towns lynch mafia at a rate close to random on day one, and modulating how I'm reading one person with how I'm reading another with no flips is just guaranteed to have something wrong.
Third point WRT erika is fair.
But overall I just feel like you're misinterpreting me very heavily because (i think like keely said) you're imposing the way you think about the game on to me, which is something I used to do a while ago but stopped because it's just a bad idea.
@Hiraki: you probably have a good point that I'm being at least somewhat hypocritical WRT magna and boon. But (1) I respect magna's play in general a lot more, and (2) I do think I've seen things from boon that are more likely to come from him as scum. I've certainly entertained the thought of flavor being town and I'm not sure why you think I haven't. I'm not sold on him being scum by any means, but he's scummier to me than anyone else in the game right now. I don't always get good scumreads on day one and I try to audit myself because I have a tendency to latch on to things that I later wind up completely disagreeing with myself on.- implosion
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You are clearly very unfamiliar with my towngame. Which is odd given that I did this quite a lot in the one game you've played with me, where I was town. I don't "just pick a motivation"; it's never arbitrary.Prism wrote:Where he falls on the spectrum probably varies depending on alignment but this is in general reeks of what I thought was also wrong with his flavor read (Seems to be a focus on just picking a possible motivation then selling it rather than the reverse).
??????I also really don't like #416. It's giving reasons for MoI being plausibly town but there's a pervasive fear of explicitly saying so that I don't think is town behavior.
I am extremely explicit about the fact that this is all null to me. I really don't want to make an enemy out of MoI, because the last time we played together he tunneled me and I tunneled him back and we were both town. And I would really like to avoid that if he is town because it's the only time I've been mislynched in a damn long time. This is one of the big reasons why I can't read his push on me easily. Like I said, he's done it before. And that's really frustrating.
I have no idea what in what I said you think I should be townreading Magna for. He's done a lot of shit that he's done before as town, and nothing that I don't think he can fake as scum (and nothing that I think he's especially unlikely to fake as scum). Saying that I should be townreading him is another horrible misrep of what I've been saying.
How much do you remember of my meta from the game we played a while ago?- implosion
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viewtopic.php?f=53&t=66137In post 527, MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Link this game please.In post 526, implosion wrote:I really don't want to make an enemy out of MoI, because the last time we played together he tunneled me and I tunneled him back and we were both town.- implosion
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And I just skimmed a piece of that game and we actually had VERY LITERALLY the exact same argument as one of the ones here- implosion
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543 from Hoopla feels really, really ridiculously pockety. I don't like any of her posts on the last page really. If a wagon pops up on her I'll join it, although I'd still rather lynch flavor if we can swing it especially since he's already claimed.
@Prism's 532:
I actually have no idea what these words are saying. You're saying that you think I'm scum because you think I've been picking motivations to be more likely in an arbitrary way? If so, specifics?I'm not asserting that you're town, and I am asserting that the pick of a motivation seems arbitrary. I don't see how these two are inconsistent.
One, it reminds me of town magna from two years ago.I'm aware that it was explicitly null; that's my entire problem with it. You're citing a lot of behaviors he's doing that aren't ideal but you've seen from a town Magna. You aren't sure that it's a tell but the care with which you're treating Magna vs. the willingness to pass out townreads elsewhere is incredibly odd. I don't see any reason for you to fear him so much you see a game that reminds you of town Magna and still just go "he's null"
Two, and more importantly, like I said it doesn't remind me of town magna in a way that I think Magna can't fake. All of my townreads have done things that I think they're unlikely to fake as scum. Honestly thinking about it in this light is making me lean slightly town on him, but it's similar to my townlean on Grey in that he's certainly capable of faking what he's done so far, it's just somewhat more likely to come from town. But like, it's a mixed bag? I'm pretty sure Magna uses the same kind of logic as scum, i.e. that these things aren't tells for him. It might be that he only does these things as town but that would be pretty one-dimensional of a meta to have for an established player.
Not really sure what to make of Prism's content and not sure what people see that is strongly town. This doesn't seem especially far from what I remember of Prism's scumgame, though I haven't seen their towngame.- implosion
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These are both pretty reasonable. I'm not especially concerned about it for Cult because she did something similar in miss list (at least, I remember math complaining about her lurking in later days after iirc a lot of people were calling her town) though that wasn't really a real game for purposes of meta.In post 606, MagnaofIllusion wrote:And everyone needs to not be overlooking Saud who has basically active-lurked out after several people gave him strong Town reads for being … him I guess.
Cult has moved into Null for me … too little content this stage to continue giving him a Town read.
Definitely want more from both slots about recent developments. Especially with the vote count in the state that it is now with no big wagons and a ton of small wagons.- implosion
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Yeah that stefan case is actually pretty good. I think 383 is the thing I was initially townreading him for, mostly off tone. But looking at it more closely it's the kind of thing that can be genuine from scum who has no idea how to react to the flavor wagon.
I feel like there might have been more. But yeah I'm rereading his stuff and his opening post feels bleh and his initial nullread on flavor is bleh and there's not a whole lot there.
VOTE: StefanB- implosion
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"Can't" is sort of the wrong word. If you dig deep enough it's all about probabilities, i.e. given a post there's a certain probability that the player in question would have made that post as town and as scum. Sometimes very good players, particularly good town players, will do things that they just aren't especially likely to do as scum. To contrast, those players' scum play probably usually consists of doing things that they do frequently as either town or scum. It's not necessarily that theyMoI wrote:Honest question Implosion – aside from really weak players are there any players who can’t fake things they do as Town as scum?can'tdo the things that they "more frequently" do as town; it's that they're less likely to be able to do them consistently in a way that people that know them well won't realize are off.
This is one of those paragraphs that has about a 50% chance of making sense so lmk if it doesn't at all.- implosion
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But yeah I'm happy to go in the stefan direction now. I'd still be fine with hoopla. Flavor's reaction to the stefan case throws me for a little bit of a loop. I don't think he'd do that if stefan is scum with him, but I also don't think he'd go out of his way to defend stefan-town if he's scum. I especially don't think he makes that post if they're both scum, but that's sort of conjecture about his meta and I'm sure he'll say that he would.- implosion
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man, there is just so much to love in these past two pages i don't know if i can possibly express how much i love all of it.
I actually am coming around on flavor town x_x. Though Idespisecompletely agree with and just cannot express the genius present in everything he's posted in the past two pages.
That kind of lie isn't really alignment-indicative ime. It can just be town thinking they've done something and forgetting that they didn't.- implosion
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This though feels like a scum reaction to the case. Latching onto something that will reduce pressure on him.In post 711, StefanB wrote:If we have a lye awasome.
But I will try to find out what Grey is refering, too, tomorrow, good night.
Also another reason I think to think that stefan+flavor aren't both scum.- implosion
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Grey, gamma, saudade
hoopla
piplup
flavor, MoI
hiraki, prism
stefan
is vaguely where I'm at. Particularly interested in digging into hiraki/prism. Also piplup is entirely lingering and needs to be refreshed. Flavor/MoI are both town to me at this point but I feel like my justifications for calling them both town aren't especially good. MoI I like the hammer from. It looks genuine and not something I think scum does in that spot for fear of conspicuousness. Hoopla is the other read I get from the wagon, her vote is very very town.
Don't think this is gamma's scumgame. Though I don't remember why I definitely remember thinking that pretty confidently.
VOTE: Stefan - implosion
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