The paragon increase only comes from the case where scum have lost anyway (and town have won anyway). So it doesn't decrease the scum win chance.In post 73, Jingle wrote:Your numbers have to be off (paragon win increasing would by definition decrease scum win %). I'll look at it in a little bit to see where.
Marathon Weekend Open Setup Group
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scum· scam · seam · team · term · tern · torn ·town- Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls
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?
They have twice as many chances to win when town has been lynched (2/6 compared to 1/6) which means scum has 4/6 instead of 5/6 chances to win in that case.
When scum is lynched they have 1/4 + 1/3 (which is ~58%).
Add in the weights (.4 for a scum lynch and .6 for a town lynch) and you get .4 v .4 v.43 Where the overlap of 23% is a joint town/Paragon win.This is a Parachute.- callforjudgement
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callforjudgement Microprocessor
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls
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alright i've loaded out the OP with a table of setups we're considering.
if anyone has any others just sing out and i'm happy to throw them in; if for example people are around and there's a particularly clueless mod (=> me) i guess having them somewhere increases the chances they'll be run.
obv. i've left out the usual suspects a la vengeful lovers mafia etc. but they'll no doubt get a fair thrashing- Something_Smart
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Something_Smart He/himSomewhat_Balanced
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Here's a setup I made up a while ago that we could try (obviously, I'll be running it concurrently in the micro queue). I can make a discussion thread for it if people want.It's always the same. When you fire that first shot, no matter how right you feel, you have no idea who's going to die. You don't know whose children are going to scream and burn. How many hearts will be broken. How many lives shattered. How much blood will spill, until everybody does what they're always going to have to do from the very beginning... SIT DOWN AND TALK!- TheGoldenParadox
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i sent a courtesy pm to the people who /in'd just in case people like get email alerts/haven't been around the forum and stuff
yeah if people are planning to run opens and want some numbers, maybe advertising em in here as the great and wise jingle suggested is a good option. i've got some other folks who expressed interest in discord pings so i'll try and keep them adequately poked about what's going on.- OkaPoka
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how could I get sick of you? your avatar has already pre-hypnotised me *_*- Enter
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I'm planning on running a Reservoir Dogs themed Double Day Unlimited Friday Night-ish (CST) where Mafia are the uninformed Majority
https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?ti ... _Unlimited- RadiantCowbells
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So I kinda forgot the game was happening, but I've played this setup a couple times in sitechat before, (and modded them, too) and usually it doesn't matter who gets lynched first, just because if you get town, you get a confirmed townie, and most of the time by the first couple minutes based on who's working with who and so on and so forth. I saw the votecount and it looked like it was him or you. I knew if I voted you I'd either get scum and p much win, or I'd get town and you'd shoot him (killing scum). That's how it goes pretty much every time. So I flipped a coin that would only land heads up.
I get this setup mixed up a lot, though, with SS3 (and also every time I skim this I think townies are perma one-shot lynchproof) which is why I posted like I did at beginning of day 2. I know you know I'm town, cuz if you didn't think I was, you'd have shot me yesterday. Let's lynch RC and win this thing for the homies?2019 stats: Town WR 76.7%, overall WR 81.667%, 1 scum defeat involving a major mod error in lylo vs 8 scum wins.- PvtUrist
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PvtUrist Mafia Scum
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viewtopic.php?f=24&t=78785
Burden of Proficiency mafia in ~4 hours. Hopefully we'll get enough peeps.This is a Parachute.- the worst
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Rogue Agent Mafia was just run as a 'surprise open' with a town win.
(ignore the radiantcowbells memes & double-win jokes; it was run entirely as described)- Jingle
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Jingle For Whom the Bell Trolls
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In post 3415, jjh927 wrote:What next for jjh927? Well, I have a dumb open setup idea that I didn't publish in case people mod metaed me for this game;
Spoiler: Currently Unnamed Open Setup Idea
Also a couple of ideas that are less effort than this game but still theme games. But I really shouldn't host any of them until I finish my dissertation.
Any guesses on the number of beans in the vegan bean chilli?
JJ wants to run this. Volunteer and pick a time, peeps!This is a Parachute.- jjh927
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^In post 97, Jingle wrote:In post 3415, jjh927 wrote:What next for jjh927? Well, I have a dumb open setup idea that I didn't publish in case people mod metaed me for this game;
Spoiler: Currently Unnamed Open Setup Idea
Also a couple of ideas that are less effort than this game but still theme games. But I really shouldn't host any of them until I finish my dissertation.
Any guesses on the number of beans in the vegan bean chilli?
JJ wants to run this. Volunteer and pick a time, peeps!"As best I can tell, jjh is some kind of wizard with mind control powers." -Jingle- the worst
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8p vanilla 8-ball was also run by the awesome Jingle, with a town win! - the worst
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