In post 62, BNL wrote:Additionally, if the Mafia is lynched with only town on it, town win immediately.
D1 lynch: Mafia. 4 townies outside the lynch, confirmed town.
N1 kill: A confirmed townie.
D2: 3 conf Town 4 non-conf town.
The conftown select a non-conf town to lynch(but don't lynch). All non-conf town are assigned to bodyguard a conftown. The non-conftown is lynched with all non-conftown on them.
N2: No kill.
D2: 3 conftown 3 nonconf town.
They vote to lynch another nonconf town with 2 nonconf and 2 conftown on it. One nonconf is assigned to
conftown A, who doesn't vote.
Conftown B protects Conftown C.
The other nonconf town is assigned to protect B.
Now the mafia either kills their protection target and outs themselves, or no-kills into 3conf-town and 2 non-conf town, which is instant endgame, too.
---->a Mafia lynch on Day 1 is always a mafia loss.
D1 lynch: Town.
N1 kill: Town.
D2 lynch: Mafia(scum on the wagon)->3 conftown 3 non-conftown.
N2 kill: Conftown killed.
2 conftown vs 3 non-conftown...
Nonconftown lynched by 2 non-conftown and one conftown.
----> a Mafia lynch on Day 2 results in two successive lynches in a POE of 3; or in an instant mafia loss if Mafia is outside.
D1 lynch:Town.
N1 kill:Town
D2 lynch:Town
N2 kill:Town.
D3:LYLO, Mafia lynched with scum on the wagon.
N3:Conftown killed/no kill:
D4:LYLO/MYLO in a 1v1 situation.
--->win chance after this mafia lynch:50%.