[MAY CHALLENGE]
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Rainn Goon
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Rainn Goon
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I'm not sure about EV or any similar concept since I'm not really good on it. Instead I tried to go through the scenarios and...it's fairly balanced in my opinion?
Maybe a bit town sided, but roughly balanced?
I was wondering if I should remove the mechanic about allowing anarchists/revolutionaries to escape, or to put an odd/even day requirement for each faction.
It sounded a bit too much town sided to completely remove it though?-
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Rainn Goon
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Thanks for the review Jingle, and yeah, Baron is a bit problematic right now but I felt he was a good balance for town to not win so easily. However now i noticed he is kind of only dragging the game for longer because town might get cold feet and just crown him to counter a scum win.
I might either modify the role or remove it yes.
About the escape mechanic if we're only talking about the numbers yes, it's suboptimal to escape, however considering the strategic plays and the fact that a weak buddy might be getting in the way of a win, it has value in leaving it there I guess.-
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Rainn Goon
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Just asking to know what could maybe be improved in this one or even in future setups i create:In post 54, Jingle wrote:Probably wouldn't play it personally, but seems fairly balanced.
what do you think it's kinda unfun or not very attractive about the setup?
this question is also open to anyone that may want to answer it-
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Rainn Goon
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What changed:
Baron now if crowned forces the next day in a ceremony day again, what effectively turns useless for town crowning him, that if not negative utility since all it effectively does is remove one pro-town player from the game making it easier for anti-town factions control the vote/reach majority. His identity now is also known to the anarchists and revolutionaries, and if lynched he has a negative utility that again makes it easier for anti-town factions control the vote/reach majority.
Because of that, although he has the option to claim being the Baron since day 1, town has no incentive to crown him, and scum has some motivation, depending on the circumstances, to risk counter-claiming him although it's somewhat rare. Anti-town factions depending in the game state (both lovers being unable to get enough votes), also have reasons to pile their votes into crowning the Baron to make it easier to get crowned in the next days (what also can be used as a scum-hunting tool by town if a baron gets crowned).
I wanted the Baron to be some kind of wild card that would make the game more flavorful, and I think that now he's effectively making the game a bit more spicy indeed?
I modified the old post version into one of the Jingle's suggestion about how to remove the Baron but keep the same EV. But I'm very biased towards letting the Baron in the game because I like for there to be lots of possibilities, interactions and roles. However, since it's also one of the challenge's propositions to have a variable player number, I think that having a version 11p without the Baron and a 12p with the Baron, is a good solution.
I think the changes also forces the game to necessarily end by day 5.
Recommended deadline is 7 days for all days or 10 days for day 1 and 7 days for the rest. More than that makes it kind of too slow since I'm expecting plurality crowning to be a common thing and therefore it'll be often hard for there to be an consensus agreement on who should be crowned, especially with so many scum.-
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Rainn Goon
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thanks for the feedback!In post 59, popsofctown wrote:
I find post 52 very attractive. edit: 58 looks great too. It looks fun to play and pretty balanced.In post 55, Rainn wrote:Thanks for the review Jingle, and yeah, Baron is a bit problematic right now but I felt he was a good balance for town to not win so easily. However now i noticed he is kind of only dragging the game for longer because town might get cold feet and just crown him to counter a scum win.
I might either modify the role or remove it yes.
About the escape mechanic if we're only talking about the numbers yes, it's suboptimal to escape, however considering the strategic plays and the fact that a weak buddy might be getting in the way of a win, it has value in leaving it there I guess.
To be honest I think that without the first version Baron, scum cannot win by majority in this setup anyway (even in the version without the baron?), so I'm thinking as well about removing that aspect and the focus indeed being the coronation (and scum hunting helping to thin down the possibility of a scum coronation and improving chances of a monarchist coronation).In post 61, Jingle wrote:
This is a notable addition that is good to have, although I had assumed it to be the case.In post 58, Rainn wrote:A player/slot cannot be crowned twice.
Scum can no longer viably reach a majority scum win (Game ends after at most 2 lynchs). Town winning through scum lynches is similarly unlikely.
Assuming Baron claim D1 (which is still probably the likely to be correct option) EV shifts to 45:28:28 with no possibility of scum teams joint win. Yes I'm aware that adds up to 101%. Rounding.
Honestly, I think setup two was better if you include the no doubling up on crowns line.
About the Baron, I'm not sure if it's reflected in the numbers, but it's actually bad for town to crown him, because it's one less pro-town vote available (what makes anti-town factions job easier). Then if Baron claims day 1, he is never getting crowned, and that's what he needs to decide. Town might not win the game, but he can as long as he gets crowned. It's up to the Baron the option of wheter he wants to try to be crowned or if he simply wants to be a semi-IC (and later run the risk of being fake counter-claimed, and if he is dead he automatically loses).
Anti-town factions also might indirectly help him get crowned to avoid an another faction win, so it's not really set on stone what the best strategy for a Baron is imo.-
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Rainn Goon
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I seeIn post 60, Jingle wrote:
Multiball is iffy. Nightless is iffy. This particular setup is multiball nightless in a way that gets rid of the best part of multiball (trying to dodge the opposing NK) but keeps the worst part (It's definitely to scum's advantage to get rid of the other team, so scumhunting via "Are they scumhunting?" doesn't really work well).In post 57, Rainn wrote:what do you think it's kinda unfun or not very attractive about the setup?
It's not that it's a bad setup, necessarily, just not the type of setup that I'm personally interested in.
it's just that I actually don't like nightkills..at all. I know it's weird but I feel that especially in multiball, it's something completely outside of town capacity to control and it makes the game less about manipulation/scum hunting and more about a bit of luck.
(Almost all of my setups ideas are nightless or at least partially nightless, because mafia killing the best townies imo is kind of boring)
I agree though that multiball always will have a bit more of a difficulty about scum hunting since the game changes a bit, but to the extent of not changing let's say..."the spirit of open setups" by not making it too wacky, I tried to make some scum hunting tools, albeit a bit different than in a normal game:
- Survivalism, scum can't afford to be lynched or to have their partner lynched.
- Associatives in case that one member of the team escapes, and wonder why they escaped.
- Restrict willingness in crowning options, since they need to be crowned themselves in the end.
I understand though your opinion.
I'll be thinking about the Baron thing, and thanks for running the numbers for me. I think one appetizing option is to make the Baron being crowned even more negative utility in some way, so that the anti-town factions has very clear motivation for crowning him (and therefore since he has that help, he has less reasons to straight up claim), and that also turns into a scum-hunting tool if a Baron is crowned or claim later in game, since it would be possible to see who supported the Baron's crowning.Last edited by Rainn on Tue May 14, 2019 10:13 am, edited 2 times in total.-
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Rainn Goon
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Actually, maybe making the Baron negative utility for town if crowned, and positive utility for town if lynched (and his wincon needing him alive with a monarchist win), might solve the "Baron claim" problem entirely. I'm not sure yet what effects I should place in each case though.
Maybe positive utility in lynching him because that gives town some kind of extra lynching power, and negative utility in crowning him because he escapes the game, kills any confirmed townie and forces a ceremonial day in the next day?
That would make the anti-town factions support his crowning if their own isn't a popular option, and also make him unable to claim.
Giving town extra lynching power by lynching Baron also is a way to maybe make it possible for a win by majority by the anti-town factions. I'll think about it.
Does that sound bad?-
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Rainn Goon
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I think that the next version will be the final one, I think that I already figured out the problems with the setup and what might fix them.
Thanks for the help pop and Jingle.
edit: I think I'm going to need to maintain the "if Baron is crowned, next day is ceremony day again" because if not, the game can get a bit dragging reaching day 6 or so. I think the longest I want it to be is day 5.-
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Rainn Goon
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Yeah, that's the problem right now. I want to make it so that town has lots and lots of incentive to lynch a Baron, while scum has incentive to crown it.In post 66, Jingle wrote: The assumption that is afforded by Optimal play is that the Baron is never lynched.
That will make him not claim + increase the odds of him being crowned + give a bit of scum-hunting tool to town + give a third option solution for scum in a ceremony day where both lovers aren't a popular option.
I'll think about it, and thanks again for the help, I'm not skillful with EV.-
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Rainn Goon
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That is a good fix, but I really want to make the Baron unable to claim, so I thought of:
- Deadlines are fixed at 7 days because days need to be relatively fast for this to not get stale with no nightkills/some mechanics
- If Baron is lynched, any confirmed crowned monarchist turns into a day vig during odds days (and the first time he gets lynched, it's given a 48 hour extension for a possible vigilante to choose their target).
- In ceremony days you can, along with your vote, also vote for "end the day", and when "end the day" reaches majority, the day is ended (note that they still need to vote for someone, but since plurality is in effect and maybe people won't want to change their mind, to not freeze the game there needs to be an option to end it once everyone is satisfied with their votes)
- if Baron is crowned, he escapes the game (no ceremony day in the following day or killing the confirmed townies, removing it)
- Baron wins either when crowned or when monarchists achieve their win con and he is still alive.
- Scum knows who the Baron is so they can support him in ceremony/defend his lynch.
With the above, themaximuma game can go on is until day 6, what is one day more than I would ideally like, but it gives way more space for different results, strategy and also includes a mutual scum win by reaching majority against town (what makes viable for scum to mislynch and buddy each other as well).
I think that's pretty much it? Baron can't claim anymore without town lynching him, and now he is kind of a viable choice for scum to crown if they can't crown themselves.Last edited by Rainn on Tue May 14, 2019 11:16 am, edited 1 time in total.-
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Rainn Goon
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that's fair tbhIn post 70, popsofctown wrote: Like, if people play V2 and somehow decide the problem with it is it feels too mountainous (???) or V2 becomes the hot super popular setup to run over and over and then people want to play V2 but with a twist, that's when you'd need to add a baron role.
I just felt that V2 was a bit too mountainous but that might simple be me
nopIn post 70, popsofctown wrote:Do the anarchists know who the revolutionaries are?-
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Rainn Goon
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Yeah, looking back I'm going to 100% agree with Pop and Jingle here probably.
The Baron thing gives it a twist but it makes the setup a bit more complicated to implement as well. The V2 version without the Baron is simpler and because of that maybe even a bit more charming in the first glance.
It also clearly doesn't give scum much interest in scum hunting, although it's not like scum hunting isn't beneficial for them.
I guess I'll post here afterwards the V4 version just to add the possibility of a twist/variable player count, but my final submission is probably V2.
edit:I'll be trying to run this setup in marathon btw, if anyone is interested
edit 2: yeah, looking back, a 40.8:35.4:35.4 EV for multiball is reasonably the best I could hope for without making the game too focused on being perfectly balanced. I'm satisfied with V2 without the Baron role.
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