2019 NFL 3 Strikes Challenge - Week 11

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D3f3nd3r
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Post Post #0  (isolation #0)  » Sat Aug 24, 2019 7:55 am

2018 Game: Gammagooey
2017 Game: D3f3nd3r
2016 Game: D3f3nd3r
2015 Game: PokerFace
2014 Game

2019 NFL 3 Strikes Challenge
(Format and rules and everything taken from my hosting of this game last year and Pablito's the three years prior)
Pretty much the standard Eliminator challenge, but you get additional lives.

RULES
The objective of the challenge is to correctly select a "Winning Pick" for one NFL game each week.

Each week, you must select one team which you believe will be the winner of that game. Please post in thread and bold your pick for that week. If you are correct, you stay alive. However, if your pick for that week loses its game, or you fail to make a pick for a given week, you earn a Strike. If you earn three Strikes, you are eliminated. Once you pick a team, you can't use that team the rest of the season.

The last remaining person wins. If more than one person is left standing after Week 17, the following tiebreaker is used:

1. The person who has the least amount of Strikes
2. The person who has the longest streak of correct picks
3. I don't want to deal with more tiebreakers than this, so if multiple players are tied at this point we will go into the postseason (with team selections reset), continuing until the tie has been broken.

Lock-time
All selections will lock at the scheduled kick-off of each game (as found on the NFL website). Players must make sure their picks are submitted by the scheduled lock-time each week. You will not be able to make selections for games that have already locked. Selections submitted after the deadline are considered invalid, and will not be counted as Winning Picks. Entrants who submit selections after the lock time and do not submit another entry for the week will earn a Strike. Feel free to change your pick as long as both the game you are changing from and the game you are changing to have not reached their respective lock-times.

Tie Games
In the event a game should end in a tie after overtime, players that had selected teams in the game as their picks for that week will neither be recorded with a Winning Pick or a Strike.

Joining in Late:
Players have until Week 3 to join.
If you join in Week 2, you start the game with one Strike. If you join in Week 3, you start the game with two Strikes.

Standings:
Image
Last edited by D3f3nd3r on Sun Nov 10, 2019 7:12 pm, edited 12 times in total.
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D3f3nd3r
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Post Post #1  (isolation #1)  » Sat Aug 24, 2019 7:59 am

Wanted to make this early because I'm really hungry rn and need to distract myself from it.

Get ready for another season of the 4 3 strikes challenge! No need to /in yet, just make a pick some point before your team takes the field two weekends from now. Here are the week one matchups (all times are in EDT):

Packers @ Bears, 9/5 8:20pm
Rams @ Panthers, 9/8 1:00pm
Washington @ Eagles, 9/8 1:00pm
Bills @ Jets, 9/8 1:00pm
Falcons @ Vikings, 9/8 1:00pm
Ravens @ Dolphins, 9/8 1:00pm
Chiefs @ Jaguars, 9/8 1:00pm
Titans @ Browns, 9/8 1:00pm
Colts @ Chargers, 9/8 4:05pm
Bengals @ Seahawks, 9/8 4:05pm
49ers @ Buccaneers, 9/8 4:25pm
Giants @ Cowboys, 9/8 4:25pm
Lions @ Cardinals, 9/8 4:25pm
Steelers @ Patriots, 9/8 8:20pm
Texans @ Saints, 9/9 7:10pm
Broncos @ Raiders, 9/9 10:20pm
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #6  (isolation #2)  » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:08 pm

Starting out with the Browns
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Post Post #11  (isolation #3)  » Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:42 am

Welcome to the 2019 season! Just over two more days left if you want to pick the opener, and five for most of the other games!
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Post Post #15  (isolation #4)  » Sat Sep 07, 2019 7:40 am

Down to a day and change, get those picks in!
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Post Post #31  (isolation #5)  » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:30 am

TWIE, Flicker, and Micc get their picks in in the last hours they had, and watched as their team won in the last seconds!

Barring the tie that’s hitting Panzer and Nero, and Haschel and I actually making incorrect picks, everyone is still strikeless! That’s 15 of you!
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #32  (isolation #6)  » Tue Sep 10, 2019 7:33 am

Bears for W2
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Post Post #36  (isolation #7)  » Tue Sep 10, 2019 10:11 am

In post 35, Panzerjager wrote:Ties should be half a strike =(

They probably should be but I don’t particularly want to change the rules midseason now that it might actually be relevant. (The current rule helps you here, shhhh)
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Post Post #45  (isolation #8)  » Tue Sep 10, 2019 1:56 pm

In post 37, Gammagooey wrote:I threw together an excel file like we used to show results last year (D3f3nd3r PM me your email address and I'll send it to ya)

Image

I have that exact file sitting on my computer, I’m just waiting to actually get to my computer since I’ve been busy all day :P
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Post Post #46  (isolation #9)  » Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:00 pm

The way the rules work is that picking a team that ties is better than a team that loses (because you don’t get a strike) but worse than a team that wins (because it doesn’t count as a correct pick for the purpose of tiebreakers, and is strictly worse for you than a correct pick). Next year I’ll probably change it to make it even stronger, with the first tiebreaker after number of strikes being the number of winning picks. But for now this point is moot because I’m not willing to make midseason changes.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #47  (isolation #10)  » Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:03 pm

I just read a thing online where someone suggested that if a person picks a tie game, the next week they have to make two picks. That seems like a cool idea, but again maybe next season.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #60  (isolation #11)  » Thu Sep 12, 2019 7:02 am

In post 54, Panzerjager wrote:
In post 36, D3f3nd3r wrote:
In post 35, Panzerjager wrote:Ties should be half a strike =(

They probably should be but I don’t particularly want to change the rules midseason now that it might actually be relevant. (The current rule helps you here, shhhh)


Oh, I thought I got the full strike, not no strike. Please go back to your regularly scheduled not giving me a strike, ps go lions.

(Ties probably *should* be worth half a strike and it's worth revisiting because there is at least one tie every year since they changed the OT rules, but like don't be in a hurry to change anything lol)

Edit: there's a bunch of weird Nero stuff in here and I don't understand why he seems mad

Edit2: super did not mean to spark a debate

Changing the rules next year so that the first tiebreaker after number of strikes is the number of winning picks is essentially the same thing as giving them half a strike so long as no player picks more than one tie.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #63  (isolation #12)  » Thu Sep 12, 2019 11:35 pm

For what it's worth, if you take the current rule to its extreme, you can win the league with two strikes, six wins, and nine ties over someone with two strikes and fifteen wins if the six wins are all in a row and the fifteen are spread evenly into three five-game streaks.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #81  (isolation #13)  » Tue Sep 17, 2019 8:06 am

Gammagooey, Pablito, shaft.ed dab their way out of the lead. Aronis falls victim to Matt Ryan actually playing well, and Flicker has very badly placed confidence in the Jets (An offensive line! An offensive line! My kingdom for an offensive line!).

Get your picks in for Week 3! I’ll update the OP today or tomorrow.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #87  (isolation #14)  » Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:42 pm

Tampa Bay
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Post Post #108  (isolation #15)  » Tue Sep 24, 2019 1:10 pm

Chargers
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Post Post #111  (isolation #16)  » Tue Sep 24, 2019 4:42 pm

Image
(I've acknowledged Kmd's and Sharon's posts, but I hadn't seen them when I took the screenshot of my doc)

Into Week Four! Tampa Bay pissed away an easy-looking win, the Eagles continued to be their horribly injured selves, and a desperation Washington pick didn't pay off. Eight competitors are perfect, with a ninth still strikeless due to the Week 1 tie.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #125  (isolation #17)  » Mon Sep 30, 2019 10:14 pm

Image

Not a great week for one of the two most common picks, as six players picked the wrong side of the TB-LAR shootout. Houston, Baltimore, Indy, and Cincy picks also backfired as the Panthers, Raiders, Chiefs, and Steelers won their games.

Week 5 starts now!
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #127  (isolation #18)  » Tue Oct 01, 2019 8:15 am

Iggles
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Post Post #140  (isolation #19)  » Fri Oct 04, 2019 7:53 am

I mean, the other side of it is that why would anyone pick the Jets? Who in their right mind would *fights back tears* actually pick them to win a game?
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Post Post #142  (isolation #20)  » Fri Oct 04, 2019 8:32 am

Twice :O

We’ll also eventually have a quarterback who is both good and doesn’t have mono!
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Post Post #153  (isolation #21)  » Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:07 pm

They’re playing the Jets
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Post Post #166  (isolation #22)  » Tue Oct 08, 2019 3:15 pm

Image

Losses by Chicago, Cleveland, the Chargers, and the Chiefs give LLD her first strike, TWIE/Gamma/Viz their second, and eliminate Vash, Haschel, and Aronis from contention. IPS, Racefan, and Nero remain at no strikes!
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #167  (isolation #23)  » Tue Oct 08, 2019 3:17 pm

I'm gonna make a #bigmove and go for Atlanta
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Post Post #171  (isolation #24)  » Wed Oct 09, 2019 12:09 pm

DANNY DIMES though
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Post Post #176  (isolation #25)  » Sun Oct 13, 2019 7:05 am

Still missing a lot of picks!
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Post Post #186  (isolation #26)  » Tue Oct 15, 2019 8:35 pm

Full standings tomorrow, sorry. Traveling today...
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Post Post #188  (isolation #27)  » Wed Oct 16, 2019 10:30 am

Image
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #201  (isolation #28)  » Tue Oct 22, 2019 3:20 pm

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Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #215  (isolation #29)  » Tue Oct 29, 2019 10:51 am

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Pablito strikes out on a missed field goal by the Bears, but everybody else gets through the week unscathed on wins over Washington, Miami, and Cincy.
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.

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Post Post #218  (isolation #30)  » Tue Oct 29, 2019 5:40 pm

pls no (that goes for both of you)
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Post Post #229  (isolation #31)  » Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:22 am

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Onto week ten!
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Post Post #244  (isolation #32)  » Sun Nov 10, 2019 7:12 pm

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Well this is a very interesting position...EIGHT players are on their last legs going into next week. Nobody has any margin for error here on out.
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Post Post #252  (isolation #33)  » Tue Nov 12, 2019 2:55 pm

Racefan would also have a streak of 8 if he wins out.

We can also go into the postseason again if that’s something people are willing to do (if necessary).
Back to school, back to indefinite semi-V/LA. I should still be reachable through normal means though.


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