Open 770: Fusion Mafia - Game Over!
- profii
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ObvzIn post 20, profii wrote:I'm a tragic lover help me- profii
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with that in mind, thoughts on 23 ?In post 85, Hopkirk wrote:For anyone else: Ignored+scumhunting vs cheerful+no scumhunting. Scum avoiding making enemies.- profii
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It's actually an interesting point to think about.
All being well at some point the scum team are going to pair us all up as per their choosing.
But that means they are also going to be a pair, so if I was scum it would massively concern me that if I am coming over a bit scummy, and my partners aren't strong scum players, you end up with this really scummy pairing that gets lynched really fast and you're toast straight away.
So if I'm scum the first thing I'm doing is probably working out the optimum long game in terms of do I bus? do I buddy my pal?
I guess you'd need to have some kind of back story as to why you think scum have paired you up with your lover so I'd be planning that now if I was scum just in case we get a fast scum lynch - but I dunno what I'd be going for.- profii
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Talk me through this, I was actually thinking the opposite.In post 82, Hopkirk wrote:Dunn locktown.- profii
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maybe not as strong as lock-scum but there is a huge wagon on saudade and dunn just pops in with an rvs and leaves
kinda feels like he doesnt want to get involved in anything else, specific concern regarding that wagon as i mention - but i feel like dunn felt obliged to get his name in the thread, so wonder if he will come back soon and talk to us or if he will try and come back without having to comment on the saudade wagon properly at all.
so we should keep the heat on saudade to force the issue- profii
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Dunn needs to comment on your wagonIn post 103, Saudade wrote:What issue are you trying to force- profii
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You are right, you can just askIn post 126, Hectic wrote:
Don't really get this though. Keeping the heat on Saudude doesn't force Dun to comment on the wagon. Isn't simply asking Dunnst for his opinion a more practical way of forcing the issue?In post 101, profii wrote:so we should keep the heat on saudade to force the issue
Seems like a lousy reason to ask people to keep voting for Saudude, Profii.
2 further points though
1. When there are lots of posts, sporadic posters, i.e. someone who has only posted once so far tend not to methodically answer all questions asked of them and I am curious
2. Separate bonus of maintaining impetus on wagons means you see who is in favour or against certain players. I'm not going to go as far as saying you don't want to vote Saudade because you just want to follow me but these are the sorts of things we can derive if we keep going
So yes I was trying to keep the Saudade wagon going for not totally clear reasons- profii
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If you say 2 it detracts from 1In post 132, Hectic wrote:Sure, that makes more sense. You made it sound like your sole reason for wanting people to continue voting for Saudude was to force the issue with Dunn, but I'll take your word on point 2 being your other intention.
VOTE: Dunns- profii
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So will u admit we got balls now amiriteIn post 152, Saudade wrote:Well i got hammered, thanks- profii
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AnywayIn post 150, Flopz wrote:After spending an extremely large number of seconds (over 3) I have decided on joining this lovely wagon of minstrels.
(vote)Saudade(/vote)
No one seems to have any hesitation voting saudade so time to move vote
VOTE: Dunnst- profii
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So you think the saudade wagon is a scum wagon with 2 bussers retreating rather than it being a town wagon that got to L-2 because scum jumped on fast?In post 229, Elements wrote:
I think they didn't want to bus so earlyIn post 227, profii wrote:The ones that voted Saudade
Profii
Elements
Hectic
Edguf
Norge (L-2)
(Hectic off)
Flopz
(Profii off)
The question is do we think scum joined the lol-wagon ? Or do we think they stayed away to avoid a contentious scenario?
Thoughts please- profii
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I'm asking why you lean that way and not the otherIn post 251, Elements wrote:that is what i was implying in that post yes- profii
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I hadn't really considered this really specific element of the setup so I think the logical solution is if we lynch scum on day 1 (now) it leaves 12 so the pairing must happen immediately
There is no doctor or anything that can stop a night kill so any time we lynch the scum the pairing had to happen pre-night kill to keep it right
The reason I asked about the setup spec is I was wondering about consensus town reads - let's say SlotX was universally town read - they are basically never getting lynched so scum have to consider
1. Do we just write them off and match SlotX to (who they think) is next most town read and just assume that slot is never getting lynched
Or
2. Do they take a gamble that they match SlotX to someone questionable and the risk is SlotX's town read means we lock town someone questionable or if it goes in scums favour, someone questionable is scummy enough to get us voting for SlotX who we previously wouldn't have touched- it's a gamble imo
Anyway... we have 13 players so let's say we hit scum - we go to 6 pairings
I would suggest we should maybe say openly
"I have X amount of strong town reads"
If the number is = or greater than the number of pairs we should definitely state who
Let's say we all had approx 6 town roads, its logical they will be vastly similar - say 4 - scum would potentially have to make 2x pair lock town and write that off or split 4+ clear townies across the game
If we all could only drum up 2x town reads out of 12 players- I think it's more unlikely they would be universal across the group and then it would be advantage scum to know this
Dunno, that might be flawed logic as it was off the top of my head but see what people think- profii
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Aww usually people dont noticeIn post 303, Hectic wrote:Also, profii is a multi-dimensional being, and Hopkirk has put on his disguise kit.
(I've no idea what this means)- profii
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So what have we got here, I am just going to say the thing that stands out most about each slot - it might be a read, or a question or just an observation for other people to comment on... just get my thoughts out there:
Aisa - notably Aisa has picked up on a scum read with Flopz, but hasn't really explored many other slots in anywhere near as significant detail.
Dunnstral - I was all ready to be like 'dunnstral needs to post more' but actually 393 i liked so I'm on with dunnst for now.
Egduf - post more
Elements - anyone else find elements tough to read?
Flopz - comes across as really kinda self conscious, kinda bothered about peoples opinions of him, which could be scummy.
Gamma - i liked the theory in 111 so town for now here.
George - latching on to the dunn-vote-for-lack-of-activity thing. This could be scummy, i.e. just getting in a safe/non-controversial way of posting in the thread kinda vibe
Hectic - I think his reads are largely matching the thinking I'm coming up with so far so I'll lean town
Hopkirk - i feel the same way as hectic but not as strongly
Norgey boy - has some careful opinions I think so this could be scummy but I'm not so sure
Pops - seems quite town and looking at the right slots for lynches imo
Saudade - I've never played with him as scum and he has a play style that is so easy to reproduce so i have no idea- profii
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So where is your thinking at nowIn post 414, Flopz wrote:To slightly answer your question, my meta read was based on a faulty premise so it's not valid anymore.- profii
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they sound like 2 identical questions to me but okIn post 530, pisskop wrote:
Youre approaching the wagon from the wrong direction. Dont ask 'who is the scum on this' or 'did scum vote this'In post 227, profii wrote:The ones that voted Saudade
Profii
Elements
Hectic
Edguf
Norge (L-2)
(Hectic off)
Flopz
(Profii off)
The question is do we think scum joined the lol-wagon ? Or do we think they stayed away to avoid a contentious scenario?
Thoughts please
ask instead 'whose vote looks weaksauce' and then compare it to the available evidence.
Profi looked average
ele looked weak
I dont remember the rest.- profii
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are you looking to avoid blame?In post 602, Hopkirk wrote:It's '0 blame if it goes wrong and no way to argue against it' meta.- profii
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No I'm completely lost by all the replaces at the moment I dont know who is who right nowIn post 609, Hopkirk wrote:
Have you noticed I'm not voting the slot and am debating with people who are?In post 603, profii wrote:
are you looking to avoid blame?In post 602, Hopkirk wrote:It's '0 blame if it goes wrong and no way to argue against it' meta.- profii
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we get wingsIn post 694, Elements wrote:
If you could change one thing about the human race, what would it be?In post 693, profii wrote:ask me stuff- profii
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Would George fake not knowing that scum dont get a nk when we lynch scum? It's hard for me to say because I tend to check these things but I think scum would be aware of that via any discussion in their PTIn post 280, GeorgeBailey wrote:
Yeah, so it sounds like if we get scum D1, the best Maf can do is get an NK N1.In post 276, Hopkirk wrote:Doesn't explicitly rule out a nightkill that night.
I'm going to lean town on George for this post alone.- profii
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That's the point - scum can openly discuss it in the PM and come to the conclusion that Norge just postedIn post 751, popsofctown wrote:The original setup is ambiguous about whether scum get just 1 more kill or no more kills. I was wondering about it too.
So the doubt is town indicative imo
That being said, understanding isn't scum indicative, just says you've read the setup and thought about it- profii
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Can you tell me more about this read pleaseIn post 797, Flopz wrote:Wasn't much of a fan of Frank- profii
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Well I'm probably not because I didn't realise my vote on you was total vanity so it seems like a waste of time to follow up on that right now.In post 886, Flopz wrote:Profii, when are you gonna out me for occasionally frequenting a Mongolian underwater basket-weaving forum?
I kinda feel like nothing is really happening in this game which seems like a sign that scum aren't concerned with our trajectory right now = which therefore means we are voting town.
I dont know if that means one of the active players in the thread have sent us onto town wagons and scum are just like 'lolol' or the active players are the scum players sending us towards townies
i just feel like we aren't close to catching scum but idk its a guess- profii
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I dont like posts that assertively describe the redflip scenario without considering the greenflip scenario.In post 898, pisskop wrote:Im voting dunn out of survivalism, but a redflip there makes you that guy who rallied to save him.
It's like you know it's going to be a green flip and you dont want to talk about it- profii
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In post 901, pisskop wrote:Okay, if dunn is green then we have to assess the wagon.
Who is the one pushing dunn again?
so your assessment of the redflip wagon was I was defending dunn, but you haven't done a green flip assesment
you say you are voting for self preservation but from what you are posting you seem to have red flip on the forefront of your thoughts
why is that?- profii
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I haven't really decided on my vote but you are being suggestive with the 2nd sentence here, even though there are like 4 people on a competing wagon - either way you have considered the scenario of Dunn flipping red, even though you dont think it will happen...In post 898, pisskop wrote:Im voting dunn out of survivalism, but a redflip there makes you that guy who rallied to save him.
...as per hereIn post 905, pisskop wrote:Im openly saying that Im unconvinced dunn is scum, however my vote is where the money is.
so if you think dunn will flip green, as per sentence one, you haven't done any assessment of the wagon here to say 'look, voter X is really bad, this is the real scum' which I'd expect you to at least say from a survivalist perspective, even if you hold your vote until people are listening to you.In post 901, pisskop wrote:Okay, if dunn is green then we have to assess the wagon.
Who is the one pushing dunn again?
I feel like I just dont believe you are sincere.
VOTE: Pisskop- profii
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In post 900, profii wrote:
I dont like posts that assertively describe the redflip scenario without considering the greenflip scenario.In post 898, pisskop wrote:Im voting dunn out of survivalism, but a redflip there makes you that guy who rallied to save him.
It's like you know it's going to be a green flip and you dont want to talk about itIn post 901, pisskop wrote:Okay, if dunn is green then we have to assess the wagon.
Who is the one pushing dunn again?- profii
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well now you are overselling it but okIn post 914, pisskop wrote:Masterful- profii
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If both leading wagons sit on 6 at deadline, does the one that got their first "win" ?In post 995, Amrun wrote:- profii
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Are you scum?In post 1010, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Is team mafia taking it’s toll on the activity of this game? - profii
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