Open 776: Korina is a Cultist


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Post Post #300 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:30 am

Post by Alyssa The Lamb »

In post 243, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:there's one very interesting point that nobody seems to have considered yet, but I want to see if somebody can come up with it first
In post 247, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:just based on how the day has gone, I strongly doubt that he thought along those lines n0
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Post Post #301 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:34 am

Post by Alyssa The Lamb »

I can reveal my thoughts later, I feel nobody caught it
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Post Post #302 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:35 am

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Why Homura is higher value than Sujimichi?
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Post Post #303 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:36 am

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In post 301, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:I can reveal my thoughts later, I feel nobody caught it
Oh i didn't notice the new page

I think i haven't caught it
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Post Post #304 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:42 am

Post by Sujimichi »

VOTE: Homura
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Post Post #305 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:43 am

Post by Auro »

VOTE: Homura
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Post Post #306 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:47 am

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Oh

Nice
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Post Post #307 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:48 am

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What is it what is it
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Post Post #308 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:00 am

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People voting Homura!
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Post Post #309 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:04 am

Post by Alyssa The Lamb »

I understand Auro's vote but not suji's
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Post Post #310 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:09 am

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I voted for Homura due to her first post and vote. She did not engage with the game and voted the player with the largest amount of votes.
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Post Post #311 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:27 am

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In post 299, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:Most likely cult + highest value town flip
So the 'interesting thing' in game makes you actually believe Korina RNG'd?
I dunno if Korina would actually engage with me the way he had about RNG if he actually RNG'd - it's as if he was trying to throw us off predicting him, no?
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Post Post #312 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:28 am

Post by Auro »

Suji, what do you think about Klick trying to form a townbloc at this stage of the game?
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Post Post #313 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:29 am

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That timing was interesting suji
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Post Post #314 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:32 am

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In post 311, Auro wrote:
In post 299, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:Most likely cult + highest value town flip
So the 'interesting thing' in game makes you actually believe Korina RNG'd?
I dunno if Korina would actually engage with me the way he had about RNG if he actually RNG'd - it's as if he was trying to throw us off predicting him, no?
I don't think the RNG aspect is anything other than a distraction.

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Post Post #315 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:33 am

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Cult have daytalk, no?
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Post Post #316 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:40 am

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In post 312, Auro wrote:Suji, what do you think about Klick trying to form a townbloc at this stage of the game?
Given that this game should not be played as a normal game, it would make sense to approach it from a stance of probability. Just as it is improbable to correctly identify the Cultist on Day 1, a "townbloc" on Day 1 would probably mostly include Town members. This seems like an okay thing to create; however, starting with Day 2 it would be almost useless.
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Post Post #317 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:42 am

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Alyssa, why are you not voting Homura?
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Post Post #318 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:42 am

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In post 313, Alyssa The Lamb wrote:That timing was interesting suji
I am assuming you are referring to my vote. Could you confirm this?
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Post Post #319 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:45 am

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In post 316, Sujimichi wrote:
In post 312, Auro wrote:Suji, what do you think about Klick trying to form a townbloc at this stage of the game?
Given that this game should not be played as a normal game, it would make sense to approach it from a stance of probability. Just as it is improbable to correctly identify the Cultist on Day 1, a "townbloc" on Day 1 would probably mostly include Town members. This seems like an okay thing to create; however, starting with Day 2 it would be almost useless.
But more important than this, do you think creating a townbloc comes from a cult mindset or not?
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Post Post #320 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:49 am

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In post 319, Farkran wrote:
In post 316, Sujimichi wrote:
In post 312, Auro wrote:Suji, what do you think about Klick trying to form a townbloc at this stage of the game?
Given that this game should not be played as a normal game, it would make sense to approach it from a stance of probability. Just as it is improbable to correctly identify the Cultist on Day 1, a "townbloc" on Day 1 would probably mostly include Town members. This seems like an okay thing to create; however, starting with Day 2 it would be almost useless.
But more important than this, do you think creating a townbloc comes from a cult mindset or not?
It both reduces the potential pool of candidates to lynch (which is a minor negative for the Cultist) and decreases the likelihood of the Cultist being lynched (which is strong positive for the Cultist). I would lean toward a net positive for the Cultist (especially in the case he or she is able to continue it past Day 1, but that seems less likely), so it very well could come from a Cultist mindset.
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Post Post #321 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:16 am

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In post 320, Sujimichi wrote:
In post 319, Farkran wrote:
In post 316, Sujimichi wrote:
In post 312, Auro wrote:Suji, what do you think about Klick trying to form a townbloc at this stage of the game?
Given that this game should not be played as a normal game, it would make sense to approach it from a stance of probability. Just as it is improbable to correctly identify the Cultist on Day 1, a "townbloc" on Day 1 would probably mostly include Town members. This seems like an okay thing to create; however, starting with Day 2 it would be almost useless.
But more important than this, do you think creating a townbloc comes from a cult mindset or not?
It both reduces the potential pool of candidates to lynch (which is a minor negative for the Cultist) and decreases the likelihood of the Cultist being lynched (which is strong positive for the Cultist). I would lean toward a net positive for the Cultist (especially in the case he or she is able to continue it past Day 1, but that seems less likely), so it very well could come from a Cultist mindset.
Sorry, i'm not sure if i follow you

Why does creating a townbloc decrease the likelihood of the Cultist being lynched?
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Post Post #322 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:21 am

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I am assuming the Cultist would place themselves within the "townbloc" and that the "townbloc" would not lynch within themselves. This would remove, or significantly decrease the likelihood of, the Cultist from being a potential lynch on Day 1.
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Post Post #323 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:22 am

Post by Korina »

Because I cult them. If you decide to lynch people only in the townbloc, I cult outside of it. If you decide to lynch people outside, I cult inside. If you rand it, I rand it too.

I also fell asleep last night, mid-reply, and lost them. I’m just now waking up, so it’ll happen in like two hours. Maybe. Give or take some time.
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Post Post #324 (ISO) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:22 am

Post by Korina »

Also Fark, that was my honest answer from me.
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