oh, i meant the fact that we had three pretty evenly divided wagons.
In post 4155, shellyc wrote:@Ydrasse do you think joyed is town. if so, who would you want them to shoot
In post 2430, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 2423, Andresvmb wrote:@Menalque, @Ydrasse I want us to agree on a course of action. Menalque is obviously on Osuka, but I don’t know that this one gets through, and I do have a Negative Lena there, but I also want to re-read.
@IV I want some thoughts on what you would be willing to vote here. I see you very scattered and defensive (particularly after your “slip”, but I have been liking your takes so I want to see more of them). I know you said you wouldn’t post much until Wednesday, and you needed a break - all I want is a small list of players you would vote. That’s all.
I have a good sense of what some other players want to do. Saudade is almost death tunneling Kerset (but would also clearly vote for Osuka), and Bob is on Teacher (and defending Kerset given their Claim). Kerset is tunneling Teacher almost, after somewhat tunneling me. plusJOYED’s 2325 makes it pretty clear where they would vote, which also includes Teacher.
@Kerset, how do you feel about my slot now?
@Tayl0r where are you? You seem to be vibing with plus after SR’ing there, which I don’t have any major objections to actually I’m still trying to figure out what to make of plus. Your vote is still on IV, and you appear to also be willing to vote Osuka. How do you feel about Teacher/Bob?
Nobody has taken me up on answering whether crumbing Doctor makes sense. Can somebody seriously comment on that?
correct on where I would vote.
Iv, teacher, or math is prefered for me, with preference for IV
I might be convinced for a saudade or bob wagon
won't vote anyone else
In post 2911, PlusJOYED wrote:God dammit you guys are playing right into IVs hands. Mena vs Osuka im pretty sure is TvT
peddit: agree on taylor tbh
In post 2912, PlusJOYED wrote:I don't think I can stop an Osuka elim today, just please go after IV when Osuka flips green, cause if mena is the d2 elim I think town is boned
In post 2913, PlusJOYED wrote:I'd honestly prefer me to be elimed here over osuka
In post 3527, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 3512, Kerset wrote:cool saudade is dead and now i get instant L-2
You don't know how to make insightful NKA. We are talking here about saud, he is careless gamethrower. His existence was harmful to town and viging him would be worth it regardless of his alignment, so healing him was out of question. This guy misleads town to lynch his target regardless of circumstances to satisfy his ego. Hardclaimming bullshits is just one of throws typical for his behavior, he thinks that saying nonsense as town is 200IQ play, because thanks to his reputation he can get away with anything, once he rolls scum.
The most important information we got is scum lack of knowledge. Scum didn't know about his nature and took him seriously, which points at people with 2020 join date. Especially shelly, which periodically appears as more naive then she normally should be.
???
Well shit, I don't see how this post could come from anywhere but scum even with my confbias. Guess I was wrong on you kerset
UNVOTE:
VOTE: kerset
In post 4499, PlusJOYED wrote:ydrasse being relatively passive and going after LHF (me) especially after omgus, along with recent meta behavior I can now talk about (silent star 2) makes me think that the solve is either shelly/ydrasse or I'm probably never going to get it right. I think shelly swapping onto ydrasse for a bit was all scum theater, since it happened at a convenient time to make Ydrasse appear more towny to throw people off. This also lines up with saudes prediction.
In post 4508, PlusJOYED wrote:theater can be a lot of things, Ydrasse; it's not necessarily just emotive back and forth. The timing of the theater and the outcome + agenda it serves is critical.
A key trend in theater I've noticed is that it's intention is for one maf member to scumread the other maf member briefly, and the accused mafia member convinces the other maf that they are solidly town, which is exactly what happened.
In post 4511, PlusJOYED wrote:that serious defensiveness and deciding to wall me out makes me more sure ur scum, you aren't even trying to defend yourself.
if shelly or ydrasse flip green, kill me tomorrow because we're screwed anyway
In post 4513, PlusJOYED wrote:The wincon is throwing me off of ydrasse, and setting up chain elims with (me, bob, osuka)
In post 4516, PlusJOYED wrote:you have a tone of being defensive and are outraged but you're producing no arguments why you can't be scum, and instead trying to get me killed
In post 4518, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 4515, Ydrasse wrote:In post 4513, PlusJOYED wrote:The wincon is throwing me off of ydrasse, and setting up chain elims with (me, bob, osuka)
okay, now tell me how we succeeded in that if you are sitting here right now having this conversation.
also, tell me why shelly/ydrasse, as a team, decide to make their wincon centered around you. only you, throwing you off our trail and no one else.
shelly hopped on as soon as possible with the theater. It was to be triggered when anyone SR you, not revolved around me, and was to prevent a wagon forming on you.
I'll make a wall of why it's Scuk theater soon im at work atm
In post 4522, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 4521, Ydrasse wrote:In post 4518, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 4515, Ydrasse wrote:In post 4513, PlusJOYED wrote:The wincon is throwing me off of ydrasse, and setting up chain elims with (me, bob, osuka)
okay, now tell me how we succeeded in that if you are sitting here right now having this conversation.
also, tell me why shelly/ydrasse, as a team, decide to make their wincon centered around you. only you, throwing you off our trail and no one else.
shelly hopped on as soon as possible with the theater. It was to be triggered when anyone SR you, not revolved around me, and was to prevent a wagon forming on you.
I'll make a wall of why it's Scuk theater soon im at work atm
that doesn't make sense, because there hasn't been a point on this game where i've been threatened with a wagon. there was no need to prevent something that had no chance of forming. looking at the vote counts, i haven't even been voted since d1 — and even those were singular votes at the beginning of the day. no one has been trying to vote against me or really case me, so why would shelly need to defend me?
are you listening? I started to SR you, day 3 and then shelly initiated theater trying to convince me of Ydrasse town (which worked for a bit). It was to quash a wagon before it even started.
In post 4552, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 4548, Andresvmb wrote:Yeah I mean that post by Osuka confirms it right. shellyc v. Osuka I think is not SvS. At least I doubt it Osuka was pushing shellyc before trying to compromise with the slot to potentially vote for Bob. One of them is surely Scum.
agreed
i'd prefer to flip shelly over osuka though
In post 4662, osuka wrote:In post 4656, Ydrasse wrote:shelly is not paired with plus.
shelly is not paired with osuka.
shelly is paired with ndmath?
plus is not paired with shelly.
plus is paired with osuka.
plus is paired with ndmath.
osuka is not paired with shelly.
osuka is maybe? paired with ndmath.
osuka is paired with plus.
this is... vaguely where my mind is.
why is shelly+plus not possible?
In post 4663, osuka wrote:
joyed has been following my reads for quite a while not, he just scumreads you by proxy
In post 4796, shellyc wrote:a full commuter in a 13p is very overpowered
hmmmmmmmmm
if osuka is town
the solve = plus/ydrasse? that would be crazy
can anyone give me a verification as to whether commuter is a good scum fake claim
In post 4862, PlusJOYED wrote:In post 4834, shellyc wrote:ive been mulling over this, joyed is outed from my perspective, there’s no way that vote ever comes from town, there’s no way all of bob plus osuka are town, there’s no way their confusing reads are are usually unexplained come from town
VOTE: PlusJoy
This is scum. Vote it out.
setting up chain elims yet again to win the game
In post 2431, PlusJOYED wrote:on kerset, i didn't want to go into detail but I think I have to:
they do seem nervous from their iso. But newbish scumtells are also newbie pr tells. They are most definitely either doctor or mafia. From mafia!kersets perspective, they haven't been putting much effort into solving I think and have been one of the quieter ones. That could be a doctor who is worried about being outed (I think is likely) or a scum player who doesn't wanna seem sus. If they are scum, then by crumbing a fake claim early they'd know they are under suspicion. But Saudade death tunneled kerset from the get go and gave them many chances to prove towniness by posting game stuff early on; kerset did not. Why would scum!Kerset crumb there, when they could likely have escaped suspicion early pretty easily by just acting townie instead? That's honestly not hard to do as scum or town, especially given Saudades low bar. That doesn't make sense to me at all why they would crumb and take a big risk as scum; hell their 2 scum buddies could have helped them by evening writing out towny things for Kerset to say if Kerset didn't know how to do it. That's the biggest flaw in the scum!kerset idea imo.
Instead Kerset just got more nervous and defensive. This attitude makes the most sense from doc!Kerset perspective, where they don't want to appear too towny so they become a maf target and die n1. The early hammer reaction looked realish but could be faked. Rather, they wanted to lay low, maybe even appear a little scummy so maf would leave them alone possibly (idk for sure), but Saudade wouldn't back off, and a wagon formed. Kerset showed more signs of being nervous which makes sense from town!Kerset perspective imo. If I was scum and knew Kerset wasn't, I'd let Kerset live n1 and then jump on them like crazy day 2 to get them mislimed, which we might see. I came to this conclusion pretty early after Kerset claimed doc, and wanted to see who would jump on to get a solid scumtell start of day 2.
tl;dr scum kerset mindset doesn't make sense and so they are very likely town imo.
I'm leaning Saudade kerset being tvt.
In post 4579, PlusJOYED wrote:meh
I think theres little way I can convince you guys at this point and I think town is gonna get stomped on lylo, I'm starting to feel defeated.
my obvtown reads think im scum (mena mainly)
I'm pretty confident me and osuka are both town, same with Andres and mena
if i flip today we enter lylo where andres votes osuka and scum quickhammer
if osuka flips today we enter lylo where mena votes me and scum quickhammers
I think we lose
on the bright side I've never been alive this long before