BooneyToonz XIV: A Little Boonie Told Me [END]


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Post Post #1240 (isolation #0) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:09 am

Post by Shoshin »

Hi, can anyone give me a quick summary of the game so far?
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Post Post #1243 (isolation #1) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:15 am

Post by Shoshin »

Is HUB scum?
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Post Post #1245 (isolation #2) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:21 am

Post by Shoshin »

Based on reading two pages of the game, I'd lynch them.
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Post Post #1249 (isolation #3) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:29 am

Post by Shoshin »

HUB voted town instead of scum & they appear to be anti-angleshoot, which is scummy in my book because angleshoot is one of town's strongest tools for identifying scum.
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Post Post #1250 (isolation #4) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:29 am

Post by Shoshin »

I'll be obvious town fairly quick, so don't worry too much about that.
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Post Post #1251 (isolation #5) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:30 am

Post by Shoshin »

I'd also argue that Nico was fairly obvious town before I replaced, so... I dunno. Can you assume I'm town for our discussion?
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Post Post #1252 (isolation #6) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:30 am

Post by Shoshin »

Why is HUB scummy to you?
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Post Post #1255 (isolation #7) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:33 am

Post by Shoshin »

BEF always looks scummy, so I probably wouldn't lynch that slot unless it was a clear scum-tell.
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Post Post #1257 (isolation #8) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:33 am

Post by Shoshin »

Hi Gamma, how are you? What're your reads this game?
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Post Post #1259 (isolation #9) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:34 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1253, Happy Birthday Boonskiies wrote:Sure, I can do that.

HUB I think claims to be against angleshoots as all alignments. He's not revealing his main, but I
think
it's true for him.
Without specific meta evidence, I will stick with my belief that anti-angleshoot is a scum-tell.
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Post Post #1263 (isolation #10) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:36 am

Post by Shoshin »

No, it would be a scum-tell not to town read me.
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Post Post #1264 (isolation #11) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:36 am

Post by Shoshin »

Gamma & HBB are also town, which is nice.
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Post Post #1272 (isolation #12) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:39 am

Post by Shoshin »

Nico has a clear meta. This was the town meta. I don't want to go into this more at this time.
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Post Post #1273 (isolation #13) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:40 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1265, Ydrasse wrote:welcome shoshin!
Thank you. What're your reads?
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Post Post #1277 (isolation #14) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:43 am

Post by Shoshin »

Why is HUB in the middle, Ydrasse?
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Post Post #1278 (isolation #15) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:44 am

Post by Shoshin »

I said nothing about replacement or anything of the sort.

HUB has confirmed themselves as scum. They are very frustrated I replaced this potential mislynch.
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Post Post #1282 (isolation #16) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:48 am

Post by Shoshin »

I don't think I implied any sort of angleshoot... But even if I did, is there a rule against implying angleshoots?
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Post Post #1283 (isolation #17) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:49 am

Post by Shoshin »

Hey Gamma, can you explain why HUB is town? This player seems very upset that I replaced a potential mislynch. In my experience, that's a massive scum-tell.
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Post Post #1289 (isolation #18) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:01 am

Post by Shoshin »

HUB could be town, but the frustration they showed at my entrance to the game isn't ever how town feels when they see a potential mislynch become obvtown. The townies usually feel relief.
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Post Post #1292 (isolation #19) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:03 am

Post by Shoshin »

Angleshoot is used by good players. I learned it from NSG. Don't see how that's against the rules?
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Post Post #1293 (isolation #20) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:04 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1285, samantha97 wrote:anyone who pushes back on you saying 2 posts with basically nothing in them was town meta looks good to me
What're your reads?
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Post Post #1294 (isolation #21) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:07 am

Post by Shoshin »

I'd consider HUB as town if they are someone who strongly dislikes playing with me based on prior history. But otherwise they're likely scum who isn't happy about losing the Nico mislynch they've been pushing since D1.
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Post Post #1295 (isolation #22) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:08 am

Post by Shoshin »

HUB also seems familiar with Nico's meta, making their push on Nico even scummier. Nico's an easy mislynch that scum love to take advantage of.
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Post Post #1297 (isolation #23) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:13 am

Post by Shoshin »

What's scummy about Ydrasse?
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Post Post #1299 (isolation #24) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 11:18 am

Post by Shoshin »

Gamma, Ydrasse, HBB, ET, and BEF feel town.
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Post Post #1304 (isolation #25) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 3:18 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Interesting.
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Post Post #1305 (isolation #26) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 3:59 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What makes you believe I'm scum, HUB?
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Post Post #1306 (isolation #27) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 4:19 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1303, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:Scum usually pocket Nico because her reads are typically bad, I wouldn't say she's particularly targeted for early game scum fades
This hasn't been my experience. It's usually been the best exact opposite (see Labyrinth, RC's other game I forgot the name of, Errant's game, etc.)
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Post Post #1307 (isolation #28) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 4:23 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I guess I should also clarify that I didn't town read Nico for replacing out. I'm aware that Nico strongly prefers playing scum, and lack of interest in a game IS a minor town-tell for Nico. But that would apply to this game regardless whether Nico replaced out or not.
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Post Post #1308 (isolation #29) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 4:25 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I also think Nico tends to offer more reads as scum on D1, whereas she NEVER offers reads as town on D1. This game was town Nico via posting.

And btw, this game isn't the only time I've replaced a slot that I town read based on only two posts. So this isn't reason to scum read me...
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Post Post #1309 (isolation #30) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 4:27 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I'd also like to note that I fully intend to read this game in-depth tomorrow night when I have time, but for now, I wanted to get in the game as soon as possible instead of sitting on the sidelines until I read. I do this in every game I've ever replaced into as town, so that also isn't reason to scumread me.

HUB seems to know me, so it's weird that they'd suspect me for anything at this point.
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Post Post #1319 (isolation #31) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 7:30 pm

Post by Shoshin »

HUB, what's your read on Bell? If you're town, and I'm willing I consider the possibility, Bell immediately crosses my mind as likely scum.
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Post Post #1321 (isolation #32) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 7:42 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Also, HUB, I don't understand your reaction to my entrance when I'm clearly towning up a mislynch bait. Your emotion was precisely what I expect scum to feel as they watch their potential mislynch slip away. Am I someone you strongly dislike from past history?
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Post Post #1322 (isolation #33) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 7:42 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What happened to Taylor?
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Post Post #1325 (isolation #34) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 8:17 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Gypyx, what're your current reads?
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Post Post #1326 (isolation #35) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 8:18 pm

Post by Shoshin »

HUB, why'd you think Vax was flipping town?
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Post Post #1328 (isolation #36) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 8:46 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I guess this is where I'm at, from town to scum:

Sam
Gamma
HBB
ET

Golden
BEF
Ydrasse

Bell
Gypyx
Ari

I don't include HUB because they're either confirmed via role or scum. This slot solves itself before LYLO, so I bracket this for today.
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Post Post #1329 (isolation #37) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 8:48 pm

Post by Shoshin »

This is based on reading D1 & everything after page 45.
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Post Post #1342 (isolation #38) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:12 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 156, samantha97 wrote:I just realized I mixed up pelican with tsunami lol

VOTE: Tsunami Slayer
This post clears Sam.
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Post Post #1345 (isolation #39) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:15 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Gypyx hasn't shown any sign of town. Their reads aren't great. They're a plausible team with all likely scum.
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Post Post #1346 (isolation #40) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:15 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1345, shellyc wrote:how does it clear sam?

mixing up player a with player b is... nai
Context.
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Post Post #1348 (isolation #41) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:17 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I also disagree that mixing up a scum with likely town is NAI, but the broader point here is that the timing of this vote almost never comes from scum.
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Post Post #1349 (isolation #42) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:18 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I don't see how this role knowledge means anything.
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Post Post #1350 (isolation #43) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:18 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What're your reads, Shelly?
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Post Post #1353 (isolation #44) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:28 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1353, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I think the weirdest thing I find about GX right now is how he has not reacted to this conversation between me and shelly pretty much at all, I kinda feel like he hasn't read or has only barely read like the last 6 pages, which while it is low information a lot of it was just directly about him which is just weird for him to not comment on
Not just the 6 pages. It feels disconnected from the whole game.
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Post Post #1354 (isolation #45) » Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:29 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I could be wrong about Sam. I expect my reads overall to suck after taking long break from the game.
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Post Post #1373 (isolation #46) » Sun Nov 22, 2020 9:55 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 262, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 260, Tsunami Slayer wrote:Hm. Shelly seems scummy. That means Shelly is town. Done. Sorted.
this is town and i reached the same conclusion (so both shelly/tay and tsunami are town)
gypyx is probably town as well
taly seems town
VOTE: samantha this slot is scumpinging me
Looking back, I agree with HBB that this raises concerns. Scum tend to over justify reads they know are wrong, and while the reasoning is weak, it's also over justification relative to the other reads.
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Post Post #1400 (isolation #47) » Sun Nov 22, 2020 7:22 pm

Post by Shoshin »

VOTE: Aristophanes
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Post Post #1539 (isolation #48) » Wed Nov 25, 2020 5:29 pm

Post by Shoshin »

VOTE: HUB
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Post Post #1555 (isolation #49) » Wed Nov 25, 2020 9:09 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What's scummy about naked votes? This is something I do as town.
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Post Post #1560 (isolation #50) » Wed Nov 25, 2020 10:41 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1556, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I just feel like I have yet to see any sign of town Shoshin, you replaced in, did a catchup, then seemed to just drop out of the game. If you were town I feel like you'd have much more presence.
I've been letting the game breathe a bit so that other players post.
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Post Post #1561 (isolation #51) » Wed Nov 25, 2020 10:45 pm

Post by Shoshin »

HUB, what games of mine are you familiar with? The idea that I spam post & don't naked vote are both wrong. Where's your meta on me coming from?
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Post Post #1562 (isolation #52) » Wed Nov 25, 2020 10:51 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What're your town reads, HUB?
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Post Post #1569 (isolation #53) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:01 am

Post by Shoshin »

HUB, why do you keep saying that I lied about Nico's meta? I understand that you disagree, but why do you assume I'm lying rather than just wrong?
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Post Post #1570 (isolation #54) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:04 am

Post by Shoshin »

Why is GX town, HUB?
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Post Post #1571 (isolation #55) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:12 am

Post by Shoshin »

Golden, why'd you vote HUB?
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Post Post #1572 (isolation #56) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:32 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1493, Aristophanes wrote:I'd honestly entirely forgotten we got scum D1.

That's definitely a good jumping point!
How do you forget a scum lynch?

Has anyone in this game ever forgotten that they lynched scum? Can anyone point me to examples of town forgetting a scum lynch?
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Post Post #1573 (isolation #57) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 6:43 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1060, Ydrasse wrote:maybe ircher saw something i didn't see in her but idk!!!
Don't like the three exclamations here. Feels fake.
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Post Post #1575 (isolation #58) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:04 am

Post by Shoshin »

What felt off? What's improved?
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Post Post #1578 (isolation #59) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:10 am

Post by Shoshin »

They weren't lurking when you voted them. You've been lurking, though. And haven't expressed any reads.
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Post Post #1579 (isolation #60) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:11 am

Post by Shoshin »

You referred to scummy interactions, Golden. Can you point me to those?
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Post Post #1580 (isolation #61) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:14 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1488, TheGoldenParadox wrote:i want a claim from ari and while he doesn't have that much play to look at the way this wagon has developed makes me believe it's a wagon on scum
What about the wagon development led to this belief? I don't understand at all what you're talking about?
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Post Post #1582 (isolation #62) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:17 am

Post by Shoshin »

What have I done that's scummy, Golden?
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Post Post #1585 (isolation #63) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:22 am

Post by Shoshin »

What are the specific behaviors in this game that make you think I'm scum? You don't need to explain why it's scummy, just the behaviors. I'd also like to know your reads in general, and I'd like to know how those reads change if you assume I'm town.
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Post Post #1586 (isolation #64) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:23 am

Post by Shoshin »

What did HUB do that's towny?
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Post Post #1587 (isolation #65) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 7:36 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1583, TheGoldenParadox wrote:
In post 1580, Shoshin wrote:
In post 1488, TheGoldenParadox wrote:i want a claim from ari and while he doesn't have that much play to look at the way this wagon has developed makes me believe it's a wagon on scum
What about the wagon development led to this belief? I don't understand at all what you're talking about?
it was a counterwagon to hub that developed pretty quickly as hub seemed much townier
the ari wagon is, at least, town driven if hub is town like i think, and then like shade has been cast on the wagon but it hasn't been derailed
Ari is scum because HUB is town? That's your logic? Have you even looked at who drove the Ari wagon? I was one of the key votes that shifted pressure from HUB to Ari. Why don't you town read me for that?
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Post Post #1590 (isolation #66) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 9:30 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1589, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:
In post 1587, Shoshin wrote:I was one of the key votes that shifted pressure from HUB to Ari. Why don't you town read me for that?
I actually thought the way Ari implied every vote on his wagon was the same without calling out your naked vote in conjunction with your naked vote slightly increased the risk of s/s bussing. I don't think naked voting someone who is getting voted for pressure and to produce content makes you town, especially if Ari is town (as Gamma seems quite sure of at least)
I always naked vote...
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Post Post #1591 (isolation #67) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 9:31 am

Post by Shoshin »

From your perspective, HUB, my vote on Ari should confirm me as town if Ari flips scum. The momentum swung quite dramatically from you to Ari when I did that, and as scum I had no reason to do that at all.
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Post Post #1592 (isolation #68) » Thu Nov 26, 2020 9:32 am

Post by Shoshin »

Golden suspects me for dumb reasons, so it's just a matter of time until scum jump on me.
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Post Post #1613 (isolation #69) » Fri Nov 27, 2020 3:10 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What's your latest take on the game, Sam?
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Post Post #1653 (isolation #70) » Sat Nov 28, 2020 8:36 pm

Post by Shoshin »

You think I'm scum, Gamma?
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Post Post #1722 (isolation #71) » Tue Dec 01, 2020 11:22 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Maybe we should lynch Gypyx?
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Post Post #1723 (isolation #72) » Tue Dec 01, 2020 11:24 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Or Bell?
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Post Post #1724 (isolation #73) » Tue Dec 01, 2020 11:29 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Golden, why is Gypyx town?
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Post Post #1732 (isolation #74) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:52 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1725, shellyc wrote:shoshin, why do you seem more passive than town!you in that mini I modded?
I was passive in that game until about 2 days before deadline. It was also a different set of circumstances -- in your game it was D1 & I had to actively steer town away from a clear mislynch onto the obvious scum, whereas this game was a replacement on D2 & I'm not entirely sure what's happening in this game yet.
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Post Post #1733 (isolation #75) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:58 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1728, shellyc wrote:TGP is scummy. no real presence anyhow. i struggle to remember anything TGP has done.
I'm pretty sure TGP's town.
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Post Post #1734 (isolation #76) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 12:59 am

Post by Shoshin »

Sam concerns me.
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Post Post #1741 (isolation #77) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 9:25 am

Post by Shoshin »

Sam doesn't seem to be scumhunting.

Bell could be scum, who knows?
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Post Post #1748 (isolation #78) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 1:28 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Let's lynch Sam?
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Post Post #1758 (isolation #79) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:04 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Is there any reason to town read Sam?
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Post Post #1766 (isolation #80) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:09 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1761, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:
In post 156, samantha97 wrote:I just realized I mixed up pelican with tsunami lol

VOTE: Tsunami Slayer
One could argue this post is mildly townie, more for the mixup than the vote
Were you thinking this before I pointed it out earlier?
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Post Post #1768 (isolation #81) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:11 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1763, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I did like her leantown on me in 1296 but beyond that she could use like a readslist and some more content so a wagon there isn't unreasonable
If you're town, scum are a lot more likely to read you as town than townies, because your level of engagement is the sort of thing that's very difficult for a mafioso to fake a scumread on.
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Post Post #1770 (isolation #82) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:13 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I first mentioned this, HUB. I think it over-complicates the alignment -- Sam's playing overall more like scum than anyone else in the game.
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Post Post #1773 (isolation #83) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:16 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Sam's ignored most of the substantive discussion this game & focused entirely on inactive slots who are likely town (me, & Ari).
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Post Post #1775 (isolation #84) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:17 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1771, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:Having now looked at ydra town and ydra scum, the thing I noticed is just NAI
What's the thing? I'd like to hear more about Ydrasse. This player is difficult to sort without more testing, for sure.
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Post Post #1778 (isolation #85) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 2:17 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1774, Ydrasse wrote:i like this plist and my mafia motivation has went overall down across site which isn’t an alignment thing but in general i find it a lot harder to create content as scum and generally just... don’t want to
This is believable.
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Post Post #1791 (isolation #86) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 4:57 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Very disappointing play lately from HBB.
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Post Post #1792 (isolation #87) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 4:58 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1788, Happy Birthday Boonskiies wrote:She was the only counterwagon to Vax.
There was no counter to Vax. Scum likely bussed, as they tend to do when their partner is as scummy as Vax was.
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Post Post #1793 (isolation #88) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 5:00 pm

Post by Shoshin »

HBB, have you ever done an elitell as town?
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Post Post #1796 (isolation #89) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 5:43 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Gamma, why are you so sure that Ari is town?
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Post Post #1798 (isolation #90) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 5:46 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Can you explain this in more depth?
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Post Post #1808 (isolation #91) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 7:53 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1799, Gamma Emerald wrote:just read my posts and then come forth with any questions you still have
I don't wanna retread ground I don't have to
You haven't said that much... just some meta stuff that you don't flesh out much. Can you point to specific tonal stuff from Ari that you like? I don't understand the strong town read & I'd like to so that I can focus on other players.
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Post Post #1809 (isolation #92) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 8:01 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1804, shellyc wrote:sam is a lame wagon, i agree with HBB, scum probably arent *that disorganised* that the main wagon + CW of d1 are s/s
There was no counter on D1. Scum bus partners on D1 a lot, as you just witnessed in your own game.
In post 1805, shellyc wrote:i would again, vote in ari (i love ellitells), TGP (who has provided NOTHING contentwise)

bell i would like to talk to you in realtime
Why vote TGP? Is there something different in this game than his play in your game?

Why do you distrust Gamma's strong town read on Ari? Do you have a lot of experience with reading Ari?
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Post Post #1810 (isolation #93) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 8:02 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1801, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:
In post 1799, Gamma Emerald wrote:just read my posts and then come forth with any questions you still have
I don't wanna retread ground I don't have to
do you think shoshin forgets the last time you talked about this point as town? :P
I don't like this post at all.
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Post Post #1813 (isolation #94) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 8:50 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I'm gonna go through Vax's wagon so you can see there was no counter.

We start with a situation where Sam has five votes and Vax gas one. Gamma voting Vax, nobody else, but not because Gamma suspects Vax.

This is what happens next:
In post 503, Endless Terror wrote:VOTE: tsunami
-tay
This vote starts the wagon.
In post 504, Gamma Emerald wrote:Why are you voting the slot that’s getting replaced :/
Gamma defends Vax, even though Gamma's voting Vax. Weird.
In post 514, samantha97 wrote:
In post 475, NicoRobin wrote:I have no scumreads or townreads right now.
"I didn't read the thread"

I think pelican's posts have been consistently illogical, regardless of which head is doing the posting. I was being really charitable before because of their role claim (like thinking taly really didn't understand a joke), but there's a tipping point. That said, it still doesn't make sense for us to vote for them today.

VOTE: NicoRobin
Sam votes Nico. Sam doesn't comment on anything substantive regarding Vax. Silence on important topics is a massive scum-tell.
In post 517, Bell wrote:What is tsunami at right now?
In post 518, Bell wrote::/
VOTE: tsunami
These are excellent posts from Bell, and it's why I initially town read this slot. Bell could be scum who saw the writing on the wall, but more likely, this was town who wanted to kill scum.
In post 524, Ydrasse wrote:i’m too drunk for this today sorrrrryyyyyy
I don't like this. This is the point in the game where scum struggle most to post without telling, as it's a key turning point on a partner'a wagon.
In post 525, Endless Terror wrote:Stop fucking pocketing me scum Noraa
-Shelly phoneposting
In post 526, Endless Terror wrote:That replace out was AI but for integrity reasons I shall ignore it but that slot is scum. Casing will happen when I get home
-Shelly
This slot is likely town.
In post 527, Happy Birthday Boonskiies wrote:VOTE: Tsunami Slayer

Unfortunate, but yeah, very likely scum
This could be a bus. It's the fourth vote, a common spot for scum to hide. It's still townish overall but less so than Bell's vote.
In post 533, Gypyx wrote:99% sure bell / tsunami aren't S/S

More content from bell would be appreciated
Bad posting. It's fine to call out negative associatives, but not in the abstract. Scum tend to talk this way when they don't want to commit on a major wagon. Town usually will take a side when noting this sort of associative tell.
In post 542, samantha97 wrote:
In post 541, BrightEyedFish wrote:Currently, I am voting Sam to show ET that I am willing to work with them so they can stop wasting time on me.
wat

is there some way to interpret this that doesn't involve you still not reading the thread
Bad posting.
In post 545, samantha97 wrote:nicorobin nicorobin nicorobin
Bad posting.
In post 550, samantha97 wrote:
In post 547, Happy Birthday Boonskiies wrote:Hi, Samantha. Nicorobin to you too.
first, thanks for the laugh

second, the reason why I didn't talk about being voted, and have no intention to beyond this, is because that's purely a distraction from my point of view (though I did answer questions because people kept asking stuff)

third, I read this game with noraa in it viewtopic.php?f=11&t=84118 where she was mafia and her tone is a lot different here

but you people know each other a lot better than I do, so if you think she's mafia then I'm fine with that; it'd be super cool if nico and thegoldenparadox would post more before the day is over though
Defending Vax's slot in a slimy way that scum often do. Shelly, please compare this with the way Taylor defended Herta in your game. It's almost the exact same move, a ploy that scum often use while bussing.
In post 567, TheGoldenParadox wrote:nope yeah VOTE: tsunami is scum and that replace out was :^/
This post is townish. Yes, it could be a bus, but feels like typical Golden town voting behavior.
In post 585, Ydrasse wrote:my samantha vote is doing fuck all right now but it's definitely my strongest read like. what is the point of shading pelican and saying that voting them doesn't make sense and going onto a wagon that is objectively worse (pelican had votes, nico had none and nico's presence is negative) for like... what? what is the goal here?

voting vax right now feels rude until they get to post a little. as a treat
Bad posting if Sam's town. Again, Sam was a major wagon before Vax. Vax was the CW to Sam, not the other way around.
In post 587, Ydrasse wrote:also i think that tsunami/vax + samantha are viable together due to samantha's lukewarm reaction to the wagon on tsunami
This clears Ydrasse entirely if Sam's scum, though. Locktown.
In post 609, Endless Terror wrote:VOTE: BEF

enjoy the fresh air vax, taylor will probably torment you though
-shelly
Why? I don't like this, especially if Sam flips scum. It looks quite suspect that you vote the next easiest wagon outside of Vax/Sam. What's the purpose of this vote?
In post 621, samantha97 wrote:
In post 585, Ydrasse wrote:my samantha vote is doing fuck all right now but it's definitely my strongest read like. what is the point of shading pelican and saying that voting them doesn't make sense and going onto a wagon that is objectively worse (pelican had votes, nico had none and nico's presence is negative) for like... what? what is the goal here?
uh the goal was to encourage the people voting for pelican to not vote for them; you answered your own question there

and the only player we literally can't read at all is nico, because they've said effectively nothing and posted only twice

even if you don't want to lynch nico, it's concerning that you are against pressuring a player that is deliberately not participating
Awful posting from Sam, again. Sam still isn't scumhunting in a meaningful way.

I find it interesting that Sam copied a scum ploy used by Taylor in another game. I wouldn't be surprised if they coordinates that together in a PM. It's unlikely, but wouldn't surprise at all.
In post 643, Endless Terror wrote:
In post 609, Endless Terror wrote:VOTE: BEF

enjoy the fresh air vax, taylor will probably torment you though
-shelly
bad shelly!
*smacks shelly on the nose (gently) with a newspaper*
that is a very bad shelly!

VOTE: vaxkiller

-tay if you couldnt deduce that this wasnt shelly
It's nice to come back but I just don't like how they're playing up their vote while throwing out a feeler for CW on BEF.
In post 652, samantha97 wrote:if gamma is mafia then what do you think the odds are of nico not-so-randomly voting them at the start as also-mafia?
Why is Sam talking about this irrelevant stuff? The focus is so wrong & unnatural.
In post 655, TheGoldenParadox wrote:i'm staying on vax for obvious reasons
i know game integrity and all so even outside of the replace out noraa's play scum spewed that slot
Golden stays strong on this wagon. I town read this.
In post 659, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I'm feeling reasonably confident on Gamma town, why is he at the bottom of your list Catavi Terror?
I strangely town read this post. HUB's towniest post in the game.
In post 683, Gamma Emerald wrote:Pretty sure I’m still voting there. I don’t mind it as long as it’s well defined.
It's too late to leave the wagon at this point anyway, not without attracting a lot of suspicion. No town points for Gamma, unfortunately.
In post 710, samantha97 wrote:
Spoiler:
I had a dream that BrassHerald came in as a backup mod and modconfirmed two people fighting. I think I have ptsd

In post 707, Endless Terror wrote:that slot's focus on nico seems to be scum finding something to push
I wanted your opinion since you seem to think gamma is mafia, which would have implications outside of gamma, and you didn't give it. Like I said, I don't care about actually lynching nico (just as I didn't care about BEF) and just wanted them to post. If I wanted to push something I'd be pushing a person who could actually get vote majority.
Again, the focus isn't towny. Some hypothetical comments but still no scumhunting. Compare Nico's honesty ("no reads") to Sam doing nothing while pretending otherwise.
In post 719, Gypyx wrote:
In post 710, samantha97 wrote:I had a dream that BrassHerald came in as a backup mod and modconfirmed two people fighting. I think I have ptsd
Scummy dream ngl

VOTE: samantha

/s
Okay. Remember when I said Gypyx was scummy? It's because of this weird post, followed by this:
In post 720, Gypyx wrote:Yeah i'll just go back to BEF, not convinced by the current wagons

VOTE: BrightEyedFish
Gypyx looking for an actual CW to Vax or Sam.
In post 721, Vaxkiller wrote:VOTE: Samantha

I don't see scum motivation in golden paradoxes one track mind to lynch a replacement. Weird an annoying maybe, but it feels town to me.
Votes Sam but pushes for lynching Golden. I think this clears Golden. It's just not how scum distance from a partner.

More on this later.
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Post Post #1851 (isolation #95) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:54 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1847, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I mean she was casing to refute the idea that Sam was unlikely to be scum based on being a counter-wagon to Vax, so yes it was written from the POV that Sam was likely to be scum... I mean that's how cases work? Some people don't like cases but idk, I feel like we're not on the same wavelength atm
That wasn't a case, to be clear.
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Post Post #1852 (isolation #96) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:08 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Bell/Sam seems plausible as scum.
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Post Post #1853 (isolation #97) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:13 pm

Post by Shoshin »

VOTE: Sam
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Post Post #1854 (isolation #98) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:17 pm

Post by Shoshin »

It could even be HBB/Bell/Sam.
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Post Post #1855 (isolation #99) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:18 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Gamma/Ari is in the back of my mind as a possibility as well. But it seems unlikely.
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Post Post #1858 (isolation #100) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:40 pm

Post by Shoshin »

BEF's level of effort & confidence is strongly town indicative. It's a tough read because they're always a scummy townie, but that's just more reason to be careful about getting baited.
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Post Post #1859 (isolation #101) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:40 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What's an enchantress?
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Post Post #1861 (isolation #102) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:54 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Why would you use your role on Pelican instead of checking alignment of an inactive player. This seems completely inconsistent with your behavior so far.
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Post Post #1862 (isolation #103) » Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:57 pm

Post by Shoshin »

You're a parallel universe, Sam?
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Post Post #1864 (isolation #104) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:01 am

Post by Shoshin »

What are you, then?
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Post Post #1865 (isolation #105) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:02 am

Post by Shoshin »

I don't see why you would target Pelican. That seems like a lie.
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Post Post #1867 (isolation #106) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:06 am

Post by Shoshin »

What's your role reflavored as?
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Post Post #1874 (isolation #107) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:25 am

Post by Shoshin »

Will this game have 1 variant or 2 based on size?
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Post Post #1896 (isolation #108) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 8:59 am

Post by Shoshin »

HBB's recent posting is scum gibberish.
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Post Post #1898 (isolation #109) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:06 am

Post by Shoshin »

HBB seems to know more about what Vax & scum was thinking than town would. If Sam's town, HBB's likely scum.
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Post Post #1899 (isolation #110) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:08 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1885, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:the other possibility being maybe like GX was scum ascetic and just changed his claim to commuter because it would get him towncred from shelly but that still seems oddly convoluted to me
I see no reason to believe Gypyx isn't just a scum parallel universe, as I've suggested for a while. Behavior-wise, Gypyx is one of the scummiest players.
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Post Post #1900 (isolation #111) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:14 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1789, Happy Birthday Boonskiies wrote:Soooooo Ari went back to elitelling (posting in other games but not this one) hard as soon as pressure was lifted off him. That isn't a good sign either.
HBB'a logic that scum tried to push a Sam CW doesn't square with a world where Ari is scum.
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Post Post #1901 (isolation #112) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:16 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1241, Happy Birthday Boonskiies wrote:Vaxkiller replaced them, he spewed scum.
Some people pushed him, some bussed, some attempted to counterwagon Samantha.
HBB has been pushing this Sam CW argument for a while... Didn't realize this until now. The CW argument also doesn't square with HUB as scum, which is something that HBB was pushing earlier. The whole of HBB's scumhunting lacks internal consistency (a massive scum-tell).
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Post Post #1902 (isolation #113) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:19 am

Post by Shoshin »

On the other hand, there's the fact that Vax voted Sam instead of BEF. This would suggest BEF as scum if Sam's town & scum were actually trying to get a CW going instead of just confusing things.
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Post Post #1905 (isolation #114) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:29 am

Post by Shoshin »

I've read the pages. I asked you for reads a while ago, Sam. You've been playing mafia for years, right? How come you don't have reads this far into the game?
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Post Post #1906 (isolation #115) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:30 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1903, BrightEyedFish wrote:
In post 1898, Shoshin wrote:HBB seems to know more about what Vax & scum was thinking than town would. If Sam's town, HBB's likely scum.
I had a though similar to this but instead of HBB, it was irt HUB.
Explain more. What specific thought & why?
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Post Post #1907 (isolation #116) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:30 am

Post by Shoshin »

Golden, where are you? The day is nearing its end, & I'd like to have a conversation with you about the game. What are your current reads?
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Post Post #1910 (isolation #117) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:35 am

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In post 1908, samantha97 wrote:you actually asked me twice and I ignored the second because it was redundant, but it's easy to forget I guess when you don't actually ask questions with the purpose of knowing something
I don't know what this means. You ignored my request for reads because you think my question wasn't genuine?
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Post Post #1911 (isolation #118) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:36 am

Post by Shoshin »

VOTE: Gamma

Okay, this is scum.
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Post Post #1913 (isolation #119) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:43 am

Post by Shoshin »

BEF, I understand what you're saying about HUB but I don't think it's the same as what I'm saying about HBB. HBB is forcing the idea that scum tried to build a CW when there's no evidence of a coordinated effort to lynch Sam -- even Vax barely pushes or cases Sam. The idea that scum bussed Vax, on the other hand, just makes a lot of sense. It doesn't require a scum perspective because it's a natural towny thought to have.
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Post Post #1914 (isolation #120) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:44 am

Post by Shoshin »

BEF, what're your reads at the moment?
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Post Post #1916 (isolation #121) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:50 am

Post by Shoshin »

Why is Gamma town?
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Post Post #1917 (isolation #122) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:51 am

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Why is HBB so town to you?
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Post Post #1918 (isolation #123) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:52 am

Post by Shoshin »

You don't believe Sam's claim? They're the only claimed boon bank role.
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Post Post #1919 (isolation #124) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:53 am

Post by Shoshin »

Why aren't I town when my reads most closely resemble yours (pretty sure I'm the only person who suggested Gypyx was scum other than you now)?
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Post Post #1921 (isolation #125) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:55 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1920, BrightEyedFish wrote:
In post 1916, Shoshin wrote:Why is Gamma town?
Maybe its all the positive vibes coming from that slot towards me :P

I have also noticed Gamma's post regarding me could be interpreted as an attempt to pocket me but I am actively ignoring any paranoia I could have there.
I've been calling you town since I joined the game. Why don't you feel the same about me?
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Post Post #1923 (isolation #126) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:56 am

Post by Shoshin »

Can anyone articulate a town read on Gamma that doesn't come from a "he's been positive to me" (i.e. pocketing) perspective?
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Post Post #1926 (isolation #127) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 10:09 am

Post by Shoshin »

I'll offer a few reasons to vote Gamma:

1. His vote for Vax wasn't based on scumreading Vax. He even attacked players for voting Vax prior to replacement, which didn't make any sense at all.

2. Gamma's vote was stuck on Vax on D1. This explains why scum felt unable to shift votes in a coordinated way onto a CW - they had someone voting Vax already who couldn't justify leaving the wagon without appearing scummy.

3. Pelican kill comes from Gamma more than anyone else, because Gamma has a lot of experience with Titus & doesn't want to deal with that meta experience coming into play. From a scum POV, Gamma more than anyone wants Pelican out of the game.

4. Gamma's reads don't make any sense. Why he town read Ari? Unclear. Why he town read BEF? Unclear. His recent vote on me is particularly bad because (a) I'm just starting to get in the game more, which is a massive town tell, not a scum tell; (b) Gamma has enough prior experience with me to know that I ask a lot of questions as town, so calling these questions performative doesn't fit at all. Gamma alos knows better than to just lynch me at this point without giving me a chance to find the scum. It just doesn't fit at all.
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Post Post #1927 (isolation #128) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 10:11 am

Post by Shoshin »

HBB, if you assume I'm town, what are the possible scum teams at this point?
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Post Post #1928 (isolation #129) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 10:16 am

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Shelly, HUB, and Gamma are the three players who most know my meta in this game. These are the players who shouldn't be pushing me at all today, not before at least seeing flips. BoP is a lot more effective to read me than this "performative question" point. How is that even a thing for Gamma to push? It's just opportunism based on a terrible vote from Sam.
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Post Post #1930 (isolation #130) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:05 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Gypyx, do you have any thoughts other than more stuff about why you're town?
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Post Post #1931 (isolation #131) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:08 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Gypyx, how do you feel about voting Gamma?
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Post Post #1934 (isolation #132) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:57 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1932, Bell wrote:
In post 1858, Shoshin wrote:BEF's level of effort & confidence is strongly town indicative. It's a tough read because they're always a scummy townie,
but that's just more reason to be careful about getting baited.
Are you sure they're not just scum. Because they seem like scum to me.
Their play around Tsunami was susp asf.
Their current play sucks if they're town and have you seen their reads list. What about their analysis or thoughts seems like effort to you?
This is what I mean when I say I think you're working backwards, your read of BEF isn't just outside of consensus it reads like bullshit you've conjured up out of thin air to justify an informed perspective.
You even seem to be projecting by throwing the same accusation at HBB when he at least has put some level of evidence on the table that makes some sense.

What does the bolded even mean?
No, I'm not sure they aren't scum. There's some evidence they're scum, including the fact that Vax voted Sam over BEF as a potential CW.

I'm skeptical about the idea that Vax was actually trying to build a CW on a townie, or that they made any distinction between BEF or Sam.

BEF's effort is higher than I've seen in numerous other town games they've played, & their reads makes sense when you understand BEF's way of thinking. Like, town reading players who defend you when you're under a lot of pressure makes a lot of sense from town. What don't you understand from BEF's perspective? Is there something specific that you find scummy?

The bolded point above means this: town BEF is mislynch bait , similar to a player like, say, SirCake. These players are scummy-appearing townies, so you need to be careful about lynching them. I make it a point to identify easy mislynch bait in my games & to be very cautious about letting them get lynched unless I'm very confident they're scum.

The idea that I'm informed is laughable. I'm throwing out a lot of theories because I'm quite uncertain about the direction I want to go. I haven't played this past year, other than a game I just finished, so I still don't have the same level of confidence as I used to. I've gone back-and-forth on a lot of things this game, so I don't see how you can argue that I'm working backwards.

What's your take on my Gamma push? (Note: Gamma's been defending BEF as well, and BEF considers Gamma his top townread).
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Post Post #1935 (isolation #133) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 4:59 pm

Post by Shoshin »

HUB, you should work with me. If you are unsure if my alignment, why not just assume I'm town for today? If you're town, then us working together is going to give us best shot of lynching scum today.
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Post Post #1936 (isolation #134) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:07 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1933, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I do believe sam's claim and tbh I think she's strongly town for it
The claim is believable, but I'm unsure what it means about alignment at this time. I don't think roles ever indicate alignment in any particular direction, especially when we don't know the setup yet.
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Post Post #1937 (isolation #135) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:09 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Scum obviously knew there was commuting in the game. They have a role that allows them to kill commuters, or Sam's scum. It's either/or.
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Post Post #1940 (isolation #136) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:15 pm

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Is there any reason to believe boon bank role is town? From what I know about Flavor, he likes to give scum room to try unorthodox strategies, so I don't see why he wouldn't give scum Sam's role. It gives scum a lot flexibility, allowing a roleblock or a protection on partner or self. It also fits the game's theme in some respects -- a scum who creates parallel universes. It's about 50/50, I think.

Sam's role not working introduces chaos & WIFOM that scum traffic in. It's precisely how I'd expect scum to claim the role. And if Sam commuted, she'd know that nobody could prove her claim wrong. It's a WIFOM paradise for scum, which is precisely what Flavor loves as scum. So it just makes sense that our mod gives this role to scum.
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Post Post #1942 (isolation #137) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:21 pm

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In post 1938, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:1 is fair, but 2 is conjecture that relies on too many assumptions about gamestate. 3 I... don't get at all? Unless you can show a game where Titus really nailed Gamma or something. 4 I subjectively disagree with; he townreads Ari because of meta BS and is making actually a similar argument about Ari that you're making about BEF in terms of being fadebaity. I also am not sure I buy the idea that gamma would 'know better than to just lynch [you]'... I'm pretty sure Gamma does whatever the hell Gamma feels like doing as either alignment lol
The 2nd point explains one of this game's mysteries very well. Why wasn't there a CW on D1? You need to explain this in a way that makes sense if you want to find scum.

Titus suspected Gamma through most of D1, while drawing on meta for her read. I think scum Gamma, more than anyone else, would have felt a lot of pressure from Titus, and he would have felt it difficult to tip toe around this. Pelican made this game 100x harder for scum Gamma to play. I don't see Pelican making this game much harder for anyone else. The kill simply makes sense coming from Gamma.

I played a lot of games with Gamma. Gamma has mislynched me before. I think he would know better than to vote me for asking questions. It's like the defining feature of my play.
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Post Post #1945 (isolation #138) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:23 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1941, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:For Sam to be scum, Sam would have to have either:
-bluffed, which would maybe require a motion detector or something for scum, to *know* exactly who pelican targeted
OR
-targeted the scum nk with a commute (which makes no sense so we can dismiss)
No, no. Open your imagination a bit. Scum Sam could have targeted another townie without our knowledge, attempting to roleblock, and because Sam becomes commuter as a result, town can't track Sam. Pelican's role seems like the ONLY counter for catching Sam in a lie, so it makes sense to have town Pelican's role with scum enchantress
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Post Post #1946 (isolation #139) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:25 pm

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In post 1944, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:
In post 1942, Shoshin wrote:Why wasn't there a CW on D1? You need to explain this in a way that makes sense if you want to find scum.
vax's predecessor got angle-shot and vax himself refused to claim for literally no reason

the slot gave scum nothing to work with to deflect the wagon
I think better scum could have easily saved Vax. A lot of towniws were against lynching Vax at first (Pelican, Ircher, and assuming you're town, you). Gypyx didn't want to lynch Vax. There was lots of opportunity, yet scum did nothing. This tells me that scum felt stuck voting Vax. Gamma fits this profile the best.
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Post Post #1948 (isolation #140) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:32 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Let's say Shelly/Gypyx/Sam are town. We both want to include Golden as town. I think Ydrasse/HBB are likely town. I think Bell/BEF are probably town. This leaves who in the poe? Gamma, & Ari. It's a simple solve that makes a lot of sense when you think about it more.

If Sam's actually town enchantress, though, then scum must have a role that kills commuters. I guess I'll just claim to clarify why. I'm also a town parallel universe. This is part of why I suspected Gypyx earlier. Nico didn't commute last night but I will definitely be commuting the rest of this game.

That's three commuters, plus a role that allows for two more town commuters. That's five players that scum can't kill. Five. This doesn't seem plausible.
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Post Post #1949 (isolation #141) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:34 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I also received information last night from someone. I guess that's like a messenger or something. I've ignored it for now. But the fact I received this should prove Nico didn't use role, which itself should prove I'm town.
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Post Post #1951 (isolation #142) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:40 pm

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Imagine five town commuters. The game ends in a town win or a draw 100% of the time, as long as town don't lynch the commuters. This seems like an unfair challenge for scum. How do scum win this? They have to convince town to lynch the commuters. I guess that's plausible but it just seems like this isn't the type of play that Flavor would like -- he's not trying to force scum to play just one strategy, unless I'm wrong about him?
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Post Post #1952 (isolation #143) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:42 pm

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In post 1950, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I don't mind dumping Ari, if only so he can focus on classes and get better grades lol

also him hard ditching the thread as soon as pressure was off is weak AF

hmm so we're commuter fiesta this game
Lynch Gamma first because regardless Ari's flip, Gamma's likely scum. If Ari flips town, we still need to lynch Gamma.
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Post Post #1954 (isolation #144) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:45 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Scum either kill the commuters via role, or Sam's scum, or Gypyx is scum. That's my take.

Shelly's town. I don't think scum bussed that hard for no reason.
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Post Post #1955 (isolation #145) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:47 pm

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Behavior-wise, Gypyx/Sam are two of the scummiest players in the game. If I had to chart a path to victory for town, it involves lynching Gamma. If Gamma's town, we assume Ari as town & lynch one of Gypyx/Sam. If Gamma's scum, we lynch Ari.
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Post Post #1958 (isolation #146) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:49 pm

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If another commuter dies at night, we assume Gypyx/Sam are town. I don't think this will happen, though it might if Gamma/Ari are in fact scum -- they will kill me probably.
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Post Post #1959 (isolation #147) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:50 pm

Post by Shoshin »

I don't care to describe my message at this time. Do you think messenger is town or scum?
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Post Post #1962 (isolation #148) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:54 pm

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If you trust I'm town, HUB, maybe you can trust my reads more? I know it's been a year but my first game back, I caught the whole scum team on D1. So I dunno, I still think my reads are worth giving some weight, even of you don't understand or follow my logic.
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Post Post #1964 (isolation #149) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:56 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Yep. Me receiving a message is Nico's gift to us all.
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Post Post #1965 (isolation #150) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 5:57 pm

Post by Shoshin »

My message indicated that someone is town. Should I believe this? I dunno. Why message Nico? That's a curious question.
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Post Post #1969 (isolation #151) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:04 pm

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I think you're ignoring the possibility that Sam is scum who didn't target Pelican at all.
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Post Post #1970 (isolation #152) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:06 pm

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Anyway, I'm very confident on Gamma flipping scum, regardless of Sam/Ari/BEF alignment. Please trust this & take another look at Gamma's posting.
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Post Post #1975 (isolation #153) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:11 pm

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In post 1973, Ydrasse wrote:i have no clue what the fuck to think about samantha anymore because like, why pelican of all people that doesn't make sense to me but neither does this game having that many commuters
Why Pelican, my exact question... Sam's a mystery.

Please take a closer look at Gamma. I'm very confident about this & I'm rarely wrong when this confident, but I'd like to hear your thoughts.
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Post Post #1978 (isolation #154) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:13 pm

Post by Shoshin »

What's WIM?
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Post Post #1981 (isolation #155) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:15 pm

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Yes I'm town. This is far beyond what I'd ever do as scum.
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Post Post #1990 (isolation #156) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:53 pm

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Shelly, look at the way Gamma's defending Ari. This alone should make you think twice about lynching Ari before lynching Gamma. If Ari's scum, it points strongly to Gamma as his partner. If Ari's town, it points strongly to Gamma having inside knowledge, as literally nobody but Gamma is confident about town Ari. Gamma's likely scum either way. But in the unlikely event that Gamma's town, it's likely he's right about Ari, as Gamma's meta experience would come into play quite strongly, so it's better to go for Gamma first. Is there some specific reason you want Ari over Gamma? Why is Ari more likely to flip scum?
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Post Post #1991 (isolation #157) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:54 pm

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BEF, you're disappointing me. Why aren't you sheeping Gamma in Ari? If Gamma's town, surely you would trust his read on Ari?
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Post Post #1992 (isolation #158) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 6:57 pm

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I understand you're worried about self-preservation, but if you vote for Gamma, I promise you will never be lynched while I'm alive. You stand a better shot of living with me than Gamma, as I'll actually go to bat for you. It's very rare that someone I defend gets lynched. Actually, never.
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Post Post #1993 (isolation #159) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:01 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1982, Ydrasse wrote:i don't know if you've explained this before, but gamma was the first vote on tsunami and never moved, despite having other susses; do you think it was just a bus that got out of control?
Gamma attacked Taylor for voting Tsunami while Gamma was also voting them. So it's fairly clear that while Gamma had his vote on Vax but didn't support the wagon. He was ready to flip his vote if another wagon gained enough steam, but he couldn't get Vax unsuspiciously until there was a viable CW. No viable CW ever happened, so Gamma just passively allowed Vax to die
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Post Post #1996 (isolation #160) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:07 pm

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BEF, it's much easier as scum to defend someone you know is town than it is to justify changing your vote from someone you know is scum to someone you know is town. These things aren't comparable.

As for why I don't trust your read on Gamma, it's because I'm strongly scumreading Gamma & my reads are highly accurate relative to yours (and probably most players in this game, no offense to anyone).
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Post Post #1997 (isolation #161) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:08 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Also, BEF, I don't think Gamma defended you that boldly at all.
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Post Post #2000 (isolation #162) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:14 pm

Post by Shoshin »

In post 1999, BrightEyedFish wrote:Most people didn't see it like I did but I was 100% sold on Vax with that scum slip I have already mentioned.
I wasn't in this game at that time, but I've played games with town you mislynching while I literally carried the town to victory, so I dunno what to tell you. I was on an alt so you won't remember this.
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Post Post #2002 (isolation #163) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:16 pm

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Haha I will consider revealing this if BEF votes Gamma.
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Post Post #2005 (isolation #164) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:35 pm

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In post 2003, BrightEyedFish wrote:
In post 2000, Shoshin wrote:
In post 1999, BrightEyedFish wrote:Most people didn't see it like I did but I was 100% sold on Vax with that scum slip I have already mentioned.
I wasn't in this game at that time, but I've played games with town you mislynching while I literally carried the town to victory, so I dunno what to tell you. I was on an alt so you won't remember this.
I am pretty sure I have never had a perfect town game with only scum fades. Or at least not in recent memory.
My most recently completed town game is a perfect game, for reference.
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Post Post #2007 (isolation #165) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:42 pm

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I was killed because I derailed popular wagon on town, led lynch on scum, and correctly read other scum as scum. Townies expressly followed my reads on subsequent days to lynch the last scum.
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Post Post #2008 (isolation #166) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:44 pm

Post by Shoshin »

Golden was in that game, & it's the reason he scumread me here. He thinks (or thought) my play here was underwhelming compared with that game.
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Post Post #2010 (isolation #167) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 7:49 pm

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In post 1986, Ydrasse wrote:there's a moment in gamma's iso where he's asking why people are voting a slot that was repping out but then he sticks right back on vax acting scummy.

like, i guess the way i'm reading it is that gamma just wanted people to have a /reason/ for people to vote vax.
What specific post do you think is towny from Gamma?
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Post Post #2013 (isolation #168) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 8:33 pm

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In post 2012, shellyc wrote:shoshin wants gamma
BEF defends gamma

what if I think this might be t/t/t because it feels like y'all are being stubborn/insistent to an extent where I don't really expect this from scum
BEF's just pocketed.
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Post Post #2014 (isolation #169) » Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:08 pm

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In post 2011, shellyc wrote:shoshin can you give me the gist of the ~case~ on gamma, not just how gamestate-wise gamma fits as scum here?
I don't know what you mean by "gamestate."

Let's start with who the town are. You're town. I'm town. I also read Golden, HBB, Bell, Ydrasse, BEF, and HUB as town. The poe leaves Gamma/Ari/Gypyx/Sam.

I'm happy to clarify why these players are town if you don't understand.

Gypyx/Sam are scummy behavior-wise, but I'm bracketing this today. If you assume they're town because of role, then you need to look at who's left. I'd rather leave them alive for now while we collect more information about the setup. If scum are able to kill commuters, that lends more credence to all of commuter claims being town. If scum can't kill commuters, then we need to look closer at these players. For today, I'm bracketing.

Gamma & Ari don't have anything towny about them. Ari isn't actively scummy, just unengaged. The interesting point, though, is that Gamma has come out defending Ari like he knows Ari's alignment. It's almost mason-tell level if you assume they're town. Gamma's reasoning doesn't square with the boldness & confidence of Gamma's read. This is the first thing that concerned me about Gamma.

If you assume Gamma's town, how do you explain his behavior? The early vote on Tsunami looks like an inspired read, but the rest of his play around Vax felt hollow. He's a townie who doesn't care too much about what happens, just letting others control the game. But then he suddenly thinks Ari is so town that now he cares a lot & begs people to trust his Ari read. This highlights for me the strength of Gamma's read on Ari. It's out of character for him, so if Gamma's town, it's worth sheeping this read. I strongly believe in sheeping my teammates when they're this confident about a read. If Gamma's town, you also have to believe that he misreads me as scum based in behaviors I do in every game. I'm not sure how to explain it. You also have to believe Gamma is okay with mislynching me without any caution despite his past experiences with mislynching me, which strains credulity. But let's say he doesn't have any regrets or human emotions when it comes to killing me, despite knowing I'm a town asset. Okay.

Compare this to a scum profile. Gamma votes Tsunami early on based on bullshit reasons to create some distancing. Scum don't expect this wagon to take off the way it did, or for Tsunami to implode the way they did. Lots of players would say Nora is strong scum who is unlikely to get lynched D1, for example. So Gamma tries some early distancing. When the Tsunami wagon takes off, he keeps his vote on his partner (doesn't want to look suspicious so he's hedging) but attacks YOU for voting Tsunami. Your reasoning was really good, but he gaslights and tries to pretend the only reasons are angleshoot. He can't take his vote off Vax anymore but he certainly doesn't drive the wagon. If there had been a viable CW, he'd jump on that. But none materializes. So the he kills Titus, who was suspecting Gamma most of D1 and was probably making life very exhausting and difficult for scum Gamma. Then D2. He's just blah blah blah, nothing happening, very underwhelming play, letting town kill themselves as scum like to do. He takes the opportunity to pocket townies where he can -- BEF for example. Then he gets the opportunity to build a wagon on biggest town threat (me) and immediately jumps on it. Can't leave me alive, I don't lose games when scum do that. His reasoning is clear bullshit to anyone who knows me, but nobody knows me well here except HUB, who joins me in Gamma. I dunno how to explain this better. Gamma immediately flipped his read on Sam after the claim, which doesn't feel natural to me. There wasn't any questioning or concern. Gamma isn't sorting me in good faith. Gamma's the most likely to kill Pelican. What more can I say?

Town Gamma profile doesn't square up. It doesn't fit, and if it does, we definitely shouldn't lynch Ari. Scum Gamma is consistent with Gamma pocketing Ari or defending a partner. Scum feel a lot more pressure to defend partners when they lose a teammate on D1. Scum Gamma feels this pressure, clearly. That's my take.
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Post Post #2017 (isolation #170) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 3:28 am

Post by Shoshin »

Gamma is a much higher percentage, BEF. Why don't you understand this?
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Post Post #2018 (isolation #171) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 4:11 am

Post by Shoshin »

I'm concerned that Golden's ignoring this game.
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Post Post #2026 (isolation #172) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:02 am

Post by Shoshin »

How many votes now? It'd be nice to get a claim, though I doubt it makes any difference here.
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Post Post #2031 (isolation #173) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:08 am

Post by Shoshin »

UNVOTE:

Let's wait for Gamma to post. No rushing.
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Post Post #2033 (isolation #174) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:11 am

Post by Shoshin »

I also want to hear from Golden before we end the day.
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Post Post #2034 (isolation #175) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:11 am

Post by Shoshin »

You can unvote as long as you promise to vote again before deadline.
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Post Post #2036 (isolation #176) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 7:14 am

Post by Shoshin »

I'll be here at deadline to vote.
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Post Post #2045 (isolation #177) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 10:31 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 2041, Gypyx wrote:So... shoshin, you're a commuter too, but you still managed to receive a message / whatever?
Nico didn't commute.
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Post Post #2046 (isolation #178) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 10:33 am

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In post 2040, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:I'm kinda fascinated by the ease of the gamma wagon but dunno what it means yet lol
I'm more worried about the absence of certain players who are just allowing me to dictate today's lynch despite supposedly scum reading me.
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Post Post #2047 (isolation #179) » Fri Dec 04, 2020 10:34 am

Post by Shoshin »

In post 2043, samantha97 wrote:
In post 2035, BrightEyedFish wrote:VOTE: Gyp
??? there is no reason to be voting a commuter as the game stands

VOTE: brighteyedfish

btw I will be asleep well before deadline but will try to check back before then
Why not Gamma?
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Post Post #4939 (isolation #180) » Sat Jan 09, 2021 6:33 am

Post by Shoshin »

Nice town!

HUB was Krazy, interesting. Didn't expect, but it makes sense.
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