2020 NFL 3 Strikes Challenge! (Over)

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Post Post #0  (isolation #0)  » Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:14 am

2019 Game: racefan12
2018 Game: Gammagooey
2017 Game: D3f3nd3r
2016 Game: D3f3nd3r
2015 Game: PokerFace
2014 Game

2020 NFL 3 Strikes Challenge
(Format and rules and everything taken from my hosting of this game the last few years and Pablito's the years prior)
Pretty much the standard Eliminator challenge, but you get additional lives.

RULES
The objective of the challenge is to correctly select a "Winning Pick" for one NFL game each week.

Each week, you must select one team which you believe will be the winner of that game. Please post in thread and bold your pick for that week. If you are correct, you stay alive. However, if your pick for that week does not win its game, or you fail to make a pick for a given week, you earn a Strike. If you earn three Strikes, you are eliminated. Once you pick a team, you can't use that team the rest of the season.

The last remaining person wins. If more than one person is left standing after Week 17 (or if all remaining players were eliminated the same week), the following tiebreaker is used:

1. The person who has the least amount of Strikes
2. The person who has the most correct picks (added this year to punish a player for picking a team that ties)
3. The person who has the longest streak of correct picks
4. I don't want to deal with more tiebreakers than this, so if multiple players are tied at this point we will go into the postseason (with team selections reset) or continue with the next week, continuing until the tie has been broken. However, if any tied player doesn’t want to continue, we can just call it a tie at this point.

Lock-time
All selections will lock at the scheduled kick-off of each game (as found on the NFL website). Players must make sure their picks are submitted by the scheduled lock-time each week. You will not be able to make selections for games that have already locked. Selections submitted after the deadline are considered invalid, and will not be counted as Winning Picks. Entrants who submit selections after the lock time and do not submit another entry for the week will earn a Strike. Feel free to change your pick as long as both the game you are changing from and the game you are changing to have not reached their respective lock-times.

Tie Games
In the event a game should end in a tie after overtime, players that had selected teams in the game as their picks for that week will neither be recorded with a Winning Pick or a Strike.

Joining in Late:
Players have until Week 3 to join.
If you join in Week 2, you start the game with one Strike. If you join in Week 3, you start the game with two Strikes.

Standings:
Image
Last edited by D3f3nd3r on Mon Jan 04, 2021 1:15 am, edited 20 times in total.
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Post Post #1  (isolation #1)  » Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:17 am

Before we get started with opening night this Thursday, I’d like to talk about what to do with ties (following up on our discussion from last year) and with any last-minute Covid-related game postponements. For the former, I added a line to the tiebreaker rule saying that the first tiebreaker after number of strikes is number of winning picks, which I think is sufficient, but I’d like feedback. For the latter, I’m not really sure if we need to do anything beyond the usual “pay attention and change your pick”.
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Post Post #2  (isolation #2)  » Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:19 am

And I’ll take Indy to get us started!
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Post Post #6  (isolation #3)  » Sun Sep 06, 2020 9:56 pm

Week One Schedule:

Texans @ Chiefs - Thurs. 8:20p
Seahawks @ Falcons - Sun. 1p
Jets @ Bills - Sun. 1p
Bears @ Lions - Sun. 1p
Packers @ Vikings - Sun. 1p
Dolphins @ Patriots - Sun. 1p
Eagles @ Football Team - Sun. 1p
Raiders @ Panthers - Sun. 1p
Colts @ Jaguars - Sun. 1p
Browns @ Ravens - Sun. 1p
Chargers @ Bengals - Sun. 4:05p
Buccaneers @ Saints - Sun. 4:25p
Cardinals @ 49ers - Sun. 4:25p
Cowboys @ Rams - Sun. 8:20p
Steelers @ Giants - Mon. 7:10p
Titans @ Broncos - Mon. 10:20p
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Post Post #27  (isolation #4)  » Sun Sep 13, 2020 4:11 pm

I know the past two years we’ve continued with the last-eliminated players (4 Strikes) but that’s been more of a gentlemen’s agreement between the two remaining people. But we only did that because the consecutive correct pick streak also resulted in a tie, in theory if either player dissented we would have just called the game a tie.
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Post Post #34  (isolation #5)  » Tue Sep 15, 2020 1:37 pm

I’ll go Bills for Week 2. Will post week 1 standings in an hour or so.

I’m fine changing it to count ties as losses since that seems to be the consensus. Speak now or forever hold your peace if you’re opposed.
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Post Post #36  (isolation #6)  » Tue Sep 15, 2020 2:22 pm

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Not a great start for most of us! Will things get better this week?
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Post Post #45  (isolation #7)  » Thu Sep 17, 2020 2:30 pm

In post 43, Panzerjager wrote:We got some people going for the Golden Sombrero lol

I make all my tough picks early so I can just jam a bunch of good teams the last six weeks and be in very little danger!
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Post Post #59  (isolation #8)  » Mon Sep 21, 2020 9:06 am

Everybody correct so far, but will Sharon and Jmj be able to make their picks before tonight’s kickoff?
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Post Post #61  (isolation #9)  » Mon Sep 21, 2020 10:39 pm

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Micc joins the game and immediately jumps to two strikes on the Saints loss. My Saints fan friend tells me it's the refs' fault, as usual. Everybody else who makes a pick is correct, since luckily nobody took the Vikings!

Onto Week Three!
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Post Post #62  (isolation #10)  » Mon Sep 21, 2020 10:40 pm

Speaking of the Vikings, let's go with the team that beat them and take the Colts.
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Post Post #64  (isolation #11)  » Mon Sep 21, 2020 10:42 pm

In post 62, D3f3nd3r wrote:Speaking of the Vikings, let's go with the team that beat them and take the Colts.

Wait shit I picked them already...fuck it give me Tampa
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Post Post #94  (isolation #12)  » Sun Sep 27, 2020 3:56 pm

Consensus seems to be "ties count as wrong picks" so sorry IPS :(
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Post Post #97  (isolation #13)  » Sun Sep 27, 2020 6:46 pm

In post 95, jmj3000 wrote:work killed me and my memory

There's still SNF and MNF!
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Post Post #102  (isolation #14)  » Mon Sep 28, 2020 8:45 pm

Image

WEEK FOUR

THURSDAY
Broncos @ Jets - 8:20p

SUNDAY
Ravens @ Football Team - 1p
Steelers @ Titans - 1p Postponed due to coronavirus, will not be played this week
Chargers @ Buccaneers - 1p
Seahawks @ Dolphins - 1p
Vikings @ Texans - 1p
Saints @ Lions - 1p
Browns @ Cowboys - 1p
Jaguars @ Bengals - 1p
Colts @ Bears - 1p
Cardinals @ Panthers - 1p
Giants @ Rams - 4:05p
Bills @ Raiders - 4:25p
Patriots @ Chiefs - 4:25p Postponed due to coronavirus, may still be played this week
Eagles @ 49ers - 8:20p

MONDAY
Falcons @ Packers - 8:15p
Last edited by D3f3nd3r on Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post Post #103  (isolation #15)  » Mon Sep 28, 2020 8:52 pm

Houston
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Post Post #117  (isolation #16)  » Thu Oct 01, 2020 3:59 pm

Actually, fuck it

Switch to DENVER
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Post Post #118  (isolation #17)  » Thu Oct 01, 2020 3:59 pm

#FireAdamGase
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Post Post #121  (isolation #18)  » Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:36 pm

Congrats to everyone for not picking TEN/PIT or NE/KC!
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Post Post #128  (isolation #19)  » Sun Oct 04, 2020 10:34 pm

How 'bout them...Cleveland Browns? Cowboys and Niners losses give Panzer his first strike, and eliminate Kilga, Midway, and Haschel.

Image

Week 5! Racefan, PokerFace, Aronis, and Snakes remain perfect, with six users behind them at one strike and five more at two strikes.
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Post Post #133  (isolation #20)  » Mon Oct 05, 2020 8:08 am

I’ll do New England but this is subject to change after tonight’s game
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Post Post #134  (isolation #21)  » Mon Oct 05, 2020 10:40 pm

Yeah no

Cardinals
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Post Post #158  (isolation #22)  » Tue Oct 13, 2020 5:50 pm

Guess I have to join the Miami train

Official Week 5 results coming later tonight once BUF/TEN kicks off (if Nero doesn't pick by then) or ends (if he does)
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Post Post #161  (isolation #23)  » Tue Oct 13, 2020 7:44 pm

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Pablito is eliminated, as Dsj and Gamma also pick wrong and go to two strikes. Nero goes to two strikes by not making a pick, and two strikeless players barely survive the injury to Dak Prescott. Will Week 6 be any easier? Please note the schedule changes and lack of a Thursday night game this week!
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Post Post #166  (isolation #24)  » Fri Oct 16, 2020 6:28 pm

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Post Post #169  (isolation #25)  » Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:09 am

I’m actually going to switch, I’ll just wait for the next Jets/Dolphins game

Give me Detroit
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Post Post #171  (isolation #26)  » Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:24 am

Trust me, the Jets are not going to have their shit together by week 12. They’re the Jets. Come on.
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Post Post #177  (isolation #27)  » Sun Oct 18, 2020 6:08 pm

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Nobody is surprised by this outcome. Onto week seven!
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Post Post #181  (isolation #28)  » Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:26 am

Chargers!
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Post Post #185  (isolation #29)  » Tue Oct 20, 2020 1:34 pm

Hail to the FOOTBALL TEAM

(To be clear this is not a selection)
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Post Post #188  (isolation #30)  » Fri Oct 23, 2020 2:23 pm

But that's what the Jets are for!
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Post Post #194  (isolation #31)  » Mon Oct 26, 2020 8:22 pm

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One no-submission, but every pick this week was correct!
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Post Post #195  (isolation #32)  » Mon Oct 26, 2020 8:24 pm

I'll go Titans
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Post Post #199  (isolation #33)  » Thu Oct 29, 2020 11:34 am

Get those picks in!
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Post Post #209  (isolation #34)  » Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:02 am

I’ll take the Stillers this week

Will post updated scoreboard in the morning!
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Post Post #211  (isolation #35)  » Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:07 am

In post 210, PokerFace wrote:Week 9
NE < NYJ

You’ve made a grave mistake :(
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Post Post #212  (isolation #36)  » Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:10 am

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Sirius and I take a step back with the Titans falling to Cincy; Aronis no-picks for his third strike for the third consecutive year (though he did make it longer than either of the past two years I guess?). Onto Week Nine!
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Post Post #226  (isolation #37)  » Mon Nov 09, 2020 11:17 pm

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The Jets play three quarters of reasonably okay football, before putting up two total yards of offense in the fourth quarter, blowing their lead, and saving Vash and Gamma's Three Strikes runs. IPS falls victim to the Miami Dolphins, and Panzer fails to pick.

Week 10 begins. Nobody has one strike, everybody that's left has zero or two!
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Post Post #227  (isolation #38)  » Mon Nov 09, 2020 11:17 pm

And I'll take the Packers
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Post Post #235  (isolation #39)  » Wed Nov 11, 2020 9:11 am

In post 233, Sirius9121 wrote:pack

You’ve already taken them
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Post Post #238  (isolation #40)  » Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:05 am

Between the last two years we’ve had one person start 8-0 before taking their first loss Week 9, and one person start 10-0 before their first loss Week 11 (IPS and Gamma respectively).
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Post Post #239  (isolation #41)  » Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:07 am

Also you, Haschel, and PEG all made it to Week 11 without a strike in 2017.
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Post Post #243  (isolation #42)  » Sun Nov 15, 2020 7:41 pm

In post 234, Micc wrote:Raiders

Fun fact: My spreadsheet had this pick listed as OAK until just now!
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Post Post #246  (isolation #43)  » Mon Nov 16, 2020 12:11 am

In post 244, PokerFace wrote:If you were in one of my non-ms fantasy leagues you would have just put money in the jar for each listing

viewtopic.php?p=12243591#p12243591

It was just one, luckily!
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Post Post #251  (isolation #44)  » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:43 pm

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Vash and Sirius strike out because I guess the NFCE and AFCE are a bit more nuanced than we all expected; Panzer strikes out on another no-pick. PokerFace also falls victim to a bad game for the Ravens, giving him his first strike and leaving us with just Snakes and Racefan at zero strikes.
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Post Post #252  (isolation #45)  » Mon Nov 16, 2020 10:44 pm

Give me the Cleveland Browns
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Post Post #259  (isolation #46)  » Thu Nov 19, 2020 8:38 pm

In post 258, Kmd4390 wrote:Dolphins

You took them Week 6
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Post Post #262  (isolation #47)  » Sun Nov 22, 2020 9:09 pm

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Kmd takes the L as the 'Boys get the upset and add another wrinkle to the worst division in football. Did you know that it's still possible for the Eagles to make the playoffs at 4-11-1?

Week 12 begins!
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Post Post #263  (isolation #48)  » Sun Nov 22, 2020 9:10 pm

And despite the loss to the Broncos, I will go with the Dolphins
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Post Post #274  (isolation #49)  » Tue Dec 01, 2020 1:58 pm

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Everybody did the thing!
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Post Post #275  (isolation #50)  » Tue Dec 01, 2020 1:59 pm

(Week 12 results on previous page)

Raiders for Week 13!
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Post Post #279  (isolation #51)  » Tue Dec 01, 2020 10:28 pm

In post 277, Gammagooey wrote:actually as much as I hate to bet on birds, Ravens vs. Cowboys on the 8th still counts as a week 13 game right? I'd rather take the Ravens if that's an option. Though maybe I'll change my mind on that again after seeing exactly how badly they lose to the Steelers tomorrow.

Yeah that's fine!
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Post Post #283  (isolation #52)  » Sun Dec 06, 2020 8:20 pm

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Some sort of scare for just about everyone to have made a pick today as the Vikes go to overtime, the Raiders need a last-second pass, and the Packers nearly give up a big fourth-quarter lead. Gamma's pick plays Tuesday night, so I figured we may as well get the next round started now in case anyone wants to pick Pats/Rams.
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Post Post #284  (isolation #53)  » Sun Dec 06, 2020 8:20 pm

Despite whatever their match against the Giants was, give me the Seahawks
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Post Post #288  (isolation #54)  » Tue Dec 08, 2020 11:59 pm

Gamma gets it right, and we’re perfect for the second week in a row!
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Post Post #294  (isolation #55)  » Tue Dec 15, 2020 12:29 am

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The streak continues!
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D3f3nd3r
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Post Post #295  (isolation #56)  » Tue Dec 15, 2020 12:34 am

Four years ago, I attended my first and only football game - a mid-season matchup between the post-Fitzpatrick Jets (in Bryce Petty's first start), and the pre-McVay Rams (in Case Keenum's last). In an absolute barnburner of a game, the Rams pulled off a 9-6 victory in a game in which one total touchdown was scored (by the Jets, amazingly!), and the Jets blew it with an interception at three minutes left in the fourth quarter that caused me to get up and leave MetLife.

The first matchup since then between these teams...will not be nearly as close or as interesting as that one. Rams
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Post Post #303  (isolation #57)  » Sun Dec 20, 2020 8:41 am

Micc can also tie it with three consecutive correct picks!
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Post Post #305  (isolation #58)  » Mon Dec 21, 2020 12:18 am

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Gamma's hail mary doesn't pay off, and the Jets win gives Racefan his first strike (and takes me out of the game). Four remain - Snakes on no strikes, Racefan and Poker on one, and Micc on two. Given that Micc's two strikes were weeks one and two, he's on a 13-game streak and can still force a tie!
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Post Post #306  (isolation #59)  » Mon Dec 21, 2020 12:21 am

In post 295, D3f3nd3r wrote:Four years ago, I attended my first and only football game - a mid-season matchup between the post-Fitzpatrick Jets (in Bryce Petty's first start), and the pre-McVay Rams (in Case Keenum's last). In an absolute barnburner of a game, the Rams pulled off a 9-6 victory in a game in which one total touchdown was scored (by the Jets, amazingly!), and the Jets blew it with an interception at three minutes left in the fourth quarter that caused me to get up and leave MetLife.

The first matchup since then between these teams...will not be nearly as close or as interesting as that one. Rams

Natural conclusions:
Adam Gase > Todd Bowles
Jeff Fischer > Sean McVay
Case Keenum > Jared Goff
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Post Post #308  (isolation #60)  » Mon Dec 21, 2020 9:14 am

Also Gregg Williams is supposedly better than Brandon Staley (Rams defensive coordinators) this one is a bit of a trip given Williams’s recent employment history
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Post Post #317  (isolation #61)  » Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:56 pm

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Racefan bets against the Jets again and it doesn't pay off again; Micc's streak of correct picks ends at 13 with the Bengals' win. PokerFace clinches survival of the season, and Snakes clinches the win in this year's competition!
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Post Post #325  (isolation #62)  » Mon Jan 04, 2021 1:15 am

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Congrats Snakes on the perfect season!
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