I asked him to read TGP, and Ceph thinks it's possible TGP is scum, but is confused at why he's a popular target. Also as scum it'd be weird to go after Nancy because she'll definitely OMGUS you. Not the wagon I'd go for today, and it's practically the same wagon as the one that was on me (Flavor, BBmolla, Nancy, NEE). The only difference is Mistyx being on it and shea avoiding it despite really going after TGP (and obviously TGP not being on it). Kind of just reinforces to me that assuming there were a couple of scum on my wagon that it's not TGP.
Let's talk about interactions between common people on these wagons.
NEE about Flavor: Opening post is a vote for FL, says that FL vote is town. Directly talks to FL
once. Gets asked a question directly by FL and responds with a scum game. Once more recently but just about how the game isn't chaotic.
Flavor about NEE: Quite a few.
Asks NEE about his reads. There's a short back and forth previously mentioned
here.
These two don't seem to be likely to be both scum, though I admit Flavor seems like the type of person who is good at interacting with his scummates.
NEE about BBMolla: basically
agrees with BBM saying he's content with the Ram vote. Claims he'd
support a BBM wagon if not for the wagon on me... then joins the TGP vote (justified later by then saying that
TGP is the scummy one and bbmolla is "slightly scummy")
BBM about NEE: Votes for NEE in a jokingly way then goes back to the Pine project he assigned himself. No further interactions.
If one of these two are scum I could definitely see the other being scum. NEE could be halfheartedly distancing from BBM. That said, BBM doesn't have many interactions with anyone so have to adjust on that basis.
NEE about Nancy: His iso is FULL of interaction with Nancy.
Nancy about NEE: Likewise here.
Are NEE and Nancy otherwise good friends? Because assuming not, it seems unlikely to me that these two are together.
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BBM about Flavor: Gets asked a direct question by FL and answers it quickly.
Says he's "unconcerned with sorting FL today."
Flavor about BBM: Spends some time calling BBM "obviously town." Other than the direct question to BBM has no interaction with him until BBM says that he's unconcerned with FL.
Definitely a possible pairing, though again part of this is BBM has fewer interactions overall so it seems less determinative.
BBM about Nancy: recently
called Nancy town. Otherwise nothing.
Nancy about BBM: Agrees with the Pine vote by BBM. Calls into question BBM's Pine vote
later.
Answers a question about Ramcius.
Nancy's posts to BBM seem pretty organic at least.
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Nancy about Flavor: Similar to NEE, Nancy has oodles of interactions.
Flavor about Nancy: Similar.
Again, I think Nancy and Flavor are probably two people who would interact a lot with their scum partners, but I have no reason to believe that they're both scum aligned.
Eliminating Flavor and him turning scum would point me toward BBM but probably not NorwegianboyEE. My town read of Nancy aside, I feel like the two of them are probably well suited to playing off each other as scum.
Eliminating BBM doesn't really do much for this type of analysis, unfortunately as he could be a potential partner to basically anyone on that list.
NEE and Nancy aren't really two people I'm excited to see go today outside of this.
.
Given the speed of this, he probably already had a scum buddy on the wagon. I read TGP and NEE as town, so BBMolla is where I'd start after Flavor. That said, I've thought shea read as town up until now and I probably stick with that, but although I don't have much experience with shea as a player, "low hanging fruit" doesn't really seem like the process that townshea would make. See his push on Ramcius. If he's around near the end of the game, make sure to take a good look at him.