TM 2021 Large Normal: OEIS Mafia (Part Two Is Out)

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Post Post #3200 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 12:56 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

In post 3197, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3184, OkaPoka wrote:if we aren't yeeting xtoxm today we are yeeting xtoxm never until lylo just want to make that clear
Let's not act like it's beyond him to fakeclaim tracker

Or to actually be tracker, but scum

Why would we leave him until the end of the game based off of that claim
That's why we make the judgement call today dunnstral
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Post Post #3201 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 12:56 pm

Post by Albert B. Rampage »

In post 3192, the worst wrote:@ABR
SS is less annoyed than me. he asks why you believe it's angling for a push, rather than just town!us deliberating on our actual read.
You've failed before because of all the players who stayed on xtoxm, now that he's claimed and potentially new wagons will begin to be formed you're trying to paint me as the target. You're scum, yes, but it doesn't stop there. You're the key to this game.
Guard your honor. Let your reputation fall where it will. And outlive the bastards.
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Post Post #3202 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 12:57 pm

Post by the worst »

last post before leaving:

@AGar SS wants to know where ABR is coming from / backs the "natural" comment because himself, lilith and I reached the conclusion through reasonably different methods. he finds it jarring that of all the things we've posted, *that* is the one ABR considers "bullshit" because he feels it should be fairly clear that it's natural.
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #3203 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 12:58 pm

Post by AGar »

In post 3194, the worst wrote:i do things i find unnatural all the time
Image
Ski mask? Check! Sawed off? Check! Guilty conscience, fear of death? Check! Check! Check!

Get to know me. Or don't. I won't tell you what to do. I'm not God. Or your father. Or your boss.
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Post Post #3204 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 12:59 pm

Post by Albert B. Rampage »

That's not how you spell artificial in English scumbag.
Guard your honor. Let your reputation fall where it will. And outlive the bastards.
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Post Post #3205 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:00 pm

Post by Albert B. Rampage »

I've been onto you for a long time and I could say whatever I want to misdirect you but games are over, and you're getting booted friend.
Guard your honor. Let your reputation fall where it will. And outlive the bastards.
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Post Post #3206 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:00 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3200, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 3197, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3184, OkaPoka wrote:if we aren't yeeting xtoxm today we are yeeting xtoxm never until lylo just want to make that clear
Let's not act like it's beyond him to fakeclaim tracker

Or to actually be tracker, but scum

Why would we leave him until the end of the game based off of that claim
That's why we make the judgement call today dunnstral

I don't like the all-or-nothing mindset

There are slots I won't be willing to touch while xtoxm remains unflipped, however.
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Post Post #3207 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:01 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

Another way to phrase it is, if you are going to spend every day from now scrutinizing xtoxm's tracker claim and trying to wagon there, you should flip him today.
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Post Post #3208 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:01 pm

Post by the worst »

UNVOTE:
look i'm 20 pages behind, babysitting makes me not want to play and i'm dealing with someone who is literally less competent than a baby
lilith and ss are both getting strong "oh shit abr is town" whiplash and i need to be doing other things.
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #3209 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:02 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

Do I need to continue explaining theory? or do we get it
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Post Post #3210 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:03 pm

Post by Ythan »

I think a more cogent point is that we don't spare him for one night if we're set on launching him tomorrow. No we don't necessarily leave him alive until lylo depending on what develops.
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Post Post #3211 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:03 pm

Post by the worst »

@oka we understand but you are completely incorrect :lol:
who's scum? i haven't read up yet but like, it's me
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Post Post #3212 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:04 pm

Post by Ythan »

Them my bad.
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Post Post #3213 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:05 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

In post 3210, Ythan wrote:I think a more cogent point is that we don't spare him for one night if we're set on launching him tomorrow. No we don't necessarily leave him alive until lylo depending on what develops.
yeah i guess this is a better way to phrase it

if we are going to be set on wagoning him every day and attempting to yeet him, we vote him off now.
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Post Post #3214 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:07 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

the important thing to consider about a tracker claim is the +ev is very very low. on average its not going to be helpful especially in a large.

however it has a high volatility in the sense that it could be big

consider the scum POV and the idea of risk aversion
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Post Post #3215 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:12 pm

Post by Cephrir »

In post 3198, the worst wrote:i need to stop posting and do my job :cry:

ABR's completely fake read on me should be like abundantly transparent by now. he wants my elim, but can't put a reason on why. everything he's posted trying to explain it is naked posturing - i repeat, guy is scum or criminally dense and i like to assume the best in poeple.

if anyone wants to towncase him, hit me.
I feel like u might be upset at me for saying so but I dont like this post :v
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Post Post #3216 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:14 pm

Post by Cephrir »

I'm kinda indifferent to the claim
"I would prefer not to." --Herman Melville,
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Post Post #3217 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:19 pm

Post by Almost50 »

In post 2890, Hopkirk wrote:nodody wants to interact when i'm drunk beyond the point i can lie? woahhhh
Well, I don't know if you're still around, but I currently have you as my top TR anyway, so..

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Post Post #3218 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:21 pm

Post by innocentvillager »

worsty, my viewpoint is: a lot of players in this game are going to be stubborn/"dense" (myself included), and they're going to appear so even moreso to whoever they are pressuring. to think a player like ABR (who is known for tunneling and applying max pressure) is scum because he's being "too dense" doesn't seem quite accurate to me.
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Post Post #3219 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:22 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

i want to see ducky's thoughts on ythan then tbh
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Post Post #3220 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:27 pm

Post by Almost50 »

In post 2948, Titus wrote:Hot take DGB might be scum.
I've been saying this for the whole day now

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Post Post #3221 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:52 pm

Post by Almost50 »

In post 2981, AGar wrote:You're joking, right? The core of the wagon growing on Xtoxm centers around an interpretation of Titus's post supposedly made by Xtoxm being defended by mastina, very much opposite of how Oka (and others) interpreted that post, to the point of most suspecting Xtoxm making up a TR of Titus.
Oh boy! *Sigh*

We are talking about 2 different issues here:

1- Oka not understanding what mastina was saying

2- The alignment of Xtoxm (or rather how >I< perceive Xtoxm's play)

Response to (1): I was explaining.. to Oka.. what mastina was saying. Period. It does not mean I agree (nor does it mean I disagree) with mastina. I just stated that it was a "valid" interpretation, but I didn't say it's the "only" one.

Response to (2): I independently TR Xtoxm regardless and have never voted him, FoS'd him or hinted otherwise. I had him in my TRs since the first complete read list I posted. I didn't need (or care about) reasons others were providing to SR/TR him because I di have my own solid opinion about a player I claim to know well enough, and have seen his Town play AND his Scum play numerous times (I was even Scum with him once or twice).

Now a THIRD issue that you may (or may not) be hinting is: Why am I not defending Xtoxm hard enough, and my explanation is simple. I am not a Town leader and people do not tend to listen to me that often, so it'd be a waste of time and breath. ALSO I have clearly stated who I was to eliminate today, and people were still pushing my TRs instead (Xtoxm, ABR, you, and -to a lesser extent- Titus). Inly lately do some people realize Cephrir and DGB are scum. And even those who do (mastina) have hercule (another one of my TRs) as her top SR.

So, basically I would have been redirecting the wagon off a TR and unto another TR, which is not ideal from my PoV. I don't want Xtoxm gone, and I don't want ABR gone either. I don't want you eliminated and I don't want Titus/hercule eliminated just the same. Now if a wagon build up on any of you I won't be threatening to invade Granada over it, but I won't be touching that wagon with a barge pole.

Do you still have an issue with me? Do you still find it difficult to see things my way? Uf you do, feel free to ask again. I have nothing better to do (except restating Ceph & DGB are SRs to me. I also SR tw stil, but that's not happening today and many of you seem quite confident he is town, so let's get one of Ceph/DGB today as we can only eliminate one at a time anyway)

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Post Post #3222 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:55 pm

Post by Almost50 »

In post 2987, Albert B. Rampage wrote:I agree with AGar. If we're not going to vote scum today, then we'll get rid of dead weight today and resume this tomorrow.

VOTE: xtoxm
Please get back on Ceph. The wagon is building up slowly, but we're getting there. It's not like we have less than 24 hrs and need to consolidate to achieve an elim yet.

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Post Post #3223 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 1:57 pm

Post by mastina »

In post 3028, Dunnstral wrote:If xtoxm flips scum:
And WHEN Xtoxm flips town, literally everything in your 3028 is invalid.
In post 3039, OkaPoka wrote:mastina is the closest but her best argument boils down to xtoxm wouldn't play so shit as scum
No, that's my argument for why ABR's town. :P
My argument for ABR being town is that he wouldn't play so shit as scum.
My argument for Xtoxm being town is that I can track his thought process and see how it comes from town and it looks fluid/organic, combined with overwhelmingly strong gut.
In post 3038, OkaPoka wrote:Yeah if you wanted xtoxm to live you'd either towncase xtoxm or push a legitimate scum case on me.
For the record--this is a contributing factor to why, of the names that I am townreading but I see as necessarily containing 1-2 scum, Ythan tops the charts. Ythan fits as the final scum in a Cephrir-AGar-hercule team fairly well. While I like his push against hercule, this type of content does fit as scum.
In post 3005, Ythan wrote:
In post 2093, hercule wrote:well, fair enough. maybe he's just a liability
You're bad or scum fyi
Guess which of those two I lean towards? :P
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Post Post #3224 (ISO) » Sun Jan 24, 2021 2:12 pm

Post by unwnd »

I'm not processing these recent pages all too well

I'm just not in mafia mindset right now, but I don't imagine for this to be forever
Stop

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