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Post Post #2834 (isolation #200) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 6:03 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 2830, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 2828, Hopkirk wrote:but obviously don't stress out too much about the game. if you don't solve it right now you'll only get mocked, blamed for the loss, and treated with mild disdain by half of the playerlist for the rest of your life
In post 2825, Hopkirk wrote:
In post 2823, innocentvillager wrote:hopkirk this game is stressful lol idk what to do
sometimes when i'm having trouble sorting people i head over to the speakeasy and read through their post history in stuff like relationships, politics, sad and so on. it can be pretty useful sometimes tbh, plus if you reach the point where you're doing that then the weirdness of the fact you're doing that really takes away from some of the more general stress

just let go. let the memes into you
that is true, you are all human beings too who don't only play mafia, i do forget that sometimes

thanks hopkirk <3
a lot of the time people forget that we're all just people here, mostly playing mafia either because we enjoy it or for masochistic purposes. it's important to remember this when you're being wagoned. you know how they say you should tell you kidnapper stuff about you to build a raport/so they see you as a real person? it probably works in mafia too

here's a helpful link: https://www.wrc.noaa.gov/wrso/security_guide/kidnap.htm

i'm hopkirk, and i'm town
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Post Post #2836 (isolation #201) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 6:07 am

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In post 2833, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 2824, Hopkirk wrote:agar's vibes are terrible. if you forgot i was here then you probably haven't seen how bad agar's vibes are because they're terrible in relation to how he's posting about me. can you take a look and tell me what you think of his push?
as a general rule i tend to find tunneling more NAI/town!indicative? he was being pedantic about the word "counterwagon" which I don't really understand or agree with (well, maybe because i don't really understand it) but i don't think is like, a particularly persuasive thing to be pushing as a scum agenda? It's possible that it's just noise to pretend like he cares about something but, idk, super opinionated and confident/tunnelly AGar feels like a town!AGar that I have previously scumread in the past

those were my gut impressions on his posting from your 1v1
he was pushing other equally bad stuff before that
i feel like he was either not expecting pushback, or he thought i was an easy target to shade (or he was just doing it to shade me)
it feels like something he's 'pushing' that i don't really buy the town motivation behind because the push is objectively garbage, everyone who's commented (basically just Dunn/you/me) agrees it's bad, but only i seem to think it's scum indicative? bad pushes like that where there isn't a solid town mindset behind them come from scum more than town. i'm not convinced he buys his own arguments, but he's hard sticking to them in a way that feels floundering despite it not actually drawing attention
willing to hop on any last minute shitwagon
it always makes me sad when people use the word 'hop' in this kind of context :cry:
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Post Post #2844 (isolation #202) » Thu Feb 11, 2021 6:13 am

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In post 2838, Cephrir wrote:Okay well. This town is determined to elim LLD for her personality. I don't know what she is, I guess I'm leaning town, but clearly I can't stop you since I've tried everything and yall just will not fucking let it go.

LLD I think you should claim before it becomes too late to switch. They will not listen.
except what? who's trying to lethal her for personality?
how much are you leaning town there? why are you trying so much to stop it?
In post 2839, DrippingGoofball wrote:
In post 2836, Hopkirk wrote:it always makes me sad when people use the word 'hop' in this kind of context
???
a lot of people shorten my name to hop, so when people use 'hop' in stuff like 'hop on a wagon' implying that the action is simple/bad/less good than another way to get on a wagon it always makes me feel kinda bad :(

we shouldn't let this game control our lives, now i'm off to shop for some food today instead of tomorrow because deadline is tomorrow
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Post Post #3114 (isolation #203) » Fri Feb 12, 2021 4:41 am

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Post Post #3129 (isolation #204) » Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:49 am

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with all these fan-votecounts it's like we don't even need a mod
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Post Post #3130 (isolation #205) » Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:49 am

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i don't know why i had putting time into this on my evening schedule
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Post Post #3131 (isolation #206) » Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:50 am

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it's more of a vibe than a 'schedule' tbh
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Post Post #3499 (isolation #207) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 7:59 am

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post lld flip i still like everyone from the core of lld pushers tbh(/d) (Mastina/Xtoxm/DGB/Herc despite rep leaving)
so most likely gamestate is that scum were happy to let us park there and either doing not much or pushing alternatives too. probably some scum towards the end of LLD given the early push are town independently

Mastina- gut, but i trust my gut on mastina. i've trusted my gut on Mastina over a cop check (Vanilla cop checking mafia goon with 1 goon flipped so not a full cop, but you get the idea)
Xtoxm- maybe i'm biased but the stuff with Auro on their server is locktown
Hercule- early game tonal difference natural beyond what i think can be faked

dunn claiming town was useful

(Titus/Innocentvillager/Agar/The Worst/Oka/Jjh/Ceph/Ythan/A50) i should reread at some point
Ceph is probably better than i was viewing yesterday on an LLD townflip
i like+/liked people in there before but i want to reread all of them
Agar prob still scum
In post 3178, Cephrir wrote:That dunn wall doesnt sound like his voice I guess it's because were serious now
what was the point of this post? it reads like shade/i don't get the motivation otherwise?
In post 3233, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3154, Dunnstral wrote:[DGB, jjh927, innocentvillager, Ythan, Luca Blight]

A.k.a. the "no escape" tier

The players in this category are all scum or honorary scum, we need the mod to sort out the rest.
In post 3155, Dunnstral wrote: Alright, so we're going for "honorary scum" on that one and Titus was right, and everyone else on my list is now 33% more likely to be scum than if DGB was one
VOTE: jjh927
I am not going to fight against a jjh wagon, but I really would rather any of the other 3 (still alive). I also -obviously- would have fought hard against a DGB flip today had she been still alive. I had a TR on both her and LLD, but both are too stubborn to fight against, so that's why you (Dunn) got a weird feeling from me. I wasn't exactly sidelining, but I was low effort fighting back both wagons (LLD/DGB) because I knew no matter what I did they would not have changed their minds.

Right now, my read list looks something like this:

[*]Dunnstral, representing Perfect Grammar
[*]Cephrir, representing Maybe the Real Mods...
[*]Titus, representing Quick Attack
[*]AGar, representing Pa-Ni-Nis

[*]Winter Flakes (alt of Uncrowned), representing The Four Seasons

[*]Bell the worst, representing Daylight Savings Time

[*]Xtoxm, representing Loyal Servants

[*]jjh927, representing All your Scummies belong to us
[*]mastina, representing Mask Your Worries

[*]Hopkirk, representing Team 'Team 'Team' Team' Team
[*]OkaPoka, representing Suicide Squad

[*]innocentvillager, representing Class of 2175
[*]Luca Blight hercule, representing Onlyregfans
[*]Ythan, representing Half a Good Team Plus Two

It is still volatile in some parts and I kept moving some names up and down for the past 48 hours (I did a "thorough skim" during the night time)

I cannot claim I'm confident enough on anyone (that's an obvious lie, but hey.. it's me :P )m but I actually narrowed it all down to just 2 possible solves (Well.. 2 "most likely" possible solves) that are:

[2] Xtoxm
[2] innocentvillager
[1] jjh927
[1] Ythan
[1] Hopkirk
[1] OkaPoka

1
[*]innocentvillager, representing Class of 2175
[*]jjh927, representing All your Scummies belong to us
[*]Xtoxm, representing Loyal Servants
[*]OkaPoka, representing Suicide Squad
2
[*]innocentvillager, representing Class of 2175
[*]Xtoxm, representing Loyal Servants
[*]Ythan, representing Half a Good Team Plus Two
[*]Hopkirk, representing Team 'Team 'Team' Team' Team

As you see, Xtoxm & IV appear in both solves, while jjh/Oka appear in one and Ythan/Hop appear on the other. Luca does not appear on either but I SR him individually (actually it's not "Luca" that I SR but his predecessor; hercule).

I now need Titus to do her VCA (I know we didn't get a red flip yet, but I think it's pretty much doable still) to decide which of the scum candidates is more likely to actually flip red and go for that.

Disclaimer: Sorry for the serious tone. I'll be switching back to my norm shortly. It's hard to make jokes, memes or think of music videos to include when the thread is locked. :lol:
pls explain how your system works OR explain why you think there's 3 scum instead of the 4-5 you'd expect at these numbers?

i don't think i like anyone who has confident readlists immediately after the day starts (except Dunn) because why would you reread at night
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Post Post #3502 (isolation #208) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:11 am

Post by Hopkirk »

A50 were the multiple pages of you not getting the setup you joking or serious?
In post 3285, Ythan wrote:I'm contributing nothing while this insipid monkey can't read the fucking thread.
that's a bit much, can we not call people monkeys. thanks.
In post 3290, AGar wrote:
In post 2856, AGar wrote:Someone remind me to go in deeper on and that "I'm going to say something but also couch it with a 'haha this is sarcasm' just in case" shit on D2 when we can address this scum once again.
In post 2814, Hopkirk wrote:also
In post 2624, AGar wrote:
In post 2622, Cephrir wrote:
In post 2619, AGar wrote:Ythan's wagon shifting so suddenly to Titus with no resistance and no real actual reasoning other than the vibes brigade restarting their shenanigans should be fucking warning sirens for anyone and everyone.
No resistance? Not sure about that.

But resistance is fake anyway so eh
Resistance was the wrong word, yeah.

But we went from Ythan 8 to Titus 4 in a page with nothing revelatory from Ythan and it was just a naked vote where y'all just seamlessly moved. Big dislike.
stop trying to rewrite the narrative! using resistance when it's the wrong word? wtf. obvscum. you need to be very exact and just because someone could easily get your intent/point if they were reading objectively rather than reading with a goal (not that i have thoughts on this scenario) doesn't mean it's ok to use words that
could
mean something else in a different context, but not the context they're in where the meaning is incredibly clear

ah, good old parallels

(obviously this is meant to be sarcastic)
Hey look Hopkirk once again couching an accusation with "jk haha... but what if... nah jk haha," so he can flip whichever way the wind blows, while he was actually begging anyone who townread me to justify it when we were steamrolling towards deadline and yeeting me was not a realistic possibility. Would love to actually have some folks actually acknowledge that hop is a scumbag and we can yeet the fuck out of him.




I agree mostly with dunn's split, though I would make Ythan a higher priority today solely based on the way wagons played out yesterday. IV's early posting is concerning today. Lots of pangs I don't like.

VOTE: Ythan
what exactly do you think my post was meant to be saying? at no point am i saying it's a joke
it's pretty clear that i'm pointing out that your 'read' on me is hypocritical on top of all the other problems with it. you clearly don't believe it and i don't see a town mindset behind it, but annoyingly nobody else seems to be engaging me on this point or voting you so like maybe there is one i'm not seeing? but if that's the case it'd really help if other people can weigh in on this kind of stuff if i'm getting tunnelled on it :/

@Ceph/Xtoxm - thoughts on Agar's posting in relation to me?

like i'm not
shading
you when i've said i'd prefer to vote you over anyone else, i'm directly saying you're the most likely scum and pointing out how your play continues to be garbage
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Post Post #3503 (isolation #209) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:13 am

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In post 3309, innocentvillager wrote:Dunnstral

you have to understand that, i don't play this game to roll mafia and relish in being a manipulative liar

i play this game because i like figuring out the mafia team, and when i get invested especially, i really want to win, you know this is straight from my town meta

i guess you haven't seen me as scum but it's way different, yes i play to win for the most part but i can't fake the energy, genuine interrogation, fresh content, and sustained presence in thread that I do as town and frankly i doubt many scumplayers can to the extent that i do (yes, even though I know it's my problem, I just still can't), let alone me, a literal shit-tier scumplayer

ive been complaining about both D1 wagons and they both flipped town and that's scummy how? i don't really understand what the case on me is in general

but this is going to fall on deaf ears because you've literally already said you won't entertain self-meta arguments like this
oh yeah i forgot you were obvtown too and there's no point rereading you either
think you'd ever say this as scum or nah?
In post 3314, innocentvillager wrote:i think it's been pretty clear from my d1 play that I've been trying to sort all the contentious slots like LLD, herc, Ythan, DGB, AGar, Titus, prioritized accurately for the most part, and had real, complicated opinions about each slot
what's your thoughts on Agar right now?
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Post Post #3507 (isolation #210) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:26 am

Post by Hopkirk »

how has nobody gone through all the wagons and counterwagons yet?
In post 3353, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3344, AGar wrote:
In post 3336, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3312, OkaPoka wrote:@a50 do you believe there is a chance of an sk?
As I said, it's 90% a Vig vs 10% SK to me. If it ain't banned by the rules it is still possible. It's just improbable.
Where in the mod provided number of 14 town would you slot the SK?
OK, so it's confirmed there's no SK in this game. We just had a bad Vig shot, and I am recommending they stop shooting TPRs.
i actually agree with this 100%
In post 3364, Cephrir wrote:Maybe I should sheep LLD/Dann's corpses.
that could be a good idea actually. less so for LLD because she exclusively attacked people for SRing her
In post 3373, Cephrir wrote:Hot take: agar is actually obvious town
i start thinking maybe ceph is good, why do you have to say things like this?
In post 3384, jjh927 wrote:
In post 3378, Bell wrote:JJH, why did you want to sheep Mastina this game? Is there any prior indication in your posts that you agreed with Mastina on their reads?
Because I am confident Mastina is town, and since I respect her and she was putting more effort into day 1 than I was, plus she was pretty confident on the LLD and Titus reads, PLUS I felt she was more capable of reading those slots, I was happy to sheep

Mastina often functions on a similar wavelength to myself. There really aren't very many people at all who I would just straight up sheep certain reads from but Mastina is one of them. I can't think of others off the top of my head
if Titus flips town how would your read change on Mastina?
if Titus flips scum how would your read change on Mastina?
In post 3385, Bell wrote:Her title is literally false prophet.
this is mastina shade and i dislike mastina shade. bad posting
In post 3386, jjh927 wrote:And?
good posting
In post 3391, Xtoxm wrote:given the wagons yesterday were tvt, my thoughts on what scum were doing yesterday:

#1 didn't probably care ultimately which way the elim went
#2 i think its clear the lld-parkers were more committed than the dgb voters, i dont even think dgb would have been eliminated today, tbh..therefore i expect scum may have preferred the dgb wagon, to maintain the gamestate of lld being wagon parked again today
#3 maybe scum also had elements of fear in voting lld due to reputation or something

given this my slots of interest are:
WF - talked about lld being the better info elim, but then voted dgb instead, with little reasoning provided. fits with (#1) and (#2)
a50 - absent entirely at deadline, never a good sign. fits with (#1). bad takes coming into today

also:
bell - prior susp on this slot. fits (#2). auro thinks his conversation with agar near EOD sounded, in hindsight, informed that both wagons were on town.

dunn - being scummy again. the pre-written post seems like a massive over-reaction to a d1 mis-elim. his plans dont alter at all with the new info on dgb-town.

im not throwing out all my reads bc of one incorrect scumread. my tr was correct on dgb also. the dgb voters were also all wrong.

my vibe right now is that scum would have been happy to get a strong player like LLD voted out, saw there were a bunch of town committed to it/they didn't need to (maybe one scum i guess but nobody i really dislike there) and decided to let the town push it until deadline while doing other stuff. probably a wagon or two on scum there but i want to reread wagons
there's probably a bunch of scum in the less hardcore preference people/lower activity slots
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Post Post #3512 (isolation #211) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:34 am

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In post 3415, implosion wrote:A reminder to all: attack the argument, not the person. Calling another player a monkey is not acceptable. This is your only warning: attacking people will lead to force-replacement.
huh... i thought i was making a joke when i joked that calling someone a monkey was going to far.
In post 3422, innocentvillager wrote:i think {OkaPoka, mastina, A50, Dunnstral, AGar, Winter} is more likely to be town than the list of everyone else and that's essentially where im at in reads
why most of these?
(i agree on Mastina/Dunn)
In post 3425, innocentvillager wrote:okapoka yells at infinity to ping Winter on discord to get Winter to move his vote, then this sequence of posts happens
In post 3012, Winter Flakes wrote:I am here
In post 3017, Winter Flakes wrote:what are the options? lld dgb and ythan?
In post 3024, Winter Flakes wrote:I dont really like either of those options but if lld green flips we get more info I think is she at L-1?
this came at the same time, then there was a 6 hr gap until this post:
In post 3073, Winter Flakes wrote:I popped back in because Infinity pinged me on discord after Oka asked him to?
and then he finally votes dgb

this is not how a scum hydra handles this interaction, imo
why not i don't see what you mean
In post 3433, Ythan wrote:To be clear I won't be offended if anyone calls me an anime girl that's why it's my avatar.
you absolute anime girl holding a drink and moving her head
In post 3438, Cephrir wrote:maybe if i lose enough allies i can get elimed for my personality too! we can just go down the line!
you might have a new one. i should probably sheep Dann/LLD on you here since you were mainly someone i didn't like from assuming lld
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Post Post #3515 (isolation #212) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:41 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 3469, Luca Blight wrote:Right now I believe the following players are Town:

IV
Mastina
Ceph
Poka
A50
AGar
why the bottom three?
In post 3477, Luca Blight wrote:I had a strong TR on Hopkirk early on, but he hasn't made much of an impression on me recently so I'll need to review him again today. Dunn as well, as he has pinged me a few times.
wow are you serious
In post 3479, innocentvillager wrote:im not really sure why people strongly TR'd Hopkirk at all, maybe someone can enlighten me there
are you feeling ok?

you two might want to use
this
size text if you want to throw shade or anything but locktown reads at me. less people will be able to see it that way so it'd be far less embarrassing for you when you realize you were wrong and have to shamefully redact the badness of your inability to read me

it's like the two of you don't understand the concept of a townblock or something. mutual townreads smh
In post 3485, Titus wrote:
In post 3479, innocentvillager wrote:im not really sure why people strongly TR'd Hopkirk at all, maybe someone can enlighten me there
Hopkirk doesn't post much compared to the rest of the game, but I just feel he's town when he does post.
sense
In post 3497, Bell wrote:I think IV is town and Winterflakes belongs in the blackhole tier.
I don't think a Dunnstral vote should almost ever be a blackmark against someone, esp. day 1.

The IV town read is based less on meta and more on content being relatively varied, a broad focus on the game and I don't really think his anxiousness is faked anymore.

Outside of that, just from meta, I know there are like, 2-4 IV playstyles. I've never played with IV scum, but I do know that his town game can vary and that he goes from super anxious town to weirdly confident shit posting. His votes jumping around might be due more to playstyle than opportunism. But it's possibly just opportunism, lol.

I believe Mastina has limited connection due to power outages due to the cold-ass weather I want to focus more on her and think we're just sort of ignoring her from effort.

I think Luca has been in catch up mode for a suspiciously long time. I would normally have caught up over night if I hadn't been on vacation. What's your excuse Luca?
this doesn't really feel like you're saying anything in those words tbh
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Post Post #3519 (isolation #213) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:46 am

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In post 3500, Ythan wrote:
In post 3499, Hopkirk wrote:4-5
It's 4 by the way.
i went back to check and i couldn't find 'confirmed no sk' in the places i thought there was confirmed no sk but i did find this. i'm pretty sure i wasn't dreaming that though
In post 3501, Cephrir wrote:
In post 3499, Hopkirk wrote:what was the point of this post? it reads like shade/i don't get the motivation otherwise?
I'm not an agenda-based poster. Sometimes if I have a thought I just drop it in the thread and see if it interests anyone. 90% of the thoughts I have about the game, I will post without any consideration for whether I should or not.
i'm going to assume this is true because you wouldn't ever lie about this
In post 3504, Cephrir wrote:I think agar believes what he's saying. Sry.
like... how
the arguments are inconsistent, don't follow logically, and don't even flow temporally in the right direction
In post 3508, OkaPoka wrote:how are the lld voters really claiming their wagon on lld was pure when they couldnt explain why she was scum, just why she wasnt town
i think the core is pure
we had reasons ok?!?
In post 3513, OkaPoka wrote:are you going to vote luca then hop?
why would i vote someone who's in my strongtowns?
In post 3514, Ythan wrote:It's a phone!
oh shit i'm really sorry for misrepresenting your avatar. i didn't go back to check and i thought it was a warm beverage. sorry.
while you're here, is there literally any way to read you? i want shameless self meta here
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Post Post #3520 (isolation #214) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:46 am

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3 in (Titus/Agar/Bell/Winter Flakes (alt of Uncrowned), Oka, JJH, Ythan, A50) + deepwolf?
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Post Post #3523 (isolation #215) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:50 am

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In post 3521, OkaPoka wrote:then how are you going to sheep lld/dann/ceph if its not luca
we had reasons ok?!?
why does this read as something ceph would post to mock you
because why would i sheep people's scumreads? i said i'm sheeping a townread because i remember them hard liking ceph and that makes the slot a lot better after lld town
i'm not interested in their scumreads. i'm only interested in finding town except for rare cases like agar where slots don't make sense as town
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Post Post #3524 (isolation #216) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:50 am

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oka you spent most of yesterday giving vibes of being on LLD and not being on LLD why was that. i'm pretty sure i commented on this
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Post Post #3528 (isolation #217) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:56 am

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In post 3525, Bell wrote:Why is luca in your strong town's hoppityhopkirk?
oh you weren't in the last game, luca replaced into a slot that's obvtown based on the previous abandoned large normal 1

Hercule was scum in that and his tone was stilted throughout. it felt forced in a way that i was trying to sort whether it was personality (the kind of big ego, i'm always right, listen to my walls newbs player) or scum being uncomfortable and having trouble enjoying the game/feeling forced. i read enjoyment vibing as town leaning in general to some extent btw

this game Herc was the complete opposite in a way that i don't think is fakeable. he was vibing early on and his posting felt consistently natural in a way that i don't think scum-using-a-different-style-intentionally could fake that consistently. hectic agreed completely with this that scum!herc wouldn't be able to fake a dramatic playstyle shift with no slip ups that well

like read herc's previous game then his early posts here and tell me that's ever the same alignment
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Post Post #3529 (isolation #218) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:57 am

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In post 3526, OkaPoka wrote:oh

that's what you mean

nvm

pedit: well my townread on lld was basically being squashed but at the same time i didnt feel like their was a scumread on lld that was worthy. my gameplan that day was to ride the lld train and see where it went and then lld decided to give up playing and then i was like ok. idk whats happening.
i play with poe 90% of the time yeah

what's your poe atm?
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Post Post #3530 (isolation #219) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:57 am

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VOTE: agar

if i can get one person to sheep me then i'll be happy
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Post Post #3533 (isolation #220) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:01 am

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damn, you even put it in fake quote tags so it looked like i didn't realize you'd already posted it or something. that's pretty impressive

i don't think i townread anyone in the remnants section, that's a pretty good list actually. would definitely move mastina up at least a tier though
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Post Post #3536 (isolation #221) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:03 am

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In post 3532, Ythan wrote:
In post 3519, Hopkirk wrote:while you're here, is there literally any way to read you? i want shameless self meta here
Idk I haven't played a large in a long time and I'm finding it hard to be useful.
do you think you're a player that can be sorted... ever?
in all of your 13k posts worth of game
i'm not even getting null vibes, i'm getting no vibes which is weirding me out on an 'oh god what's happening to the world, hey is that Cthulhu?' level. i should always have vibes. this is kind of mean of you to not let me have vibes :(
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Post Post #3537 (isolation #222) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:03 am

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In post 3535, OkaPoka wrote:: ^)
i'm googling this emoji and it had BETTER be an indication that you're joking
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Post Post #3538 (isolation #223) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:04 am

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i literally got zero search results wtf
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Post Post #3539 (isolation #224) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:06 am

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i need an adult but the player i see as kind of a father figure is dead
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Post Post #3541 (isolation #225) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:09 am

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you're more of a :?: tier read tbh. i don't think anything you've said feels AI
maybe you voted though. that could help
on the topic of things that help. Agar?
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Post Post #3544 (isolation #226) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:00 am

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i don't care about luca's behaviour
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Post Post #3546 (isolation #227) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:18 am

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do you not get the concept of locktown or something
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Post Post #3549 (isolation #228) » Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:19 am

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i can't see that level of difference done that well coming from scum
i'm not reevaluated the read when there's other stuff i haven't sorted
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Post Post #3838 (isolation #229) » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:17 am

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In post 3552, Xtoxm wrote:hop, i have agar as like a weaker townread
i thought he was pretty scummy for large parts of yday but towards the end he picked up and looked better
i did like that he tried to push things away from both of lld and dgb given what we now know abt that.
given lld died he didn't try especially hard
like he was pushing me with a shitpush that every person who commented on it said it was a terrible push. that's not 'trying' to divert a wagon

reading up to your later list i see that weaker townread is 6-7th from the bottom. does his later posting quoted below move him down for you?
In post 3554, Bell wrote:
In post 3546, Hopkirk wrote:do you not get the concept of locktown or something
Yes, I just think
you locktown people too easily
. I think you're town probably making another early clear based off of an assumption of what someone is and isn't capable of. Based on Hercules own posting they seem to take pride in their play as either alignment. Appearing different is a very difficult line to toe, I certainly can't do it. But that doesn't mean Hercule couldn't.
ouch
have you read any of the previous game? it's hard to argue that he's 100% different if you haven't read his stuff before this game. like if you got the impression of someone who takes pride in it imagine that magnified * 100
In post 3577, AGar wrote: is a bad post. So is .
In post 3469, Luca Blight wrote:Right now I believe the following players are Town:

IV
Mastina
Ceph
Poka
A50
AGar
y tho?
In post 3476, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 3474, Luca Blight wrote:Based on the D1 wagons I think it's unlikely both Titus and Ythan are scum, and right now I'm leaning towards Titus being the more likely of the two as her play seems more calculated than Ythan's.
why do either of them have to be scum..?
What do you think the odds are that we had significant wagons on four town players yesterday?
In post 3502, Hopkirk wrote:at no point am i saying it's a joke
In post 2814, Hopkirk wrote:(obviously this is meant to be sarcastic)
*whistles*
In post 3508, OkaPoka wrote:how are the lld voters really claiming their wagon on lld was pure when they couldnt explain why she was scum, just why she wasnt town
Because self examination would ruin their circle jerk.
In post 3520, Hopkirk wrote:3 in (Titus/Agar/Bell/Winter Flakes (alt of Uncrowned), Oka, JJH, Ythan, A50) + deepwolf?
You're shading *checks notes* more than half of the living playerlist.


Spicy!
In post 3556, Bell wrote:I also know that replace outs are statistically more likely to be mafia.
You, uh, wanna back up this bullshit somehow?
sarcasm and joke do not make the same things. it's obvious that i'm making fun of your argument because it's bad/showing why it's bad (since you're doing the same thing). sarcasm = i don't think that the thing is scummy... which i assume you agree with given you're doing it? or not because you aren't sincere here

so the stuff in huge text - can anyone prove that Agar doesn't understand the concept of a POE despite me having one last game and every game i play? i refuse to believe he doesn't understand this with that join date...

like how can the large stuff be said in good faith? this is a question for anyone not on agar. i don't care if he did some town stuff from certain povs, this can't be argued seriously from the position of someone who actually thinks it rather than someone who's seen nobody cares that what he says is nonsensical and realizes he doesn't have to make sense. like he's not even trying to make sense and why am i the only person with me vote here???
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Post Post #3839 (isolation #230) » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:30 am

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In post 3608, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 3585, Bell wrote:I mean it's only a 6%, difference but compared to the bullshit we make up on the fly that's really good.
bell has won the game in my eyes already
yeah like Bell can you not break the unwritten rule of mafia that nobody points out that most of our reads are only marginally above random?
(we vote at something slightly above what EVs would suggest i think? i remember reading something on that)
In post 3633, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 3512, Hopkirk wrote:
In post 3422, innocentvillager wrote:i think {OkaPoka, mastina, A50, Dunnstral, AGar, Winter} is more likely to be town than the list of everyone else and that's essentially where im at in reads
why most of these?
(i agree on Mastina/Dunn)
AGar we've talked about before , , , , and I don't necessarily see any reasons to change my current evaluation of him as it stands. He has kind of continued the activity and direct/confrontational posting on D2 that I felt I saw towards EOD1. With DGB's townflip and SirCakez from its team leaning town on AGar (having hard-caught scum!AGar recently), that gives me a little bit more confidence on AGar as well

I am definitely open to re-evaluating him, are there specific things I should look at?

Winter I've talked about

OkaPoka - Oka feels kind of like me this game, in that if he is scum, he has been faking all the highs and lows of the deadline scramble, being present when it's urgent, and actively pushing the town to be productive at times when it felt pretty natural to do so. His confidence and excitement on pushing DGB especially when the major wagons we've revealed have all been town feels like an unnecessary amount of weight to be putting behind an elimination, although I'll admit that this could be agenda-motivated because without him DGB probably doesn't become a wagon so maybe NAI. I feel like Oka is more of a town player from his style and I don't believe he can deepwolf this convincingly as scum (if I'm wrong, please link me a game and let me know), nor is he as incentivized to anymore with his team already losing Black Flag. If he's scum I'm kind of fine letting him keep being himself and just get more readable over time. But I'm also open to reconsidering here that he's for some reason decided to effort and play the deepwolf here.

A50 - mostly a tonal read and my teammate Gypyx thinks he can read A50 reasonably well and also thinks he's town. I think the increased urgency of A50 as we go into D2 with 3 townflips with all the varied, urgent thoughts he is putting out seems town!indicative. My experience with scum!A50 is that he kind of fades into the background and I remember lol!writing him off as town because it looked like he was just doing his own thing the whole game. The crux of the A50 scumgame from what I remember is looking busy and that's not at all what I'm seeing when he's engaged with thread. I am also open to re-evaluating here because I don't know if I put that much stock into my half-hearted meta.
i'm not really sure why i asked this actually because i don't see myself being convinced on anyone i haven't reread because a reason you have is only ever going to be like a parahraph unless you're hard casing which feels less useful to me than my thoughts that i have few of there tbh
i'll look back at agar and highlight stuff/respond to your quoted ones over the weekend. like your point in 2850 he didn't get pushed by anyone else for it so the idea that he wouldn't go for it because of pushback isn't really convincing
In post 3659, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3499, Hopkirk wrote:pls explain how your system works
I list all possible formations of a 4-members scum team and then look for posts that are unlikely to come from a partner. For example, let's say X makes a post about Y that is really offensive and Y reports them, or that X & Y are run up and are at 6 votes each and then Z decides to to switch from voting X to voting Y. I would deduce Y isn't partners with X or Z (or let's say very unlikely to be), so I eliminate all teams that would include Y with either/or X/Z as partners.

Serious hint: DON'T DO IT. It's VERY wearisome, and you're likely to make a mistake that would force you to either repeat from the start or simply call it quits.
In post 3499, Hopkirk wrote:OR explain why you think there's 3 scum instead of the 4-5 you'd expect at these numbers?
This one I don't understand so can't respond to, Where did I say there are only 3 scums?
In post 3499, Hopkirk wrote:i don't think i like anyone who has confident readlists immediately after the day starts (except Dunn) because why would you reread at night
I don't care what you like/dislike. I play my own way and not to please you (or anyone else), with all due respect.

I also don't know how to feel about the last part (because why would you reread at night). I want to win the game, and I have a flip by the end of the day (something I didn't have all through the game while the day lasted) so why the hell
wouldn't
I reread with the new info for who pushed whom at what time.. etc.? Even during twilight (which I didn't even witness, but theoretically speaking..) I still wouldn't have known -for sure- the alignment of the eliminated player, so can't deduce much from someone's push on them or someone's defence of them.

So, a reread during the night in a LARGE game which I CARE about winning sounds like a must-do to me. I'm surprised YOU didn't do that, tbh.

so my question is that i can't tell what your system is saying. my assumption was that a (2) meant 2 of these people and a (1) meant 1 of these people for 3 total. if that's not how it works, which i assumed it wasn't because assuming 3 scum would have been weird, then how does it actually work? i can't tell what the '2 scumteams' are that you're modelling from it

when i say like/dislike i mean not sus/sus
i don't hard reread at night because of nightkills + not liking the feeling of wasted effort. sometimes i skim. i skimmed some stuff but no full hard isoing or meta stuff
In post 3665, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3502, Hopkirk wrote:A50 were the multiple pages of you not getting the setup you joking or serious?
I was serious, but let's not start that again. I brain farted and had two separate thought processes going on in the back of my mind in parallel and they never intersected. (parallel
lines
thoughts never meet)
ooh that's the + town answer (that it was serious)
In post 3671, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3507, Hopkirk wrote:how has nobody gone through all the wagons and counterwagons yet?
:facepalm: THAT is part of why a reread during the night is a must. Whether you vocalize your thoughts explicitly or use them to form reads is your own choice.
you uh, can't post at night. if anyone did it overnight then they didn't post an analysis in the day
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Post Post #3840 (isolation #231) » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:33 am

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In post 3675, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3518, Bell wrote:I'm talking overall. I don't recall A50 ever being terribly active. He just struggles to fake solve or has memory/engagement issues.
But I really think it's better if he just says it himself. Since he might not see himself that way. For me it seems reliable as a tell for A50 tho.
The question (of Poka) is a trap on itself. I cannot "meta" myself because self-meta is scummy for some and simply unreliable for others (and they're roght, as if you are self-aware you certainly
can
replicate your town-play as scum).

There's ALSO another -more serious- problem: "I only do this as Town" could (and most likely would) be considered a
trust tell
and would lead to a mod-kill on my slot.

Last (but not least) I don't really care if I'm SR'd by Oka (or even
Hop, who claimed that he had a Town Lean on me towards the end of D1m but is back to questioning others' TRs on me today
) *Shrug*
this is a very odd way of phrasing that i have you in an 8/9 person POE after shifting three people from my scumpool (Ceph/Dunn/LLD) out of it. why are you complaining
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Post Post #3843 (isolation #232) » Tue Feb 16, 2021 7:42 am

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In post 3804, OkaPoka wrote:going to sleep now but going to give you some things to chew on
In post 3793, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3757, OkaPoka wrote:im saying ur push is just so bad it makes life for a scum ythan easy.
Wait! Are you saying you think I'm Town pushing Scum Ythan and you choose to vote me over him?? because you
still
claim to SR him, and I don't think anyone in this game (or even on the whole of this galaxy) can think I am Scum
with
Ythan. So, if you SR him still you must -at least- be "weirded out" by me, but not outright SRing me. Is this correct???
No. I scumread both of you, both of you are in my cull pile, one of you is probably town here. I just really disliked your ythan push even if i agree that ythan needs a push. How about we do a deal where we let someone else push ythan because i really don't know what to do when you do pushes that make no sense and are clearly flawed.
In post 3801, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3775, OkaPoka wrote:like do you not see how ythan is just quoting every post you make and making a snide comment

that's like 90% of his iso today
And what do you suggest I do? Stop posting? Give up and eat rope? Stop posting content and go back to shitposting?? Seriously, what do you think I should do to please you, dear sir?
i know you are being emphatic but:

i don't want to stop you for contenting. i just want you to post better. how? idk. u aren't being very readable when you go off on your wild ideas that require multiple leaps to follow. fix that i guess lol

sleep now

ill do this for you

VOTE: jjh
is there a specific reason you think not SvS?
In post 3829, Titus wrote:
In post 3828, Luca Blight wrote:
In post 3247, Almost50 wrote:
In post 3208, Titus wrote:I was targeted by a babysitter. I'll be afk today. Spending the afternoon with a date online.
Why would you even announce that? What are your thoughts elsewhere?
I also think Titus shouldn't have been so quick to reveal this. It doesn't really do anything to help Town but potentially gives scum useful info, if Titus is Town herself.
This is wrong. It confirms a babysitter is indeed in the game. A babysitter's alignment can be determined by their actions. The longer a babysitter lives as scum, the more associative tells it gives. The longer it lives as town, the more powerful it becomes. Due to its dangerous nature, the babysitter has the power to kill or protect.

If town, it's best used on slots that need sorting. If the babysitter dies, we get a useful flip too. If a kill goes missing, we get a huge alignment hint. This is why I think the babysitter is town. Getting info that a town can claim, thus eliminating a miselimination is good play.
scum babysitters options are
- target someone under sus to make it look like they're town babysitter targetting someone sus
- target someone not sus to make it look like they're town babysiter targtting someone not sus
- get a kill on someone they're afraid of
- protect a partner (seems dumb)

am i missing anything?

i was going to say babysitter 100% town until i thought about it and realized point 1 there is probably what a scum babysitter would do when the target is informed unless they had a good reason otherwise so 1 night's worth of targetting is basically not AI as there's only one data point and the motivation is essentially not distinguishable

does this sound right theory?
In post 3832, Luca Blight wrote:
Town:
Mastina, IV, Agar, A50, Poka, Dunnstral, Xtoxm, Ceph

PoE:
Bell, Titus, Ythan, Hopkirk, Winter Flakes, jjh
there's a name in your PoE that shouldn't be in your PoE.
gee i sure miss Hercule
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Post Post #4165 (isolation #233) » Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:59 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Vaguely been keeping up on phone.
In post 4152, mastina wrote:
In post 4138, Almost50 wrote:[*]Bell the worst, representing Daylight Savings Time
[*]AGar, representing Pa-Ni-Nis
[*]OkaPoka, representing Suicide Squad
Well we have these three as "in the bottom" in common. :P (You have them as bottom 7, I have them as bottom 3.)
Also all In my Poe (bottom 7-9, I'm feeling a bit better about A50 within it) and Agar/Oka are towards the lower end of that/are the slots I'm intending to reiso when I get time tomorrow evening. I'd be up for either. Bell I barely remember his posting so I'll add that to the priority iso list
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Post Post #4166 (isolation #234) » Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:04 am

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VOTE: Oka
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Post Post #4484 (isolation #235) » Sat Feb 20, 2021 7:17 am

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i'm either going to catch up tomorrow, or catch up at 2am tonight while very drunk which is also technically tomorrow. did i miss anything important?
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Post Post #4524 (isolation #236) » Mon Feb 22, 2021 10:58 pm

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i was targeted by an announcing role that i think is more likely to be scum aligned (especially assuming town!A50 +provides weak Bayesian evidence for town!A50 on a couple of levels)
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Post Post #4647 (isolation #237) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 6:58 am

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i'm surprised about the number of people acting like Dunn didn't hardclaim vig yesterday. you'll notice he moved from my null-scum pile to town-lean then gradually to lock-town after he

-1 minute after daystart made a long post where he said the vig should shoot DGB
-Hard pushed DGB D1
-Basically claimed vig

In post 4606, OkaPoka wrote:lmao how have you not reevaluated your reads
i don't like this. i'm reevaluating my reads and i'm leaning the same way
reevaluate =/= change
In post 4646, Bell wrote:Eh. I'll sheep.
VOTE: Hopkirk
what, do you think you're funny or something?
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Post Post #4650 (isolation #238) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:13 am

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before i start rereading stuff readstate

I townread all of:
Mastina - I've previously trusted my read on Mastina over a cop check suggesting otherwise. This really feels like town Mastina.
Innocentvillager- don't think he's on the right track today, but that's irrelevant. i think the stuff yesterday was outside of a reasonable scumrange
Xtoxm- i don't think the stuff with Auro was fakeable

From the LLD/Hercule dueling wagons I don't think scum were pushing the LLD wagon.

Other townreads: Ceph, i think Titus
maybe A50. i want to say town on play but circumstance may shift that? see below the ---s

POE: Bell, Winter Flakes (an alt of uncrowned), Jjh, Ythan, Oka
Outright scumreads: Agar

---
there had to be bussing yesterday. my gut says that scum were willing to throw out Luca who was in the Me/Mastina/IV/Xtoxm townblock because we were on the right track outside of that (one of A50/Bell or both) to throw shade into the block (people gunning for me/IV/Mastina today)

- me + 3 of my top 5 townreads- excluding Luca obviously- (Mastina/IV/Xtoxm/Ceph/Dunn) were all off the wagon so either i'm even more wrong and being hard pocketed or scum were bussing there
- There was no resistance
- There were mutual townreads amongst a lot of us there/a fairly consensusy POE
- Luca self hammered

makes me thing scum decided to lose Luca to try and break up a solve rather than let themselves get gradually elimmed then Luca by voted out last

i'm happy with my townblock from yesterday as a starting point
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Post Post #4651 (isolation #239) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:14 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 4649, jjh927 wrote:
In post 4567, jjh927 wrote:
In post 4524, Hopkirk wrote:i was targeted by an announcing role that i think is more likely to be scum aligned (especially assuming town!A50 +provides weak Bayesian evidence for town!A50 on a couple of levels)
Do you think it's scum aligned because it's another announcing role or do you think it's scum aligned because of the role itself
the role itself
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Post Post #4652 (isolation #240) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:16 am

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i'll be dedicated most of the evening to this game/be generally around btw
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Post Post #4654 (isolation #241) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:22 am

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so i discussed this with Hectic (and arguably Flopz) and they agreed it's worth outing it

i was targetted by a Neapolitan. we're leaning towards it being a scum backup neapolitan (or backup of first announcing to die if A50 is town as well also makes sense?)
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Post Post #4658 (isolation #242) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:25 am

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In post 4653, AGar wrote:Man, people on this fuckin' site lol.

"I am locktowning X in addition to Y, Z, A, and B"
*X flips scum*
"I am confident starting with my townblock from yesterday."

Y'all fuckin' kill me.
one deepwolf is possible, i don't see myself locktowning two scum

first thing on the agenda now - the Agar case that i've said i've been trying to make time for that agar has been throwing shade at me for not making during the times i'm clearly too irl busy to make but intending to make
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Post Post #4662 (isolation #243) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:29 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i'm 3/4 right on flipped town and 0/1 on flipped scum, my reads aren't shit
flipping the scum i'm not on doesn't mean i'm wrong on the others, the rest of my poe can be fine and i think it is
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Post Post #4665 (isolation #244) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:33 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 4660, jjh927 wrote:What's the likelihood of the first role to die being the thing that there is a specific backup for VS a backup just being universal
depends on the setup
if A50 is town it makes a lot more sense for it to be an announcer backup role
if A50 is scum then it's a universal backup imo
could also just be a backup of the neapolitan specifically as that's a role that benefits scum a lot to get
low chance of it also being a second neapolitan but not likely

since i'm currently leaning towards A50 as town, i'm leaning towards it being scum

when i posted yesterday i initially didn't remember than Dann had flipped Neapolitan and was thinking yesterday that it was a scum role because of there being two announcers, and neapolitan being a weak rolecop/a more mafia indicative role. then i remembered that i starting thinking one scum/one town, then i remembered backups exist today
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Post Post #4666 (isolation #245) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:37 am

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In post 4663, OkaPoka wrote:3/4 = 75%
14/18 = 77.8%

0/1 = 0%
4/14 = 22.2%
your numbers lack nauance
- 14/18 (should be 13/17 as i can exclude self) is for a single person. the chance of getting 4 townreads right randomly picked is closer to 5%
- you're only looking at my flipped reads
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Post Post #4668 (isolation #246) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:41 am

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and that's still not a useful number
like what are you trying to say there? quoting %s of me picking right

chance i pick right 4 times is 13/17 * 13/16 * 13/15 * 13/14 which is literally 50%

like you're both what, trying to discredit the rest of my reads based on a biased sample of them? what else are you posting this for
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Post Post #4672 (isolation #247) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:50 am

Post by Hopkirk »

brb called away to help with some stuff

pedit - Oka is acting like some of my reads being wrong means i'm a garbage player and all of my reads are wrong? my hardlocktowns are usually 90% right. my POEs are usually mostly accurate now, i think i've had 1 outside it average in most games. you and your friend here are both in it
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Post Post #4673 (isolation #248) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:51 am

Post by Hopkirk »

like this is literally just throwing shade at my play that you have no prior experience of because my reads aren't 100% right? i don't get the motive if it isn't just to hard shade me
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Post Post #4676 (isolation #249) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 7:56 am

Post by Hopkirk »

townreading 1 scum is not getting the entire solve wrong and you clearly are saying that
like wtf is the point of these posts if not to throw shade at me? what reaction are you hoping for here?
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Post Post #4681 (isolation #250) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 8:03 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i think the core is good for different reasons
i can be wrong on one, that's a deepwolf
being wrong on one doesn't mitigate the valid reasons for each

what do you mean IV? did i not make it clear why i hold each of these reads? i still like the core, and them being the core isn't why i like them. i've made this very clear. i think the wagon was driven by town because i like the people on it. i don't like the people because they were on the wagon?
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Post Post #4683 (isolation #251) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 8:05 am

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@oka
you're ignoring why i liked the core and reframing it as though i liked them because they were the core
Herc's play was outside of what i thought his range was based on last game
you'll notice 'herc's scumrange' doesn't factor into my read on anyone who isn't hercule
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Post Post #4688 (isolation #252) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 8:14 am

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that was never the argument and i dislike that you're framing it that way
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Post Post #4689 (isolation #253) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 8:15 am

Post by Hopkirk »

@oka ^
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Post Post #4693 (isolation #254) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 11:19 am

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In post 4599, Winter Flakes wrote:i like titus for bringing up hop as FoS

i liked Hop early game but been feeling progressively worse as game has gone on and i had a similar thought based on early wagon positioning
saw this from the quotes above. why didn't you mention me when you thought i got worse? you said your team liked me and you didn't really have thoughts then seem to be disliking me now that other people are...
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Post Post #4694 (isolation #255) » Wed Feb 24, 2021 11:20 am

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i'm... not going to get around to this today. i'm uh... organizing another dnd game.
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Post Post #4756 (isolation #256) » Thu Feb 25, 2021 3:13 am

Post by Hopkirk »

VOTE: agar

did i not do this yesterday, that's weird
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Post Post #4855 (isolation #257) » Thu Feb 25, 2021 11:40 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Deconstructing Agar’s case. I’ll follow up on each of these points in the subsequent agar case when I eventually get the time for it. This should be enough that y’all decide to start voting Agar though…


1.) Hopkirk threw RC’s name in because he knew it would enrage LLD and Hopkirk is obviously a piece of shit who’d do this as scum so must be scum
This is the thing everything Agar’s been saying is founded on since it’s essentially when he decided he’d treat anything I said as coming from scum then start looking for explanations for why it came from scum. Two main points on this

- Hopkirk made that joke with the intent of pissing LLD off. Response – like… fuck you? This is premised on me being a shitty person and the fact that you’ve stuck to it the entire game at what seems to be 100% likelihood for literally no reason means you’re accusing me of being a shitty person. You’re saying that ‘Scum!Hopkirk would say this to start conflict’ which is deeply insulting even when I’m town since you’re saying you’re convinced that I’m the kind of person who’d do that as scum (/saying you think it’s within my range. It’s not because I’m not an asshole trying to cause conflict and cause people to be uncomfortable for an advantage). Either you’re scum or you’re actively insulting me so I’m hoping you’re scum here. Pretty sure about it too.
You can see me joking about toxic 1v1s all the time. See one night stand for a whole bunch of examples where I suggest I get into a toxic 1v1 with someone, we throw joking insults at each other for a while, then we townread each other.

- Hopkirk wouldn’t make that joke as town but would if scum. Response- (my jokes are presumably NAI. In irl mafia Hectic once realized my jokes were better quality as scum because I don’t preplan them so it was indicative I was thinking more about joking than scumhunting (it did work to pocket people until then), when I realized this I scaled it back to the point where the tell no longer worked). I believe any joke I make as scum/town I could/would make as the other alignment.

(also other stuff like it relies on Hopkirk being aware how much they dislike RC and so on, but that’s covered by the above two points)
So this is based on a flawed and insulting view of me as a person and backed by nothing but agar going ‘yeah, this seems like something Hopkirk would (only) do as scum’ and becoming locked on that without any actual thought on it. More likely he was doing this to try and turn LLD on me rather than pushing Hercule again. He knew it was a TvT and he wanted to make it worse by trying to misinterpret what I was saying in a crappy way. EVERYONE who’s commented on him has disagreed with him on it including- Dunn and LLD themselves (as they didn’t comment on it and would have if they thought it was serious). Despite everyone disagreeing with him personality read on me, he’s stuck to it despite having never met me before outside of the abandoned d1.

Agar specifically took something that was clearly intended between a joke and used it to try and start conflict between me/LLD – a TvT. Like it’s clearly just outright attempting to stir up issues between town



2.) Hopkirk says things then clarifies the meaning later.
Counterpoint- this is how I talk/think.
Evidence- here’s some posts from my most recent game (town obviously) that finished before team mafia began.

viewtopic.php?p=12485305#p12485305
viewtopic.php?p=12494327#p12494327
viewtopic.php?p=12475737#p12475737

that's without anyone actually commenting on issues with my phrasing. if it's commented on obviously i'm going to be clearer. everything i said follows logically in terms of meaning and your misrepresentation of it nobody agrees with. you keep saying there's tons of examples but you have ONE from before you said there were tons, it's been disproven so isn't valid, and you haven't brought up others.

For more, read any/all of my other games because this is my style. I’m aware my wording can sometimes be confusing. There’s a solution to that – ask me what I mean if you’re confused what I mean. Agar has never done this.

At no point has agar
asked me to clarify
what I mean. He’s exclusively gone to pointing out that it must come from scum when he’s claiming my meaning is ambiguous/fake instead of asking clarifying questions to
actually work out
what I mean.

Choosing not to do this is bad if he aims to seriously work out my alignment since if he’s trying to show that I change my meaning when asked about it then… he isn’t taking the obvious step to try and legitimately do that. He’s instead using each alleged ‘example’ to say ‘see this is why Hop is scum’. This is working backwards from a position while using whatever I say to try and further justify it, and reeks of posturing.

Notably, nobody who’s commented on any of these examples have agreed with him, people have disagreed (eg Dunn who is town), nobody who’s familiar with my play is in agreement with him while people who ARE familiar with it are disagreeing with him. He’s instead relying on some guy I’ve never heard let alone played with.

(these two are less comprehensive as they don’t factor into my case on Agar so they’re inherently less substantial)


3.) I’m getting bored tbh. See literally any game because I constantly ask people what they think about x or their thoughts when I’m in conflict with someone else. Here’s one example of me asking how they viewed me (I was town obviously) based on my half of a toxic 1v1 (what I called it before, during, and afterwards) because one is enough to disprove this when you can find it in any of my games -eg viewtopic.php?p=12475447#p12475447
ctrl f that thread with 'what do you think' or 'how do you read' or 'how are you reading' for examples of some of this other stuff


4.) Did you read the last game where I attacked Unwnd the moment he started pushing me? See also… gee is it any other game again? It sure is. If people push me then I push back. Sometimes that’s with scumreads, othertimes it’s just by throwing shade at them. Like with LLD in Death Curse that I mentioned a few times earlier when I had them as locktown and they scumread me. I just kept throwing shade at them in basically half my posts- stuff like accusing them of being a bad townleader who was dooming us all for x/y reason.


Additions

- Ooh, it’s stuff that Agar didn’t comment on at the time that’s not even true. If people think my reasons for townlocking players are invalid maybe they should comment on them. Don’t pay any attention to Agar here (because what he’s saying isn’t reflective of reality) who, instead of asking more questions about the reads, just says they’re invalid as the executive summary of the read isn’t good enough for them hence must be 100% of it. I still hard stand by each of the reads if anyone was wondering.

- Can anyone read my iso and seriously say there’s no reasons there why I don’t like Agar? This is objectively untrue. A more substantial case I need time to make that I only really have over the weekend (unless I’m pissed off by stuff like… agar)

- I have a shitton of scumhunting. Well, I say scumhunting, most of it is townhunting since I prefer to find town then POE. As is very clear. See multiple games where I’ve described my style in detail to be this. Agar is my most confident scumread, but I’m also confident the rest of the scum are within my POE. I ask questions of other people on reads as it helps me sort them + I’m willing to sheep my townreads reads. None of this is meaningful.

- This isn’t actually saying anything? It’s saying ‘Hop’s reads are wifom. Scum like to use wifom. Hence, Hop is scum’. That’s just… bad logic at best?

Note - my agar case is mostly pointing out how bad his progression/read on me is since it's outside of something i can see coming from a reasonable town perspective who's actually thinking about things rather than trying to justify a terribly flimsy read that he got called out on but somehow isn't getting called out on by enough people to die... there's not a smoking gun beyond that, it's just constant terrible interactions in regards to me
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Post Post #4856 (isolation #258) » Thu Feb 25, 2021 11:41 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

and that's beyond the point i think i could effort as scum (especially during the day) so yeah...
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Post Post #4862 (isolation #259) » Fri Feb 26, 2021 2:23 pm

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i didn't especially like scum in the past (if i remember right) and i play ~10 hours per week of irl mafia/mafia related games (currently over discord/video). I can roughly estimate my range based on that
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Post Post #4879 (isolation #260) » Fri Feb 26, 2021 11:21 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

This wagon brings tears of joy to my eyes.
In post 4863, Bell wrote:Oh. Well, that make both makes sense and feels misleading as hell from death curse. It's like a technicality.
What feels misleading?
In post 4864, OkaPoka wrote:hop now that lld is not here we can talk freely

i got shat on by lld for bringing up rc, did you really think that bringing up rc again is you know, not in poor taste? i think you made a joke in poor taste but i mean you have to admit it was in poor taste
I did not think it would get any kind of negative reaction

I don't get the perspectives that it was over the top and an extreme response was predictable

I thought it was funny

Flopz had previously asked me to continue the line of 'joke reasons flopz isn't reading the game' because he really liked them last game

I discussed it with flopz and he agreed it was funny so my view of agar was valid

I still don't even understand how literally mentioning RC can be considered in poor taste. Did the guy literally eat her entire family in front her or something? because like, if RC did eat anyone's family in front of them I'm happy to admit that that would be kind of a major dick move, but otherwise idk I didn't expect any kind of extreme reaction

and LLD didn't actually have an extreme reaction. Or any reaction. She didn't even agree with agar's take on it. The only people saying it was in poor taste are other people...
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Post Post #4889 (isolation #261) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 6:43 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 4881, Winter Flakes wrote:
In post 4693, Hopkirk wrote:saw this from the quotes above. why didn't you mention me when you thought i got worse? you said your team liked me and you didn't really have thoughts then seem to be disliking me now that other people are...
to be fair if this is going by ISO then my ISO is small af and doesn't reallly represent how long this game has been going for lmao

but yeah i haven't divulged my thoughts much but the rundown was that from my recent games with you you were a bit more at the forefront of things and pushing whereas there were some points in this game that you fell off in a way i didn't really expect you to?

it's a bit flimsy and more of a vibe thing than like a *hard accuse* if you get me
i'm busier irl + in more games at the moment so that would make sense. i like that you've noticed i guess
In post 4888, Cephrir wrote:Right now my list of possible scum is something like titus, mastina, hopkirk (off limits today), jjh and you, and while I don't have the massive hubris to think I've caught everyone with that list, getting a handle on you would be helpful in narrowing things down
so... i notice agar
still
isn't that list
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Post Post #4891 (isolation #262) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 6:56 am

Post by Hopkirk »

when was the last time you read his iso/reviewed the read
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Post Post #4895 (isolation #263) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:00 am

Post by Hopkirk »

pretty much yeah

so wrong i don't think someone can ever reasonably make them in good faith without looking at what they're saying and realizing it's consistently terrible, inconsistent, insulting, and doesn't match either reality or what everyone else is telling them

this would be so much eaiser if you were scum
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Post Post #4896 (isolation #264) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:01 am

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In post 4894, Cephrir wrote:Regardless of whether or not you have won the argument, which is not important to me at all and I've honestly stopped following it out of disinterest.
explain why i should give a fuck about this game then
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Post Post #4899 (isolation #265) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:11 am

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the case isn't that he's wrong, the case is that his approach to me is so far beyond the level that i think can be genuine that it can't be coming from someone trying to argue in good-faith
but like... if you think it's just me saying he's 'scum because he's wrong' then like... what can i even say at that point because you're not going to read it anyway
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Post Post #4902 (isolation #266) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:33 am

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point 1 that you don't care about is the point where he decided to 100% scumlock me. in points 2/3 he's clearly starting from scum!hop based on that and ignored point 1 being objectively wrong

on the second point the issue i have is that he's clearly reading as though hop is confirmed scum and he's trying to prove it - which is how he's been acting since d1

i don't take
every
attack against me as a personal attack, but i do take ones that are explicitly personal attacks as personal attacks. Agar is literally saying 'I'm so convinced Hopkirk is an asshole that i'm 100% sure that he makes posted designed to be inflammatory as scum'. there's not a way to take
the central point of why he doesn't like me
as not a direct personal insult
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Post Post #4905 (isolation #267) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:38 am

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In post 4901, Cephrir wrote:
In post 4855, Hopkirk wrote:So this is based on a flawed and insulting view of me as a person and backed by nothing but agar going ‘yeah, this seems like something Hopkirk would (only) do as scum’ and becoming locked on that without any actual thought on it. More likely he was doing this to try and turn LLD on me rather than pushing Hercule again. He knew it was a TvT and he wanted to make it worse by trying to misinterpret what I was saying in a crappy way. EVERYONE who’s commented on him has disagreed with him on it including- Dunn and LLD themselves (as they didn’t comment on it and would have if they thought it was serious). Despite everyone disagreeing with him personality read on me, he’s stuck to it despite having never met me before outside of the abandoned d1.

Agar specifically took something that was clearly intended between a joke and used it to try and start conflict between me/LLD – a TvT. Like it’s clearly just outright attempting to stir up issues between town
I can see how you get to this, but I don't think it's impossible he actually believes in his point instead. Plus, he's continued slamming on it with LLD dead, so even if he's scum he must think he has a good point here right?
it's not impossible that he believes it but...
the fact he hasn't reconsidered it despite multi people he claims to TR telling him he's objectively wrong reduces that likelihood
that he hasn't reviewed anything and he's built more on the back of it without recognizing how bad it is reduces that likelihood
that he didn't interact with me on any of it to actual try and develop the points reduces that likelihood
that if he was town he'd have read back on it enough that he should have realized it's bad reduces that likelihood
he mixes in multiple points that i can't reconcile
that he pretends to know my meta in there better than people who've played with me
that... everything. it can't be genuine

i can think of plenty of motivations (doesn't want to back off because he wants me to be lethaled, thinks it's sus to back off, likes how the game is going and doesn't want to rock things etc) for scum!agar to keep doing it but idk which is his actual motive
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Post Post #4908 (isolation #268) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:41 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 4904, Cephrir wrote:
In post 4902, Hopkirk wrote:point 1 that you don't care about is the point where he decided to 100% scumlock me. in points 2/3 he's clearly starting from scum!hop based on that and ignored point 1 being objectively wrong

on the second point the issue i have is that he's clearly reading as though hop is confirmed scum and he's trying to prove it - which is how he's been acting since d1
Agreed- it looks like he's deeply confbiased and tunnelling. That could come from scum and could also not. Surely the lord of toxic 1v1s has seen this flip TvT before.
In post 4902, Hopkirk wrote:i don't take
every
attack against me as a personal attack, but i do take ones that are explicitly personal attacks as personal attacks. Agar is literally saying 'I'm so convinced Hopkirk is an asshole that i'm 100% sure that he makes posted designed to be inflammatory as scum'. there's not a way to take
the central point of why he doesn't like me
as not a direct personal insult
i guess. you seem offended anytime i criticize you too tho.
i probably seem annoyed because i feel like you're town that's scumsiding and (until this point) hasn't been reviewing what seems super obvious to me- which either means you're sucm (which i don't think) or that you weren't willing to listen (not a problem now because you are engaging with the content now)

i've taken multiple breaks from the thread and i've been skimming through agar's iso in bed and like... i haven't changed my view on this at all. it still feels obvscum
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Post Post #4911 (isolation #269) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:46 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i'm not replying to 4909 explicitly because i can't really think of a good phrasing but i get what you mean in principle but it doesn't move me here?
In post 4910, Cephrir wrote:man, actually trying at mafia is exhausting
i know right
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Post Post #4913 (isolation #270) » Sat Feb 27, 2021 7:46 am

Post by Hopkirk »

depends if i'm garbage tier or not
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Post Post #5048 (isolation #271) » Mon Mar 01, 2021 12:07 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 4944, Bell wrote:VOTE: Mastina

@Hopkirk, what's your opinion on Mastina?
locktown

as is JJH if Mastina says the tell is 100%

Agar's d1 in those quotes involve him saying Hercule/Hopkirk would be good votes while vanity voting on me as a shitpush. that's not exactly trying to get hercule voted off - he did nothing to actually push hercule d1, and his interactions with the slot/Luca d2 don't exact seem anti-alignment indicative

(Agar/Oka/Winterflakes (an alt of uncrowned)) with Bell/Ythan (and mayyyybe Titus) being possible alternatives to Oka/WF is where my solve's at
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Post Post #5049 (isolation #272) » Mon Mar 01, 2021 12:09 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5047, mastina wrote:
In post 5038, Almost50 wrote:You convinced me.
Maybe I can reconvince you: I just confirmed that AGar never voted hercule and I'm pretty sure he never voted Luca, either.

In spite of hercule having a wagon peaking at 7 votes, and AGar hating the LLD counterwagon, he never applied vote pressure onto hercule and never voted Luca, always voting for a wagon other than our flipped scum.

Why isn't that textbook scum distancing without bussing?
i was just looking through this. he doesn't vote Luca. he voted me several times despite nobody joining him when he thought it was 'Hopkirk/Hercule' and didn't join/push Hercule wagons. it all comes back to his push on me
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Post Post #5058 (isolation #273) » Mon Mar 01, 2021 12:43 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

You deleted the part of the post you just quoted where I said you were vanity shitpushing me instead of voting hercule
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Post Post #5061 (isolation #274) » Mon Mar 01, 2021 12:50 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Vanity wagon = lone vote on someone that nobody else is voting for, typically while there's other wagons on people you scumread. The amount you push it is irrelevant (I say push when I mean shitpush) in the classification as a VW

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Post Post #5166 (isolation #275) » Wed Mar 03, 2021 5:20 am

Post by Hopkirk »

afternoon, i'm just here for my regularly scheduled appointment to ask why there's votes on Mastina rather than agar. i'm hoping people are just bad at reading names and will correct the mistake within 3-5 working days.

how are you vibing Xtoxm?
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Post Post #5204 (isolation #276) » Thu Mar 04, 2021 7:08 am

Post by Hopkirk »

bell how are you reading agar, i can't find a stance on them in your iso
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Post Post #5242 (isolation #277) » Thu Mar 04, 2021 11:10 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

i love it when people post their team discussion because this format is uncommon enough that most people won't already have a good idea of what real discussion sounds like and that didn't sound real

VOTE: Bell

also, 5224 responding to me on agar shows no attempt to engage with my agar casing @Bell - want to try again?

my team are having a lot of discussion about tft. Flopz is the kind of guy who forces dragonsoul/elderwood mage every game. ugh. cult/keepers is where it's at
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Post Post #5244 (isolation #278) » Fri Mar 05, 2021 1:14 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i asked how you read agar because i SR agar and you're voting with him rather than for him. i'm asked you how you read him because i wanted you to vote him and/or to know why you weren't

i'm expecting you to engage with my case on him when i ask this. saying 'this is how i read agar' is
technically
answering the question without thinking about why i'm asking it. hint - i wasn't going to like a response unless it contained good reasons to TR agar that i've overlooked, or a shift to a SR on agar because 'oh yeah i read your case and it makes sense, sorry for doubting you Hop.'

you didn't engage with my case on him and just said some random stuff that's surface level at best

i don't like your response

see the train of thought?
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Post Post #5248 (isolation #279) » Fri Mar 05, 2021 5:33 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Which parts
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Post Post #5301 (isolation #280) » Sat Mar 06, 2021 11:53 am

Post by Hopkirk »

hope your family are doing ok Bell

---
In post 5232, Bell wrote:
SS: Why did you vote Mastina I think Mastina's flip on Titus is pretty unlike scum her.

Bell: Because she keeps defending scum, attacked town LLD dishonestly and is voting the only person who had any reason to be voting Luca Blight. Instead of pushing or sniffing the less solid votes there. She's either playing honorary scum or the more simple explanation is just that she is scum because she's playing like scum.
SS: With all due respect to Mastina I don't think that's true. :P Townies can have off games too. And she's kind of infamous for projecting more confidence than she really has.
Bell: Citation needed on that projecting more confidence than she really has thing and it's not just you guessing at or giving her a more flattering picture than she deserves.
SS: A50 is also town btw.
SS: X4546: Also seems townie unless the self-hammer was planned.
Bell: Uh, why would it be planned?
SS: Not sure. But if it was planned I would be because there's very little bussing.
SS: Hopkirk pointing out Dunnstrall was an obvious vig feels pretty brazen.
SS: Mastina is town, love a good mastina self-meta wall now and then.
Lilith: I don't read any of her posts.
SS: I don't understand why Hopkirk is town read.
Lilith: Who said that, I thought they were just leaving him alone until the result is outed.
Bell: How do we know it's not just an an even night scum role?
SS: That makes less sense given what we know of the set up so far.
Lilith: Bell get off the Mastina wagon it's not going to move, compromise on Ythan or push titus or shut up and vote Agar.
Lilith: what happened to getting off the Mastina wagon?
SS's feels like they're coming at it from two perspectives at the same time. it's not impossible to reconcile, but it reads weirdly
a.) someone who's been keeping up with the game/has confident reads
b.) someone who hasn't been discussing the game with Bell at all as they don't even seem to know why Bell is voting Mastina despite the vote been down for a while. if this was SS's first weigh in then i'd expect more than just thoughts on like 3 people? thoughts on agar for example. if it's not the first weigh in then what's your discussion about Mastina been like prior to this? @Bell
also one of the team is shading me and they're talking like they haven't talked about me before? that's weird if they're consistently keeping up + talking with you

also, the flow of the discussion isn't really a back and forth. when SS says 'A50 is town' nobody seems to respond to that. that might be paraphrasing though. the lack of fluff is also either paraphrasing or unnatural (if my team is any indication).
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Post Post #5302 (isolation #281) » Sat Mar 06, 2021 11:54 am

Post by Hopkirk »

do any of the people voting someone other than (Bell/Agar) or mastina want to talk more about that because the Bell wagon is the same people as the agar wagon and it feels like nothing's moved in ages
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Post Post #5307 (isolation #282) » Sat Mar 06, 2021 1:31 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

i want to see more expanded summaries of Bell's chat logs.

only redact stuff like
- long discussions on tft
- teammates pointing out that 'racism isn't cute' in response to the mod's posts
- cat pics (actually keep these if there's any)
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Post Post #5314 (isolation #283) » Sun Mar 07, 2021 12:26 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5313, jjh927 wrote:I should probably be paying more attention here huh

I'm very confident on Mastina town and fairly confident on Titus town. I don't really think Bell is scum here

I'd probably be happier to vote Agar if I have to move off winter flakes (alt of Uncrowned) but that wagon is gone.
the wagon changed from agar to bell with the same people on it and i'd prefer agar
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Post Post #5316 (isolation #284) » Sun Mar 07, 2021 12:53 am

Post by Hopkirk »

where did you say your piece?
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Post Post #5317 (isolation #285) » Sun Mar 07, 2021 12:54 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i did an iso search and you haven't mentioned any thoughts on agar before this or even offered a read as far as i can tell and that's super weird. why is he town
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Post Post #5321 (isolation #286) » Sun Mar 07, 2021 1:35 am

Post by Hopkirk »

jjh i'm townreading because mastina is, otherwise they were in about the same place in my reads list as WF
tbh it just felt like an attempt at a bail out elim or some shit like
jjh didn't join it or anything, who else do you think is scum and scum pushing it?

so how similar is his style to lastgame that it's meant you haven't had any thoughts on the arguments against him that aren't related to playstyle? he doesn't feel overly similar to me and 'meta' with no elaboration doesn't sway me
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Post Post #5370 (isolation #287) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 7:56 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I'm starting to get paranoia on my reads because today the lack of opposition to the bell & agar wagons from anyone except bell/agar/Oka doesn't make sense unless it's literally just (bell/agar/oka) but it seems so weird they're all hard pushing Mastina as the dueling/counter wagon to both Bell/Agar and that hasn't changed the entire day despite nobody else joining it and them pushing it in response to both the Agar wagon and the Bell wagon
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Post Post #5371 (isolation #288) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 7:57 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Ceph what are you reads looking like
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Post Post #5373 (isolation #289) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 8:02 am

Post by Hopkirk »

it only feels like half the game has done anything today which feels... weird
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Post Post #5374 (isolation #290) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 8:04 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5350, Winter Flakes wrote:a lot of your stuff on agar just seems to be borderline omgus tbh

like i kind of see where you're coming from with the approach/engagement toward you being shady but like at least there's actual engagement there *cough*jjhstopleavingmeonread*cough*

i guess your approach to the slot is a little +town for you in the sense that your focus on the slot seems similar to what i'd do as a townie who isn't like... at the center of the game if you get what i mean. idk. the case just isn't all that compelling to me

especially when there's obvscum who is hiding behind what i assume to be a townie who has incorrectly towncased them lmao
i'm against a WF wagon btw, i don't think WF flips scum unless Agar does because otherwise i don't think WF is likely to disagree with me on Agar here based on what he/his team know of my play & because he could/could have easily get an agar flip through if he was scum and agar was town. no reason i'd ever want to flip this over agar
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Post Post #5375 (isolation #291) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 8:12 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Luca wagon makes me feel like scum were pushing it because Bell was also scum though
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Post Post #5377 (isolation #292) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 8:16 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i'm not going to be around for deadline, i'll be somewhat available till like 12 GMT tonight and i'll try and check up on things in the morning when i wake up before i start work.
i think i'm only really good with agar or bell here
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Post Post #5382 (isolation #293) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 9:07 am

Post by Hopkirk »

do you think Mastina/Titus are every aligned here?

what's your Titus case look like?
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Post Post #5383 (isolation #294) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 9:08 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5379, OkaPoka wrote:intent to hammer i guess
why?
do you expect it to flip scum
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Post Post #5384 (isolation #295) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 9:08 am

Post by Hopkirk »

you've been pushing Mastina with him the entire day
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Post Post #5386 (isolation #296) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 9:11 am

Post by Hopkirk »

But you scumread Titus?
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Post Post #5391 (isolation #297) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 9:17 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I'm a little weirded out that you voted Titus right after I started implying that I thought it was weird you weren't voting titus, but scum you if aligned with Bell/Agar probably tries to switch
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Post Post #5392 (isolation #298) » Mon Mar 08, 2021 9:19 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I thought the flip on Titus made Mastina townier, what didn't you like about it Ceph?

Also how come you didn't vote Mastina at any point given you have her as a SR when she's been the second biggest wagon for most of the day?
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Post Post #5446 (isolation #299) » Wed Mar 10, 2021 10:43 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

VOTE: Oka
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Post Post #5447 (isolation #300) » Wed Mar 10, 2021 10:44 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Can back up that I'm not vanilla.
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Post Post #5450 (isolation #301) » Wed Mar 10, 2021 10:49 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

What do you mean you can functionally be a cop?
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Post Post #5454 (isolation #302) » Wed Mar 10, 2021 11:39 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

i misread that as what you were thinking for future actions (the bit i was confused about), that makes more sense
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Post Post #5473 (isolation #303) » Thu Mar 11, 2021 6:19 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I've softed everything that matters, not against a massclaim
I'm happy to kill either Oka or Agar
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Post Post #5474 (isolation #304) » Thu Mar 11, 2021 6:21 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I don't like that Gypyx take from IV. Why's Gypyx throwing shade at me as well there, I assume it's a separate reason to 'being a pr' since he's not shading the other claims as well
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Post Post #5478 (isolation #305) » Thu Mar 11, 2021 6:30 am

Post by Hopkirk »

So why does he say he wants to flip me over say A50?
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Post Post #5480 (isolation #306) » Thu Mar 11, 2021 6:32 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Like... 'some guy who hasn't read the game thinks we should flip people who show as power roles to the neapolitan', what? That's just posting bad theory and presenting it without clarifying it's clearly dumb is shade. I await your public denunciation of Gypyx and his prompt removal from your team.
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Post Post #5481 (isolation #307) » Thu Mar 11, 2021 6:34 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Oka isn't scum from claim he's scum from play btw. He hard pushed against Bell yesterday and he's being throwing shade at me the entire game. There's a reason he's been near the bottom of my Poe for a while so don't act like this is only because of a claim
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Post Post #5486 (isolation #308) » Thu Mar 11, 2021 6:38 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Oh yeah you did the Bayesian calcs when I asked earlier lol, I can see why you're looking at it from that mindset I guess.
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Post Post #5667 (isolation #309) » Sat Mar 13, 2021 8:06 am

Post by Hopkirk »

oka's scum because they were hard pushing against Bell & they've been shading me the entire game (and backing up agar's shade pretty hard) much more than the claim
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Post Post #5679 (isolation #310) » Sat Mar 13, 2021 9:35 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5675, Cephrir wrote:rip all the fun people

i'll keep snarking in your honor until the scum finally put me out of my misery
i'm alive, fuk u

i'll be drunk for the rest of the evening and probably check the thread from time to time if anyone wants to interact with drunk!hop. i'm still sad that nobody did the whole 'drunken townspew' last time when i wanted us to all do it together. actually i think hercule said he would then didn't and i should probably have realized that was scum. oof move hop wow. what a fucking noob hop is lol
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Post Post #5682 (isolation #311) » Sat Mar 13, 2021 12:21 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

i'm drunk to the extent i can't massively think rigthr and i think lie if anyone wants to talk
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Post Post #5683 (isolation #312) » Sat Mar 13, 2021 12:54 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Nobody wants to vibe???

This post would be so much worse without autocorrect
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Post Post #5684 (isolation #313) » Sat Mar 13, 2021 12:55 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Blessed phone even hectic probably agrress
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Post Post #5687 (isolation #314) » Sat Mar 13, 2021 2:22 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

:(
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Post Post #5699 (isolation #315) » Tue Mar 16, 2021 3:10 am

Post by Hopkirk »

VOTE: agar
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Post Post #5707 (isolation #316) » Tue Mar 16, 2021 6:18 am

Post by Hopkirk »

don't really see a reason not to now - vanilla cop enabler
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Post Post #5711 (isolation #317) » Tue Mar 16, 2021 6:25 am

Post by Hopkirk »

did a bit of softing because it's fun
In post 2027, Hopkirk wrote:
it's not a prodge if i throw in some game content right?
this is a pretty brave view,
but what if there's a cop in the game?
that's a role that's allowed in normals. well
that's it for me
.
first soft
In post 3499, Hopkirk wrote:post lld flip i still like everyone from the core of lld pushers tbh(/d) (Mastina/Xtoxm/DGB/Herc despite rep leaving)
so most likely gamestate is that scum were happy to let us park there and either doing not much or pushing alternatives too. probably some scum towards the end of LLD given the early push are town independently

Mastina- gut, but i trust my gut on mastina. i've trusted my gut on Mastina over a cop check (
Vanilla cop
checking mafia goon with 1 goon flipped so not a full cop, but you get the idea)
Xtoxm- maybe i'm biased but the stuff with Auro on their server is locktown
Hercule- early game tonal difference natural beyond what i think can be faked

dunn claiming town was useful

(Titus/Innocentvillager/Agar/The Worst/Oka/Jjh/Ceph/Ythan/A50) i should reread at some point
Ceph is probably better than i was viewing yesterday on an LLD townflip
i like+/liked people in there before but i want to reread all of them
Agar prob still scum
i checked that game because i wanted to get the role name right, then decided to intentionally use 'vanilla cop' instead of the actual role (wet rolecop) so that i could point back to this later

role pm didn't specifically say it was an announcing vanilla cop
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Post Post #5715 (isolation #318) » Tue Mar 16, 2021 6:42 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 4524, Hopkirk wrote:i was targeted by an announcing role that i think is more likely to be scum aligned (especially assuming town!A50 +provides weak Bayesian evidence for town!A50 on a couple of levels)
In post 4651, Hopkirk wrote:
In post 4649, jjh927 wrote:
In post 4567, jjh927 wrote:
In post 4524, Hopkirk wrote:i was targeted by an announcing role that i think is more likely to be scum aligned (especially assuming town!A50 +provides weak Bayesian evidence for town!A50 on a couple of levels)
Do you think it's scum aligned because it's another announcing role or do you think it's scum aligned because of the role itself
the role itself
one of the 'couple of levels' that i was really sus of the neapolitan was that i could assume the vanilla cop was town, since i'm an enabler for it, so another investigative didn't make a lot of sense as town fmpov. backed off when the universal backup was suggested as that made a lot more sense than a scum aligned one (either initially or as a backup) or another town one (when i remembered we'd actually had a neapolitan flip because at the very beginning when i said one had targetted me i forgot there'd been one flip and thought neapolitan must be scum because vanilla cop enabler = vanilla cop very likely the town investigative, but i realized a bit afterwards otherwise and started to be a little more unsure, but still sus of the neapolitan). pretty sure this is going to be all of the prs now and a universal backup makes sense with what's flipped/ everything gets some benefit to the universal backup upon dying
In post 5481, Hopkirk wrote:Oka isn't scum from claim he's scum from play btw. He hard pushed against Bell yesterday and he's being throwing shade at me the entire game. There's a reason he's been near the bottom of my Poe for a while so don't act like this is only because of a claim
he was scum from his claim lol. otherwise i'd have gone for agar yesterday. was kind of hinting that i knew there was another pr, but tangentially

didn't want to claim yesterday for obvious reasons

worked out IV was probably vanilla cop when they specifically took the chance to bring up vanilla cop. already a solid townread before that though. good thing he did, since otherwise i'd have thrown shade at him for his teammate's dumb comments about my yesterday rather than just the teammate.

pretty sure mastina worked something like this out from setup spec
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Post Post #5752 (isolation #319) » Wed Mar 17, 2021 7:48 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5747, AGar wrote:*shrug*

Could be scum. Ceph has made good points about WF. Still think it's Hop tho and that's just a safe as shit fakeclaim. Just consider that - even though I'm conceding I need to eat a yeet - if I was in this position as scum why don't I just concede overnight? If I'm last scum game is lost. But that's a ton of WIFOM. But Hop's leap to try and get that wagon done as fast as possible today should speak for itself. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Eat at Arby's.
still working backwards
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Post Post #5771 (isolation #320) » Thu Mar 18, 2021 11:24 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Wasn't targeted by a vanilla cop
the game feels solved
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Post Post #5787 (isolation #321) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 7:35 am

Post by Hopkirk »

@WF- when/why did infinity lean towards ceph?
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Post Post #5788 (isolation #322) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 7:37 am

Post by Hopkirk »

sorry that should read @WF(aAoU)

ceph is giving vibes of playing towards an endgame based on the initial posting today + on reluctance on agar yesterday
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Post Post #5796 (isolation #323) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 10:07 am

Post by Hopkirk »

looking back, last time i softed (ONS, my game right before this one) i did it 1700 posts in. softing at the very beginning is too obvious. just throw in stuff that becomes obvious in later

what is sort of thing is 'informed' typically of? when i've run it (offsite/irl real time mafia) i just used it as an excuse to give the scumteam a list of town roles/rolenames because themed setup/fakeclaims i think

you haven't been shooting allies? what do you mean?
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Post Post #5797 (isolation #324) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 10:07 am

Post by Hopkirk »

oh nightkilling dann?
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Post Post #5800 (isolation #325) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 10:13 am

Post by Hopkirk »

looking at the kills
-dann was scumreading Luca/Bell in his last few posts
- JJH/A50/Dunn were presumably killed for roles
- xtoxm-?

i don't really get what you mean? most of the people who've died were SRing flipped scum or power roles? except xtoxm
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Post Post #5804 (isolation #326) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 10:18 am

Post by Hopkirk »

that's a good point on dunn actually
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Post Post #5805 (isolation #327) » Mon Mar 22, 2021 10:20 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i need to look at what his EoD reads are as i'm looking at SoD2
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Post Post #5818 (isolation #328) » Tue Mar 23, 2021 10:02 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Hectic says he'll read up but he's only skimmed most of the game

i'm leaning towards Winter Flakes (an alt of uncrowned) but i'm also 2/2 on misreading town!uncrowned as mafia so i want to talk to hectic. good thing he's happy to talk
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Post Post #5830 (isolation #329) » Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:32 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

@Mastina - is Ythan mech!conf-town in a way i'm forgetting about or did you mean a strong townread?
In post 5824, mastina wrote:
In post 5793, Cephrir wrote:mastina, is this actually what happened in the aforementioned game?
I don't remember the game in question; Hopkirk would need to link it to me for me to remember it.
viewtopic.php?f=84&t=80729
Despite the only other PR getting modkilled night 1 & me having cop results on everyone except Mastina that kind of implicating her, as really likely to be scum, we managed to pull through for the win. Was a pretty good game outside of one particularly painful to read post by my hydra partner that I think should have gotten our slot modkilled (the end of 102 for anyone who hates themselves enough to want to look)

i don't think scum!hop would ever not realize JJH was UB, yeah
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Post Post #5831 (isolation #330) » Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:36 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

what's your scum play look like WF(aAoU)?
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Post Post #5832 (isolation #331) » Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:49 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 686, Winter Flakes wrote:
In post 671, Dannflor wrote:
In post 664, Winter Flakes wrote:the worst (not the alt of "the best") is playing how i expect town him to so he's a prob town guy but I also don't know if id be capable of scumreading him early game anyway given his style so eh?
can you expand on this? I'm curious how you got this from what little he's actually done

I liked his progression on me but I think he knows me well enough that it wasn't super alignment indicative
the thing is i actually haven't seen him play scum game, but i've seen him play quite a few town games, so im kinda predisposed to townreading him

but i will say upon rereading that i might actually disagree with my original take (not sure how much to value this given there isn't a whole heap of content from him yet) based on how he's being a little snipey and the whole "i feel like this interaction was not a valuable use of my time" which seems a little uhh... lowkey LAMISTy I guess? more so than what i'd expect from him? like on reevaluation of his ISO after you asked this i'm actually stuck between reading his tone (which is relatively good imo) and his questioning (which seems a bit P E R F O R M A T I V E and not like they're really going anywhere)

yknow what

imma do it

imma hit him with it for the first time i think ever?

i think i SR the duck

VOTE: The Worst

-Winter Flakes (alt of Uncrowned)
In post 962, Winter Flakes wrote:Hercules ISO is pretty townie to me ngl

turns out my initial thought on him was actually a misread on my behalf as well lmao
these two feel lightly unaligned with flipped scum
'this is the first time i've ever SRing the Worst'. it doesn't really go anywhere though? what was your progression like here?
the hercule one feels like an odd stance to take on a partner 'i was misreading him and didn't like him but now i like him' feels more likely to come from town than scum
In post 3900, Winter Flakes wrote:VOTE: luca
the spirit of dann flows through me
what was your progression towards scum!luca? you had town on them before and i can't see anything about how you got there outside of sheeping dead people - was it just that?
In post 5110, Winter Flakes wrote:
In post 5076, Cephrir wrote:dann went down suspecting titus. dunn went down targeting jjh.
hey don't sheep the dead or you'll get SR
could see this as being genuine emotional pings/less likely from scum
In post 5197, Winter Flakes wrote:
In post 5150, Bell wrote:I posit an alternative.
Given Mastina's current reads and positions now is probably a good time to eliminate her.
She's never getting night killed and she's going to end up in elo. As either alignment she is going to vote incorrectly and lose us the game.
this is kinda yuck
slightly notable as interacting with Bell but Bell's take there feels objectively horrible so meh
In post 5759, Winter Flakes wrote:elim me and then agar and it's probably ggs

i'm really sorry for my lackluster performance i just havne't had the motivation in between other stuff going on irl
why did you decide it was agar here after disliking the wagon on agar before - assuming the Oka flip? were you talking to infinity around this point/what were they thinking?

most of your iso just gave me null vibes tbh & idk if the current 'game should end soon, sorry' is scum or town indicative. i skimmed a lot of posts that felt completely NAI. pls tell me hectic has great meta tells on you?
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Post Post #5833 (isolation #332) » Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:56 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

quick TW wagon before i need to go to a meeting and i see no associatives/nothing worth quoting

idk if i'm going to be able to bring myself to read Oka's 839 post iso. has anyone re-skimmed this? it didn't feel worth the effort yesterday
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Post Post #5834 (isolation #333) » Wed Mar 24, 2021 10:58 pm

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that should say 'iso' rather than 'wagon' and i'm confused
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Post Post #5843 (isolation #334) » Fri Mar 26, 2021 3:00 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Hectic was actually in the scumgame you linked - as legolad. I opened that thread and immediately realized it was the one with all the
dancing
between Hectic and Ydrasse

his thoughts on your meta (having played with you
twice
three times)

- as town you just joke around but that was a meme game and he doesn't know how you play normally in non jokey games
actually he corrected himself afterwards that this was AiTP you were scum in this too and i'm not super confident in it being good meta lol

- as scum you didn't really try to hide your agenda and pushed for the easiest path to victory- specifically setting up mislaunches and pushing LHF (though he TR you for it because he thought it was too scummy to be scum openwolfing and you'd have to be really brave to do that). got called out by alisae eventually though

- he also mentioned you seemed similar to AITP in terms of being memey as town in trust fall. your meme game is strong (that's a massive compliment coming from hectic). i don't remember really seeing it sadly, neither of us think it's AI based on that

we agreed that you seem more passive this game than he/i have experienced. (i'm only slightly offended you didn't meme this game since wow, you've done it twice for hectic). he didn't immediately see parallels to either. conclusions were - not sure how serious you play as town but if you normally play passively that would be a good towntell (i could vaguely see this from what we've played but i need to go back. i think you were more passive at the start of the love game but more active/agressive later on when you got pushed off the top of my head). he isn't sure if being in team mafia/around a lot of strong ego players/people with good town!gamereps might make you less confident in doing your normal scumgame thing though so isn't really sure

then after we had a very short talk because i'm uh... technically working right now... flopz popped in to say 'possibly' in response to me saying if it was in brooklyn in response to him asking if i was memeing when i said i didn't realize hectic forgets to show up to things and (i'm assuming unrelatedly) asking me if i wanted to buy this bridge he had for sale. that was in response to us trying to organise some time to talk about some other stuff. it would have probably ended up being tft

what are your thoughts on titus- more detaily thoughts i mean
have Ydrasse/Kanna been reading?
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Post Post #5844 (isolation #335) » Fri Mar 26, 2021 3:03 am

Post by Hopkirk »

just to clarify i wasn't ready all of the
dancing threads
. that would be creepy. i was only reading the Hectic/Ydrasse dance and i had a good reason or something. like if you don't want everyone to see you
twirling your hair
or
backflipping
then why would you post it in an eventually public thread lol
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Post Post #5845 (isolation #336) » Fri Mar 26, 2021 3:08 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Hopkirk's life updates
Spoiler:
i'm up to three dnd games now. going to be limited what i can do tonight, but sunday got cancelled this week so i should be able to put some more time in then.
a new player joined one of the groups and i said i'd send them a list of NPCs/plot so far. There's something ridiculous like 60-70 named NPCs in about 5*3 hour sessions and i think i might have a problem with just throwing random gnomes into things

Spoiler:
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Post Post #5855 (isolation #337) » Mon Mar 29, 2021 12:10 am

Post by Hopkirk »

... i'll reread Ythan tonight or maybe earlier if work isn't too busy.

I keep getting distracted with stuff. Mainly TfT. Also, Flopz and Hectic/Ydrasse telling me to watch and watch more of/watch a lot more of Hunter X Hunter followed by me watching ~50 episodes of it over the weekend.
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Post Post #5857 (isolation #338) » Mon Mar 29, 2021 2:51 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i was hoping the towncases on ythan were something i could sheep since scum were bussing hercule d1 and ythan would have been super sus if they hammered titus when Bell/Oka were super sus. i feel like scum!ythan hammer on town!titus would still have resulted in bell/oka flips but scum!ythan would have been in a worse spot afterwards?
In post 5297, Ythan wrote:Can someone walk me through why Bell's conversation with his team is bad when it's just a paraphrase?
(votes were 4-3 for Bell/Titus at this point)

@ythan - why did you go for Bell over Titus in the end there? was it because you brought the scumcase i made on them there? i can't tell your motivation behind it, what was your read progression on bell like?

--

on a iso reread it's 99% i have no idea how to read ythan because nothing about the tone feels AI. there's some good anti-associatives with Oka though like:
In post 2656, OkaPoka wrote:maybe ythan doesnt need energy to angrypost but i still feel like being mean to other people is something that does not come is a natural thing you know

like you have to be motivated in some sense to start being a dick

if ur in thread just shitposting i mean its probably fun to mess around, angryposting is not inherently fun. who sits around in a voluntary game and just spends the thread shitting on other people while not doing anything themselves. like???
In post 3775, OkaPoka wrote:like do you not see how ythan is just quoting every post you make and making a snide comment

that's like 90% of his iso today

meh im going to log off maybe im going nuts
In post 3776, Ythan wrote:If you're not going to respond to my posts stop wasting everyone's time and let a replacement answer for you.
In post 4118, Ythan wrote:If anyone cares at all I don't think I can intentionally fake toxicity against players I know are town and I feel it would be unethical and destructive to try.
i like to think that ythan/oka don't fake this as scum? especially 4118 (although it's aimed more at A50 there's some other Ythan/Oka conflicts). 2656 from Oka there is the strongest non-associative other than that which i'm leaning against thinking scum makes about a partner. some others, but didn't feel worth quoting.

ythan being high up in dunn's vig pool could explain a dunn kill. also applies to WF, but slightly less as lower down. makes less sense in the scum!ceph world
although dunn says later in the iso after voting/unvoting ythan that he doesn't want to kill ythan at that point so idk if this matters
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Post Post #5858 (isolation #339) » Mon Mar 29, 2021 2:54 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5856, Winter Flakes wrote:Ooo I just started HxH the other day. Hope it's gooooood. If 50 eps in a weekend is any indication I'm assuming it will be
It's pretty good so far, i've been told it gets better with each arc (mostly), and Flopz is guessing i'll finish it in about a week.

back to work i go feeling slightly less guilty about mafia and slightly guilty about posting at mafia (but it's not busy right now and the last few weeks have been veeeery busy so i'm ok with it)
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Post Post #5859 (isolation #340) » Mon Mar 29, 2021 2:55 am

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slightly guilty about posting at work*
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Post Post #5863 (isolation #341) » Mon Mar 29, 2021 12:22 pm

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thinking about it in the back of my head over the evening, agar would definitely have continued shitpushing me and scum would have been in a good position to take advantage of that then blame agar and push there if scum!ythan hammered town!titus. think that hammer is town indicative in the end yeah

from what i was looking at earlier i think i'm TRing Ythan outside of that too based on the emotional tells/interactions with Oka/A50 reading as genuine.
hectic townreads him due to
- his reaction to being wagoned d1 being 'kind of toxic' in a way that would be crossing a line as scum
- his attitude in regard to A50 (and in general but most notably regarding A50) being snide/self-righteous in a way that is much more likely to come from town
also thinks scum Ythan would have been more likely to hammer Titus than Bell

We're going to try and have a voice chat sometime when we're both free and maybe this time it won't turn into 'just one game of tft' followed by 3-4 games of tft before we realize 'ah shit, this is pretty addictive.' he needs to reread stuff but is currently leaning towards WF (aAoU)

i also spoke with flopz and he said just to use my unlimited shot dayvig to dayvig every other slot. i explained that i didn't have an unlimited shot dayvig and that he just laughed at me and made a bunch of mean comments about 'what kind of loser doesn't have an unlimited shot dayvig'

on a completely unrelated note, up to episode 65 of HxH and he just keeps called me stupid for watching the dub rather than subs. apparently i'm missing out on a lot of the emotion conveyed by the voices

where i'm currently at:
i'm happy with Mastina/Ythan as town here
Titus i need to reread to make sure i'm happy with her. i think i am but i should review it
Ceph/WF both give me some bad feelings with a lean towards WF i think
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Post Post #5884 (isolation #342) » Wed Mar 31, 2021 10:22 pm

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somewhat average post incoming in an average timeframe. ideally tomorrow when i'm not working/busy in the evening.

Hectic promised he'd save a girl's brothers from slavers yesterday if she aced her 'Viral Bone Plagues' test at school and i'm 80% sure he has no intention of actually trying to do it. That was pretty messed up Hectic.
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Post Post #5892 (isolation #343) » Sat Apr 03, 2021 9:40 am

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WF(aaou)>Ceph>Titus is where i'm currently at and a few days of skimming haven't really changed that. unless i decide to torture myself trying to touch ceph/oka's isos then i'll probably hammer tomorrow. that way it'll be Easter, so if WF (aAoU) is town then he'll just come back to life a few days later

@WF (aAoU)- how are the rest of your team currently leaning? looking at the vote switch from Ceph to Titus

up to episode 109 of HxH. Flopz overhyped it but it's still good
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Post Post #5903 (isolation #344) » Sun Apr 04, 2021 9:55 pm

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I saw there was an extension before deadline
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Post Post #5916 (isolation #345) » Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:07 am

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i don't think you've tried to engage with me today?
why'd you request an extension btw
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Post Post #5917 (isolation #346) » Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:11 am

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i intend to vote before i go to sleep
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Post Post #5923 (isolation #347) » Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:52 am

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Is being informed of the setup a thing? I skimmed the last few setups with them a week or two back and they're typically 1-2 roles or a mechanic. Only time I've seen informed be all the roles is when I've personally run it off-site. Where did you see it being a thing?
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Post Post #5925 (isolation #348) » Tue Apr 06, 2021 6:40 am

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so i'm guessing it's not 'previous games' or 'me saying i've run it offsite'
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Post Post #5932 (isolation #349) » Tue Apr 06, 2021 12:10 pm

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VOTE: Winterflakes

i sleep
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Post Post #5937 (isolation #350) » Thu Apr 08, 2021 9:26 pm

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I think you mean 'oh god this this is still going'
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Post Post #5946 (isolation #351) » Fri Apr 09, 2021 10:07 am

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i was really hoping i wouldn't have to reread your iso Ceph. can you point me to any good bits?
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Post Post #5951 (isolation #352) » Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:16 am

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In post 5948, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5946, Hopkirk wrote:i was really hoping i wouldn't have to reread your iso Ceph. can you point me to any good bits?
every post i make is a masterpiece
In post 5947, Ythan wrote:I hope the dead chat is having fun. Sigh I wonder what they're up to in there.
i don't think team mafia has dead chats
how do you imagine me responding to this...

let's see if i can get through a 600 post monster iso
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Post Post #5953 (isolation #353) » Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:49 am

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Page 1/4
In post 194, Cephrir wrote:
In post 188, AGar wrote:
In post 183, Cephrir wrote:i rolled town this time and i'm so relieved
:igmeou:
agar

im free

i dont have to care whether everyone townreads me or not anymore

i am awash in the energy of liberation
there's quite a few things early on that feel kind of Lamist in the same way i'm not liking your posts today (albeit there aren't many)
In post 512, Cephrir wrote:
In post 474, Hopkirk wrote:what's your read on herc?
Meh

I liked his opening but it seems like everyone else hated it so I'm just sort of filing it away and nothing else from him has made me feel any kind of way
would probably expect scum!ceph to have an opinion on Herc here? Oka & TheWorst are voting Hercule at this point so i'd probably expect other scum to be voting against the Herc wagon rather than being 'not sure'? with Ceph later on starting to push Herc somewhat then it could be a 100% bus i guess, but idk how i feel about that
In post 517, Cephrir wrote:
In post 515, Hopkirk wrote:
In post 511, Cephrir wrote:
In post 474, Hopkirk wrote:what do you like on a50?
He feels more at ease and is actually posting and playing mafia somewhat. I just came off a scumgame with him where he basically lurked

Could certainly be playing better this game though
do you think A50 would hard lurk in team mafia after finishing a scum game where he lurked & having been active as town in part 1? this feels like it isn't super useful unless A50 hates scum to the extent he just won't play it
i feel like he's trying to be overly at east. the tone feels different/fit-in-ee
he might. i don't understand the guy.

you seem determined to interact with me, what's with that?
i remember disliking this pushback. felt overly hostile rather than actually asking a question? don't really see what you're getting out of it but this also feels like a personality tell, eh
In post 853, Cephrir wrote:
In post 843, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:ABHAHAHAAHHAHAHAAHHAHA

Ceph.

CEPH.

He's scum complaining about being caught for the wrong reasons.

It's open now. He's upset not because he's town being pressured, but because he's scum and he doesn't think he should be suspected for what he's done so far.

You can see it right? It's fucking obvious.
yeah, i can see it.

i'm also hyper aware that voting him here is what i'd desperately want to do to get your attention off me if i were scum here, and that this post is probably the exact post i would make to try to get away with it.

VOTE: hercule

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
i think 'if i was scum i'd do x'/self awareness like this is a slight towntell based on past experience with it (mostly over video mafia)
In post 1102, Cephrir wrote:let it be known i don't have any confident reads at this time but i felt like making this list to help myself sort where i'm at and also decided to post it for townie brownies

townleans in no particular order

mastina- ugh. this may change in later days as i feel i can read her better then
x- even amidst auro's posts, he has thoughts and appears to give a shit sometimes
dannflor- i thought his antivibe at the start of the game was +town on further thought. he's had a lot of analysis that felt real and i mostly agreed with. but he could be a deepwolf :3
jjh- just seems generally unworried about stuff
dunnstral- his posts from unvoting hercule to voting him again make my heart go pitter pat
a50- vibing

weaker townleans

IV- he's weirdposting for sure but it doesn't seem self conscious to me, quite the opposite. i am interested in how he responds to titus' post above though.
winter flakes- he seems to be in a better mood than last game, and i guess that could be a bad thing? but im finding his posts followable
LLD- i'm not going to try to explain this it's just how i feel right now and is very much subject to reevaluation

never mind, this actually isn't too many townreads, it just felt like it

meh pile

titus- hasn't done much yet but i'm not excited by her jumping in with colored vote counts and also not doing much with them
agar- can't remember much from him
oka- not a brilliant ball of light, sorry you set high standards
dgb- the only reason this isn't in my scum pile is because attacking LLD seems high risk low reward. but seems more agenda driven than last time.
ythan- i am willing to policy elim this dude as he seems to have no intention of being useful at any point

scum candidates

hopkirk- i want to vote him and i don't know why, i should reread this
the worst- i felt like his few posts didn't do much/were picking at stuff just to pick at stuff, but i am posting this without going back to look at them so this could make 0 sense
hercule- reaction to pressure is scummy imo, although yes i can see the flip side here.
this is objectively a very good reads list since 2/3 of the bottom pool are flipped scum, and if Ceph is town then the 5 in the meh pool has 1 flipped scum and 1 unflipped scum
i hate that it's followed shortly afterwards by the worst possible vote there/starting a push on me there given his other two scum candidates were scum
In post 1156, Cephrir wrote:just vote me already you're clearly building up to it

VOTE: hopkirk

now it'll be omgus :]
In post 1183, Cephrir wrote:if it helps to pretend im a humorless dipshit, you can

i'm not, but maybe your "humor" is just too "subtle" for me
In post 1186, Cephrir wrote:ok, i don't think you need an excuse to not give flopz' reads because you could easily just not post about him at all

i do partly agree with his second paragraph that posting that accomplishes nothing, and i also didn't enjoy the inflammatory element. i don't think i ever said "i 100% agree with a50's reasoning here" only that it was weird to be on the same side as him but ok
In post 1199, Cephrir wrote:
In post 1194, Hopkirk wrote:
In post 1186, Cephrir wrote:ok, i don't think you need an excuse to not give flopz' reads because you could easily just not post about him at all

i do partly agree with his second paragraph that posting that accomplishes nothing, and i also didn't enjoy the inflammatory element. i don't think i ever said "i 100% agree with a50's reasoning here" only that it was weird to be on the same side as him but ok
and since you made a post after that one that said you didn't think i was having as much fun this game i'm
sure
you're sincere in scumreading me for having some shitposting mixed in just like in EVERY FUCKING GAME I PLAY. you're scumreading it both happening and not happening at the same time which makes this blatantly bad faith
there's shitposting and then there's shitposting that has the potential to become toxic and i think the difference should be obvious
oh yeah all this dumb stuff happened and i'd call it really sus if multiple people also pushing it hadn't already flipped town...
i still don't get the perspective that you're arguing here? it's also hard to judge objectively... hey @Ythan?
In post 1493, Cephrir wrote:i'm fully aware that i look like an LLD partner right now but i am not going to let that stop me from pointing out that the game state is completely irrational.
this feels weird but it's hard to put into words
In post 1608, Cephrir wrote:Quick, IV! Make another post where you pretend to be scum! That will throw them off for sure!

I enjoy ur thoughtful walls Danny pls feel free to do them as much as u like
you have a lot of snark that feels like overconfidence in stuff compared to where it feels like you are outside of it. is that a bad sign
In post 1711, Cephrir wrote:
In post 1708, hercule wrote:the case for scum!LLD, to me, is:

1. enters the thread with sole purpose of discrediting mastina and "eliminate players in inverse order of her preference"

2. then decides to back up this idea by saying just that my entrance was garbage

3. re-iterates that my entrance was garbage multiple times in order to get votes on me

4. rallies the thread to vote me, still with no evidence

(4.5?) big ego post about their scumgame

5. when i finally respond to her like, "ok, enough's enough let's talk" she's just like "nah lol you're caught scum"

6. when i'm like "ok well that's bullshit" she's like "lmaoooo such a scum reaction now my vote is, like, even more justified"

7. when a counterwagon forms on her, she AtEs and leaves the thread (also like, can't tell if she's mad that more people aren't voting me despite her not seeming to be sure or just mad that she's being voted)

i'm aware this is a slightly humorously uncharitable framing of her game but it also feels like a somewhat reasonable one
1 is definitely not a scumtell. 2 also sounds like a pretty ordinary thing to do. you are currently townreading mastina for doing 4, and 4.5 is something you also have done. 5 and 6 sound like what dgb is doing too. multiple people have already said they think 7 is town indicative.

most of this i don't really see as connected to a scum agenda either and you haven't really done so here -- you've only summarized events
i feel like i should have thoughts here but i have no idea how to read your interactions surrounding herc given two scum were pushing it
you feel kind of off given you had herc at the bottom 3 of your reads lists followed by votes on me/DGB instead of flipping to herc
In post 1779, Cephrir wrote:VOTE: DGB

I guess my vote flopping wasn't a scumtell after all, I just can't resist doing what oka/dunn/dann are doing
why was Oka here? your last read on him was the meh/scum-lean pile and there's no indication that you liked him more. how did you move from sus -> sheepable here?
similar for dunn but less notable since dunn wasn't scum but oka was
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Post Post #5955 (isolation #354) » Sat Apr 10, 2021 6:14 am

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p2 - (idk if i'll be able to do p3 today)
In post 2365, Cephrir wrote:it's because oka's present and understandable and also cute and we have few enough people like that that we'd be making the game less fun by killing them

i don't especially think bell is scum yet; i also don't want to kill his slot today anymore because ive been told he is an easy read with a little time.

i think ythan is a good wagon because frankly i don't know what's going on in this game and nothing of value will be lost if he flips town. i am having difficulty generating and maintaining any scumreads i can feel good about, so why not aim for the "will always be null" pile. i guess i no longer think LLD is the worst yeet of all time because it would provide a wealth of information, but i don't know that i trust most of you to usefully parse that information and dannflor is probably getting shot tonight if she flips town and that will make me very sad.
i was also told Bell is an easy read by Hectic and (by the end of p2) your progression on him feels weird in terms of sussing him the entire time then pushing the Titus wagon instead of the Bell wagon when they were dueling later and i'm really confused
In post 2371, Cephrir wrote:
In post 2366, Hopkirk wrote:except you can parse the meaning perfectly fine if you're not trying to pick at a single word?
everyone knows which wagon came first. scum!hop would have no reason to lie about the order. likewise, as town i don't lie about it
so why's it AI? why does scum!hop say something he knows is untrue when it isn't even relevant to the point he's pushing or any scum agenda?
this kind of nit picking the wording of something comes from scum a lot more than town
i want other people to weigh in on this point. this is scummy af
even though i still suspect you, yes i don't think agar's point here is very compelling and it is the sort of refuge in logic thing that scum classically love to pick at
towny perspective on the agar/me interactions now that in retrospect it was a TvT and you were pushing me somewhat but didn't try to take advantage of agar's pushing

In post 2526, Cephrir wrote:
In post 2523, Ythan wrote:accrual clown
Image
idk if i made a comment like this at the time but

Dr - Clown Expenses
Cr - Accrued Expenses
In post 3366, Cephrir wrote:Dann's corpse to me says titus, Luca, bell. I want to give bell more time.
bell progression to note for later
In post 3505, Cephrir wrote:I subscribe to a school of thought that scum very rarely if ever engage in misrepresentation on purpose, and because of that I'm not seeing scum in either you or agar at this time even without doing a deep dive into the argument to decide who I think is right (I dont care who is right)
town slight as above
In post 4049, Cephrir wrote:
In post 4045, Xtoxm wrote:ythan reaction to that is really towny
yes, i see that
good ythan progression consistent i remember form here
In post 4209, Cephrir wrote:
In post 4200, Bell wrote:
In post 4198, Cephrir wrote:unrelated to the above, VOTE: Bell
What is it related to?
Well, I've been told you're an easy sort, yet I am thus far unimpressed, so.
need to see where this changed

(have to go now but will do next 2 pages tomorrow)
current vibe feels like sus from play but towny from associatives except from that one wagon
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Post Post #5974 (isolation #355) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 7:44 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5962, Titus wrote:@hopkirk, you spend a lot of time propping up hercule early. Why?
i'm a sucker for really overt self meta. i've definitely brought this up before. i pretty much locktowned him this post 15 posts into the game and never looked back because it felt like something that doesn't come from scum EVER. factored into my push on LLD somewhat. i don't plan to rely on the tell again
viewtopic.php?p=12557883#p12557883

In post 5966, Titus wrote:Cephrir looks 1000% better by the votes so him encouraging me to look elsewhere is actually a good look for him. Scum!him likely would have played up the fact he looked better at least on day one rather than bitching about me saying the votes tell the story.
have you done the VCA? i'm assuming you have from this and i don't really get it
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Post Post #5975 (isolation #356) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 7:56 am

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p3 & splitting it up since it's easier to add my thoughts in
In post 4505, Cephrir wrote:VOTE: Luca
In post 4518, Cephrir wrote:I can only think that's a scum flip.
didn't get the progression other than it being a hammer.
Luca wagon was Bell + Oka & Titus/Ceph + Bell and Oka pushed Mastina the next day which means it was the full scumteam busing trying to go for towncred. i think this makes more sense with Titus!scum rather than Ceph scum because Ceph's progression on Luca doesn't feel good enough to have been set up with the intent that it would be looked at afterwards + scum!titus would explain Bell/Oka's reluctance to jump away from Mastina to Titus until the last minute. it feels weird they'd hover on Mastina until the very end when Bell is getting pushed there
In post 4738, Cephrir wrote:My desire to murder bell is weakening.
i don't think this ever got explained?
In post 4774, Cephrir wrote:I think Keely is capable of processing the idea that we shouldn't elim someone who may be cleared the next day. He's a smart guy. About half of the points you made resonated with me and Hopkirk has been on my suspect list since day 1 where he remains. I'm hardly the person to bitch at about this.
stuff resonated from agar? didn't you say you had different reasons/didn't resonate with Agar before this
In post 4870, Cephrir wrote:Agar is at E-2. I do not trust most of the players voting him to have good reads, nor am I satisfied with most of their hop ons. I am personally town reading him and have had fairly good reads so far and also everyone agrees I'm town. Idk feelsbadman.
i don't really see what agenda scum!ceph would be actually pushing here? like he's against the Agar vote that's being pushed by town, he wants to give WF more time, he doesn't want to push me despite saying he'd SR me there, and he isn't pushing anyone that hard? i don't really get the sense that Ceph is pushing for anything here, and he's specifically avoiding the easier wagons that he could be pushing which doesn't massively make sense from a scum!ceph perspective unless he's just letting town implode + trying to let town implode following the Luca exile mega-bus... but that doesn't feel super compelling?
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Post Post #5977 (isolation #357) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:04 am

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In post 4888, Cephrir wrote:Right now my list of possible scum is something like titus, mastina, hopkirk (off limits today), jjh and you, and while I don't have the massive hubris to think I've caught everyone with that list, getting a handle on you would be helpful in narrowing things down
Bell dropping out of this + being null/5th from the bottom in the readslist shortly afterwards feels like a bad progression & really makes sense with the idea of scum!you trying to move Bell/Oka up in your reads following the Luca wagon.

you mention later that 'dueling wagons aren't uncommon' in response to Titus/Bell dueling wagons but don't bring it up at all after Bell/Luca wagons as far as i can tell? how was that?
In post 4912, Cephrir wrote:can it just be titus mastina and jjh? my life would be so much easier if that were the case.
In post 5071, Cephrir wrote:I reread winter flakes (alt of uncrowned). It didnt make me feel that much. He's had a few takes and swings (like a read flip on hercule) that I dunno I maybe kinda like?

I think I want to vote either titus or jjh. I may be reading dead town again for inspiration.
In post 5119, Cephrir wrote:Why are you not at all interested in a titus vote? What has she done that is so impressive to you, without using the word mastina?
In post 5182, Cephrir wrote:viewtopic.php?p=12543958#p12543958

have we seen anything like this from her this game, truly? idk
In post 5258, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5254, innocentvillager wrote:this isn't the obvtown bell i remember but i do get glimpses of his towniness and he said he's more busy than usual this game

so im kind of conflicted on if i just like his playstyle or i am seeing real signs of him being town
this - i would rather kill titus today, she is scum
In post 5285, Cephrir wrote:you point that out yet i do not see your vote on titus!
actually scrap what i was saying in my last post because Ceph was pushing Titus harder than i remembered after i stopped to make the last post which is what scum!ceph's agenda would be
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Post Post #5981 (isolation #358) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:15 am

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In post 5713, Cephrir wrote:next i will have to reread oka even though doing this basically never helps me. it is tradition
did you read Oka? i'm assuming not since it didn't come up, but it feels like you decided not to since this was a month ago and there's no indications you thought about doing it again?
In post 5750, Cephrir wrote:i can't wait to lose this game when titus yeets my obvtown ass in elo because bussing isn't possible.
appealing to titus here seems kind of weird while also shading titus?
In post 5790, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5788, Hopkirk wrote:sorry that should read @WF(aAoU)

ceph is giving vibes of playing towards an endgame based on the initial posting today + on reluctance on agar yesterday
I knew someone would say that and I put it to you that lol shut up. i can read writing on the wall and it's obvious to me that two of you, titus and winter will be happy to vote me tomorrow despite how painfully bleeding obvtown i have been the entire game. i do expect this sort of thing from titus, of course, because she is going to catch me with her sick vca as usual (spoilers: i vote a lot, so vca always concludes that i am scum because it's fucking stupid). i'm realistic enough to plan for that.

I have been townreading agar all game and now we're going to try to make me look bad for being right about it? cool.
i think i'm still getting these vibes, especially from you shading me a lot over the last few days without going any further than slight shade
In post 5798, Cephrir wrote:with the exception of last night's very obvious kill, every shot in this game has been on someone who was townreading me strongly, and there were always other valid options
i should check this again, but i skim looked at this at the time and remember thinking it seemed to line up and be +town
In post 5872, Cephrir wrote:like ive been out here spilling my emotions and working my butt off and i'm not really keen on losing to someone who did jack shit fuck all because there happened to be competing scum wagons or smth.
i don't really get your general reaction to titus over the last few days here
In post 5913, Cephrir wrote:what scum ATE has been happening in this game what are you even talking about.
i don't think you ever answered this @Titus and i don't remember this (unless you mean Oka siding with Agar when a bunch of people were pulling toxic shitpushes on me where they were saying 'Hop is either scum or a shitty person' or something)
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Post Post #5982 (isolation #359) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:17 am

Post by Hopkirk »

lol, you mentioned the Oka iso thing just before i did there
In post 5980, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5977, Hopkirk wrote:you mention later that 'dueling wagons aren't uncommon' in response to Titus/Bell dueling wagons but don't bring it up at all after Bell/Luca wagons as far as i can tell? how was that?
idk, i guess it didn't come up?

the idea was also more on my mind because i witnessed dueling scum wagons happening in warehouse 13
fair
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Post Post #5987 (isolation #360) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:25 am

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hectic thinks it's probably titus but he didn't explain why beyond saying he needed to read up

flopz thinks i'm a bad person for watching anime dubs instead of subs (HxH was an 8/10 for me, finished it. also hit diamond in tft which was pretty nice. good ol' massive timesinks that i've spent a while on over the last month)
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Post Post #5989 (isolation #361) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:28 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 5985, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5983, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5981, Hopkirk wrote:did you read Oka? i'm assuming not since it didn't come up, but it feels like you decided not to since this was a month ago and there's no indications you thought about doing it again?
i started to but gave up after about 1 iso page. i think there might be evidence i did this somewhere?
yep,
noted
i don't really get how you could make that mistake from either alignment (starting at 5k posts in and not realizing) if it was intended as a full iso so i'm wondering if you were really tired at the time...
definitely impossible to genuinely make the mistake if you're scum together
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Post Post #5990 (isolation #362) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 8:40 am

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In post 5988, Cephrir wrote:flopz has a point. i am also a bad person who watches dubs. if the dub is bad, i just... don't watch the show

my gut has ythan as more likely scum than you right now. that probably isn't great lol.
didn't you have ythan as locktown? has that changed?

i also suggested 'what if you get two monitors, put one anime on one and listen to a dub and watch it with one eye, then put a subbed anime on the other one with the sound off and watch/read it with the other eye' and flopz told me to kill myself. he's a pretty opinionated guy on anime. although if you ask him about his favourite ships then he'll talk about them for hours lol
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Post Post #5995 (isolation #363) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:10 am

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where was Titus not knowing who Bell replaced?
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Post Post #5998 (isolation #364) » Mon Apr 12, 2021 10:19 am

Post by Hopkirk »

how does that part of her play compare to the game you/Mastina were discussing?
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Post Post #6008 (isolation #365) » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:21 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i also had a scumgame end recently, for the first time in years, but i lost (Titus vs Nancy).
i'm kind of surprised Titus hasn't referenced it (either saying similar or different) since she was the scum stump there, so should have one of the better pictures of what scum!hop (SaraharaS in that game) current looks like in a forum setting

In post 6001, Titus wrote:
In post 5981, Hopkirk wrote:In post 5913, Cephrir wrote:
what scum ATE has been happening in this game what are you even talking about.


i don't think you ever answered this @Titus and i don't remember this (unless you mean Oka siding with Agar when a bunch of people were pulling toxic shitpushes on me where they were saying 'Hop is either scum or a shitty person' or something)
I think I was just feeling frustrated from Warehouse 13 and Nancy Drew v Titus. I don't believe any flipped scum engaged in it.

Any argument about you two doing it would be circular.

You toxic flailed. Therefore, you're scum.
Why is the flail toxic? Because you're scum, repeat.

So it's a bad argument.
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Post Post #6009 (isolation #366) » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:23 am

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@ythan - can you link it? i'm not seeing it by glancing at your post history and i want to see if i agree with ceph's assessment
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Post Post #6012 (isolation #367) » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:28 am

Post by Hopkirk »

Ythan why does that iso have content in it?
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Post Post #6013 (isolation #368) » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:31 am

Post by Hopkirk »

feels noticeably more aggressive but the content dropped off as the game progressed
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Post Post #6014 (isolation #369) » Wed Apr 14, 2021 11:31 am

Post by Hopkirk »

i only skimmed for tone though. how would you describe your scumgame?
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Post Post #6020 (isolation #370) » Thu Apr 15, 2021 4:08 am

Post by Hopkirk »

What empesis?
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Post Post #6036 (isolation #371) » Fri Apr 16, 2021 12:07 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

will try and check in more tomorrow. me/hectic are leaning towards Titus>Ceph atm but definitely not super confident on that. started off more sus on ceph but that's gradually been changing as i reread

hectic thinks ceph's tone is towny + it feels like he's putting effort in to try and solve/win while Titus is mostly just here (and he feels Titus is more motivated as town based on ~10 games but not 100%). he plans to read more later but i might need to force him
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Post Post #6052 (isolation #372) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:55 am

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it's never 25%. you're assuming town vote first 100% of the town which is wrong. the odds work out the same and (https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?ti ... lating_EVs) made by our glorious mod (thanks for all your contributions to the site implosion :))explains why a 3p lylo does even out to 1/3 instead of 1/4. if, in practice, scum vote first at an above 1/3 rate then the 3p lylo comes out better than random then results are better for town rather than worse.

i'm fine with going for a full clear on ythan. i'd prefer to do it with me/ceph voting titus on principle, even when i'm pretty sure there's no normal roles that would mean it matters

VOTE: Titus
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Post Post #6055 (isolation #373) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:47 am

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Really? You can't see why scum would EVER vote first in a 3p lylo?

Or are you saying 'here' to mean a 4p lylo when I've explicitly said 3p and linked a long explanation on why.
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Post Post #6065 (isolation #374) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:58 am

Post by Hopkirk »

UNVOTE: Titus
In post 6056, Titus wrote:
In post 6055, Hopkirk wrote:Really? You can't see why scum would EVER vote first in a 3p lylo?

Or are you saying 'here' to mean a 4p lylo when I've explicitly said 3p and linked a long explanation on why.
I mean in this game in 3p lylo, I don't see why scum would vote first given the hesitation. I can't rule it out but unless scum felt confident that town would mishammer. I don't see that happening here with both of you public waffling.
so you're planning to wait until someone puts a vote down in lylo then locktown them? we both know that's unrealistic. read the article i linked because it explains things as concisely as i can and it's starting to feel like you're ignoring what i'm saying and pretending to be convinced

what 'waffling' are you talking about here?
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Post Post #6067 (isolation #375) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 10:22 am

Post by Hopkirk »

that's literally factored into the model. it's wifomy whether or not people mention it

none of this is making me feel better about you because i don't think it's AI
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Post Post #6070 (isolation #376) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:27 am

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your math is wrong and the way you're pushing it doesn't make sense as either alignment as i said above. idk why you're pushing it as me and Ceph having bad reactions by saying your math is wrong because if you're town that's still 1 town telling you you're wrong

'you just need a reason to scumread me' is a terrible take here given i've made it clear what my current read is prior to this and i've said this hasn't affected my read outside of it correlating with my current issues with your slot of not doing things that feel meaningful/solvy. imo scum don't intentionally get theory wrong and the way you're presenting it feels at odds with you not doing anything else. like your reads don't seem to have a clear basis here and i'm assuming there's more coming?

it's not an appeal to authority, it's an explanation of how the math/theory works. funnily enough, if we took what you said and assume that believe scum never vote first then it's actually a 50-50 because first vote is from town and it's 50-50 if they put it on scum (and it tends back towards 1/3 based on what extent you think scum actually would vote first. anything below 1/3 = in practice you should vote the person who didn't vote first. that's how equilibrium work, which means you don't actually think that scum wouldn't vote first since otherwise you'd have just be committing to voting whoever didn't vote first which results in a 50-50 for town you as either they voted town!you and lost, or voted scum and you'd hammer it).
in real life it isn't a 75-25 if people are vaguely aware of statistics. and it's not even a valid debate taken outside the 3p context. an alternative/more obvious way to get exactly a 1/3 btw is if you get that by everyone agreeing to vote whoever Ythan says (because a scum-lethal doesn't go through with town!ythan not voting scum in 4p because anything without town!ythan inherently becomes a tie or a town lethal).

'breaking the game in the town's favor' actually annoys me because it feels like you're trolling me here
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Post Post #6072 (isolation #377) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:04 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

- the voting pattern what is there to comment on? i thought LLD was likely to be bad and voted there. that's basically my d1. that was it as far as i'm aware. i didn't get what you liked about ceph's voting record and didn't realize you were done because it didn't feel like you were done looking through voting records. outside of 6033/6034 which don't really leave anywhere to engage?

- idk why Murdercat thinks what they do and it was a line? if you've actually discussed it with them then detail it more if you want me to weigh in one it?

- i didn't realize 'was scum!hop faking an interaction with Bell' was a question so much as you thinking outloud, because it wasn't a fake interaction so what am i ever going to say in response to that?
- i've looked back and can't see a post you make (only looking for quotes of ceph) where you mention anything about his tone. can you quote these?
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Post Post #6073 (isolation #378) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:05 pm

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what are you begging me to interactive with because if you point out what you've posted you wanted me to interact with then i will, but i don't see it?
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Post Post #6075 (isolation #379) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:17 pm

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i don't see those post numbers quoted anywhere in your iso. where did you mention them (i'm assuming these are some of your notable issues with his tone)?
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Post Post #6078 (isolation #380) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:26 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

it literally isn't gamebreaking...

---

i went through all of Ceph's iso and posted all my thoughts and a lot of points where i wanted a second opinion and you didn't engage with any of it. did you not find anything worth commenting on/discussing including the multiple half-questions (the thing where i add a ? at the end of the sentence to indicate i'm unsure/want other thoughts)? i don't really get how you're saying i'm not engaging with you when you haven't interacted with (a lot more) of my stuff?
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Post Post #6079 (isolation #381) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:28 pm

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i didn't get a sense of ceph flailing or i'd have commented on it. can you be more explicit about what bits you didn't like?
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Post Post #6084 (isolation #382) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:38 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

can you quote what triggered your interest, because i don't really see flailing

In post 5870, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5868, Winter Flakes wrote:is that *sniff sniff*

fake frustration i smell

just kidding my sense of smell is terrible

unless... *eye emojis toward ceph*
I would clearly be genuinely frustrated here regardless of my alignment.
In post 5872, Cephrir wrote:like ive been out here spilling my emotions and working my butt off and i'm not really keen on losing to someone who did jack shit fuck all because there happened to be competing scum wagons or smth.
In post 5939, Cephrir wrote:It's time for everyone's favorite game show, pin the tail on the warthog
there's some posts that felt a little tonally frustrated but i usually either can't read/townread emotion & i'm not entirely sure what you're seeing?
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Post Post #6085 (isolation #383) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:39 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 6083, Titus wrote:Can you tell me, what specifically, you want a second opinion on?
essentially any comments on stuff you agree with/have a different take on/have thoughts either way where i wasn't sure how to read it?
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Post Post #6086 (isolation #384) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:42 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

in the first post for example, stuff like this was all stuff where discussion (outside of hectic) would be useful?

-'would probably expect scum!ceph to have an opinion on Herc here? Oka & TheWorst are voting Hercule at this point so i'd probably expect other scum to be voting against the Herc wagon rather than being 'not sure'? with Ceph later on starting to push Herc somewhat then it could be a 100% bus i guess, but idk how i feel about that'

-'i still don't get the perspective that you're arguing here? it's also hard to judge objectively... hey @Ythan?'

-'i feel like i should have thoughts here but i have no idea how to read your interactions surrounding herc given two scum were pushing it
you feel kind of off given you had herc at the bottom 3 of your reads lists followed by votes on me/DGB instead of flipping to herc'
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Post Post #6087 (isolation #385) » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:44 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

i'm going to sleep because it's close to 1 but i can be around tomorrow morning
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Post Post #6094 (isolation #386) » Sun Apr 18, 2021 9:59 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I'm not sure what you mean 'take a guess at it' when i've explained my thought on it?
Do you think Hopkirk's D1 can ever come from town? He defended hercule, never voted any of the scum when they were serious wagons.
this is an incredibly weird take especially when you're saying you're unsure about things?
why are you acting like pushing LLD>Herc is scum indicative, let alone the over that over the top phrasing

what didn't you like about the 'request for a sheep' that i'm pretty sure is taken out of context
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Post Post #6095 (isolation #387) » Sun Apr 18, 2021 10:06 am

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weird in that it's out of line with the perspective that you're presenting
unless you're phrasing it to the extreme as a question which i can also see - but if that's the case then why are you phrasing it as over the top
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Post Post #6099 (isolation #388) » Tue Apr 20, 2021 9:41 am

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i'm not sure how much time i'm going to have to post in the next few days
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Post Post #6114 (isolation #389) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 7:01 am

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VOTE: Titus
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Post Post #6115 (isolation #390) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 7:05 am

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me and hectic are also leaning towards Titus and i don't want to spend another two weeks rereading/questioning myself
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Post Post #6135 (isolation #391) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 11:15 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I'm leaning Titus scum here and I think I'd be happy with a hammer. I'll be sleeping soon. I'm good with Ythan voting to confirm ceph as town/scum by virtue of hammering/not hammering
In post 6124, Cephrir wrote:where my head is at prior to isoing hop & titus

hopkirk:
+interactions with oka
+generally has been present and scumhunting all game
-claim is ridiculous
-some points made by agar, probably
-response to jjh investigating him and lack of snarky comments towards me for continually focusing on his role... maybe this is dumb but i feel like he does not want to talk about this any more than absolutely necessary
-if this is scum and i lose to a fake vanilla cop enabler, spiffeh will meme-suplex me off hell in a cell 18 ft through an announcer's table into the shadow realm, where i will live out the rest of my days wallowing in shame

titus:
+oka preferred to vote her over bell
-has not really been trying until today, and has not shown much town motivation through the game
-oka did not seem to care that much how bell vs titus turned out (and in fact kept trying to push mastina instead)
I kind of wish I'd claimed the day before since I'm aware (and hectic mentioned) it's less convincing after the death, despite my softing. Was trying to sort your shade of the role and eventually ended up with nai/maybe townlean.
It's hilarious this is happened the game after my last game prior to team mafia where someone (I think pooky) was saying post game 'hop, if you get a role like weak loveriser again then just lie and pretend you didn't.'

I didn't claim in response to the JJH investigation because scum killing me there wouldn't have been bad + there was no good reason to claim that I could see. I discussed it with hectic at the time, but idk if that was over chat or over voice and our discord literally has over 20k messages (we were using it as a general chat because we're irl friends)

Agar's pushes were objectively terrible. There's multiple flipped town who agree that his stuff was attacking my personality/playstyle and not my play.

If you like shameless self meta that I can't technically back up without doxing people- i hate bussing. I play a ton of video mafia, and I looked at my stats the other day and I'd bussed a total of once in 10 scum games. I'm fairly sure i wouldn't have pushed Bell/Oka as scum
In post 6125, Cephrir wrote:
In post 6121, Cephrir wrote:
In post 5390, OkaPoka wrote:VOTE: titus

still going to hammer bell when the timer expires i think

anyways gtg
what the heck.

oka has been townreading titus and scumreading bell. why does he try to get a titus elim here? it doesn't appear to make sense.

the obvious answer to this is "because titus is town" and i'm not sure i have another
I think you quoted this, it only happened after I commented that it was weird he wasn't trying to push titus and he voted her without really pushing it. Felt like a forced vote at the time which added to my dislike of Oka. I think I mentioned that?
In post 6131, Cephrir wrote:hop/titus do your teams have any thoughts

most about the stuff i'm saying, i care about new points i might not have considered but i'm not really assessing your behavior today as alignment indicative since everyone is in the same boat of "if i'm elimed i lose"
Hectic thinks it's Titus.
The other two members of our team left the discord because Tripod hurt one of my best irl friends to the point he's quit the site. I don't really want to discuss team mafia much more with any of them right now
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Post Post #6140 (isolation #392) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 11:39 am

Post by Hopkirk »

I went looking for that quote because it was bugging me. Turns out it wasn't pooky, it was the person who ruined the previous game. The phrasing is better than I remembered though:

'one piece of advice though, when you get a stupid role like that just claim VT or you will get (
exiled
)'


The
best
bit is that scum literally conceded after I claimed it
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Post Post #6141 (isolation #393) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 11:42 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 6139, Cephrir wrote:it probably would've been funnier if i waited for the lolhammer and pretended to claim scum. damn.
Hopefully Ythan does a lolhammer then claims scum then spends twenty to thirty pages laughing about how he didn't lolhammer before because he loves making us waste our time then Titus flips scum and Ythan reveals it was a double bluff-meme and he's actually Elon Musk.
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Post Post #6144 (isolation #394) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 11:49 am

Post by Hopkirk »

It'll be just as hilarious if you only did a few pages. I promise I'll still react angrily
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Post Post #6145 (isolation #395) » Thu Apr 22, 2021 11:51 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 6142, Cephrir wrote:ah, now i feel bad for finding he who must not be named funny

i'll credit it to your presentation
Didn't you say you didn't find my jokes (presumably in part due to the presentation (funny earlier in the game? It's good to know they're improving :cool:
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Post Post #6190 (isolation #396) » Sun Apr 25, 2021 9:52 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 6148, Ythan wrote:
VOTE: Titus

I actually was scum though.

Happy Team Mafia 2021 everyone!

Image
wow, why would you do this to us wtf? you could have hammered earlier and you didn't just because you wanted to what, waste our time? that was a pretty mean move and makes you a big meanie. i hope you can live with that.
In post 6160, innocentvillager wrote:[announcing] vanilla cop enabler

honestly, what a great fakeclaim lmfao

almost thought it was too wild to be fake lol
if you think that's wild you should see what we were considering before you flipped. i definitely would have gotten turbo lethaled if i went for something like '1-shot cop and Neapolitan enabler'
In post 6163, innocentvillager wrote:implo was I supposed to use my role before massclaim lol

the only night gypyx and I actually seriously considered using it was night 4 on hop or Titus (not that it would’ve mattered apparently cuz babysitter)
why didn't you use the role at all?
In post 6166, OkaPoka wrote:HOPKIRK YOU BEAUTIFUL BASTARD
:oops:
In post 6173, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 6167, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 6166, OkaPoka wrote:HOPKIRK YOU BEAUTIFUL BASTARD
dang you foresaw this exact scenario up to the lylo. well planned
If I am to be honest, us scum bois did not plan it out like this at all :oops:

It was more, we fucked up losing control of the thread and we kinda undid the fuck ton of work that went into day 1/start of d2 to basically split the game into two factions, and the only way we could salvage a win out of this mess was this. Again, shoutout to hopkirk for salvaging it because even though he ended up being townread n2 during elo, getting there from how doomed it looked after 3 chained scumlims is not an easy task.
our plan was amazing. it totally didn't involve any questionable steps like 'hope town protective kills someone who's too townie for us to exile'. how close were you to picked someone else here A50?
In post 6188, Jingle wrote:
In post 6177, OkaPoka wrote:and then of course gotta say shoutout to dannflor for drawing the nightkill n1 because he was the sole person we thought that had the charisma, towniness, and leadership ability to break apart our entire plan and shepherd the townies to salvation. our only hesistation on not killing u was u were so charming that you'd be the obvious doc save and we only panic last second swapped to you.
Dann spent like the entire event looking for any excuse to help in our games because he was so sad he couldn't play. You took this game from him you monster, and I hope you can live with your choice. :P
if Dann wants to play more then he needs to at least
try
and scumside even a little bit. who are we supposed to kill when there's a universally townread player who's sus of ~3 members of our team, actively wants to push one or two of us the next day, and is good at getting people to sheep him? give us something to work with Dann, at least fake a few scumslips or
something
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Post Post #6191 (isolation #397) » Sun Apr 25, 2021 9:58 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

@Agar - your (initial) case on me was insane. That post i made about Flopz & RC was clearly a joke and framing it as 'something hop would 100% be doing as scum to try and stir stuff up and cause people actual distress as an intentional scum tactic' is basically accusing me of being a shitty person and genuinely annoyed me.

A50s D1 reads having 9 correct town, 4 scum in the 8 possible scum, and 2 of those being the two at the bottom were crazy good reads. idk why i was told during the first attempt at this game not to sheep A50.

losing Hercule was sad. i named one of the bugbear detectives in a dnd game i'm running after him. i'd call one after the worst too, but it didn't sound enough like a name

this game signaled the end of my multiyear/25ish game townstreak. F
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Post Post #6192 (isolation #398) » Sun Apr 25, 2021 10:02 pm

Post by Hopkirk »

Oka was also an allstar this game. proof:
In post 5, OkaPoka wrote:
Somebody
, I won't say who, but somebody of good authority has told me that I am indeed first.

pedit: fuck you
In post 10, OkaPoka wrote:
once
upon a time

okapoka didn't do policy flips

but okapoka is a changed bird
VOTE: innocentvillager
In post 14, OkaPoka wrote:"
told
ya so" an agar story

also iv its not your fault
In post 25, OkaPoka wrote:
me
have top sekrit meta read on hercule

ftr my team were briefed on hercule's scum meta and had we flipped xtoxm, hercule would have probably been bye bye, i will say koba gave us some tips on scum!hercule and even though dkkoba was like "he's town", everyone else on the team were like "but u just described his play this game"

no mention of that top sekrit thing in hercules wall so hehehehuehuehuehe

ahem then again the only reason why we wanted to flip hercule was because we thought xtoxm/hercule/mastina was it and i didn't want to push mastina
In post 32, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 28, hercule wrote:
In post 25, OkaPoka wrote:me have top sekrit meta read on hercule

ftr my team were briefed on hercule's scum meta and had we flipped xtoxm, hercule would have probably been bye bye, i will say koba gave us some tips on scum!hercule and even though dkkoba was like "he's town", everyone else on the team were like "but u just described his play this game"

no mention of that top sekrit thing in hercules wall so hehehehuehuehuehe

ahem then again the only reason why we wanted to flip hercule was because we thought xtoxm/hercule/mastina was it and i didn't want to push mastina
wait you scumread me the whole time???? damn
the
thing is if you read my iso that game i kept hinting at a fake townread and it was you lmao xd

but i really wanted to kill xtoxm and you were helping so i made a political choice
In post 41, OkaPoka wrote:
world
record any% speedrun time we are all gods of the game lets get that dub

hercule i promise u when i made that friendship poster i was townreading you

ceph snowed me though

we should keep an eye out on the warthog
In post 52, OkaPoka wrote:
is
it wrong that i just wanna vibe this game since my team already lost black flag
In post 54, OkaPoka wrote:
In post 51, Hopkirk wrote:can people start posting stuff i don't like
gonna
scum claim just for you bb
In post 73, OkaPoka wrote:
roll
with the shitposts hopkirk its the only way to overcome adversity

you see innocentvillager openwolfing? that should be your role model
In post 76, OkaPoka wrote:
me
thinks everyone who has posted so far is town because we've clearly been spamming refresh for the past 12 hours so we can start shitposting
i'd quote more, but the posts start coming and they don't stop coming
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Post Post #6202 (isolation #399) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:48 am

Post by Hopkirk »

In post 6198, implosion wrote:One potentially hilarious version of this that did not play out: if innocentvillager targeted Hopkirk n4 and everything else remained the same, Hopkirk would have gotten a PM saying "you were targeted by a vanilla cop" and probably had a moment of horrible panic before opening the thread and seeing he was dead.
Gypyx wrote:hey implo, what i'm mostly wondering is, what exactly was the idea between game 1's setup?

(the thread is closed so i'm asking there)
By "between" you mean what was the idea of this one compared to the last one? It was basically an entirely different setup if so. The idea of the first one was large number of info roles that can maybe piece together something useful if they combine knowledge but with some of them belonging to scum.
That would have been amazingly horrifying.
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