FGO: Mafia in the Lostbelt - 2 Game Over
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Acknowledged.In post 1367, Servant Alter Ego wrote:If I may be permitted a brief moment of self-indulgence: I told you so.
This is probably wise, NK15 hardly even bothered to explain himself after his first few posts, I feel like he went into shutdown mode the moment he got even the slightest bit of heat. Posts in the Townstumps Scum PT indicate he doesn't really put in effort.In post 1363, Servant Assassin wrote:I'll take a look at the relationship between Moon Caster and Saber, but I'm going to prudently treat Moon's reads as being WIFOM.
What's going to be more relevant is how people positioned themselves around Moon Cancer. Given the strength of his role I suspect that scumteam didn't want to lose him right away and that was why he was so difficult to flip.
I'm not going to immediately jump on Avenger for the hasty gladiate, that was a dumb and incredibly frustrating move but I'm not sure if scum would willingly draw so much attention to themself like that. I have a few other people in mind I want to take a look back at.
The associations for Mooncancer are pretty unique this game. Due to the gladiate stuff and moon cancer themselves not posting much.- Servant Beast
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lolIn post 1590, Servant Caster wrote:actually scratch that this is just him being sarcastic?
>.>
my memory is really not great this game :<- Servant Beast
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Yes, but they weren't arguing from the stand point of what they might get. Only what they had and post reveal they haven't changed from that argument.In post 1586, Servant Berserker wrote:
I have bolded the part that I'm referring toIn post 0, Cabd wrote:If a town Master is selected, the town Master + servant is revealed as an innocent child and becomes unkillable by ANY means until day two has passed.The servant in that slot will additionally have their role modified to account for the additional support they now have. Day 1 will become an double-elimination day and last for 240 hours (10 days) instead of 168 hours (7 days). (The first elimination WILL reset the vote count)- Servant Beast
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Because I already explained it in an old post and I thought the sarcasm was overkill, so I thought it was kinda funny that they couldn't read tone there.
I don't really think them misunderstanding that, is immediately AI to me. So, I just decided to tease them, it's not meant to be mean spirited if that's what you're asking.- Servant Beast
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I disagree.In post 1599, Servant Lancer wrote:I'm not super confident that saber will flip scum either, but I highly prefer saber elim over foreigner.Foreigner appeared to be the designated scum counterwagon, and shouldn't be on the table after moon cancer scumflip.- Servant Beast
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It's been awhile, but no, I've been scum reading them for the most part. I moved my vote off when Berserker asked for Saber or Moon, I voted Saber for the aforementioned wrong reasons.In post 1603, Servant Lancer wrote:why? you haven't mentioned scumreading them until now as far as I recall.- Servant Beast
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In post 842, Servant Beast wrote:In post 840, Servant Foreigner wrote:Right after i gave correct call, i am being voted. Scum is trying to prevent us from talking about moon by coordinating few votes against me. People always talk about topic, which recently got few votes normally it would be moon but scum gave counter measure.
This is a self-serving narrative. Though yeah, I kind of felt like your vote was a bus.In post 841, Servant Foreigner wrote:Why would timing be so perfect? In case i am being pushed by townies, they reason of me being voted would have to be my vote on Moon. Still townies would say something like 'Foreigner votes is scummy' during vote. Naked votes are votes for overall image, so they are coming right now because people needed to vote me.In post 856, Servant Beast wrote:Well, yeah. I had an agenda. I thought Saber was town and had a powerful ability that would be put to good use. I also could empathize with their approach to trying to get the town master slot.
I don't get why you think people are throwing town reads around like candy. It's more like we just don't really explain ourselves. I do that in part because it can put the scum team off balance (or, I'm just scum and have no reasons, teehee)
Rider's post is interesting but need to think on it a lot more to determine if that's coming from town or scum. I'm allergic to long form, well thought out posts. For example I can't tell if Rider is truly weighing my posts and intentions, or going back and forth and just waiting to see where the wind blows before settling down.
As for foreigner, I've just looked at their posts and I find it odd how evenly distributed their addresses to other players are, the general lack of nuance and a confidence that doesn't make sense to me.In post 891, Servant Beast wrote:
I'm not sold that this is the real reason.In post 860, Servant Foreigner wrote:
If you are not confident then you won't get analyzable reactions. People are more AI when under pressure.In post 856, Servant Beast wrote:As for foreigner, I've just looked at their posts and I find it odd how evenly distributed their addresses to other players are, the general lack of nuance and a confidence that doesn't make sense to me.In post 920, Servant Beast wrote:You're arguing that foreigner's comment was frustration related and not scum related while voting moon cancer.In post 936, Servant Beast wrote:
I don't really think you can have two unrelated opinions about a player in a mafia game. Since it's pretty closely intertwined. But the wording isn't quite there for a clear argument that foreigner is town, so I'm wrong in that aspect.In post 921, Servant Rider wrote:No. Archer said Foreigner's comment was designed to make us question Berserker's judgement. I disagree and believe he made that comment because he may have been frustrated with the way his scumread (Caster) was being treated by Berserker. 801 was also a direct response to my 799, which was me questioning his 798.Nowhere did I mention whether I believed that comment was town- or scum-motivated.
I also happen to be voting Moon Cancer. The two are unrelated.
If I really wanted to defend someone, I would actuallydefendthem.
Place me in the camp where 1v1 toxicity isn't actually a good reason to run for Master. Toxic 1v1's can and do resolve. Sometimes for the better sometimes for the worse.
Also, pretty sure that some scum roles would have their abilities adjusted just because the designer rarely has every possible combination in mind for balance. They likely tweeked town roles and scum roles for balance post alignment roll.In post 960, Servant Beast wrote:Eh, I still really think Foreigner is scum.In post 1026, Servant Beast wrote:
Wasn’t I pretty evasive in my answers too? What’s the difference between alter and I in terms of this?In post 1024, Servant Moon Cancer wrote:
That read has not changed. It is fully based on the early posts on Alter Ego having more evasive words in their posts than any normal townie. And no post of Alter Ego after that time has caused me to reconsider.In post 1021, Servant Assassin wrote:The last, and only, specific reason to scumread Alter came from post 238. I don't find it convincing. How has that read matured over time and what specific posts can you point to as to support your conclusions?
I think we have gotten everything we could have before the first elimination. We should move on.
I’d still rather go for foreigner I think. Rather than saber. I Don’t like thinking this way, but I have doubt there because they qualify for the too weird to be scum read. I should probably think more deeply about this.In post 1321, Servant Beast wrote:As is ruler missing from the wagon, so probably at least 1+ scum bussing.
There is some comfort that foreigner, rider, and Avenger aren't on the wagon. But I suspect at least one of those players is town and someone slipped the lenient net.In post 1598, Servant Beast wrote:I'm pretty much where Archer is at in terms of where I wanna vote.
Foreigner I suspect is using their anemic bus to shore themselves up. But even with that, they're being anemic.In post 1602, Servant Beast wrote:
I disagree.In post 1599, Servant Lancer wrote:I'm not super confident that saber will flip scum either, but I highly prefer saber elim over foreigner.Foreigner appeared to be the designated scum counterwagon, and shouldn't be on the table after moon cancer scumflip.- Servant Beast
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Why do I keep calling moon cancer foreigner? I meant Foreigner. what about Foreigner's posts was uniquely townie? In regards to the voting or in regards to their play in general? The best I can say about it was that they were pretty self-aware and they created some unique arguments to cover themselves, but I never really got the feeling it had additional motivation.
Their timing mainly, the strength of their arguments. Their arguments after the flip. Their interest in shading some players for infractions on general rules while ignoring my own infractions.- Servant Beast
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I fully understood your implication. But I don't see much reason to complain about it.In post 1662, Servant Rider wrote:
Like I said, I don't really think it is.In post 1659, Servant Beast wrote:Sounds like it's a thing Rider.
And you're one of the players my comment pertains to, who I'm scumreading, so I don't really care much for this comment.- Servant Beast
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If the master wasn't berserker and Shielder is correct about there being a redirector, a redirector could have targeted the master diverted the letter into scum hands and burned it. Without Lancer knowing or being able to argue about it.
But most scum aren't really good enough to capitalize on that kinda stuff. Hell, I'd probably have been *more* convinced Lancer's claim was true if they said they sent it to the master but that it went missing, because that would be such a weird fake claim to make.- Servant Beast
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This is a good post. Except the part where I'm lying about, pretty much anything. That's wrong. This is the reason I haven't unvoted Avenger even after they claimed it.In post 1677, Servant Rider wrote:
I don't really understand this question.In post 1672, Servant Lancer wrote:Why would your area of doubt be on me naming my ability and not on, say, whether Avenger is lying?
If you hadn't outright claimed your ability, I would question it more. And I outright even said I don't think this setup is capable of producing that many clears, or at least not as easily as some would like to believe.
However, you did outright claim your ability, and it seems to make sense with your early play. And I felt like you were likely to be town even without this ability.
Avenger isn't really in a position to lie about your ability, even if he were scum. However, there is plenty for him to gain for him by telling the truth, especially since he was probably already in the hot seat as it were.
As far as the setup goes, we have:
-Potential to modconfirm a townie with a mechanic that definitely leans more toward the town (see: Berserker)
-A claimed Friendly Neighbor (that seems to be gated in some way)
-A super-cop-like NP that Assassin is claiming to have
-An informed townie that knows another player has to be town
Not to mention what else could be in this setup.
Considering the stomp of a game that was the previous FGO, do you really think Cabd feels like town needs all this basically free help to overpower and beat the scumteam?
Of the three I bolded, two of them also seem to require the town to be able to earn with decent play in some way. The last one was claimed by Beast, and I still think he's lying about it.- Servant Beast
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Agree with Berserker. It's possible the scum team is doing one of those "let's kill the person least likely to be watched/protected" kinda scum teams.
Or, maybe they saw something I didn't I dunno.
I mean, your ability matters somewhat, because if it was just a *note* that you left them and wasn't worded as mod confirmed I'd more suspicious of it. Though I am largely over the lancer may be scum hill by the time you got around to clearing yourself. But it's nice that my paranoia can largely be put to rest there.- Servant Beast
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I mean, it would be a funny twist if they were scum together, but I find that unlikely. Lancer didn't need *more* clear. They were largely out of the line of fire already and wifom wasn't going to improve their position much.
If there was more to it, like covering for the possibility of a tracker/watcher then maybe, but a friendly neighbor wouldn't work in favor of that, or at least it wouldn't be the role I would think of when trying to counteract that sort of thing.
I would say it's likely their role exists due to saber's comment about a redirector. Just in general. mmm.- Servant Beast
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This is not great.In post 1734, Servant Shielder wrote:I was shot at last night, I have an ability that delays my death until the end of this day phase.- Servant Beast
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Just based on wagon composition and the scum that have already flipped. We have a lot of scum bussing going on. Maybe they all wanted to try going deep and hoped it would clear themselves.
I mean, the scum team is in Rider, assassin, foreigner, Avenger. Unless Altar or Archer are: very good scum, while also somehow being insane bussers.- Servant Beast
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@Rider, only if you're town tho. If you're scum I'll stop nagging you to get a better read.In post 1006, Servant Beast wrote:Also, just as a general request, I'd prefer if I wasn't another casualty to the "must be one scum, one town pairing" fallacy.- Servant Beast
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hmm. somewhat relevant, but my abilities still have use even with Saber dead. I could do a partial reveal of the relevant portions.In post 1788, Servant Berserker wrote:
Depends on how relevant they are IMOIn post 1752, Servant Beast wrote:Would it be a good idea to share my abilities or at least some of the relevant ones @Berserker? @Shielder?- Servant Beast
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I condescend a lot at people that push me when I'm town though. It's a bad habit and bad play, but I do it frequently enough that I just sit in the "could come from either" camp, camp.
I do think Rider is fairly grumpy even though we're winning though. But I think foreigner or Avenger probably has at least 1 scum in it.- Servant Beast
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I mean you think I'm very likely scum, so I'm not sure how seriously I can take this statement.In post 1799, Servant Rider wrote:
Why would I be grumpy?In post 1795, Servant Beast wrote:I condescend a lot at people that push me when I'm town though. It's a bad habit and bad play, but I do it frequently enough that I just sit in the "could come from either" camp, camp.
I do think Rider is fairly grumpy even though we're winning though. But I think foreigner or Avenger probably has at least 1 scum in it.
All the biggest threats to my role have been dealt with in some form or another:
-The player that is immune to investigations is conftown
-The strongman scum was eliminated Day 1
-The PT-crashing scum was also eliminated Day 1
-The town roleblocker was eliminated Night 1
My issue is the ridiculousness that is being presented to me by Archer [and potentially Berserker] in preserving Avenger despite him being very likely scum.- Servant Beast
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You shouldn't care how seriously I take you.
Hey, I've always voted there first. You just voted right after.
To me, you're not on the table today without something very convincing being thrown at you.
I'm clearly missing something, but why are you gloating about how nothing can stop you now that your archenemy is dead.- Servant Beast
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My avatar is red.In post 1822, Servant Shielder wrote:What reason do people have for suspecting Beast?- Servant Beast
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To be fair, you do have a poor grasp of the game state if you're town rider.
and you did just ask investigatives to out themselves which is anti-town.
Can we reset relations, Rider is clearly an abrasiveness chap. I'm not sure if he's scum though, since town tend not to think they need to make friends, while a subset of scum do think that.- Servant Beast
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