MT 2263: Web of Lies - Game Over


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Post Post #12 (isolation #0) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 4:30 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Apparently everyone else in this game hates agriculture.

I am in a hood by my self x.x

The farmers market is my notes pt now apparently
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Post Post #14 (isolation #1) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 4:53 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Oh. Dunn...

I did not think you were still doing that, and I might have already told the other people in the other hoods :dead:
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Post Post #15 (isolation #2) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 4:54 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

On one hand I feel bad, but on the other I am irl laughing pretty hard at this situation.

I'm sorry
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Post Post #16 (isolation #3) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 4:59 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Consolation prize, I kinda lean town on the action itself. Like the follow through on it.

Scum!Dunn would presumably know that I already talked about his plan in the other hoods
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Post Post #18 (isolation #4) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:04 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

x.x

I thought it was weird, and I wanted to get Medea's opinion on it (and then they fucking repped out without ever commenting on it :dead:)
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Post Post #22 (isolation #5) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 5:17 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 20, Bell wrote:
In post 16, Lukewarm wrote:Consolation prize, I kinda lean town on the action itself. Like the follow through on it.

Scum!Dunn would presumably know that I already talked about his plan in the other hoods
Huh. That’s a good point. Did you imply you would go along with it or ever say yes to the thought?

I said yes at first, before I discovered my unique position. (Mainly to figure out what Dunn was doing)

Then discovered I was the only one who was in multiple hoods, and backed out of the plan.

Dunn's conversation moved past it, and I (mistakingly, apparently) thought it was no longer a plan.
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Post Post #54 (isolation #6) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:35 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 52, House wrote:That's not an answer. That's an evasion!
Oh hey look, exactly what grandpa said when tweetie said that lol
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Post Post #55 (isolation #7) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:36 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

sniped lol
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Post Post #58 (isolation #8) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:38 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 12, Lukewarm wrote:Apparently everyone else in this game hates agriculture.

I am in a hood by my self x.x

The farmers market is my notes pt now apparently
Realizing that this means that there are now 3 populated hoods that I am in, and 3 populated hoods that I am not in.

And that every single player in this game is in a hood with me, and in a hood without me.

And now everyone can talk about me behind my back :oops: :oops:
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Post Post #66 (isolation #9) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:50 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 61, Morning Tweet wrote:
In post 58, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 12, Lukewarm wrote:Apparently everyone else in this game hates agriculture.

I am in a hood by my self x.x

The farmers market is my notes pt now apparently
Realizing that this means that there are now 3 populated hoods that I am in, and 3 populated hoods that I am not in.

And that every single player in this game is in a hood with me, and in a hood without me.

And now everyone can talk about me behind my back :oops: :oops:
you're thinking about it wrong -- you can talk behind everyone ELSE'S backs
I could BEFORE the new hoods.

Now with the new hoods, everyone else can too.

(I am assuming that since I was put into an agriculture based hood, everyone else got put into 3 hoods based on their career choice)
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Post Post #68 (isolation #10) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 6:52 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

MalcolmTucker
Lady Lambdadelta
Almost50
Enchant
Cupcake Butterfly
Flea The Magician

-----

These people were all largely/completely absent from the hoods during the dawn, and I would love for them to start existing
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Post Post #74 (isolation #11) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 7:09 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 72, House wrote:
In post 70, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 69, House wrote:I think if we kill scum on d1, whichever initial hood that scum was in should be considered a masonry.
Why?
Do you seriously think 2 scum are going to be in any of the 3 initial hoods when Lukewarm is the only one that repeats across them?
I think that the hoods were likely generated randomly. And I think that statistically a 2:1:0 split is more likely then a 1:1:1 split or a 3:0:0 split.

Only works if you are assuming that the mod guaranteed the 1:1:1 split, and that is pretty bold assumption.
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Post Post #76 (isolation #12) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 7:10 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 73, House wrote:My theory is that each of the 3 hoods were seeded with 1 scum each.
But I see you are a bold player lol
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Post Post #79 (isolation #13) » Sun Feb 13, 2022 7:13 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

This game is designed to have a minimum of 11 hoods by the end of night 1.

I think that entails a web if lies on its own.

Even without a guaranteed 1:1:1 split, they are gonna be in a LOT of hoods
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Post Post #170 (isolation #14) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 3:36 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 162, Almost50 wrote:Like seriously.. you see a lot of hoods in a game and you know one word you say somewhere is bound to be spread all over the place, so might as well keep ot to yourself or say it in the main thread. No third option
This can be good and bad.

For Dunn, I shared something I found suspicious.

But for house, I told Bell's hood house was probably my strongest town read walking out of the dawn phase, and why.

If you had been townie in the hood, bell might try to add you to his town block that is not really a town block
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Post Post #180 (isolation #15) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:02 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Fae appears to have not yet read the neighborhood lol
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Post Post #182 (isolation #16) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:04 am

Post by Lukewarm »

There are three streets - every player is in exactly one, except me. I am in all 3

There are 4 careers. I am in one alone, because no one else selected agriculture - so there are three career hoods that I am it a part of.
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Post Post #183 (isolation #17) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:05 am

Post by Lukewarm »

I personally found Penguins posts to be fairly nai.

But Malcolm's response to the suspicions were a little meh
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Post Post #252 (isolation #18) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 2:27 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I did not find anything that Penguin said in the hood to be scummy tbh. Nothing particularly townie either (except a one off line that did align with how I know Penguin views my play)

LLD, have you looked at the hood to see what originally started the scum reads on the Medea/Malcolm slot?
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Post Post #256 (isolation #19) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 2:50 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Hello friends, I am actively avoiding posting, and trying to just read more -- but, I don't think I support a dunn elimination atm

I have a secret read that I am going to be sitting on for like 24~48 hours, I want to see how things develop.

This has been your complimentary Lukewarm update.
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Post Post #263 (isolation #20) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 3:33 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 258, Stephen A Smith wrote:Specifically she didn't say what conclusions or thoughts she reached from the reactions she got.
I felt like she called me town from it, although maybe not explicitly.

Sometime along the lines of "Luke gave me an over explained, earnest answer" which is what she kind of expected from me.

As she said it, it felt like she was taking it to build a read on me with, and also she has said similar things about how she views my play in a prior game, so it kinda messed with how I expect her to expect town Luke to act.
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Post Post #264 (isolation #21) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 3:35 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

- kinda **meshed** with how I expect her to expect town Luke to act
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Post Post #271 (isolation #22) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 3:46 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Hey tweetie, are you confirming Stephens claim that he is masons with you?
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Post Post #302 (isolation #23) » Mon Feb 14, 2022 3:56 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Nice.

Well used page guys
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Post Post #361 (isolation #24) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 3:23 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Cupcake, I think that some of ESPN man's tone in these posts were attempts to mirror the was real life ESPN people speak on the tv.

Not 100% sure, but that it what I got from 350/351. Like try reading it like it's a sportscaster and not like it's talking down to you
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Post Post #363 (isolation #25) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 3:31 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 348, Bell wrote:Takin’ a mafia day off.
Have a good one.
Well, this defeats my purpose for sitting on it.

My "secret read" was that I am not town reading Bell. I am not sure I scum read him either, but I did not walk out of our hood with a town read on him and it made me sad.

I was planning to monitor him in the main thread for a bit before I said anything, but if he is gonna be off for a day, that messes with that anyways.

Carry on.
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Post Post #366 (isolation #26) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 4:52 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 363, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 348, Bell wrote:Takin’ a mafia day off.
Have a good one.
Well, this defeats my purpose for sitting on it.

My "secret read" was that I am not town reading Bell. I am not sure I scum read him either, but I did not walk out of our hood with a town read on him and it made me sad.

I was planning to monitor him in the main thread for a bit before I said anything, but if he is gonna be off for a day, that messes with that anyways.

Carry on.
To be clear, I don't think him being off today is ai.

But I was holding back to watch his activity, and now I know his activity is dropping to 0 regardless of alignment, so no need to wait anymore I guess
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Post Post #380 (isolation #27) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:02 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Is there anyone else in that hood with the two of you?

----

Just making sure I am understanding.

Malcolm made a post that clearly looks like a post meant to hit the Mafia chat, but he put it in the industry thread instead.

Flea calls him out for a scum slip.

Malcolm is claiming that he purposefully made a scum slip post in order to "misdirect" flea and judge how they "responded"

Is this accurate?
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Post Post #385 (isolation #28) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:23 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 381, Flea The Magician wrote:That is correct, and yes, we're the only Industrials
Not him admitting when you were the only one who saw it lmao.

We should probably kill Malcolm.

He does not seem like the kind of player that would fake scum slip that way

Spoiler:
Malcolm
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Post Post #388 (isolation #29) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:26 am

Post by Lukewarm »

VOTE: Malcolm

Hit the wrong tag button lmao
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Post Post #390 (isolation #30) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:28 am

Post by Lukewarm »

I also think it makes sense for each of the other job pts to have 1 scum in them.

Like, I would have expected the scum team to purposefully submit three different careers, and that one only had flea and Malcolm
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Post Post #394 (isolation #31) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:34 am

Post by Lukewarm »

If I was scum, I would have suggested one of two game plans:

-All in different, to maximize info
-All in the same, to maximize WIFOM

If they sent Malcolm to industry alone, then that rules out three to the same.

Sure, a 1:2:0:0 split is possible, but it's not either plan I would have gone with
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Post Post #400 (isolation #32) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:41 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 393, Morning Tweet wrote:Why did you all pick your job hoods, then? Why not just ask that?

I tried to pick IT first, but them I chose entertainment because I work at an arcade which is sort of entertainment. not like show biz but it's more like recreational party type entertainment
I did not care for any of the options, and chose agriculture because it seemed like it was the one people would be least likely to choose (this was more right then expected tbh)

I did not know if it would be wise to let town have zero representation in that field. - Did not put together that it was a hood yet atp
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Post Post #405 (isolation #33) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:44 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 402, Bell wrote:*points at Lukewarm* change your mind before you die tonight.
I have a long history of fooling you and I tend to town bin you as scum so I get why you would be suspicious. But I think you should recognize that you’re very obvious town and so, as town. I would town bin you too.
Why is this written like I have encountered scum Bell more then exactly once? Lol
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Post Post #410 (isolation #34) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:48 am

Post by Lukewarm »

@flea, please check our hood.

I left something there for you
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Post Post #416 (isolation #35) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:50 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 412, Bell wrote:
In post 405, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 402, Bell wrote:*points at Lukewarm* change your mind before you die tonight.
I have a long history of fooling you and I tend to town bin you as scum so I get why you would be suspicious. But I think you should recognize that you’re very obvious town and so, as town. I would town bin you too.
Why is this written like I have encountered scum Bell more then exactly once? Lol
Twice!
Twice!
When have I encountered scum Bell other than in Ffery's Shakespeare game?
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Post Post #419 (isolation #36) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:52 am

Post by Lukewarm »

And here I was thinking I was getting night killed tonight. Smh
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Post Post #427 (isolation #37) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 8:14 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 422, Stephen A Smith wrote:
In post 419, Lukewarm wrote:And here I was thinking I was getting night killed tonight. Smh
Don't think I have forgotten about you soft-defending Malcolm.
If you say so.

My read on the situation was that I didn't find penguin's posts scummy, but that I did find Malcolm's responses to the pressure scummy, so I was gonna let it keep playing out.
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Post Post #434 (isolation #38) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 8:30 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 431, Morning Tweet wrote: I kinda doubt Malcolm legit scumslipped but I havent really read into the meat of that
Flea has given more specifics in our hood, to answer my questions.

It seems pretty cut and dry that it is a scum slip from what flea said.

That is your hood too, so you should go look at it
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Post Post #458 (isolation #39) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 8:44 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 454, House wrote:
In post 390, Lukewarm wrote:I also think it makes sense for each of the other job pts to have 1 scum in them.

Like, I would have expected the scum team to purposefully submit three different careers, and that one only had flea and Malcolm
The fact there's only one player in Agriculture suggests either that Lukewarm is scum OR scum have a PT Spy and doesn't need to be listed in hoods to read them.
....

There were 4 career choices, and mod confirmed 3 scum this game.

They could not place themselves in all 4
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Post Post #494 (isolation #40) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 4:03 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Before we end the day, should we talk at all about what the mass neighborizors should do? Or are we just trusting them to handle that?
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Post Post #495 (isolation #41) » Tue Feb 15, 2022 4:05 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Getting into a neighborizors good means you get to post after you die, which could be neat.
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Post Post #642 (isolation #42) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:10 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 635, Noraa wrote:
In post 611, Ircher wrote:
Day 2 begins!


Flavor maybe later.


Stephen A Smith,
Town Loud Backup Modified Traffic Analyst Neighbor
, was killed night 1.


As a note for future day starts: if you receive a result or notification pm of any kind, you should not post in any thread related to this game until I post the day start post.
I'd say this looks good for strangematter if it was just the two of them in the hood where stephen claimed im guessing? Otherwise i want to flashwagon sm
I don't think that Stephen has claimed anything. This looks very good for SM, although I was not planning to out that SM had claimed...
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Post Post #643 (isolation #43) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:10 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 637, Noraa wrote:Butt also thats still bad cuz sm loterally made me make a different hood for no fucking reason bc they cant even clear me no matter what
They declared they had an inno on you. What are you talking about?
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Post Post #646 (isolation #44) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:12 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 645, Enchant wrote:Luke why neiborizing this person i don't really remember name is scumclaim?
The traffic analyst was going to investigate Noraa. If anyone added Noraa to a hood, it would have messed up the result.

Norra is innocent
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Post Post #647 (isolation #45) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:13 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 644, Noraa wrote:
In post 643, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 637, Noraa wrote:Butt also thats still bad cuz sm loterally made me make a different hood for no fucking reason bc they cant even clear me no matter what
They declared they had an inno on you. What are you talking about?
Wait did they ahhh
Its in the Dranlon Street hood, but yes
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Post Post #664 (isolation #46) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:22 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 651, House wrote:
In post 642, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 635, Noraa wrote:
In post 611, Ircher wrote:
Day 2 begins!


Flavor maybe later.


Stephen A Smith,
Town Loud Backup Modified Traffic Analyst Neighbor
, was killed night 1.


As a note for future day starts: if you receive a result or notification pm of any kind, you should not post in any thread related to this game until I post the day start post.
I'd say this looks good for strangematter if it was just the two of them in the hood where stephen claimed im guessing? Otherwise i want to flashwagon sm
I don't think that Stephen has claimed anything.
This looks very good for SM, although
I was not planning to out that SM had claimed...
In post 643, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 637, Noraa wrote:Butt also thats still bad cuz sm loterally made me make a different hood for no fucking reason bc they cant even clear me no matter what
They declared they had an inno on you.
What are you talking about?
Please make these posts make sense together.

Not asking for role details, just to clear up this weirdly blatant inconsistency.
-----

SM claimed modified traffic analyst. Stephen flipped back up modified traffic analyst.

I did not plan to reveal that the traffic analyst was SM, but Noraa said it.

Noraa said that if SM and Stephen were in a hood together, maybe SM stole the claim from seeing Stephens back up claim. I said I don't think that Stephen ever claimed, so Strange could not have stolen that claim from him. Hence, SM is almost certainly true claiming here.
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Post Post #665 (isolation #47) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:23 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 661, Noraa wrote:i have a pretty good record reading dunn. im currently confirmed town and i created the adventurers guild which is all town in my opinion. the dude that died was gonna be in it but then he died. idk if that shows up. no one needs to confirm unless they think thats beneficial to the game.

i know the guild was created for sure because i was strongwilled n1 mass neighborizer.

if you believe i am town, believe dunn is town.
Stephen is still in that hood, and is still able to post to us
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Post Post #668 (isolation #48) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:24 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 653, Noraa wrote:Oh sorry im so bad lmao i didnt read the backup part . Ahhhhhh
I missed that too btw. I opened up the adventurer's guild and asked him if he had a result lol
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Post Post #670 (isolation #49) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:25 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 658, House wrote:
In post 651, House wrote:Please make these posts make sense together.
Ignore this, figured it out.
Ignore my explanation
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Post Post #672 (isolation #50) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:27 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 669, Noraa wrote:
In post 668, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 653, Noraa wrote:Oh sorry im so bad lmao i didnt read the backup part . Ahhhhhh
I missed that too btw. I opened up the adventurer's guild and asked him if he had a result lol
wait you thought there were two traffic analyists and that that would make sense?!??!?!?! ebcause that was why i suspected SM?
I asked Stephen for his result, and a series of questions that I could use to check against how SM said that their role worked. I was looking into SM's claim.

Then Stephen told me that he did not get a result because he is a back-up - So, I landed back on SM true claiming
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Post Post #698 (isolation #51) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 7:02 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 691, House wrote:
In post 689, Enchant wrote:
In post 687, House wrote:
In post 684, Enchant wrote:Asking to murder ish't scummy
Depends on whether he's in a hood with SM with the claim.
Uh.

VOTE: Bell
I'm gonna wait for Lukewarm to weigh in on this.
Bell told us that he suggested a vig shot on SM before the claim. That is actually why SM claimed in the hood.

I figured out how to use her ability to get a result on Noraa.

I told everyone to not hood Noraa so it could work.

Noraa outed as a mass neighborizor, and I told her that she needed to put SM in her hood with her.

*** This is when bell asked if he should tell the education hood not to vig SM

I dont know that I made this clear in the hood, but I was against him changing his stance - I had no reason to believe there was actually a vig, and did not want to let more people know what was going on with Sm's claim in case shenanigans. Also, since the plan was for SM to go into Noraas hood with a few other people, I figured we would get Sm's result anyways if I was wrong and there was a vig and that vig shot sm.

----
Once we changed the plan to NOT put SM in Noraas hood, we should have revisit it, but that was pretty close to end of the night phase, and it never got talked about
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Post Post #730 (isolation #52) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:17 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 728, StrangeMatter wrote:
In post 721, Almost50 wrote:Bottom of page 25 and before I read the other 4 pages I am speculating the "Modified" TA can check if the target has access to "more than one hood". Like the standard TA can check if target can "communicate" so the modified probably gets if they can communicate on multiple channels. This makes Lukewarm a Miller to them at the very least.
Considering I am a Modified TA myself I'm just assuming that it is the same modifier here. The modifier states that my role will ignore the fact that people are in the same PTs as me, so if someone like Noraa was in another PT from the ones that I was in, I'd have gotten a "Can communicate" but didn't. Mostly assuming that if I died they would've had the same role as me
This is why it was Noraa night 1 btw.

Almost every player was somewhere that StrangeMatter was not.

Nora and Tweetie were the only players that were in the same street and the same career hood as StrangeMatter.

(I did not plan on outing the specifics of this to the main thread, so that your role might seem like may be scarier then it really is, but every one (including me tbh) seems to be leaking info everywhere x.x)
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Post Post #743 (isolation #53) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:32 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 731, House wrote:
In post 730, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 728, StrangeMatter wrote:
In post 721, Almost50 wrote:Bottom of page 25 and before I read the other 4 pages I am speculating the "Modified" TA can check if the target has access to "more than one hood". Like the standard TA can check if target can "communicate" so the modified probably gets if they can communicate on multiple channels. This makes Lukewarm a Miller to them at the very least.
Considering I am a Modified TA myself I'm just assuming that it is the same modifier here. The modifier states that my role will ignore the fact that people are in the same PTs as me, so if someone like Noraa was in another PT from the ones that I was in, I'd have gotten a "Can communicate" but didn't. Mostly assuming that if I died they would've had the same role as me
This is why it was Noraa night 1 btw.

Almost every player was somewhere that StrangeMatter was not.

Nora and Tweetie were the only players that were in the same street and the same career hood as StrangeMatter.

(I did not plan on outing the specifics of this to the main thread, so that your role might seem like may be scarier then it really is, but every one (including me tbh) seems to be leaking info everywhere x.x)
It's still not all that damaging.

MT is town. She neighborized me last night and just wow that would bea lot of fake sorting before she even picked who to neighborize that she posted before I arrived, and I'm hardly the best person to impress with that amount of effort.

Besides, scum has much bigger fires to put out before targeting her.
I don't think that SM's ability is that big of a deal. Getting an Inno on Noraa was probably the best thing we could get out of it, and I am glad that we got it.

I was hoping to leave it at "StrangeMatter has an inno on Noraa" and that be it. And see if the scum team gets scared of StrangeMatter's role if it can give an inno.

Instead, Noraa announced that SM was a Traffic Analyst, and StrangeMatter outed what the modified part was.

If Tweetie and you are in a hood together, SM cannot even invest tweetie x.x

So, now the world knows that SM cannot invest anyone now
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Post Post #747 (isolation #54) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:38 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 745, Noraa wrote:
In post 743, Lukewarm wrote:So, now the world knows that SM cannot invest anyone now
even if the world didn't know, SM couldn't
What part of "I wanted to make SM's role seem scarier then it is, and hope it scared the scum team into killing SM, because I know that SM's role is useless now" am I not making clear? lol
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Post Post #759 (isolation #55) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:49 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 748, House wrote:
In post 747, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 745, Noraa wrote:
In post 743, Lukewarm wrote:So, now the world knows that SM cannot invest anyone now
even if the world didn't know, SM couldn't
What part of "I wanted to make SM's role seem scarier then it is, and hope it scared the scum team into killing SM, because I know that SM's role is useless now" am I not making clear? lol
Aw, is someone oversharing? That must be really sad for you.
I am pretty sure that the only info that I have shared this game that I should not have shared was that I was in all of the Night 0 hoods as early as I did. That was a mistake, and I should not have done it. I made a misplay because I misunderstood the set up, and falsely assumed that multiple people were in multiple hoods, and was unaware of my unique position.

Literally everything else that I have shared across the hoods has been tactical.

So yeah, I would rather people not just out here over sharing without a reason.

Even in this conversation, its too late now, so what ever. My comment was just because it seemed like Noraa did not even understand why I would have rathered her not share that, and I was explaining.
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Post Post #764 (isolation #56) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:57 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 753, StrangeMatter wrote:It's fine just have to make the best of the worst. We have two confirmed town today and one tomorrow so it's fine and could've been worse.

So relatively speaking though, what are people's reads currently looking like at the moment?
The town

Flea The Magician
House
Noraa (Would reconsider if we ever see a StrangeMatter red flip)
- meaning full break -
Morning Tweet

The people that I think are town, but I could see myself being wrong on

LLD, StrangeMatter, Dunn

The scum pool

Bell, Enchant, Almost50


I am roughly here
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Post Post #768 (isolation #57) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 9:12 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 765, House wrote:
In post 764, Lukewarm wrote:
The people that I think are town, but I could see myself being wrong on

LLD, StrangeMatter,
Dunn
Image
What do you mean? Between Noraa and Stephen, I think he is town. But I am not lock town on him as much as, say Flea
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Post Post #769 (isolation #58) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 9:15 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 767, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:can someone just explain to me the mech conf clears and the house spew clear? Flea specifically because it seems like fae has all the cards WRT that?

I get the Flea clear, given Malcom slipped TO FLEA. Just need to fact check the others before I start realigning where my head is at.

Again, I refuse to lose 3 games in a row to a fake clear, so.
Mech clear is Noraa. StrangeMatter investigated her, and was told that Noraa is not in any pts that StrangeMatter is not also in. Meaning Noraa is not in a scum chat (unless the team is exactly SM+Noraa)

StrangeMatter's ROLE is confirmed by Stephens flip, but her alignment is not confirmed. Although I am leaning against scum having the main traffic analyst and town getting a back up.

Flea is spewed town because of Malcolm's slip
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Post Post #770 (isolation #59) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 9:16 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Also, check the our hood. Don't gotta read the whole thing, but I will quote one post to bring it to current for you
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Post Post #860 (isolation #60) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 3:48 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I feel like dropping an inno result on a fairly suspected slot can buy them a day.

Bell, what are your thoughts on Enchant and Almost50?
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Post Post #865 (isolation #61) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 3:58 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

GrabdpaMo was squarely in the PoE at the very least.

No one outside of our street hood ever saw a single post by him.

And when Noraa repped into, I saw Flea, Morning Tweet, and Myself all voice suspicion on Noraa in the hood.

So I would say yes
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Post Post #869 (isolation #62) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 4:02 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I was probably the loudest "I suspect Noraa," but I definitely saw the other two
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Post Post #871 (isolation #63) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 4:03 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 870, Bell wrote:I would like to encourage Stephen to keep trying in hood even though they're dead.
I have some bad news for you Bell
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Post Post #873 (isolation #64) » Fri Feb 18, 2022 4:04 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 871, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 870, Bell wrote:I would like to encourage Stephen to keep trying in hood even though they're dead.
I have some bad news for you Bell
Spoiler:
Stephen said you are probably scum
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Post Post #1030 (isolation #65) » Sat Feb 19, 2022 7:44 am

Post by Lukewarm »

The last few pages sure were pages in a Mafia game.
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Post Post #1034 (isolation #66) » Sat Feb 19, 2022 7:49 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1033, Almost50 wrote:
In post 1030, Lukewarm wrote:The last few pages sure were pages in a Mafia game.
See THIS is what I call a genuine thought
Thank you

VOTE: Almost50
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Post Post #1058 (isolation #67) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 4:51 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1057, StrangeMatter wrote:Okay, so Morning Tweet is not in another PT outside of the ones that I am in.
Yay!
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Post Post #1061 (isolation #68) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 4:55 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1059, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1057, StrangeMatter wrote:Okay, so Morning Tweet is not in another PT outside of the ones that I am in.
VOTE: StrangeMatter

Easiest vote ever MT and I are in a PT she neighborized me
Was SteangeMatter not also just now added this night phase?

Because that was the plan.
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Post Post #1062 (isolation #69) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 4:56 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

So, probably check to see if she has been added
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Post Post #1076 (isolation #70) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:00 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1071, Noraa wrote:why the fuck did mafia no kill
Why did you jump to this, instead of a doc/roleblocker/jailkeeper/ect?

Pedit: yeah
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Post Post #1088 (isolation #71) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:06 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Please explain how SM is mech clear?

I understand that their role is confirmed, but not their alignment.

I think that it makes more sense as a town role, so they are not a scum read of mine, but I would not call them mech clear
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Post Post #1102 (isolation #72) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:11 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1094, Noraa wrote:
In post 1090, MathBlade wrote:Bell said they were gonna try to push SM in our hood
Then worried about how they were gonna defend themselves after.
what if we just flashwagon bell :oops:
Noraa, did you read Bells post that Math is saying is a slip?

Bell copy/pasted it into our street hood
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Post Post #1105 (isolation #73) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:12 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

So you want to before you organize a flash wagon? Lol
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Post Post #1106 (isolation #74) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:13 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Do*
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Post Post #1108 (isolation #75) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:15 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1107, MathBlade wrote:I think copying and pasting goes against the spirit

But I summarized and paraphrased best I could.

If you all disagree I get it and it’s why I understand where vibes are going and if it is Enchant it is.

But I really think it’s Bell
PT rules are that the AUTHOR of a post, can copy and paste it into other locations.

You cannot copy paste it.

Bell can.

Bell did.

Into the street hood with me and Noraa
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Post Post #1115 (isolation #76) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:19 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1110, Noraa wrote:i mean heres the thing. last night i was thinking about it and there was a couple possiblities.
1) SM is killed overnight. This places suspicion on Morning. In this scenario i believe morning is likely town and SM is killed for wifom purposes since no one really TRs morning but also they cant have another clear
2) Morning is killed overnight. This would be a strange kill but it could go either way. No conclusion
3) Someone else is killed overnight. SM is almost always scum in this situation unless RBed. They should always be worried about the SM-morning dynamic if both are town.

Given a no kill and a clear on morning (no RB), i think number 1 was what happened. idk it might be wrong but pretty sure SM is just mech clear here.
Or we can wait for the claimed protective to out their target before we write anyone off as mech clear lol

(Claimed in a hood)
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Post Post #1118 (isolation #77) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:20 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

They may want to claim their target in a hood too - and it be relayed if they don't want to out in the main thread
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Post Post #1124 (isolation #78) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:22 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Did mass neighborizor #2 never fire? Or is it a secret being kept from me x.x
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Post Post #1172 (isolation #79) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 5:52 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

One thing tweetie, is that we got 2 invests out of SM, which feels strong, but I don't think that that was the expected outcome from her role.

It only worked because everyone outed what hoods they were in and you, Noraa, and Strange all claimed your roles

That is what allowed us to coordinate the hoods lists to find targets she could invest.

If Strange never claimed, Noraa would be in her own hood, and immune to Stranger's invest.

If you never claimed, strange could have pulled a false guilty on you not knowing you were in your hood.
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Post Post #1205 (isolation #80) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 6:08 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1198, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1194, Noraa wrote:i think i believe it maybe? i mean the prs arent really that stacked? like i think the reviewing process just glazed tf over the fact that SM's role wasnt totally useless. because when i first heard it, i thought it was really useless.
Macho and guarding Flea N1 doesn’t make sense though
Macho is weird, but if I was a doc flea would have been on the table as a target
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Post Post #1207 (isolation #81) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 6:09 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1203, Noraa wrote:
In post 1201, Morning Tweet wrote:
Morning Tweet wrote:You can speak in the neighbourhoods after death though which is super pro town
ESPECIALLY FOR INVESTIGATIVES

It's a free use of the ability after death
wait so if you were a neighborizer, you can do actions AFTER DEATH?!?!?!?!?!??!?!??!?!!?!??!?
No, but you could give you result from the night you died
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Post Post #1218 (isolation #82) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 6:13 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1210, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1199, Noraa wrote:
In post 1198, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1194, Noraa wrote:i think i believe it maybe? i mean the prs arent really that stacked? like i think the reviewing process just glazed tf over the fact that SM's role wasnt totally useless. because when i first heard it, i thought it was really useless.
Macho and guarding Flea N1 doesn’t make sense though
why not?
Macho is a useless modifier unless another protective exists
Which I doubt

Guarding Flea who caught the slip over the two conf towns who were cleared and roles unknown doesn’t make much sense. Iirc SM also claimed D1 or was it D2 I can’t read my notes

Either way scum don’t shoot Flea as that reveals 2 clears
They kill the clears individually then come back for Flea
Strange had not claimed yet (claimed middle of night 1, lld could not see it)

I felt like the scum kill would have been between Stephen and Flea. Both seemed equally cleared by the Malcolm flip.

House to a lesser extent
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Post Post #1229 (isolation #83) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 6:18 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1219, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1218, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 1210, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1199, Noraa wrote:
In post 1198, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1194, Noraa wrote:i think i believe it maybe? i mean the prs arent really that stacked? like i think the reviewing process just glazed tf over the fact that SM's role wasnt totally useless. because when i first heard it, i thought it was really useless.
Macho and guarding Flea N1 doesn’t make sense though
why not?
Macho is a useless modifier unless another protective exists
Which I doubt

Guarding Flea who caught the slip over the two conf towns who were cleared and roles unknown doesn’t make much sense. Iirc SM also claimed D1 or was it D2 I can’t read my notes

Either way scum don’t shoot Flea as that reveals 2 clears
They kill the clears individually then come back for Flea
Strange had not claimed yet (claimed middle of night 1, lld could not see it)

I felt like the scum kill would have been between Stephen and Flea. Both seemed equally cleared by the Malcolm flip.

House to a lesser extent
Unprompted though?

There’s no reason to claim though

She’s just like

“Well I think I need to claim”

Like lmao
I feel like you are responding to your thoughts instead of my words again :(

I agree that the macho modifier is weird.
I agree that it is weird that she claimed unprompted.
I think it is weird that she included how many shots she had and that one was used.

All my post did was clarify the timeline of strange matters claim, and state who I expected the night 1 kill to be.
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Post Post #1250 (isolation #84) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 6:33 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1238, Noraa wrote:actually no im bored of waiting
blood for the blood gods
FLASHWAGON TIME~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee if i kill a town pr, im terribly sorry but its ok we'll still win hehe
VOTE: LLD
I will not be voting LLD prior to her getting to the thread
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Post Post #1257 (isolation #85) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 6:41 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1245, MathBlade wrote: With X after death there’s almost never a true protective.
This feels overly simplistic.

In the Isekai uPick game, the theme of the game was that upon death you were Isekai'd to the dead thread - where you would play mini games, and if you won you got to do something that affected the main thread. (I was able to send a letter to any living player for the game I won for example).

That game had two doctors lol

Spoiler:
well, 1 was a doctor and the other was a JOAT with a doctor option
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Post Post #1272 (isolation #86) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 7:02 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Spoiler: Luke being unfairly scoldy
I feel like it was anti-town for there to be so much talk about not believing a doctor claim before LLD made it to the thread to either confirm their claim, or walk it back. And we probably should have all chilled until we heard more
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Post Post #1275 (isolation #87) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 7:07 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Outing her claim was fine.

Everyone saying whether they believed her claim, or if that meant too much town power, ect was probably not smart
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Post Post #1282 (isolation #88) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 7:12 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I will also not be voting Bell prior to LLD joining the thread.
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Post Post #1351 (isolation #89) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 8:51 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I made the decision to hide Dunn's mech clear. Had a whole conversation with House about it. Let scum think they had one more possible miselim then they really did.

But my god, this has been the most free flow of information of any game I have ever been in x.x

Dunn is a friendly neighbor. Night 1 he targeted Stephen, and Stephen has confirmed it in Noraa's hood.

Because it was confirmed in there by confirmed town Stephen, [me, math, and flea] all had it confirmed to us. There was no worry that hiding it would let the truth die with a night kill, so it seemed advantageous to sit on it.
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Post Post #1356 (isolation #90) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 8:56 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1299, Morning Tweet wrote:
In post 1275, Lukewarm wrote:Outing her claim was fine.

Everyone saying whether they believed her claim, or if that meant too much town power, ect was probably not smart
y
In post 1300, Morning Tweet wrote:if ur gonna say it wouldve been better in a hood

no
In post 1306, Morning Tweet wrote:Why was it wrong to talk about the LLD claim? Are we not supposed to figure out who the scum in LLD/Enchant/whoever else are?
We should have let lld confirm her claim and reveal her target (or conversely say she fake claimed) - and then talked about it.

So, talk about it this game day, but let her put her steak in the ground before we announced how we would react to it.

So I meant we should have held off like 24 hours tops - but too late now
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Post Post #1360 (isolation #91) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 8:59 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1352, Morning Tweet wrote:Stephen! THANK GOD

I am glad he didnt target Strange. That just makes the game too confusing.
I think that was his night 2 target lol
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Post Post #1362 (isolation #92) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:00 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1359, MathBlade wrote:
In post 1352, Morning Tweet wrote:Stephen! THANK GOD

I am glad he didnt target Strange. That just makes the game too confusing.
God I am an idiot
It’s midnight and similar names and telephone
No, it was both lol
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Post Post #1371 (isolation #93) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:06 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I don't want LLD dead before she gets here - so please don't do that.

Even if we are killing her today, I want to know who she says she targeted on the chance that she is town.
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Post Post #1375 (isolation #94) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:12 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

WHAT???
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Post Post #1376 (isolation #95) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:12 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Unexpected
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Post Post #1381 (isolation #96) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:13 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Hi enchant, let's talk!
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Post Post #1388 (isolation #97) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:15 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Enchant, please full claim. Thanks!
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Post Post #1397 (isolation #98) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:25 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

And you protected StrangeMatter?

Why?
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Post Post #1398 (isolation #99) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:25 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1396, Enchant wrote:There's two macho doctors also?

Press X to doubt.
Two?
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Post Post #1404 (isolation #100) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:28 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1397, Lukewarm wrote:And you protected StrangeMatter?

Why?

Enchant?
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Post Post #1406 (isolation #101) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:28 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

(Noraa was joke claiming)
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Post Post #1408 (isolation #102) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:30 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Did you think she was going to be able to get a result last night?
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Post Post #1412 (isolation #103) » Mon Feb 21, 2022 9:32 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1410, Enchant wrote:
In post 1408, Lukewarm wrote:Did you think she was going to be able to get a result last night?
Why not?
Because I told everyone that she could not invest anyone last night?
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Post Post #1456 (isolation #104) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 5:28 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Gg, Bell I'm glad we managed to not miselim you along the way!
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Post Post #1459 (isolation #105) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 5:32 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Things about balance, the scum slip definitely did not help.

Also, I think we got more benefit from StrangeMatter's ability then would have happened in 90% of this game being ran. She happened to be in the largest street hood, giving her the biggest chance of having any targets, AND the career hoods lined up for her, AND both of her valid targets happened to be neighborizors that we could coordinate making sure they worked.

I think simply having 4 career choices that were equally appealing would have caused her to have ~0-1 targets she could invest
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Post Post #1462 (isolation #106) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 5:32 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1458, MathBlade wrote:The main reason is mostly fatigue

Scum have an uphill battle in that the dead can talk after they die.
Leaving in the possibility of no death at night just extends that fatigue.
Instead of a doctor I would use something like a Vanillizer that acts before the check. I would have to chew through the ramifications.
Did we have a doctor?

I thought both doc claims were the scum team lol
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Post Post #1465 (isolation #107) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 5:33 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1460, Enchant wrote:... Who insulted who?

I don't remember House insulting anyone.
I don't think there is a need to talk it through again. House was banned for it, so if you want to know you can look it up that way.
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Post Post #1468 (isolation #108) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 5:35 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1443, Ircher wrote: Noraa - Town Macho Doctor (N1 Strong-Willed Mass Neighborizer) Neighb
Omg

How is this real.

I was sure that was a meme claim
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Post Post #1470 (isolation #109) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 5:39 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Also, if a scum mass neighborizor had fired night 1/2 they could have used it offensively to stop strange's invests without increminating themselves by just not claiming to be the mass neighborizor
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Post Post #1473 (isolation #110) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 6:02 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1472, Flea The Magician wrote:The heck did I miss?

GG?? lol

Welcome back flea! We won!
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Post Post #1476 (isolation #111) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 6:14 am

Post by Lukewarm »

I am pretty sure it was in reference to killing off Malcolm.

Behaviorally you would not have thrown your newbie partner under the bus that way
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Post Post #1482 (isolation #112) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 7:04 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Malcolm, I don't know if you are keeping up with this thread, but if you are - I hope you don't feel too bad. It happens.
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Post Post #1486 (isolation #113) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 7:23 am

Post by Lukewarm »

I don't think that SM's role gets that much use 99% of the time.

For example, if Bell had been the TA though, he had
ZERO valid targets.


(Math, LLD, Dunn, A50, Enchant were all in different streets || Noraa, Morning Tweet, StrangeMatter, and Flea were all in different Careers).

That would have been even worse if all four careers were chosen close to evenly. The heavy lean away from Agriculture and Industy made the odds of having targets more likely.


-------

Looking over the mod notes, it looks like the TA was guaranteed to be in Dranlon street.

That hood was 6 people. I was always uninvestigable, and then TA themselves was as well. From the start,
there were only 4 possible targets
.

If the career hoods were evenly distributed, you would expect there to be exactly one valid target for the TA. Then the neighborizors fire, and possibly ruin that.

So, on average, I think that the TA gets 0.x clears from their ability, and they never get to choose who they are able to invest. it is always chosen for them - and we managed to get two clears on slots that were not already cleared by the scum slip. Which is way better then the expected result.
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Post Post #1488 (isolation #114) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 7:25 am

Post by Lukewarm »

I think that with no scum slip, and with the TA only having one target - this game would have been okay.

The TA was swingy in design, and this roll of the set up gave it about the maximum amount of power it ever could have gotten.
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Post Post #1491 (isolation #115) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 7:27 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1484, Noraa wrote:night 1 doctor was lowkey totally off base because i had just repped it @_@
i docced lukewarm lmao
I think that without the scum slip clearing flea and stephen, I was likely to be the night kill. So you were not terribly far off. - But they stole priority from me lol
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Post Post #1494 (isolation #116) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 7:50 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1492, Noraa wrote:oh yes i would totally shoot lukewarm in the face
<3
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Post Post #1518 (isolation #117) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 11:37 am

Post by Lukewarm »

I really liked my role!

I kind of wished I managed to realize I was uniquely placed before I accidentally outed myself, but I really liked it. I signed up to keep up with a million hoods, and I got that for sure lol
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Post Post #1519 (isolation #118) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 11:40 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Also, it was nice playing with you Tweetie!

I think you were the only new face for me here (except maybe the Alt?)

I really liked the player list for this game we ended up with for this game
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Post Post #1521 (isolation #119) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 12:56 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 16, Lukewarm wrote:Consolation prize, I kinda lean town on the action itself. Like the follow through on it.

Scum!Dunn would presumably know that I already talked about his plan in the other hoods
In post 256, Lukewarm wrote:Hello friends, I am actively avoiding posting, and trying to just read more -- but, I don't think I support a dunn elimination atm
I was not as loud as you were, but I was also standing against a Dunn elimination before it was just because of his role.

I don't think Dunn was all that in danger of dying this game - at least not for a few day phases at a minimum, which would have given him time to just solve the game for us :D
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Post Post #1543 (isolation #120) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:37 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1532, Noraa wrote:i wonder if given different situations i would be scumread for such a strong TR on dunn because ... tmi?
It crossed my mind. But then I thought that scum would really need to have a Dunn miselim happen.

So, my thought was that if you were scum, you had to know he was a FN. But the only people that knew were [Me, Math, and Flea]

But if one of them was your partner, then SM was town, and has an inno on you.
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Post Post #1544 (isolation #121) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:39 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1534, Morning Tweet wrote:Yeah but Noraa locktowned you after reading like 5 of your posts and Luke says he had u as town as well

I just wanna know the key
I don't know that I have a firm grasp of how to read Dunn, but I am trying to lol.

I feel like I am getting a little better, I think I have defending him when others were pushing for his miselim in our last like 3 games together.

I will say that the notion that absent Dunn = scum Dunn is completely trash, and no one should use that as a metric to scum read him ever
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Post Post #1547 (isolation #122) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:44 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1546, Noraa wrote:
In post 1544, Lukewarm wrote:I will say that the notion that absent Dunn = scum Dunn is completely trash
partly true but not really. his activity is pretty much the same.

Which means scum reading him for low activity is a bad way to read him, right?

I feel like you agreed with me
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Post Post #1548 (isolation #123) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:45 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I have seen MANY people say "Dunn is so low activity, this must be scum Dunn" and then consistently be wrong lol
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Post Post #1552 (isolation #124) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:47 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1550, Noraa wrote:it means he's town @_@
I have made this argument before lmao
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Post Post #1554 (isolation #125) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:50 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1624, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for
I did fancy shit because why not?

Spoiler:
Image

So, I ran all three games that you linked as well as every game that I can remember playing with Dunn through the spread sheet. Calculated Dunn's percentage of all posts made day 1 compared to how many players were in the game, then did conditional formatting to color his higher post rate games green. (because you are positing that lurk dunn = scum dunn) to then see if there is any corrolation.

The conditional formatting guessed incorrectly 4 times, got it right 1 time, and then it did not give a result on his middle of the road game.


If anything, this is wrong more then it is right, and lurk Dunn = town Dunn.
In post 1627, Lukewarm wrote:
In post 1588, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:viewtopic.php?f=23&t=87781 - Chromatic Ascension, Dunn was Knight Beige
viewtopic.php?f=83&t=87638 - True Love
viewtopic.php?f=52&t=83971 - Forest Fire

some (semi-)recent samples of lurkscum Dunn
there could be others from games I didn't keep tabs on but it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for

-GE
I'm not lurking in the first 2 games, I'm town in the last game.
omg. If you were town in Forest fire, that would eliminate the singular correct guess based on posting habits, and it will have been wrong in every single listed game lmao
In a prior game, I put in a lot of work to prove that inactive dunn =/= scum dunn
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Post Post #1557 (isolation #126) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 4:09 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

Yeah, but a smathering of 7 random Dunn games showed that Dunn was ALWAYS lower activity then the average player (average post count would have been 100% on my table. He never got there)

Once you correct forrest fire, every game he was between 0-29% he was town.
Every game he was over 50% he was scum

So the really low activity Dunn was town Dunn
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Post Post #1559 (isolation #127) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 4:10 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

I don't use this to read him. I have not actually run the numbers on any of his games since.

But I will laugh at anyone who ever tells me that low activity dunn is scum dunn forever now.
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Post Post #1562 (isolation #128) » Tue Feb 22, 2022 4:11 pm

Post by Lukewarm »

It was more a "Low activity is a terrible reason to think that Dunn is scum" point that I was making
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Post Post #1580 (isolation #129) » Wed Feb 23, 2022 5:13 am

Post by Lukewarm »

In post 1576, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1572, Bell wrote:My dog died during this game.
Same...
I'm sorry Dunn :(
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Post Post #1582 (isolation #130) » Wed Feb 23, 2022 5:28 am

Post by Lukewarm »

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Post Post #1583 (isolation #131) » Wed Feb 23, 2022 5:51 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Subject: MT 2263: Web of Lies - Dranlon Street
Lukewarm wrote:Hey Strange.

Sorry your partner scum slipped like that

Smh
Subject: MT 2263: Web of Lies - ABC Entertainment
Stephen A Smith wrote:I am sorry you replaced into a scum slot SM

Lol
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Post Post #1584 (isolation #132) » Wed Feb 23, 2022 5:57 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Subject: MT 2263: Web of Lies - ABC Entertainment
Stephen A Smith wrote:i dont see the point in neighborizing me when we are already neighbord
Subject: MT 2263: Web of Lies - ABC Entertainment
Ircher wrote:
Stephen A Smith may no longer post here.
The dramatic timing of these two posts being back to back was great.
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Post Post #1585 (isolation #133) » Wed Feb 23, 2022 6:24 am

Post by Lukewarm »

Farmers fresh is a good read

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