Open 846: Murmurings in the Fortress (Game over!)


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Post Post #30 (isolation #0) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 12:59 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

what up.
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Post Post #32 (isolation #1) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 1:40 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

not much, A full area forming already is .... something.
VOTE: Atrium
Looking at this atm
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Post Post #33 (isolation #2) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 1:41 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

Also Inplosion you may want to swnd game Start messages
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Post Post #36 (isolation #3) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 2:03 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

It gives me the most insight to my neighbors because they have to choose me rather than the other way around
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Post Post #40 (isolation #4) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 2:08 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

Don't worry I'll hook us up
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Post Post #45 (isolation #5) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 2:20 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

Spoiler: image
Image


All I got is a saxophone
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Post Post #59 (isolation #6) » Thu Mar 03, 2022 3:25 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 55, The Bulge wrote:
In post 36, MegAzumarill wrote:It gives me the most insight to my neighbors because they have to choose me rather than the other way around
do you think there would be more value in keeping that to yourself?
Nope
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Post Post #78 (isolation #7) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 3:45 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 76, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:my solve rn:

atrium pure town everywhere else is a conspiracy
Wouldn't be surprised if it's the exact opposite rn.
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Post Post #80 (isolation #8) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:01 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

I was under the impression bunker was at most 1/3 scum (it formed so naturally) so you may be right.

Tempted to lock in town here but don't want to jump the gun
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Post Post #84 (isolation #9) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:22 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

you can't change your mind in general
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Post Post #87 (isolation #10) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:24 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

it says that points change when they acknowledge your guess, not when the location is resolved
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Post Post #93 (isolation #11) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:30 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Why wouldn't they?
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Post Post #95 (isolation #12) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:34 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 92, Datisi wrote:enchant can be town

i think if pooky is scum, bulge is too (because i don't see why scum pooky would join to a location that had 2 townies that he would then HAVE to swap out of)

probably the same logic follows for whoever hammered the second location
Elaborate please as I think this is important whether you have good logic or not
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Post Post #100 (isolation #13) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:43 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 98, Datisi wrote:
In post 95, MegAzumarill wrote:
In post 92, Datisi wrote:enchant can be town

i think if pooky is scum, bulge is too (because i don't see why scum pooky would join to a location that had 2 townies that he would then HAVE to swap out of)

probably the same logic follows for whoever hammered the second location
Elaborate please as I think this is important whether you have good logic or not
i went to eat, chill

i don't think scum voluntarily locks in a choice that would severely limit their night swap options

and if scum!pooky locked into a me/bulge location, then they're probably both scum
Having 2 scum in one area is more limiting than one, because with 2 scum you can't break that up and with 1 you can both swap another scum in or swap the Scum in it out.
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Post Post #101 (isolation #14) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:43 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 99, Enchant wrote:Little reminder, it's possibility we have no scum at all.

But it's loooooooooooooooooooooow (25%).
12.5%
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Post Post #103 (isolation #15) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:45 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

It's in the original setup in Mafia discussion but it's determined by 3 coins so that middle values are more likely.

It's 1/8 for 6 or 0. 3/8 for 2 or 4
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Post Post #109 (isolation #16) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:49 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

want to hear what other people think of datisi and their arguement atm
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Post Post #115 (isolation #17) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 4:57 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Hearth: 3 (
MathBlade
, DkKoba, imaginality)
Bunker: 3 (
Datisi
, The Bulge,
MegAzumarill
)
Atrium: 3 (PookyTheMagicalBear, Fat Labrador,
Enchant
)

Almost have a solve already which is nice
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Post Post #120 (isolation #18) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 5:03 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Your logic is poor and appears posed to make bunker look like a conspiracy, which I don't think is the case due to Datisis's play
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Post Post #127 (isolation #19) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 5:07 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Well I'm either way off base and will get scum influence out or I'm correct and we go from there but....
No conspiracy
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Post Post #128 (isolation #20) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 5:09 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 124, MathBlade wrote:
In post 120, MegAzumarill wrote:Your logic is poor and appears posed to make bunker look like a conspiracy, which I don't think is the case due to Datisis's play
What about it is poor?
Seems right to me.

I went through every possibility of you and Pooky that exists. What do you disagree with?
You referenced back to your old post which was basically nothing (there's either a conspiracy or not, who knew) except you removed the possibility of the group being T/T/T
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Post Post #132 (isolation #21) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 5:11 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 129, Enchant wrote:You need to PM this, not write publically.
I have but still announcing because it means others should wait until it resolves for more info.



If I am in a conspiracy I remove 2 scum voices and a wrong one so I'm fine with that
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Post Post #137 (isolation #22) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 5:16 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Game continues if I'm scum and I'll still be in it so try again
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Post Post #142 (isolation #23) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 5:19 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

I mean theoretically I could use it to try and convince the town in my group to vote no consp
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Post Post #152 (isolation #24) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 8:28 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Well I have some good news, Bunker is T/T/T
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Post Post #153 (isolation #25) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 9:36 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

good talk everyone
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Post Post #157 (isolation #26) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 11:10 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

It literally is though
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Post Post #158 (isolation #27) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 11:11 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Location becomes resolved after all townies send their choice.

If there was a conspiracy bunker would've been resolved (fmpov at least)
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Post Post #163 (isolation #28) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 11:34 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 162, The Bulge wrote:curious that megazumaril has no reaction at all to the swap
Why would you think I would? It's not like it changes a whole lot fmpov and I was expecting bunker to have a swap anyway
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Post Post #168 (isolation #29) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 11:47 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

(facepalm)
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Post Post #176 (isolation #30) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 11:57 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Is there anyone who thinks hearth is triple town tbh?
If we can just resolve that as conspiracy we can easily finish
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Post Post #183 (isolation #31) » Sun Mar 06, 2022 3:58 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

I think I'll double down that hearth is conspiracy and should resolve before bunker continues.
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Post Post #214 (isolation #32) » Mon Mar 07, 2022 12:48 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 211, imaginality wrote:
In post 191, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:Hearth: 3 (MathBlade, DkKoba, imaginality)

let's go imagi

send Koba/Mathblade to kingdom come

do it big
We've got like 9 days, chill madi.

That also goes for Koba too.

I'm mostly around for the next six hours or so.

This whole Pooky going hard on Koba thing makes me want to see Pooky flip before I have to lock in a vote for Hearth so I know whether Pooky's town or scum.

On the one hand, scum!Pooky doesn't gain much from making me misvote Conspiracy as it just gains 1 point for scum, whereas persuading a townie to misvote No Conspiracy gains 3 points. So I'd feel warier of someone trying to convince me (or someone else) about No Conspiracy.

Then again, if it turns out Atrium is pure and Bunker is too, all scum!Pooky can do regarding those other ocations is try to convince people to misvote Conspiracy.

I currently have a gut feel for all three locations, gonna reread in a bit to see if my future self agrees.
9 days is for all 3, and we should resolve some before others

If atri is pure pooky isn't scum in the first place,

A correct conspiracy vote from either hearth or Atrium leaves bunker in a winning state
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Post Post #238 (isolation #33) » Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:07 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

hallo
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Post Post #240 (isolation #34) » Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:11 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

>:(
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Post Post #242 (isolation #35) » Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:35 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

sad goon noises*

oh wait wrong thread
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Post Post #243 (isolation #36) » Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:36 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

Reading me atp for my actions in bunker is pretty pointless anyway as I already know the alignments of them so my play with it is identical regardless of alignment.
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Post Post #297 (isolation #37) » Wed Mar 09, 2022 10:08 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Can we have anyone who has received acknowledgement if their pick say so in bold so we have clear claims because I don't follow atm.
For example:
I submitted town and was acknowledged
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Post Post #306 (isolation #38) » Wed Mar 09, 2022 11:25 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

Koba you aren't helping yourself look good fmpov.
This is why hearth should precede bunker because the pressure from hearth to vote conspiracy should make it clear there is none if hearth flips conspiracy. (Especially if scum is koba and math)
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Post Post #310 (isolation #39) » Wed Mar 09, 2022 11:29 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

I mean if you are town we have bigger problems than your voice
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Post Post #312 (isolation #40) » Wed Mar 09, 2022 11:29 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

what else is new
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Post Post #333 (isolation #41) » Wed Mar 09, 2022 2:33 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

interesting
kind of
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Post Post #352 (isolation #42) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:17 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 350, Datisi wrote:ok here's like, the tea

the fact that the flips and claims are what they are, i have to get the choice right or we lose. and the fact that my initial instinct on koba/math being scum turned out to be correct, i am very tempted to sheep past!datsi. and past datisi saw bulge as bullshitting.

so, meg, bulge, you two have some 12-18 hours to convince me you're town and i should vote no conspiracy. i don't feel like spending too much time on this game because i'm sick and tired and lol conspiracy meme game.

actually - has anyone claimed to have submitted anything in the pooky/enchant/dog location? ok gn
I mean math and koba were trying to push us as scum so........ maybe sheep correct!Meg instead
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Post Post #353 (isolation #43) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:27 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

like say what it is, do you think it's a double buss gambit or not
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Post Post #355 (isolation #44) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:34 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

ur not the important one though
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Post Post #361 (isolation #45) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:46 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

honestly not sure
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Post Post #363 (isolation #46) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:47 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

gth it's scum
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Post Post #366 (isolation #47) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:51 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

see you're acting like it can't be you as the only town in there but fypov as town that is easily possible

I said the same about hearth and you think I'm scum so why would that make you clear
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Post Post #369 (isolation #48) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:55 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

I have more enthusiasm as scum tho
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Post Post #374 (isolation #49) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 10:58 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 370, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:scum usually dont have enthusiasm when they bus

town will be loud and obnoxious about what they believe in
Scum usually have a lot of effort to put only into persuasion.
Why do you think your group is t/t/t
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Post Post #377 (isolation #50) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 11:00 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

You've acted that way though
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Post Post #380 (isolation #51) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 11:02 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

what's your plan if datisi presses town and we resolve t/t/t
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Post Post #405 (isolation #52) » Thu Mar 10, 2022 1:48 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

(jeopardy music)
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Post Post #429 (isolation #53) » Fri Mar 11, 2022 10:08 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

datisi is hardclear town
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Post Post #439 (isolation #54) » Sun Mar 13, 2022 5:31 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 72, implosion wrote:
PookyTheMagicalBear
and
MegAzumarill
have swapped locations!

Location StatusHearth: 3 (MathBlade, DkKoba, imaginality)
Bunker: 3 (Datisi, The Bulge, MegAzumarill)
Atrium: 3 (PookyTheMagicalBear, Fat Labrador, Enchant)


It is now Day Two. Deadline is in 10 days at midnight PST on March 16, in (expired on 2022-03-16 04:00:00).

As a reminder:
I will ignore any declarations made in-thread on day two. To submit a guess, you must PM me.
Deadline is approaching
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Post Post #448 (isolation #55) » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:21 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

If Enchant is town it is either 2: 4 (Meg/Bulge town) or 1:3 (if we are scum)
Either way datisi's vote cannot win game for town on its own. Doggo or pooky will have to make a call.
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Post Post #449 (isolation #56) » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:22 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

if Enchant is scum then it's 1:4 or 0: 3 respectively
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Post Post #450 (isolation #57) » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:22 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

pagetop
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Post Post #454 (isolation #58) » Mon Mar 14, 2022 11:38 pm

Post by MegAzumarill »

Bulge voted scum already
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Post Post #456 (isolation #59) » Tue Mar 15, 2022 12:03 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

yes
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Post Post #471 (isolation #60) » Tue Mar 15, 2022 9:12 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

In post 460, Datisi wrote:ok i will TRY to spend fifteen (15) minutes on this bs
In post 306, MegAzumarill wrote:Koba you aren't helping yourself look good fmpov.
This is why hearth should precede bunker because the pressure from hearth to vote conspiracy should make it clear there is none if hearth flips conspiracy. (Especially if scum is koba and math)
this is a very spicy post, meg what made you post this?
Koba was making bunker appear to have a conspiracy which I knew wasn't the case. In fact Mathblade early on was already leaning in that direction which is why I thought bunker might be town to begin with and why I submitted (among 2 other reasons, my stance on day 1 and my townread of you)

Turns out my analysis was correct, unfortunate it wasn't believed.
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Post Post #474 (isolation #61) » Tue Mar 15, 2022 9:26 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

it's ok
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Post Post #475 (isolation #62) » Tue Mar 15, 2022 9:27 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

you know in your heart the creepy bunny won't lie to you
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Post Post #477 (isolation #63) » Tue Mar 15, 2022 9:29 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

werewolf
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Post Post #499 (isolation #64) » Tue Mar 15, 2022 10:50 am

Post by MegAzumarill »

GGWP scum
Imprefection is the spice of life.

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