Large Normal 240: Baileyposting [game over]
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It's the idea that you didn't know the reason for your vote until Crescent pointed it out that I don't believe.In post 28, Vivax wrote: Why do you not believe that I had a good reason to find your entrance worth a vote? The last game we played in together you used the same and I didn't know if it was a standard opener of yours.- UNOwen
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Why?In post 78, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:Posts 21 and 22 suggest that MegAzumarill and Vivax are not both mafia.- UNOwen
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Sure that's possible but it seems more likely that if you noticed my first post it would be because you also noticed that it was the same as our previous game.In post 108, Vivax wrote: To me it seems like a natural way of thinking:
See thing that somehow pings you for pure gut reasons. Get pointed out that the one who pinged you did the same opener as mafia in the previous game. Conclude that maybe that's why it pinged me because of the latent memory.- UNOwen
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I think she could make those posts as scum, they're null to me.In post 116, MegAzumarill wrote: Would you agree with the takeaway that crescent is town from that interaction?
That was my takeaway from that- UNOwen
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What does this mean?In post 103, Vivax wrote: Geraint's post within the scope of thinking that no one already tried what he did.- UNOwen
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Because the alternative is you got spooked by "hello everyone".In post 123, Vivax wrote: Why does it seem more likely?
Suspicious attempt at saying "don't expect much from me".In post 124, Vivax wrote: Tell me what his post looks like to you and I’ll answer.- UNOwen
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Could you expand on what you think is going on between me and Vivax?In post 176, Greeting wrote: I am townreadingVivaxfor tone, this thing going on between them is NAI imo. 119 suggests it's something coming from a past game.- UNOwen
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In post 189, Fredrick A Campbell wrote: Was post 126 telling Vivax what you think geraintm's post looks like to you?
Postscript: post 124 for more context.
Spoiler:- UNOwen
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Agree that Enchant is town.In post 322, FancyPants wrote:OK Enchant is town too, this game's gonna be easy when everyone starts posting.
UNVOTE: Vivax
VOTE: MegAzumarill- UNOwen
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Why aren't you bothered by the wagon against you?In post 334, MegAzumarill wrote: If the only read you have on someone is tonal why would you think its a bad wagon.
To me this feels like tmi that I'm town.
Also dont like the MT vote.
VOTE: Fancypants- UNOwen
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@Crescent^I think this part of his read list in particular looks genuine, lazy scum would more likely have the reads flipped as easier to justify.
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I think this is very correct.In post 461, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:
this is a scum post because it doesn't state what meg's opinion of Unowen isIn post 156, MegAzumarill wrote:This doesn't feel like a scum push from Vivax, but I don't quite get it.
Vivax can you resummarize why you think Unowen is scum- UNOwen
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@Meg
It's cool that FancyPants answered, but this question was addressed to you.In post 422, FancyPants wrote:
Not really no.In post 365, UNOwen wrote: Why aren't you bothered by the wagon against you?
Anyone on my wagon is welcome to ask me questions, I haven't seen anything to address as of yet.- UNOwen
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With Fred I was irritated at him for asking about geraintm, which I thought was obvious at that point. His follow up question to Vivax suggested he was asking for Vivax's benefit as much as his own, and not as I first assumed just trying to imply that my initial post didn't look like an answer. He could still be scum, but I at least misjudged his initial interaction with me.In post 442, Crescent wrote: Owen still has given zero explanation for his Meg vote (a common theme in this game apparently), and he made it over 24 hours ago. The post before that Meg vote was shading Fred. How does this connect?- UNOwen
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What's your read on Meg?In post 476, Andante wrote: these don't sound too bad tbh- UNOwen
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Since Meg hasn't answered still, the reason I'm asking about his opinion on the wagon is that I'd expect someone who had the reaction they had to the mini pileup on Fred would also show a bit of concern about scum being involved in the almost completely unexplained five vote wagon against himself. Responding to it by ignoring the votes and instead accusing FancyPants of tmi for calling it a bad wagon doesn't seem consistent. To me it looks like Meg couldn't tell whether the wagon was a bluff or not and didn't want to risk looking scummy by overreacting.- UNOwen
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Where did this idea about no elimination come from?In post 471, FancyPants wrote: For the love of all that is holy I can we not no-elim on day 1, there seems to be some talk that we won't reach a lim. For the record I stand by my townreads of:
{vivax, greeting, Crescent, Prince, Andante, MegAzumaril} from post 311 and I'll add Enchant and Fred, I'll gladly vote with this block.- UNOwen
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You seem to have missed 508.In post 592, Andante wrote: did bugspray claim maf? what did I miss?- UNOwen
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Adante = town.
My hesitation with Fred is that Lowell abandoned the Meg wagon for Fred just as it began to gather momentum, and then didn't return until it was clear the Meg wagon was serious. So it seemed like Lowell might have been trying to defuse the pressure on his buddy which obviously doesn't work if Fred is also scum.- UNOwen
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Eh, I didn't really see the wagon as having stalled for that long. There was about a week until deadline, it felt like Meg being at least put at E-1 was only a matter of time.In post 805, Crescent wrote: Lowell ended up probably the single hardest person in the game on Meg's train though, as he was really pushing that to be hammered after stalling out for so long. It's theoretically "possible" that Meg disappeared intentionally just to let Lowell do this, but that's kind of a total bush-league play.- UNOwen
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Why?In post 819, Greeting wrote:Most likely one of them is, least likely both are town.- UNOwen
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I don't think it's that complicated, Lowell's wagon swapping looks scummy and Lowell scum would clear Fred.In post 863, Vivax wrote: I tried to puzzle together the purpose behind this post.
Looking at Lowell's ISO it doesn't seem like one should assume that they wanted to defuse pressure. Both Fred and Meg were their scumreads and it looks like they were flexibly swapping between the wagons.
The post above implies a 100% scumread on Lowell considering that the purpose of that post seems to be at mostto townread Fred off Lowells presumed mafia-alignment, but nowhere else is there an indication of a Lowell scumread from Owen.
UNOwen claimed Malcolms hammer was bad and there's a decent wagon right from SoD, but didn't vote.
Spoiler:
So
VOTE: UNOwen
You aren't considering the context of his votes. When he switched to Fred, the Meg wagon had reached 5 and the Fred wagon was at 4. Since his last post the Meg wagon had gained 3 votes, while Fred wagon gained 2 which it lost in the same period. So with two scumreads why not stick on the wagon with momentum? Then when the Fred wagon fell apart, his next vote switch was against Prince (who didn't have any other voters at that point) instead of returning to the Meg wagon which still had 4 votes. No mention of Meg in those posts either (454,455). It wasn't until arguments started being pushed for Meg being scum that Lowell rejoined the wagon - but he was claiming to scumread Meg already, so he wouldn't need persuasion.- UNOwen
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Yo, Greeting:In post 822, UNOwen wrote:
Why?In post 819, Greeting wrote:Most likely one of them is, least likely both are town.- UNOwen
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No it isn't, but ok.In post 884, Greeting wrote: I ignored this question before, because the answer to it is in the very post you quoted.- UNOwen
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Is that just for the early vote, do you disagree with 866?In post 912, MalcolmTucker wrote: Wasn't too keen on Lowell D1 but also almost close to confirmed town for me from the info we have now.- UNOwen
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What's your reasoning, and why not give it in this post?
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Don't see the case against FancyPants/Unsure. FancyPants was a little LAMISTy, but that felt like it was his personality. The only thing that looked out of place to me was his concern over a non-elimination which could be explained as him skimming over and misreading Crescent's 449. I think his reaction to Meg's vote better fits as town reacting to a town read acting scummy than as scum reacting to a scum buddy acting scummy. He probably would have used Meg's vote against him as an opportunity to distance rather than doubling down on defending Meg if they were both scum.- UNOwen
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I think you shouldn't be giving town reads so easily, considering you were just wrong about Meg. You're also one of the main wagons today. Both of these should I think prompt you to be less trusting and more doubtful at the state of the game. I get that you adjusted in 1016, but this is after pressure and not something that you came to yourself so I'm not giving it much weight.In post 1010, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:Spoiler: 1003
So, your reason for voting me is because I shouldn't townread players.
As for whether I think you're mafia: probably. I'm not certain. It's definitely possible you're town who has this approach to the game. At this point though you've crossed the line where I can consider this plausible as town. Prime example:
You randomly decided to vote the player no-one else was pushing instead of the one with the lead wagon? Out of a pool of only three players?In post 943, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:Crescent I'm townreading for attempting to find mafia.
Firebringer I'm voting because Firebringer is one of the players I'm not townreading.
MalcolmTucker is also a player I'm not townreading, but I've randomly decided to go for Firebringer first.- UNOwen
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This is a decent point.In post 1081, Crescent wrote: It's pinging me like crazy is he just made a terrible excuse to get off of the vote, that also completely goes against what happened yesterday (where the player this same pattern happened on actually was scum). The reason he unvoted does not feel like a town reason. It feels manufactured. This doesn't feel like a bus vote on Fred and an odd late unvote because they're scum together - This feels like Enchant helping push the wagon forward, then finding an excuse to get off of it so he won't be on it when it flipsgreen
This isn't a great response. How were your words intended to be understood?In post 1102, Enchant wrote:Or you just misunderstand my words hard.- UNOwen
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The policy of post more than Dwlee if you don't want to die.In post 1332, Gamma Emerald wrote: What “policy” is a Mala vote enforcing?- UNOwen
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You said your reason for townreading Malcolm was meta. Does this hold with his passivity on day 2?In post 1396, Greeting wrote:I am wondering why, in spite of being townread so widely, my reads, which I feel are very widely substantiated, are not being shared by the vast majority of players. The fact that there are players who supposedly townread me and whom I townread (Crescentcomes to mind) and who for some reason keep refusing to work with me leads us nowhere. It's giving me a real headache and making me wonder if there is a point in me even speaking about my scumreads anymore.
And yes, some of you people who say are townreading me are lying scum who just know that there is not enough suspicion to scapegoat me and throw me out.- UNOwen
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I'm not paranoid about either Crescent or Greeting, both are surely town.
Good reminder that I wanted Malcolm to answer 918.In post 1408, Crescent wrote: Specifically this post. I don't think scum makes this post as the vote leader concerning someone scum would pretty desperately want to see remain in the POE in Lowell. This one post gives me a soft town read on Malcolm, as it's a thought no one else in the game specifically wrote out. and it feels like a genuine process to sort Lowell.- UNOwen
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Greeting voting Meg early, explaining it was a serious vote before it was clear that Pooky was also serious, Meg's non-reaction to the initial wagon (I think he would have engaged with it more if he had a buddy on board). It looks very town and genuine to me.In post 1420, Crescent wrote:
What makes either of us "surely town"?In post 1418, UNOwen wrote:I'm not paranoid about either Crescent or Greeting, both are surely town.
You are town mostly because of your endless will to solve but also your activity at end of day 1, debating with Unsure, thinking about Fred/Meg and getting frustrated about the lack of anyone else being around. IMO scum already saw the writing on the wall for Meg by then, so that you thought it was dragging puts you in a clear town perspective.- UNOwen
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Well exactly, I believe you didn't think the writing was on the wall (and still don't). For me though Meg's 557 and subsequent absence was pure "scum knows it's over and attempts some WIFOM for post flip" and I imagine that the rest of the scum team had a similar perspective.In post 1428, Crescent wrote:I don't think the writing was on the wall for Meg yet.
But also you kind of contradicted your own point.. If scum thought the writing was on the wall for Meg, scum shouldwantto vote Meg in that situation, as very early hammers often benefit scum more than town. My vote was placed because it was dragging, but there's also a pretty clear potential scum motive for having placed it as well that you flat out just pointed out, especially when you combine that I was pairing Meg and Fred, and am the leading cause of why Fred died yesterday, when my vote didn't even end on him because he suddenly went from -3 to dead in a flash.
But yeah, that was pretty ridiculous that Lowell and I suddenly seemed to be the only two players interested in content and it's part of why I got townpings from him in the moment.. His behavior has also remained almost entirely consistent since them.
I don't follow your talk about a contradiction. Could you explain it again?- UNOwen
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Right, yes, that's not my point though. It's that I don't think your perception of the game at that time (no-one's contributing, just me and Lowell) was the perception you'd have if you were scum (who I believe were already looking ahead to day 2 at that point).In post 1432, Crescent wrote:If you think scum thought the writing was on the wall, it makes objective sense for me as scum to place the vote on Meg when I did.
Though really, I've seen town go inactive for 30+ hours before under pressure here. I was basically trying to put him in "post or die" mode.- UNOwen
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To expand on this I did think your point against Enchant was decent, just not unanswerable.In post 1428, Crescent wrote: He'd make comments such as I made a "decent" point against Enchant, but it didn't feel like he was really pursing them.
Since he didn't deem us worthy of an explanation we can only guess what he was thinking with the unvote, my best guess is that it was a reaction to Malcolm's 1066 (and I suppose possibly also Greeting but that didn't stand out to me) which was indeed weirdly cautious. 1076 can then be seen as Enchant describing why scum Malcolm would want to offer support to the Fred wagon but be hesitant about giving intent to hammer. This doesn't seem AI to me, Enchant could be town who thought it was suspicious and unvoted or scum who thought it looked suspicious and tried to fake the reaction he would have to it as town.
That Enchant seemingly dropped this point and hasn't bothered following it up makes me lean towards it being the latter case though. Town who feel they have a genuine point that was misinterpreted would still want to go back to it, scum are more likely to be the ones backing off in the face of a bad response.- UNOwen
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It would be helpful if you have any scumgames that demonstrate your engagement isn't alignment dependent, because my current reference is that from skimming through your ISO in 2275 you seemed more involved.In post 1469, MalcolmTucker wrote: Honestly, nothing near a full one. Been struggling to get into this game/be fully engaged with it, unsure why, just hasn't clicked yet. Happy to case any players/go through any thoughts you want to quiz me on though.
I was also hoping for an elaboration on your Lowell read.- UNOwen
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How can you say that, I'm the most honest and transparent person there ever was.In post 1465, Vivax wrote: Team liar leader outing the mafia in this post?- UNOwen
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Why?In post 1466, geraintm wrote: Unsure 1419 i don't like.- UNOwen
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Apparently so should I...In post 1518, Vivax wrote: I really should learn how to write a joke
(I got you weren't being serious, neither was I)- UNOwen
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Why?
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I'm not sure whether you're genuinely pushing me on this post, but if so you're correct that it was a loaded question. The most logical answer was that Meg was scum, and by pushing him on it I was trying to draw attention to an argument that I hoped would convince people. Of course there was a chance Meg would be town and have an answer that didn't occur to me too, I wasn't expecting it by then though.In post 1562, Vivax wrote: This post doesn't look good to me. It's a loaded question.
Loaded questions aren't genuine information seeking.- UNOwen
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If you're saying a more subtle approach might've got an answer then yeah, possibly. Accusing questions shouldn't shake townies though.In post 1568, Vivax wrote: Your expectation that they would flip mafia flowed into the post and so you worded it too aggressively imo.
The mafia curse of wanting to look right.- UNOwen
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VOTE: Lowell
This is the way forward. My reasoning is 866, but the short explanation is that Lowell gave this:
as his excuse to jump from the scum Meg wagon with momentum, to the town Fred wagon that was faltering. And then went on a vanity vote against Prince rather than immediately return to the Meg wagon when the Fred wagon collapsed.In post 357, Lowell wrote: Biggest scumread that stands out to me that I didn't notice before isprince. Not going to derail the perfectly goodFredwagon but if this feckless town chickens out let's do him orMegnext.Andantelooks worse than I remember. Some likely towns are:gerain, crescent, pooky, vivax.- UNOwen
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Great point!In post 1570, UNOwen wrote:VOTE: Lowell
This is the way forward. My reasoning is 866, but the short explanation is that Lowell gave this:
as his excuse to jump from the scum Meg wagon with momentum, to the town Fred wagon that was faltering. And then went on a vanity vote against Prince rather than immediately return to the Meg wagon when the Fred wagon collapsed.In post 357, Lowell wrote: Biggest scumread that stands out to me that I didn't notice before isprince. Not going to derail the perfectly goodFredwagon but if this feckless town chickens out let's do him orMegnext.Andantelooks worse than I remember. Some likely towns are:gerain, crescent, pooky, vivax.
VOTE: Lowell- UNOwen
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In what world do you believe scum have you as a priority target?In post 1622, Lowell wrote:Prince deserves more scorn for 1571 than UnOwen does for 1570, btw. Looks to me like scum is waiting for a chance to get rid of me and jumping on the first dumb idea.- UNOwen
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The reason I doubt Prince is scum is pretty much what you just said Crescent. If he's scum then chose to spend most of his energy day 1 on backing me up, which given my thread presence is surely a terrible investment from a scum POV. Alternatively he's just a townie who found some of my posts agreeable/understandable. This doesn't seem very unreasonable to me. I agree the Pooky push doesn't look great in context, apart from that though I don't have any issues with his posts. He looks like town approaching the game in a rational way, theoretically his posts could be faked by scum, but it could also be exactly what it looks like. There's not much of an argument that I can see for him actually being scum. - UNOwen
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