Open 859 - C9++ - Postgame


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Post Post #19 (isolation #0) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 12:24 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 17, Lucian wrote:Welp. I thought the banter in was between friends or acquaintances, but if not, then it gives a weird pockety, overly-friendly vibe.

froggo is hitting a lot of "awkward scum in the early game" pings.
This is exactly what I think about you atm

VOTE: Lucian
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Post Post #27 (isolation #1) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 12:30 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 20, Lucian wrote:Bold claim. Klick can be Town, I don't think scum's first idea is to attack me for being too friendly when most of my 3 existing posts are criticizing someone.

And, froggo, sure, maybe you are just being friendly. In which case I hope I figure it out.
To clarify, I meant the 'awkward scum in the early game' part, not the friendly part.
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Post Post #29 (isolation #2) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 12:35 pm

Post by Klick »

Infinity 324 wrote:why is lucian awkward?

VOTE: hiraki
In post 17, Lucian wrote:Welp. I thought the banter in was between friends or acquaintances, but if not, then it gives a weird pockety, overly-friendly vibe.

froggo is hitting a lot of "awkward scum in the early game" pings.
This doesn't feel natural to me at all.
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Post Post #33 (isolation #3) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 12:44 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 31, froggodoggo wrote:not a fan of giving locktowns on page 1
Why's that?
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Post Post #40 (isolation #4) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 1:09 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 37, Infinity 324 wrote:
In post 29, Klick wrote:
Infinity 324 wrote:why is lucian awkward?

VOTE: hiraki
In post 17, Lucian wrote:Welp. I thought the banter in was between friends or acquaintances, but if not, then it gives a weird pockety, overly-friendly vibe.

froggo is hitting a lot of "awkward scum in the early game" pings.
This doesn't feel natural to me at all.
can you elaborate on this? maybe it's because we always used to try to squeeze as much info as possible out of rvs, but this actually seems quite genuine to me.

-james
I read it as oversharing. I think Lucian wants to be seen as solving more than he actually wants to solve.
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Post Post #76 (isolation #5) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 7:43 pm

Post by Klick »

Hello lovely people

This froggo guy is town
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Post Post #83 (isolation #6) » Sun Jul 17, 2022 11:58 pm

Post by Klick »

@furtive: Elaborate on the CSF sus vibes?
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Post Post #97 (isolation #7) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 5:51 am

Post by Klick »

In post 90, Infinity 324 wrote:VOTE: klick i didn't like their reply to the lucian thing.
Can you elaborate on this?
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Post Post #117 (isolation #8) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 6:10 am

Post by Klick »

In post 105, Lucian wrote:
In post 103, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:VOTE: Lucian

Scum detected.
Is this one gonna be more interesting than "you're being awkward"?
Why so worried about a read that's not that interesting?
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Post Post #132 (isolation #9) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 6:19 am

Post by Klick »

In post 113, Infinity 324 wrote:
In post 97, Klick wrote:
In post 90, Infinity 324 wrote:VOTE: klick i didn't like their reply to the lucian thing.
Can you elaborate on this?
you were a little closed to engagement in a way that seemed +scum to us. early game i'd expect town to want to engage; e.g. "here's why i think lucian here is scummy rather than overeager town" or just "i think being overexplaining in that way is +scum early on"

-idk

pedit: gamma could be scum
That's a completely valid take; I actively didn't want to elaborate fully because I wanted to keep seeing the observations I was seeing without influencing them or letting Lucian choose to play around them. So yes, I was hesitant to engage heavily there.

PEdit: holy posts
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Post Post #178 (isolation #10) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 9:09 am

Post by Klick »

In post 165, Gamma Emerald wrote:@Lucian this post feels pretty deep for Klick (I don’t exactly rate his scumgame highly)
I can't even remember the last time I played as scum, how do you people all have a read on my abilities as a scum player? :P
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Post Post #189 (isolation #11) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 11:12 am

Post by Klick »

TOWN
Klick
Hiraki
froggodoggo
Aisa
Gamma Emerald
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Post Post #244 (isolation #12) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 5:39 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 198, Lucian wrote:Klick, could you give me your updated thoughts on my slot, please?
I like your thoughts on BBT in , and on Dunnstral in . Aside from those, I'm fairly null on you. I could easily see your posts so far coming from either scum or town.
In post 205, Gamma Emerald wrote:VOTE: furtiveglance
the more I think about his responses to me the more his play feels like a dead fish
This was close to my initial thoughts upon seeing furtive's . Reading through the game Aisa posted though does make me feel like there's a pretty clear difference between there and here. I think there's a decent chance that furtive's alignment will become obvious over time, and there are better choices for a vote.
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Post Post #246 (isolation #13) » Mon Jul 18, 2022 8:23 pm

Post by Klick »

Why should I vote BBT?
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Post Post #251 (isolation #14) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 12:17 am

Post by Klick »

Sheeping conftown onto a lim target is a severely underrated strategy and towns should do much more often than they do

People are just hesitant to vote against their own personal reads, but it's often correct to do so to achieve a fully town-influenced elimination

So yeah, I'd be down for sheeping Hiraki today as a concept.
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Post Post #256 (isolation #15) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:28 am

Post by Klick »

In post 252, Gamma Emerald wrote:
In post 251, Klick wrote:Sheeping conftown onto a lim target is a severely underrated strategy and towns should do much more often than they do

People are just hesitant to vote against their own personal reads, but it's often correct to do so to achieve a fully town-influenced elimination

So yeah, I'd be down for sheeping Hiraki today as a concept.
Does Hiraki have historically good reads?
Without really knowing about Hiraki's read strength, probably better than the average D1 scum elimination rate?
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Post Post #257 (isolation #16) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:32 am

Post by Klick »

Logically, an elimination decided by 100% town is on average better than an elimination decided by 10/13 or 11/13 town because the decision is entirely made by players with the town win condition. This becomes more obvious the closer to ELo you are, as evidenced by the Not Quite Normal Mtuball game that just finished
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Post Post #261 (isolation #17) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:36 am

Post by Klick »

The info is still there in the form of what people wanted from the day, you just have to actually analyse it
We could even just give Hiraki the 'power' to veto what we all decide to do for the day and make his own decision if he wants to play around that
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Post Post #262 (isolation #18) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:38 am

Post by Klick »

I'm satisfied with my vote at the moment and I don't have a place I'd rather it be. I don't have any outright scumreads.
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Post Post #264 (isolation #19) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 4:10 am

Post by Klick »

Gamma's posting reads as genuine and solving-oriented
Specifically I liked his reasoning for townreading myself and Infinity and it showed evidence of a towny thought process
Since then, I've also been a fan of his probing/thoughts on furtive. I'm convinced that Gamma's motivation for posting right now is to solve this game (in a way that feels notably different from the game we just finished together where he was scum).
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Post Post #278 (isolation #20) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:29 am

Post by Klick »

We'd still get plenty of information to solve with tho
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Post Post #281 (isolation #21) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:32 am

Post by Klick »

The day deadline is in 5 days, 5 hours, 5 minutes.

Sweet
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Post Post #282 (isolation #22) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:34 am

Post by Klick »

It would just look different than your typical mafia game, but we wouldn't be at a loss for info.
This isn't the most productive conversation topic though
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Post Post #287 (isolation #23) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:47 am

Post by Klick »

In post 235, Hiraki wrote:okay last point and then i'm gonna sleep on this game for the night - does anyone TR infinity?
Infinity can go in the town pile
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Post Post #288 (isolation #24) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:48 am

Post by Klick »

Not an intentional quote, but relevant!
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Post Post #289 (isolation #25) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:48 am

Post by Klick »

VOTE: CSF

I feel pretty similarly
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Post Post #291 (isolation #26) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:58 am

Post by Klick »

CSF is at E-2


Didn't notice, ty.
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Post Post #317 (isolation #27) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 8:36 am

Post by Klick »

People I would vote today:

Cat Scratch Fever
Dunnstral
Lucian
BlueBloodedToffee
Malakittens
Enchant
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Post Post #413 (isolation #28) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:00 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 392, Dunnstral wrote:VOTE: Klick

I didn't like their arguing that Hiraki should decide the elimination and that we had info to work with because I think they know better than to push for that kind of thing on day 1. We would have little to work with if we did this. Further, I don't think that there is a lot of information to solve the game with right now and am surprised that they think otherwise, and that they are creating town/scum lists this early. Finally, I didn't like their wagon vote on CSF.
So I've stated townreads on four players, not including myself and the IC. I've explained the Gamma townread (and I think Gamma's interactions with you just now make it even more clear that Gamma is town). Froggo, Aisa, and Infinity are townreads that I have not explained. Are there any that you're curious about in particular, or is it just a general 'how does Klick have 4 townreads on Page 13' kind of thing?

I don't think the game would be stunted for info by any means if we decided to let Hiraki control the elimination. But I also think that even if it was, that doesn't really affect our chances of eliminating scum today that much. I suspect even low-info educated guesses are more accurate than a typical D1 elimination. (My favourite argument against doing this has been Infinity's 'I'd just like to play Mafia' comment, because I feel like it captures most people's actual issue with going with a sheeping plan - their own lack of agency over the situation).
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Post Post #414 (isolation #29) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:01 pm

Post by Klick »

I don't think Enchant is particularly scummy.
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Post Post #419 (isolation #30) » Tue Jul 19, 2022 3:56 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 415, Dunnstral wrote:I don't like how fast you sorted people into town/willing to vote as I tend to think of you as somebody who plays things a bit slower, so it does feel like rushing to me. That and the fact that a lot of your reads here are not backed up by anything. I also think of you as somebody who would be saying "I'd like to play mafia" as well; and I don't think that having Hiraki dictate the elimination is that great of a play.
The reason I typically play things slower is because most games move much faster than I can keep up with; in contrast, this game has been much more reasonably paced and I've been able to play in the moment a bit. Before the big spike in average game activity over the last couple of years, you'll see games from me that more closely match this pace. Part of this could also be that this is a Mini-sized game instead of a Large, so having opinions on 4-5 people feels a lot more substantial than it does in a larger game.

At the same time, I feel like we've got a decent amount of content so far from almost every slot. Mala and Enchant haven't really been around, but other than them I feel like everyone's had some amount of impact on the game so far. And I'm satisfied with the reads that I have developed. Aisa feels clearly town to me, so does Gamma. I'd be pretty impressed if froggo was scum. Infinity I'm a bit less confident in, but / both felt really good to me. For what we've got to work with, I'm happy with my reads.

What makes you think I'd typically rather play D1 normally than do something like follow Hiraki?
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Post Post #428 (isolation #31) » Wed Jul 20, 2022 12:27 am

Post by Klick »

In post 422, Dunnstral wrote:This is pretty compelling reasoning for why you would be playing differently. I don't like how vague you've been with your townreads here.

UNVOTE:

I don't have any confident reads, also I'm not ready to end the day yet, the game just started.

I don't have a good answer for your last question, I just didn't think that you would push for that.
Would you say that this vagueness is different from other times you've seen me in any particular way? I feel as though this is an intrinsic, almost intentional part of my current play style, so it's curious to me that you're interested in it here in particular.

I also don't want to end the day yet, if that wasn't clear
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Post Post #482 (isolation #32) » Thu Jul 21, 2022 12:00 am

Post by Klick »

Lucian wasn't an RVS vote

At work/generally really not feeling it atm. Will try and post stuff tonight
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Post Post #487 (isolation #33) » Thu Jul 21, 2022 5:27 am

Post by Klick »

VOTE: Hiraki

This is sort of how I feel about VCA and votes that aren't intending to eliminate

Context is how accurate reads develop and VCA is the exact opposite of that, its basically a crapshoot

But rant over. I'm poorly and crabby and walking home from work early.
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Post Post #490 (isolation #34) » Thu Jul 21, 2022 6:09 am

Post by Klick »

In post 483, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:The vote is stale and in fact you go on to say that Lucian is null in 244 so your vote really does hang around for way too long.
The concept that the location of my vote is particularly important, which felt like the direction this post was going in. But I suppose I added quite a bit of continuation there.

Idk I'm delirious and going to get some rest.
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Post Post #601 (isolation #35) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 9:45 am

Post by Klick »

I'm surprised furtive is getting called out for putting Mala on the list but not for Enchant being there
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Post Post #670 (isolation #36) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:31 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 629, Gamma Emerald wrote:
In post 628, Infinity 324 wrote:gamma why do you like csf?

furtive feels towny to me tbh. i'm still not sure why he pushes BBT there so hard as scum.

not really into the enchant lim, the "think before i vote" thing is kinda meaningless to me and limming a contentless slot on d1 doesn't seem great. i'll vote there at deadline obviously though
interactions around Aisa and also ig Enchant
I feel like she's actually trying to follow up on recent meta to form her reads in this game
ig it could be faked but idk how much effort CSF!scum puts into fake town thought process as scum, I would wager rather little given in Terminator she got yeeted mostly because after getting UTR by bussing Koba, she just kinda sat around while the rest of the group tried to solve the rest of the game
So I've gone back and looked at CSF's ISO in response to this and I think I agree with CSF-town.
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Post Post #671 (isolation #37) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:32 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 602, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:hi! I hope you're feeling better!
Unfortunately not :( but I feel like playing Mafia to get through it right this second
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Post Post #672 (isolation #38) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:34 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 604, furtiveglance wrote:
In post 567, furtiveglance wrote:I'm going to bed now. Hiraki/Me/Lucian/Aisa/Froggo are the towncore, Dunnstral/Enchant/Infinity/Klick/Malakittens have done enough for a temporary townpass, BBT/CSF/GE contains the motherload of Impostors.
With this list, the phrase 'have done enough for a temporary townpass' was only really about Infinity and Klick. The other three I'd say haven't done enough to be town, but also haven't stood out to me as scummy in the same way that my bottom three have.
See the thing is, I don't really think furtive is thinking that hard about doing things that won't get him scumread.
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Post Post #675 (isolation #39) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:42 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 673, froggodoggo wrote:Klick u r currently voting the innocent child
I'm aware

Pagetop
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Post Post #676 (isolation #40) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:47 pm

Post by Klick »

That will probably change after I catch up now?
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Post Post #679 (isolation #41) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 6:18 pm

Post by Klick »

Not really, I was just frustrated.
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Post Post #684 (isolation #42) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 6:31 pm

Post by Klick »

So I was reading recent BBT games to try and help me get a read there, and while that wasn't really conclusive for BBT, I did feel like I got a lot out of seeing furtive in Deputy Cultists. I think furtive's reads and general demeanor read as much more natural in this game and I'd encourage anyone to have a read-through themselves and see if they think furtive's scum game can look like the game we're currently playing.
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Post Post #689 (isolation #43) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 7:09 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 185, Aisa wrote:
In post 96, Lucian wrote:
In post 95, froggodoggo wrote:Thoughts on Klick and Infinity?
Infinity is slightly Townie to me, I think seems like a real thought. Everything else from their ISO seems pretty NAI to me.

I have no opinion on Klick. His position of "well you're the one being awkward!" is one that can come from Town but that also isn't difficult to fake. Nothing in his ISO is difficult to fake, and I'm kind of intrigued by Aisa calling any part of it "analysis".

Aisa, what of Klick's analysis did you like? I'm assuming the post wasn't framed as a joke since it doesn't give such a vibe.
To be fair, "analysis" was maybe a little generous.
I thought froggo sounded towny. Was their tone maybe a little unusual? Yes, but in a way that was more likely to come from town I thought. With that in mind your page 1 push on him did seem a little awkward. From the vibe you gave off I pegged you for someone that should be able to recognise enthusiastic town - pr, if not enthusiastic town, a type of post that could easily come from enthusiastic town.

UNVOTE: froggodoggo

Status update no-one asked for: my mind is handing out TRs like candy at the moment, I need to get a grip before I start TRing everyone in game
I like every wagon that exists
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Post Post #690 (isolation #44) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 7:09 pm

Post by Klick »

Oops that quote goes in my next post
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Post Post #692 (isolation #45) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 8:03 pm

Post by Klick »

Someone asked why Aisa was town earlier
In post 185, Aisa wrote:
In post 96, Lucian wrote:
In post 95, froggodoggo wrote:Thoughts on Klick and Infinity?
Infinity is slightly Townie to me, I think seems like a real thought. Everything else from their ISO seems pretty NAI to me.

I have no opinion on Klick. His position of "well you're the one being awkward!" is one that can come from Town but that also isn't difficult to fake. Nothing in his ISO is difficult to fake, and I'm kind of intrigued by Aisa calling any part of it "analysis".

Aisa, what of Klick's analysis did you like? I'm assuming the post wasn't framed as a joke since it doesn't give such a vibe.
To be fair, "analysis" was maybe a little generous.
I thought froggo sounded towny. Was their tone maybe a little unusual? Yes, but in a way that was more likely to come from town I thought. With that in mind your page 1 push on him did seem a little awkward. From the vibe you gave off I pegged you for someone that should be able to recognise enthusiastic town - pr, if not enthusiastic town, a type of post that could easily come from enthusiastic town.

UNVOTE: froggodoggo

Status update no-one asked for: my mind is handing out TRs like candy at the moment, I need to get a grip before I start TRing everyone in game
This post is a gold mine
What is Aisa!scum trying to achieve with this post? Lucian didn't even ask about froggo. This post isn't really persuasive, I don't think it's being posted for any reason other than to actually get Aisa's thoughts out in the open. And those thoughts are largely *feelings* on froggo, which I can heavily relate to.
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Post Post #693 (isolation #46) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 8:12 pm

Post by Klick »

I've kinda liked Lucian's recent content, specifically
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Post Post #694 (isolation #47) » Fri Jul 22, 2022 8:18 pm

Post by Klick »

So votes I'm interested in right now:

Dunnstral
BBT
Malakittens
Enchant

I'd prefer a high-info vote over a lurker vote.

VOTE: BBT
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Post Post #698 (isolation #48) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 12:39 am

Post by Klick »

Okay
Why shouldn't I vote you? I'm fairly happy with my PoE at the moment and feel as though your elimination provides some good info regardless of the flip.

You could make an argument that Enchant and Mala need to post content or flip sooner rather than later I suppose, but that really doesn't progress us much.
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Post Post #699 (isolation #49) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 12:40 am

Post by Klick »

Although now that I think about it more, that is a fairly good point
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Post Post #700 (isolation #50) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 12:43 am

Post by Klick »

But for the sake of our interesting discussion about my vote I think it should stay on you for now.
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Post Post #703 (isolation #51) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 1:57 am

Post by Klick »

Yeah that's it. I'm pretty happy with that
'Scummy' is a pretty great substitute for 'anything I don't like'
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Post Post #704 (isolation #52) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 2:00 am

Post by Klick »

In post 702, Enchant wrote:What info you get from BBT death
The biggest thing is that I think BBT is furtive's only real viable partner. So I'd be happy to clear furtive on a BBT town flip, and I'd be looking at him a lot more closely upon a BBT scum flip
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Post Post #706 (isolation #53) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 2:26 am

Post by Klick »

Furtive has no clue how to interact with scum partners. From what I have read of furtive's scum games, he hardly talks to them, sticks them in null-scum, and most tellingly, loves to stick partners in PoE lists. Up until his vote on BBT this was exactly his approach to BBT, and not really how he handled anyone else. I could see BBT telling him that he needed to start interacting more, and them deciding to bus.
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Post Post #717 (isolation #54) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:03 am

Post by Klick »

In post 707, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:That's not what happened at all?

Furtive spent literally the entire game shading me from very early on. These are also people whom with Furtive has interacted with less than me.

So what you're saying doesn't make any sense at all
Oh I forgot, it's shading because BBT said it's shading and therefore that's the only valid interpretation of what furtive is doing
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Post Post #718 (isolation #55) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:05 am

Post by Klick »

In post 712, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Do you see Enchant hunting for scum?
In post 713, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Or do you see them doing anything even remotely useful this game?
You say these things like they are actually the ways that town are most often separate from scum
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Post Post #722 (isolation #56) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:20 am

Post by Klick »

I read your post and it's the exact post that made me go 'hey, if furtive is scum, it's probably with BBT because that's exactly how he interacts with his partners'
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Post Post #733 (isolation #57) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:25 am

Post by Klick »

In post 542, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:
In post 190, furtiveglance wrote: CSF and now BBT are looking scum, I think BBT's push on Lucian is way too agressive, just looks out of place and kind of restless, agitating for someone to push.
In post 202, furtiveglance wrote: I've seen scum do things like this, and done it myself. Because it makes people townread you until your push flips.
Talking about me ^^^
In post 301, furtiveglance wrote:Things are becoming clearer now. CSF/GE/Malakittens, ft. BBT/Dunnstral on drums as SK (possibly)
In post 342, furtiveglance wrote:I don't like the Enchant vote, they read more town than scum to me. I'd take a BBT vote if Hiraki is really against CSF going, but I'm feeling like CSF is scum.
In post 471, furtiveglance wrote: I don't think CSF has got any townier either, still like my vote there. BBT needs to give more content. Enchant still leans town to me.
In post 507, furtiveglance wrote:I'm not sure why BBT is declining to share his thoughts about the Enchant/CSF wagons - the most likely eliminations. It's partly why I'm scumreading him, but also his interactions with froggo look like scum grilling town to me.
In post 508, furtiveglance wrote:I see BBT paired with CSF not Enchant - that would explain why BBT's vote for Enchant was unexplained.
In post 511, furtiveglance wrote: As for BBT, they didn't sound that authentic in their reasoning and even after talking to you, they didn't finish with an update of their current thoughts, just opened it up to the floor, which doesn't convince me at all and looks like scummy indifference rather than towny zeal. First thing I noticed is that they're not even voting you.
In post 512, furtiveglance wrote: Conftown is on Enchant so probably the bookies' favourite (yes I'm British), my preferred choice is CSF (or even BBT).
In post 529, furtiveglance wrote:But, I prefer voting BBT to Enchant, and seeing as everyone else has moved, I will too. I wouldn't do this is CSF was close to plurality.
In post 530, furtiveglance wrote:VOTE: BBT

This feels good.
All of Furtive's shading before finally feeling like he has the support to vote me.

Scum angling for a BBT wagon, 100%.
Like you're saying to counter your points here but there's nothing to counter, you've just given your interpretation of furtive's posts.

My interpretation is different than the one you have presented.
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Post Post #737 (isolation #58) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:28 am

Post by Klick »

My idea of something both fun and useful in this game is not getting into an argument about the semantics of 'shading' when it's really clear that I'm saying I think furtive!scum barely interacts with his partners and puts them at null-scum, which would fit if he was scum with you.

Especially not useful as I don't really think furtive is scum here.
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Post Post #739 (isolation #59) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:30 am

Post by Klick »

For what it's worth I don't believe that claim at all
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Post Post #741 (isolation #60) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:31 am

Post by Klick »

VOTE: Enchant

PEdit: loool
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Post Post #744 (isolation #61) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:34 am

Post by Klick »

Because he's not a Doctor, he's scum.
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Post Post #748 (isolation #62) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:43 am

Post by Klick »

Do it. The risk/reward is in favor, doctors are super overrated anyway.
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Post Post #750 (isolation #63) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:45 am

Post by Klick »

Pagetoppity
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Post Post #759 (isolation #64) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 3:52 am

Post by Klick »

I'm interested in your take on whether Enchant could be telling the truth here Dunn
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Post Post #765 (isolation #65) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:19 am

Post by Klick »

In post 763, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:
In post 761, furtiveglance wrote:I think Klick is town for doubting the claim so hard, I think mafia would approach it more like froggo is doing.
Or scum taking adv of the chance to elim a Doc?

I realise I just literally said 'Do it' myself,
but I didn't understand Klick's push on me either. He linked us as scum but said he doesn't think you're scum and you can only be scum on a red BBT flip.

That seems mental reasoning, no?
I appreciate how you just drop this without explanation and expect it to be fine
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Post Post #766 (isolation #66) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:21 am

Post by Klick »

Like you said that right after I said it, using the same words
You were following me
Nothing changed between that and your 180
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Post Post #769 (isolation #67) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:28 am

Post by Klick »

In post 763, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:
In post 761, furtiveglance wrote:
I think Klick is town for doubting the claim so hard, I think mafia would approach it more like froggo is doing.
Or scum taking adv of the chance to elim a Doc?

I realise I just literally said 'Do it' myself,
but I didn't understand Klick's push on me either. He linked us as scum but said he doesn't think you're scum and you can only be scum on a red BBT flip.

That seems mental reasoning, no?
Blue = what furtive was talking about / your response to furtive
Orange = nothing to do with what furtive was talking about, just more of what you were talking about before
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Post Post #770 (isolation #68) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:29 am

Post by Klick »

In post 768, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:I'm scum because of the way Furtive has interacted with me
No
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Post Post #776 (isolation #69) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:38 am

Post by Klick »

In post 701, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Well, that's just scummy as shit isn't it?

You're elimming me for info because PoE? You got anything else or is that it?
In post 703, Klick wrote:Yeah that's it. I'm pretty happy with that
'Scummy' is a pretty great substitute for 'anything I don't like'
We've already discussed this, you want it back in the conversation because its a part of the conversation that puts you in a positive light and my push on you in a negative light
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Post Post #779 (isolation #70) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:42 am

Post by Klick »

I have you as null BBT, I have no clue how to read you. But I don't have anyone who I overtly scumread and I only have 4 null reads. So yeah I'm happy to vote someone I have as null.
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Post Post #782 (isolation #71) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:45 am

Post by Klick »

Your hyperfixation on it comes across more like scum who's bothered by my shitty reasoning than town who knows I'm wrong.

PEdit: yeah Enchant's claim was really bad, hence I'm voting him right now
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Post Post #783 (isolation #72) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:46 am

Post by Klick »

Hey thanks man
And this is where I leave the conversation :)
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Post Post #798 (isolation #73) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 6:03 am

Post by Klick »

Ppl going 'Doctor, no lim' without actually considering the town utility of a scummy doctor claim with no other PRs claimed and no obvious night kill

It's close to useless at the moment if true and will probably lead to us just still having Enchant on the table as an option around D4.
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Post Post #800 (isolation #74) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 6:05 am

Post by Klick »

In post 790, Gamma Emerald wrote:VOTE: froggodoggo
I think this is worth trying
I wasn't vibing w him earlier and the reaction to enchant's run-up and claim seems waffly in the wrong way
Explain a bit more why froggo's reaction to Enchant's wagon is bad? I'm not seeing it at all
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Post Post #801 (isolation #75) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 6:06 am

Post by Klick »

Damn I'm good at this pagetop stuff. I am becoming what I despise
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Post Post #808 (isolation #76) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 6:15 am

Post by Klick »

In post 807, Lucian wrote:Hello, I am awake and I will be with you shortly. Just popping in to say that I don't particularly feel like unvoting because of a Doctor claim.
Yay
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Post Post #819 (isolation #77) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 6:38 am

Post by Klick »

In post 818, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:
In post 816, froggodoggo wrote:Yup, which I did. And then didn’t hammer.
Because the opportunity had gone.
Basically this
You were actively talking about hammering and then the option went away

I don't think it makes you scum really but 'I could have hammered' isn't really a valid defense
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Post Post #823 (isolation #78) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 6:47 am

Post by Klick »

In post 821, Lucian wrote:Hot take, scum doesn't usually say "goddamn, I wish I had done this scummy thing when I had the chance". I'm guessing froggo is Town.
Literally lol'd
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Post Post #836 (isolation #79) » Sat Jul 23, 2022 7:08 am

Post by Klick »

In post 824, furtiveglance wrote:
In post 823, Klick wrote:
In post 821, Lucian wrote:Hot take, scum doesn't usually say "goddamn, I wish I had done this scummy thing when I had the chance". I'm guessing froggo is Town.
Literally lol'd
Do you agree or not?
Yes
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Post Post #923 (isolation #80) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:14 pm

Post by Klick »

Yeah that seems to just be Mafia doing us a favor? Unless it was the Vigilante or SK and something happened to the Maf kill.

I spent last Night phase going through who all had unlikely partner interactions with Enchant, ignoring my own reads. Here's the list I'm left with of players who are relatively likely partners with Enchant:

Infinity
Dunnstral
BlueBloodedToffee
froggodoggo

VOTE: BlueBloodedToffee

Very happy to start here as well, I really wasn't a fan of his optics around the Doc claim.
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Post Post #924 (isolation #81) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:16 pm

Post by Klick »

Realistically I don't think Infinity is scum
I could see a world where it's froggo just because his interactions with Enchant are pretty horrendous but I don't really think so either

Dunnstral and BBT both feel viable
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Post Post #926 (isolation #82) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:16 pm

Post by Klick »

I think I'd be really satisfied with a massclaim?
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Post Post #927 (isolation #83) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:19 pm

Post by Klick »

Wait there have to be 2 Mafia left with a RB flip don't there
Massclaim bad idea then
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Post Post #928 (isolation #84) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:21 pm

Post by Klick »

I will say that like... that DEFINITELY doesn't look like a Mafia kill, so if you're like a Town Roleblocker or something you've probably got a guilty.
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Post Post #929 (isolation #85) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:23 pm

Post by Klick »

Yeahhh Mafia don't kill Mala over Hiraki, ever.

I'd claim it if Roleblocker, but not if Doctor.
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Post Post #932 (isolation #86) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:24 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 931, froggodoggo wrote:No no I'm pretty sure this kill was made by mafia lol. Let's please hold off with any claiming.
Not a chance
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Post Post #933 (isolation #87) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:25 pm

Post by Klick »

Like the only Mafia I can see making this kill is... possibly you? It's too out of left field for anyone else
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Post Post #934 (isolation #88) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:26 pm

Post by Klick »

And a team of two? It wouldn't happen
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Post Post #938 (isolation #89) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:28 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 930, froggodoggo wrote:Surprised to see people saying this was a bad kill or even a vig shoot -- to me this is pretty obviously a low info kill which I find usually indicates that mafia are playing very well in the day and so they can sacrifice a potential suspect like Mala in order to keep the gamestate the same.
See this just reads to me like your plan in the night was to make a weird kill and then argue this to open up your options.
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Post Post #940 (isolation #90) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:30 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 937, froggodoggo wrote:
In post 933, Klick wrote:Like the only Mafia I can see making this kill is... possibly you? It's too out of left field for anyone else
Explain? I wouldn't make this kill, I genuinely thought I'd be shit on at the start of this day and so I as mafia would probably kill whoever would look best after I flip red and try to talk my way out of the elim as best as possible.

But this isn't a great argument since it only really applies if you already trust me.
That is what you're doing though
Mala kill only makes sense if Mafia think they need it

I think it might just be BBT/froggo
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Post Post #942 (isolation #91) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:31 pm

Post by Klick »

VOTE: froggodoggo
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Post Post #950 (isolation #92) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:38 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 945, froggodoggo wrote:Klick don't do this lol. You are actively thinking me as more and more likely I am mafia every time I talk about this -- so what motivation do I actually have to bring it up as scum? I am just voicing my genuine thoughts.
I absolutely think based on your posting so far that you're the type of person who would run hard into WIFOM as a desperation play

I have personally made this kind of play before, and you fit the profile for it. :P
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Post Post #952 (isolation #93) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:40 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 947, Gamma Emerald wrote:The only stances Mala had were
>kill enchant
>Don’t kill Gamma
>don’t kill CSF
ig if CSF is town/SK it’s possible Mala was killed by mafia for low-info and to snuff out some solid reads
But why get rid of the potential miselim? If they want to avoid a Doctor I feel like you're probably the next most sensible kill after Hiraki
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Post Post #956 (isolation #94) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:48 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 953, froggodoggo wrote:
In post 950, Klick wrote:
In post 945, froggodoggo wrote:Klick don't do this lol. You are actively thinking me as more and more likely I am mafia every time I talk about this -- so what motivation do I actually have to bring it up as scum? I am just voicing my genuine thoughts.
I absolutely think based on your posting so far that you're the type of person who would run hard into WIFOM as a desperation play

I have personally made this kind of play before, and you fit the profile for it. :P
Yeah u rite LMAO. But i'm not I promise. And not in this sort of way. If this was anywhere near the end of the game, yes 100% I would probably always do this. But if I'm scum I need to prepare my partner to have the best possible odds of winning because I'm not gonna be there with them. That means letting them mow down the list of people who won't be limmable as fast as possible. Stopping by Mala's house at night is a massive no-no
You're doing it now because your partner is BBT and you're both screwed.
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Post Post #963 (isolation #95) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 8:27 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 959, Lucian wrote:@Klick, why did you think the Doc claim is scummy?
It was someone in my PoE making exactly the claim they normally would need to make to survive. Enchant wasn't playing like a Doctor, he was playing like he assumed he was doomed. He didn't go on to use 'I'm a Doctor' to push anything or otherwise give any info away, because he assumed he was dying. Enchant never actually flips Doctor there.
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Post Post #964 (isolation #96) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 8:29 pm

Post by Klick »

Fwiw I don't think Enchant always gets voted to an elimination for that claim, and I feel as though my immediate reaction contributed decently to ensuring the vote actually did go through.
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Post Post #969 (isolation #97) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 11:25 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 967, Dunnstral wrote:Actually, I changed my mind about furtive, I don't think they look that bad. Klick, do you think that is anti-partner indicative between BBT and froggo? (I do)
I'm pretty satisfied with that post being about a scumbuddy - but I'm interested in why you think otherwise. He puts some effort into casing froggo, but it doesn't really go anywhere.
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Post Post #970 (isolation #98) » Mon Jul 25, 2022 11:30 pm

Post by Klick »

I have trouble reading anything into most of BBT's posts. I feel like his game looks largely similar as either alignment and I haven't noticed any way in particular that he tends to treat partners differently.
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Post Post #994 (isolation #99) » Tue Jul 26, 2022 5:42 am

Post by Klick »

In post 989, Gamma Emerald wrote:
In post 980, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:[Infinity, Gamma, Dunn, Froggo]

Last two scum are here.
I don’t vibe w this
I do. It helps that it's exactly my PoE with you subbed in for him. :P
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Post Post #995 (isolation #100) » Tue Jul 26, 2022 5:43 am

Post by Klick »

I am having doubts that it's BBT though actually.
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Post Post #996 (isolation #101) » Tue Jul 26, 2022 5:46 am

Post by Klick »

I'm not voting these people ever

Klick
Hiraki
Gamma Emerald
Lucian
Cat Scratch Fever

Proooobably not scum?

Infinity 324
furtiveglance
Aisa

Left

Dunnstral
BlueBloodedToffee
froggodoggo
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Post Post #1032 (isolation #102) » Tue Jul 26, 2022 12:36 pm

Post by Klick »

I have zero qualms seeing this as Dunn's scum game, having also gone through some of his recent stuff
I felt like he was really easy for me to read as town in NQNM2, and the fact that I haven't felt he's town here has had me on alert. But I haven't really had sufficient reason to outright think he's scum.

I can't pinpoint exactly what the difference is though? I guess Dunn felt really... idk, loose, willing to go against the grain without clear benefit to himself. It could be that he's got less to disagree with here. Or he's just not as into this one - he did say he felt there wasn't much to work with earlier. Or maybe he's scum. I don't know


Gamma however just has waaay more clear interest in straight solving as town than faking it in a compelling way as scum I feel. Here right from the get-go he just starts solving, boom froggo townread, boom Klick townread, let's see if furtive slips on Hiraki knowledge randomly, it's scummy let's vote him, oh look Lucian is town, etc. It's clear his top interest is in solving the game. I haven't felt that sort of energy from playing with them being scum previously. And it's consistent throughout the game, Gamma actually just wants to solve this and that seems obvious to me.
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Post Post #1158 (isolation #103) » Wed Jul 27, 2022 8:28 pm

Post by Klick »

Running to work right now, Infinity looks towny to me and I don't have time to get into why. Last page or two of Infinity content was really good though and I'm surprised people aren't seeing it themselves. I'm beginning to lean town on Dunn, which concerns me because unless it's like exactly froggo/BBT then I think I've gone wrong somewhere.
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Post Post #1159 (isolation #104) » Wed Jul 27, 2022 8:29 pm

Post by Klick »

Is it you I'm wrong on furtive?
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Post Post #1243 (isolation #105) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:48 am

Post by Klick »

I'm getting the sense that very few people are actually talking about or pushing froggo atm, and the wagon on them is by four town players who have independently decided that froggo is scum
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Post Post #1244 (isolation #106) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:50 am

Post by Klick »

I get feelings that Infinity is town but I'm not really confident enough to focus on arguing against that wagon.
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Post Post #1245 (isolation #107) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:53 am

Post by Klick »

Like it
could
be BBT and it
could
be Dunnstral, but idk. Both of them have this WIM for the game at the moment that doesn't feel scummy to me and it makes me feel like neither of them are the right direction.

I'm a bit lost, but I do feel good about a froggo vote.
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Post Post #1246 (isolation #108) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:54 am

Post by Klick »

If anyone is around right now and wants to talk about game feelings a bit more real time that's what I have energy for right now. I don't think I can be assed to do something like dive into Infinity's ISO and try to sort them again rn. Maybe another time.
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Post Post #1248 (isolation #109) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 6:03 am

Post by Klick »

Hi furtive
Who is froggo's partner? I think the highest potential candidates right this second are Infinity and yourself.
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Post Post #1249 (isolation #110) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 6:05 am

Post by Klick »

I think specifically if froggo is scum and killed Mala last night, they can't be with BBT or with Dunn, neither of whom would make the choice to kill Mala last night
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Post Post #1251 (isolation #111) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 6:18 am

Post by Klick »

I'm sorry I'm not really engaging much with what you're doing BBT but I at least don't think you're scum anymore right this second

And yes it's E-1
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Post Post #1253 (isolation #112) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 6:22 am

Post by Klick »

I don't think BBT or Dunn would agree to kill Malakittens
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Post Post #1269 (isolation #113) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 9:29 am

Post by Klick »

Froggo is hyper-focused on not dying.
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Post Post #1291 (isolation #114) » Thu Jul 28, 2022 8:26 pm

Post by Klick »

To make it clear that someone off-wagon has claimed intent, so you don't stall longer
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Post Post #1316 (isolation #115) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 3:07 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1311, Alianna wrote:Dunnstral has been killed. They were a Mafia Goon.
Boom
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Post Post #1317 (isolation #116) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 3:09 am

Post by Klick »

VOTE: Infinity
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Post Post #1318 (isolation #117) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 3:12 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1314, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:VOTE: Infinity

This wins the game.
Actually if this is a cop soft then I'd kinda like it if it were explicit? There's guaranteed to be a Doc and no Mafia RB left, so if there's an SK then you're still safe
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Post Post #1319 (isolation #118) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 3:13 am

Post by Klick »

I had a read yesterday that you got an inno on me N1 so it'd be cool if that was right
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Post Post #1321 (isolation #119) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 3:17 am

Post by Klick »

Oh, sad
UNVOTE:
I'll think about how Dunn flip impacts stuff tonight
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Post Post #1322 (isolation #120) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 3:19 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1316, Klick wrote:
In post 1311, Alianna wrote:Dunnstral has been killed. They were a Mafia Goon.
Boom
I think it's probably right to make this explicit now actually

I'm 1-Shot Vig, I shot Dunn
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Post Post #1328 (isolation #121) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 5:49 am

Post by Klick »

I was also thinking massclaim (with Doc claiming VT) was good. But everyone hates when I suggest massclaim lol. Or at least they did 2-3 years ago

I thought SK was possible yesterday but that was because I was assuming a Doc could protect from two kills at once. SK is very unlikely to exist.
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Post Post #1329 (isolation #122) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 5:55 am

Post by Klick »

Also furtive feels like another nonsense kill to me?

How impossible is something like there being Mafia/SK/loads of Doctors? Because furtive kill is baffling
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Post Post #1331 (isolation #123) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 6:51 am

Post by Klick »

Yeah but if I was SK why not just not claim and avoid this problem altogether

'To make this argument' isn't a line of reasoning that gets Klick!SK through a whole game at this point

I think our efforts are better spent finding the last Mafia and then we can seriously evaluate my claim if the game is still going by that point. Because there's a 100% chance of there being a Mafia left
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Post Post #1338 (isolation #124) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 8:23 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1335, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:
In post 1328, Klick wrote:I thought SK was possible yesterday but that was because I was assuming a Doc could protect from two kills at once. SK is very unlikely to exist.
Were you theorizing that mafia + SK hit the same, doctored person, and a vig shot Mala?
Yes - specifically likely Hiraki
I suppose SK could have killed Mala still? And then a kill would have went missing last night too.
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Post Post #1343 (isolation #125) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 9:04 am

Post by Klick »

In post 694, Klick wrote:So votes I'm interested in right now:

Dunnstral
BBT
Malakittens
Enchant

I'd prefer a high-info vote over a lurker vote.

VOTE: BBT
What if I just trust my past self

VOTE: BBT
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Post Post #1344 (isolation #126) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 9:05 am

Post by Klick »

I kind of this and like maaaaaaybe Aisa is where the last Mafia is.
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Post Post #1350 (isolation #127) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 9:35 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1346, Infinity 324 wrote:MDDVXTT

MDDXTTT

there could be 3 Ms or 4 Ds but that's less likely. (@gamma there can't be 2 M's cause that means there's no ic)

it doesn't make sense for sk!klick to claim here i don't think. unless we live in a strange world with an sk and a vig, klick becomes confirmed scum once the last mafia dies. klick could also be mafia who knows there's an sk in the game and decides the claim, but they end up with the same problem; once the sk dies klick is confirmed lying.

massclaim i think helps clear some stuff up but i'm tired and need to think about it more
I hadn't gone all the way down the rabbit hole with it, but yeah I think you're right that Klick!SK is either confirmed or very close to confirmed scum if Mafia dies. Specifically with a 1-shot Vig claim, that'd mess with the existence of an SK if it were a fakeclaim.

Damn this setup is surprisingly harsh on SK
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Post Post #1353 (isolation #128) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 10:13 am

Post by Klick »

Personally I've seen it considered as a strategy but never really done
But then I've seen hardly any SKs
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Post Post #1355 (isolation #129) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 11:17 am

Post by Klick »

Also fake-claiming 1-Shot Vig risks death to an actual 1-Shot Vig, which is a rather likely role to be in the setup by chance
It's an unnecessary risk with no tangible reward when I'm probably in a fine position as SK here without that?
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Post Post #1360 (isolation #130) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 12:26 pm

Post by Klick »

I'm feeling really satisfied right this second that we'll win if we vote in {BBT, Aisa}
Everyone else is having the town reaction to today's events
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Post Post #1367 (isolation #131) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 7:32 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1365, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:
In post 1215, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1212, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:Dunn, you think both Infinity and Froggo can be scum together?
I have both low in my reads but have not thought about this. I see that Froggo is voting for Infinity right now which would be bold if they were scum together. So I am leaning towards no that doesn't seem likely. Actually other than that there isn't anything that makes me think they're not scum together, so maybe this is too shallow.
In post 1289, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1218, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:They both sat on my wagon pretty much all of D1. Do you think both scum co-ordinate and sit together like that?
I don't think this is a good reason to say they cannot be aligned; I could see two mafia voting together on day 1. That's not to say that I necessarily think they are aligned though, I just don't agree with this
In post 1290, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1288, froggodoggo wrote:put me to e-1 and claim intent or get off me, make up ur mind town >:P i better wake up to one of these things happening
VOTE: froggodoggo

Intent
I mean to me this looks like Dunn treating two townies exactly the same and then choosing one to vote arbitrarily.

There's literally no difference in how he handles froggo and Infinity here except that he winds up with a vote on froggo.
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Post Post #1369 (isolation #132) » Sun Jul 31, 2022 7:59 pm

Post by Klick »

I mean you cherry picked and I responded to your self-selected quotes, just like last time this happened in this game

Feel free to present more evidence for the point you're trying to make? But I figured what you provided was the evidence you had and it turns out it didn't at all say what you were presenting it to say.
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Post Post #1379 (isolation #133) » Mon Aug 01, 2022 1:15 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1363, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:ISO Dunn and look at his interactions around Infinity.

Specifically D2 when I am speaking to him about whether Froggo/Infinity can be scum together.

Notice how he agrees with my push on Infinity, thinks Infinity could be scum, but ends up voting Froggo.

Then notice that Dunn barely interacts with Infinity throughout the entire game.

It's Infinity.
The problem I have here is

Substitute Infinity for froggo

Literally the only difference is that Dunn put a vote on froggo but not Infinity

I have read Dunn's interactions with Infinity, and I have read Infinity in isolation, and I am not convinced that Infinity is scum. I'm asking for more evidence than 'Dunn voted froggo but not Infinity' and I'm not seeing anything.

Like you can continue to insinuate that I'm not reading your posts or the right stuff or whatever but you are trying to show that something is obvious and I'm not seeing it.
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Post Post #1383 (isolation #134) » Mon Aug 01, 2022 1:22 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1381, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:What did you gain from Dunn/Infinity interactions Klick?
Nothing significant - they don't really interact

I think that's true for many combinations of people with Dunn (and with Infinity for that matter)

This isn't outside of what I'd expect from either player as either alignment
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Post Post #1384 (isolation #135) » Mon Aug 01, 2022 1:26 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1382, Gamma Emerald wrote:actually this makes me think BBT might be right
I believe there is likely significance to Dunn's decision to go in on froggo. I originally was thinking along the same lines as BBT is arguing, that the froggo push was +scum for Infinity.

But I think there are other likely explanations for Dunn pushing froggo how he did that make more sense regardless of Infinity's alignment. My running theory is that Dunn thought hard pushing for froggo with legit-looking reasoning at the end of the day would get him townread even with a froggo townflip.

Saving his partner Infinity is a plausible theory for why he voted froggo. I don't think it's the most viable explanation.
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Post Post #1393 (isolation #136) » Mon Aug 01, 2022 10:13 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1390, Aisa wrote:What made you decide to shoot Dunn btw Klick?
In post 1253, Klick wrote:I don't think BBT or Dunn would agree to kill Malakittens
You seemed to be coming around to town!Dunn.
I nearly shot Dunn N1 but decided to give him some time because I like playing with Dunn

I found Dunn very obvious town very quickly in our last game together. Dunn originally stated that he plays slowly in a conversation with me earlier, and I was giving him a slight pass to give me something to work with. But I read back on the game we'd played together and Dunn was obvtown to me far before the point at which we'd had the 'I play slowly' conversation. So I decided that Dunn was just saying that to excuse the fact that I didn't townread him and I wasn't townreading him because he was just scum.
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Post Post #1451 (isolation #137) » Tue Aug 02, 2022 7:54 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1438, Lucian wrote:Oh, and putting this out there. The Doc should 50/50 whether they protect Hiraki or Klick tonight. Force scum into hunting the Doc instead of just killing the conftowns.
I agree with this approach
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Post Post #1478 (isolation #138) » Thu Aug 04, 2022 12:26 am

Post by Klick »

I think Infinity is town
But I've had a rough couple of days and haven't had time to effort here, apologies

BBT feels like the one who feels up against a wall atm even though the thread's momentum is working for him, which feels apt for last scum on D3. I don't feel like Infinity is acting much differently than they would as town
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Post Post #1479 (isolation #139) » Thu Aug 04, 2022 12:26 am

Post by Klick »

I will say I don't have many problems reading Infikity as SK if that helps?
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Post Post #1502 (isolation #140) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 8:29 am

Post by Klick »

VOTE: Aisa
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Post Post #1507 (isolation #141) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 9:59 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1505, Aisa wrote:Lmao yeah I did
Something about Infinity's tone just makes me immediately think they are town every time I read their ISO. Then I think about it more and tend to revise my estimate of their towniness downwards but it's like this immediate instinct I have to fight
See I have this but it doesn't go away
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Post Post #1508 (isolation #142) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 9:59 am

Post by Klick »

It's not Lucian though so who is it?
Because I'm starting to get in Camp Aisa
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Post Post #1510 (isolation #143) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:06 am

Post by Klick »

So why Lucian N1 instead of Hiraki
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Post Post #1512 (isolation #144) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:08 am

Post by Klick »

I think I'd like any other Doctors to claim
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Post Post #1549 (isolation #145) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 11:56 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1489, Aisa wrote:Oh dearie me what is a player with a rabbit avatar to do
VOTE: Lucian
?!?!?!
What was this then? You should know you probably saved Lucian N1 from what was probably a Mafia kill.
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Post Post #1556 (isolation #146) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:38 pm

Post by Klick »

UNVOTE:

Infinity protects me, Aisa protects Hiraki. We hunt for the SK today.
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Post Post #1557 (isolation #147) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:42 pm

Post by Klick »

Gamma, BBT, CSF, Lucian is our pool?
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Post Post #1558 (isolation #148) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:44 pm

Post by Klick »

I suppose the fake claim could be an SK but then the protect on Lucian doesn't make sense
Aisa claimed second so I guess Aisa could be SK technically
If Infinity's scum it's very likely groupscum
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Post Post #1559 (isolation #149) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:48 pm

Post by Klick »

Then we're left with, how tf do you actually SK hunt.
I guess who has been playing with survival on the mind?
That makes Gamma unlikely probably, Gamma would conceivably take an NK for his play so fat
And it sounds like Lucian actually did

BBT/CSF seem like reasonable guesses
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Post Post #1560 (isolation #150) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:57 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1314, BlueBloodedToffee wrote:VOTE: Infinity

This wins the game.
This reads to me as an attempt to project not considering there's an SK. When really, SK was still entirely a possibility at that point.
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Post Post #1561 (isolation #151) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:58 pm

Post by Klick »

I'd appreciate an unvote from the Infinity wagon.
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Post Post #1562 (isolation #152) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 6:59 pm

Post by Klick »

Oh it's E-2 anyway
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Post Post #1563 (isolation #153) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 7:04 pm

Post by Klick »

Eliminating outside Infinity/Aisa today also accounts for the increasingly slim possibility that they're both telling the truth

Also SK is incentivised to aim for the Doctor in the group
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Post Post #1564 (isolation #154) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 7:23 pm

Post by Klick »

VOTE: BBT but I'll also give CSF fair consideration today
I'd really like to hear how people feel about the plan to have both docs protect both conftown, and also who people think could be scum outside of Infinity and Aisa.
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Post Post #1566 (isolation #155) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 8:26 pm

Post by Klick »

Infinity might be scum. Aisa might be scum.

If we vote the scum between them, the other dies, and then if we miselim after that the other scum just kills a conftown.
If we vote the Doctor, both conftown die and we're left in 3p ELo after we vote the other claim (unless they're both telling the truth!).
Neither of these are great outcomes.

If we leave both claims alive and aim for SK:
If we hit SK, it's likely just game over, we win.
If we don't hit SK, Mafia has to shoot in our elim pool for the SK, and SK has to either shoot between the doctor and scum, or risk their kill not going through on conftown.

Aiming for SK is just better.
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Post Post #1569 (isolation #156) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 8:46 pm

Post by Klick »

Actually I'd like to see a plausible explanation from anyone for either Infinity or Aisa fakeclaiming Doctor today as scum.
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Post Post #1573 (isolation #157) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 8:50 pm

Post by Klick »

If Infinity shoots me you just eliminate them tomorrow
If you shoot Hiraki we just eliminate you tomorrow
Neither of you as scum will do that

And so Infinity should be on me, Aisa should be on Hiraki.
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Post Post #1576 (isolation #158) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 8:53 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1574, Lucian wrote:
In post 1569, Klick wrote:Actually I'd like to see a plausible explanation from anyone for either Infinity or Aisa fakeclaiming Doctor today as scum.
Infinity as scum/SK sees that they are completely screwed, and they're holding up the ancient groupscum-SK bloodbond known as "fuck the Town".

I did something similar as SK once, so. If at least a few people are like me in that regard, then I could see it happen.
This is the one explanation I'm leaning towards at this point. But I think two Docs is a legitimate possibility. I also believe we benefit from having two Doc claims alive,
even if one of them is scum.
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Post Post #1578 (isolation #159) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 9:06 pm

Post by Klick »

It's not betting the game, my argument is that we go into night in an objectively better position by leaving them both alive because they allow us to limit our SK options without losing our confirmed town (unless they want to properly throw the game).
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Post Post #1581 (isolation #160) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 9:20 pm

Post by Klick »

No-killing is fine for us. They give us more chances to get the SK then

The vote being rushes is also fine considering the benefits we receive, long careful consideration likely won't help us that much in accurately choosing an SK to vote
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Post Post #1583 (isolation #161) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 9:23 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1580, Lucian wrote:And as nice as cross-shots are, I worry the more likely scenario is that two Towns die and we're in ELo earlier than planned.
This is not optically different at all from what will happen if we vote in the Doctors today.

Best case scenario, we vote Infinity and they flip scum. We have two chances to get SK tomorrow and next day.
Worst-case scenario, we have one chance if we hit Doctor today.

Whereas if we aim for SK today we might get cross kills or have 3 chances at voting our SK out.
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Post Post #1584 (isolation #162) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 9:24 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1582, Lucian wrote:The way I see it, unless we hit exactly the scum in the 4p pool, then Aisa likely just dies tonight anyway, Infinity is eliminated tomorrow, and we're back to hunting the final scum in the 4p pool, except we let Infinity get an extra shot on likely Town. Or not get an extra shot if they wanna troll us.

I just don't see the benefit of leaving a very-likely-scum alive for the Night and letting them get a shot off. Especially if they know they're losing the game anyway, they can very much decide to fuck us over rather than make an "optimal" shot and shoot the SK or whatever. People can be petty.
Again, this is not 'screwing us over' because it's putting us in exactly the same situation we'd already be in.
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Post Post #1595 (isolation #163) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:35 pm

Post by Klick »

The 'let's vote out scum because it's scum' argument is reductive and shows evidence of either not considering the plan critically at all or actively wanting the plan to not happen for other reasons

There is zero downside to aiming for an SK today. There is not a scenario in which it turns out worse for us than voting Infinity or Aisa today, and it's rather likely to work out well for us.
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Post Post #1596 (isolation #164) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:36 pm

Post by Klick »

I strongly advocate for voting BBT and Lucian in the next two day phases if Infinity flips Mafia and I'm dead.
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Post Post #1597 (isolation #165) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:37 pm

Post by Klick »

Particularly Lucian comes out of this conversation looking a lot worse than before. He's considered the plan but insists there's a downside that he doesn't want to demonstrate.
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Post Post #1599 (isolation #166) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:43 pm

Post by Klick »

Mislimming town that we would vote tomorrow anyway and then no conftown dying at night is better than voting scum, conftown dying at night, and then mislimming the town.
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Post Post #1603 (isolation #167) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:48 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1600, Lucian wrote:and assuming both hit Town which is just what is likely (non-Infinity scum won't shoot Infinity, and Infinity is likely to miss even if they do aim for scum, which they won't but besides the point),
The convenient assumption you're making.

Infinity!scum shooting in our SK pool is a good thing. They also might hit scum. They're also incentivised to aim in the SK pool if they don't want to actively gamethrow.
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Post Post #1606 (isolation #168) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:51 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1601, Lucian wrote:
In post 1599, Klick wrote:no conftown dying at night
I'm sorry, in which universe does this ever happen.
Infinity protects me. Aisa protects Hiraki. Conftown cannot die without confirming a scum to us.

Also you're conveniently ignoring that we could just... vote the SK today. Today counts as a shot at SK in this situation.
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Post Post #1607 (isolation #169) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 10:51 pm

Post by Klick »

VOTE: Lucian
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Post Post #1615 (isolation #170) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 11:01 pm

Post by Klick »

In post 1609, Lucian wrote:
In post 1606, Klick wrote:
In post 1601, Lucian wrote:
In post 1599, Klick wrote:no conftown dying at night
I'm sorry, in which universe does this ever happen.
Infinity protects me. Aisa protects Hiraki. Conftown cannot die without confirming a scum to us.

Also you're conveniently ignoring that we could just... vote the SK today. Today counts as a shot at SK in this situation.
I didn't ignore that, I specifically included that in my post.

I don't know why YOU are ignoring the reality that non-Infinity scum just smokes Aisa tonight and forces us to have to eliminate Infinity Tomorrow.
To 'have to' eliminate Infinity tomorrow instead of 'having to' do it today?

Infinity!scum is not confirmed, as much as you're either confbiased or really willing that to be true
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Post Post #1620 (isolation #171) » Fri Aug 05, 2022 11:04 pm

Post by Klick »

I'm annoyed because I was right last time I argued something along these lines too but I also wasn't listened to because people just see likely scum and want to vote likely scum without thinking.

Whatever, I'm out with the kids and am going to stop devoting that time to this
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Post Post #1622 (isolation #172) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 2:52 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1600, Lucian wrote:I demonstrated the downsides. We're shooting blind in a pool of people we have no clue how to sort while letting a Mafia with a Nightkill get another shot off. It doesn't benefit us. You could argue it maybe doesn't screw us over due to us being at evens right now, but that's not that better when there's 2-3 confrimed Towns in the game.
In post 1583, Klick wrote:Whereas if we aim for SK today we might get cross kills or have 3 chances at voting our SK out.
How do we get 3 shots at voting the SK out. We get one Today. Assuming we miss, and both kills go off, and assuming both hit Town which is just what is likely (non-Infinity scum won't shoot Infinity, and Infinity is likely to miss even if they do aim for scum, which they won't but besides the point), that's 5 alive tomorrow. That's 2 elims period, both of which have to be correct and only one of which can be used on an SK.
I feel like the utility of one of our SK options being taken out for us by a NK is being ignored. Even if it is Infinity, they aren't just going to... shoot me anyway? That's ridiculous, no one is going to blatantly gamethrow and it's fairly insulting to suggest otherwise. They would shoot in the SK pool, or No Kill. Either of those are good outcomes. You keep saying that Infinity is 'not likely' to hit the SK, and that we're 'not likely' to hit it if we aim for it today, but like... that's true whenever we do it? What makes it a lot more likely that we eventually DO hit the SK is if we possibly give ourselves another shot at it. Which is a lot more likely than you want to pitch it as.

Furthermore, there is no downside to us aiming for an SK now compared to tomorrow. Even if we miss, Infinity!scum kills me, and SK kills Aisa!Doctor. That's no downside, we're in 3-1-1 with a confirmed scum. Which is exactly what would happen in the reverse order, if we voted Mafia now and then miselimed tomorrow. We'd be at MyLo instead of ELo, with no confirmed town alive.

And that's only worst-case. You don't know how scum are going to act. But at worst, they can make the situation exactly the same. There's a good chance it turns out better for us though.
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Post Post #1626 (isolation #173) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 3:17 am

Post by Klick »

Sell me on Gamma SK?
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Post Post #1627 (isolation #174) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 3:18 am

Post by Klick »

I think Gamma is pretty strongly in his town meta but that doesn't necessarily translate across SKness. I don't feel like he's been particularly trying to avoid a NK (Although I'd value BP as a choice over Invest-Immune as an SK in this setup)
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Post Post #1632 (isolation #175) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 3:29 am

Post by Klick »

...huh. Mafia could have hit Gamma N1 I suppose
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Post Post #1638 (isolation #176) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 5:31 am

Post by Klick »

I want a few others to check in, I'll weigh in with my thoughts tonight
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Post Post #1645 (isolation #177) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 7:42 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1643, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:
In post 1566, Klick wrote:If we don't hit SK, Mafia has to shoot in our elim pool for the SK, and SK has to either shoot between the doctor and scum, or risk their kill not going through on conftown.
Doctors only stop 1 kill, are you accounting for that? There's no incentive for Mafia to shoot in elim pool when they and sk can just force any kill through.

The kill target is just going to be whoever Aisa is supposed to heal.
VOTE: CSF
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Post Post #1646 (isolation #178) » Sat Aug 06, 2022 7:43 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1644, Cat Scratch Fever wrote:
In post 1569, Klick wrote:Actually I'd like to see a plausible explanation from anyone for either Infinity or Aisa fakeclaiming Doctor today as scum.
What would've been a better claim from infinity?
VT
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Post Post #1724 (isolation #179) » Mon Aug 08, 2022 6:28 am

Post by Klick »

In post 1722, Dunnstral wrote:Good shot Klick
Thank you :)
Well played all. Shout out to really solid Doctor Aisa
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