Newbie 2112 | Ed Sheeran | Postgame

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Post Post #25 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 5:11 am

Post by AurorusVox »

Roden is town because of their thinking and the way they’re playing. I like their vote on you because you deserve(d) to be voted and it’s also a ballsy move and demonstrates someone wielding the little power we as town have.

NK is probably town because why would scum vote you there when you said you were voting the next person to post and also not try to fluff it up at all? He’s potentially painting a target on his back and scum don’t want to do that.

I don’t agree that E-2 is dangerous at this point. If scum come in and coordinate a quick hammer then it’ll be pretty obvious and an easy win by D3 for town.

PS is this the earliest a game has ever left RVS?
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Post Post #26 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 5:22 am

Post by Cometbright »

Moooostly agree with the Roden thing - proactive stuff does tend to lean town cause an active town is usually a detriment to mafia.

Don't really agree with the NK read - would need to see some justification on their end for the vote. Plus Dragon changed his mind on the voting for next person thing in his second post so that's not relevant to NK's post.

Yeah I was gonna mention that! Nice to see there's at least three pretty active people here - bodes well I hope.
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Post Post #27 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 5:25 am

Post by Cometbright »

In post 24, DragonEater70 wrote: The point is, I am not gonna say that Roden is wrong about my play being scummy, because he is not. I am, however, going to continue to play the game and hopefully be successful enough in my townhunting and scumhunting to convince ya'll that I'm a townie.
I like this a little better.
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Post Post #28 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 7:44 am

Post by AurorusVox »

In post 26, Cometbright wrote:Yeah I was gonna mention that! Nice to see there's at least three pretty active people here - bodes well I hope.
You jinxed it.
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Post Post #29 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 7:46 am

Post by AurorusVox »

I also think it’s still relevant but yeah that’s why NK is only probably town at the moment.

In short: He made the vote I wanted to make before I made it = he’s looking at the game the same way as me = he’s probably town

Comet, you’re okay too.
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Post Post #30 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 8:36 am

Post by DragonEater70 »

In post 25, AurorusVox wrote: I like their vote on you because you deserve(d) to be voted and it’s also a ballsy move and demonstrates someone wielding the little power we as town have.
I agree, I tend to townread the both of you for this exact reason.

In post 25, AurorusVox wrote: I don’t agree that E-2 is dangerous at this point. If scum come in and coordinate a quick hammer then it’ll be pretty obvious and an easy win by D3 for town.

PS is this the earliest a game has ever left RVS?
I was less afraid of a quickhammer and more concerned of a people just jumping the wagon and voting me (slowly) and the mafia getting a free miselimination.
Also, yeah it might be one of the quickest RVS'es.
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Post Post #31 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 8:56 am

Post by DragonEater70 »

In post 27, Cometbright wrote:
In post 24, DragonEater70 wrote: The point is, I am not gonna say that Roden is wrong about my play being scummy, because he is not. I am, however, going to continue to play the game and hopefully be successful enough in my townhunting and scumhunting to convince ya'll that I'm a townie.
I like this a little better.
Glad you do.


I want to reiterate my desire for the other 4 players who have said nothing to say something, though. Also NK should speak more.

Otherwise, I strongly townread Roden, Vox, and Comet.
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Post Post #32 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:11 am

Post by IcetFeelsPain »

twentieth
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Post Post #33 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:12 am

Post by IcetFeelsPain »

I meant twenty eighth
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Post Post #34 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:34 am

Post by patchwork »

sorry for not being here earlier! just confirmed though, gonna read through the thread now
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Post Post #35 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:41 am

Post by patchwork »

tbh gonna second the opinion on dragon guy
bad vibes but i know for a fact it's supposed to be nai so :/
not too sure how to advance the game bcz literally nothing's been going on and there's still some people who just Haven't posted
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Post Post #36 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:42 am

Post by patchwork »

VOTE: OMIGRON
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Post Post #37 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:54 am

Post by DragonEater70 »

In post 33, IcetFeelsPain wrote: I meant twenty eighth
Do you mean yours is the 28th post? Because it isn't.
Also, where's the content in this post?
I would actually vote on you for that, except that I'm already voting you.
Wait.
Unvote

VOTE: IcetFeelsPain

This is a half serious vote now.
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Post Post #38 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 9:57 am

Post by AurorusVox »

VOTE: icet
More than half serious.

@patchwork: are you saying you think it’s NAI or you think it’s scummy but have been led to believe what others have said about it being NAI?
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Post Post #39 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:05 am

Post by patchwork »

In post 38, AurorusVox wrote:@patchwork: are you saying you think it’s NAI or you think it’s scummy but have been led to believe what others have said about it being NAI?
a bit of both tbh
like it feels
off
to me and my gut instinct is telling me there's something wacky going on but my rational brain side is shaking its head and telling me that it's supposed to be NAI
does that make sense
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Post Post #40 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:19 am

Post by AurorusVox »

Yeah that’s where I am tbh.
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Post Post #41 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:19 am

Post by AurorusVox »

Also backtracked after realising I got the omgus thing wrong. Makes it hard to trust the initial gut read because it was partly based on that incorrect understanding.
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Post Post #42 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:54 am

Post by patchwork »

my gutread is mostly based on the retraction of the inherently scummy thing & his behavior in a few posts after
like it just doesn't feel right imo but i know for a fact both town and scum don't want to come off as scummy & scum would probably do it in a more subtle manner (but that's WIFOM so :/)
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Post Post #43 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:56 am

Post by patchwork »

UNVOTE:
VOTE: AurorusVox
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Post Post #44 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:59 am

Post by IcetFeelsPain »

In post 37, DragonEater70 wrote:
In post 33, IcetFeelsPain wrote: I meant twenty eighth
Do you mean yours is the 28th post? Because it isn't.
Also, where's the content in this post?
I would actually vote on you for that, except that I'm already voting you.
Wait.
Unvote

VOTE: IcetFeelsPain

This is a half serious vote now.
I just realized there's a tracker on the left that says the post number/i]
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Post Post #45 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 11:00 am

Post by IcetFeelsPain »

In post 8, DragonEater70 wrote: EBWOP: I changed my mind. I will VOTE: IcetFeelsPain because it's outrageous to claim that ice tea feels anything but pleasure upon being consumed.
this is outrageous coming from someone who eats dragons
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Post Post #46 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 11:06 am

Post by IcetFeelsPain »

In post 25, AurorusVox wrote: Roden is town because of their thinking and the way they’re playing. I like their vote on you because you deserve(d) to be voted and it’s also a ballsy move and demonstrates someone wielding the little power we as town have.

NK is probably town because why would scum vote you there when you said you were voting the next person to post and also not try to fluff it up at all? He’s potentially painting a target on his back and scum don’t want to do that.

I don’t agree that E-2 is dangerous at this point. If scum come in and coordinate a quick hammer then it’ll be pretty obvious and an easy win by D3 for town.

PS is this the earliest a game has ever left RVS?
Aurorus that is what we call wifom. Now watch as I vote the Mafia Rolecop.

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Post Post #47 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 11:07 am

Post by IcetFeelsPain »

VOTE: Not Known if the previous vote didn't count, mb I messed up formatting
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Post Post #48 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 11:08 am

Post by Roden »

In post 21, DragonEater70 wrote:
In post 19, Roden wrote: "Mistake" is an odd way to put it but I guess it's technically true. I don't think it's alignment indicative though to recognize that you made a mistake.
Okay, that's true, but I don't think not wanting to sound scummy is indicative of alignment, either.

And I'm probably hypocritical as heck right now (since I am doing it myself while writing this), but it feels to me like like you've solidified your opinion about me and nothing I could do or say would ever convince you that I am not scum.
Which is rather unfortunate and also feels slightly unfair.

The funny thing is I completely understand where you are coming from, so I can't even refute your reasons for believing I am scum. Therefore, I am not going to try because I know they are valid.

However, I will say that in the theoretical (from your viewpoint) case that I am not scum, I think it would be rather wise to unvote me. Otherwise the scum can just join in the wagon (or just lurk) and blend in perfectly. Idk if that makes much sense from your viewpoint.

Heh, that ended up being much longer than I intended. Anyway,
In post 20, AurorusVox wrote: Roden is town.
NK is probably town.
May I ask what makes you assert that Roden is town while NK is only "probably" town? Like where is the confidence coming from?

And Vox, as to the other things you said, I thank you for the compliment about handling the pressure and agree that my retraction of my strategy is probably NAI.
In post 24, DragonEater70 wrote: I thought someone might think that way.

What I meant was - I am definitely not scum. However, there's a reason I changed strategy and that is because my initial strategy
was
scummy.
I
know it was scummy, Roden knows it was scummy, Vox knows it was scummy and I'm sure even you know it was a scummy strat. Now, making a scummy move does not make you automatically scum. I think many good town players make scummy moves, sometimes intentionally! (If you don't understand why, I recommend looking at the mafia wiki article for WIFOM)

The point is, I am not gonna say that Roden is wrong about my play being scummy, because he is not. I am, however, going to continue to play the game and hopefully be successful enough in my townhunting and scumhunting to convince ya'll that I'm a townie.
My read on you isn't locked in, it's only the beginning of the game. What you say in the second post makes more sense though, if you get townier or someone else gets scummier then my reads will change. What makes you think my read is locked in?
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Post Post #49 (ISO) » Thu Feb 09, 2023 11:13 am

Post by AurorusVox »

In post 43, patchwork wrote: UNVOTE:
VOTE: AurorusVox
Quite bizarre.

You should be voting for icet at this stage.

———

Also I think people are too wary of wifom instead of going with Occam’s razor as a guiding principle.

Wifom only really holds credence when people use it as a defence or use it to attack someone else in like a preplanned scenario (eg following an NK). Third parties questioning the validity of a read due to wifom is not really very helpful since the nature of wifom means there are two equally valid explanations.
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