The funny thing is that I actually did not really believe the mafia argument, but I felt like I needed to convince them anyways. Because if I am right about it being Enchant, he can fairly safely go for the no elim because I doubt you ever actually shoot him. But I had to dance around actually talking about your reads, because I thought I needed possible scum him on board too, so it was written as a scare tactic for the scum.In post 2244, Pink Ball wrote: It's not a "gatcha", is that your tone changed because now you don't believe what you're saying
But I did full heartedly believe the town post. I pulled out a note book and outlined every possible outcome for where your shot landed and where the mafia shot ended up. Like we start at 1:1:2, and then who dies and what the numbers mean if Ali/Kokichi pop out. And then what that Elo looks like the next day.
And I kept hitting loss states.
But with Flea's post that I quoted, it dawned on me that I was putting too much stock into the idea that "THE ONLY WAY THAT WE WIN IS IF ALI AND KOKICHI COME BACK."