Datisi's University [dead/spec PT]

[KatyKimFanClub]

They just seem the most checked out in a game that seems almost 100% lost.

Wheme votes seemed opportunities and they also hated on Ranger at times.

[Enchant]

Ranger are clear, as well as mason (well theorically it could be gigaploy to make one mason who can end up in chat and mafia just gets second one as fakeclaim but can't end up here. Considering cost, Datisi probably bet on this theory rising).

6 suspects remaining. Town can elim 3. 50% chance of mafia win.
If RCE bothers to check someone, then 5 suspects. 40% chance of mafia win.


Mechanically, Wheme is not at that bad position.

... Mechanically.

[jjh927]

You might want to check your maths there Enchant

Wheme Park is 1v7 right now including 2 conftowns. That's over 60% town win if town had 0 additional information

[jjh927]

Like, that's pretty bad mechanically too

But obviously we're also dealing with an endgame and the thing with probabilities is that they're more appropriate at the start of the game to broadly determine 'fairness', rather than at the end of a game when everyone's reads should be significantly above chance

[Enchant]

You might want to check your maths there Enchant

Wheme Park is 1v7 right now including 2 conftowns. That's over 60% town win if town had 0 additional information

Correct.

8 players -2 confs.

6 suspects remaining. 3 elims.
50%


What exactly i said wrong?

[jjh927]

The 3 elims take place sequentially and it's a 1/6 followed by a 1/5 followed by a 1/4

[jjh927]

Ah wait, maybe I'm the one being dumb here. The confs mean that the NK is irrelevant

[jjh927]

Yeah forget that. Pure chance is definitely 50%

Makes sense that one could surmise the probability as which half of the playerlist wheme is in, which is a coinflip

[jjh927]

I guess on the other hand, 50% random chance win odds are pretty stacked for town in practice

[Prism]

What's the rule on no killing in 4p, or is there a mechanical reason that will not happen this game? Forcing a kill on an unclear in 4 way bumps the town win % up to 55%.

[Dannflor]

I don’t think most townies realize scum had to bank SPR on a specific person

[KatyKimFanClub]

I don’t think most townies realize scum had to bank SPR on a specific person

Bruh I literally said this to everyone 20 times.

[furtiveglance]

Game over anyway

[KatyKimFanClub]

Wheme self-hammered is it just him.