@MechaGoomba
In post 232, MechaGoomba wrote:
In post 229, Dierfire wrote:
The answer that comes to my mind is that Kappy and Sickofit1138 each had three votes with no other major wagons (as of
27), so the desire to move votes away and perhaps open another wagon should be fairly strong.
I don't understand this. Percy is at the top of a lot of people's townlists, and, without really good arguments, that doesn't seem likely to change. Why not push the wagon on karnos instead? They had plenty of opportunity to, since it was a pretty viable wagon, but they both ignored it until there was seemingly-damning evidence, and then only Kappy jumped on.
For that to make sense with Sick and Kappy both being scum, karnos would also have to be scum, and at that point we're talking about having fingered the entire scumteam day 1, which does not happen unless one of the players is a god of scumhunting.
I could potentially see them both being scum, especially given how Sick conspicuously ignores Kappy, but something about it leaves a bad taste in my mouth and I don't want to do preflip associatives if at all possible. Could you help me figure this out?
Well, now that you mention it, karnos did have that weird on-and-off vote in
55 and
56! However, I don't think that we need to get that far ahead of ourselves. Kappy is behaving oddly towards Sickofit1138 and is suspicious regardless of whether Sickofit1138 is Town or Mafia. If we see Kappy flip Mafia then we can look again.
As for the question of why they would both move to Persivul as Mafia, my point is that they both had three votes and no other player had any votes (as of
27). Kappy first moves not to Persivul but to Chumba (
30), later moving to Persivul in
41. So it wouldn't be the case that they both end up on Persivul out of some belief that he's the most viable wagon to push through to a lynch, but rather out of a belief that they can disengage from each other without seeming suspicious.
Anyway, you're right--one flip at a time.
