Newbie 1741 - Mafia
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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Potential "moon logic" moment - could be overthinking things.
What if you defend Algebra. As it stands I'm very concerned about day 3 if Algebra is the D2 lynch. Right now I'm the most logical (at least to my eyes) person to lynch. Once Algebra flips town everyone is going to go back to the point where they were sure either myself or Algebra were scum. That means the game is going to on at least 2 more day phases.
The upside is we'd permanently get one of the townies on your side (Algrebra). To make a survivor analogy, if we're down to the final 3 Algebra would take you with him to the final two.-
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I've thought about helping algebra out, problem is he's so scummy it'd be like I know he's town. However if I get a reason to defend him tomorrow, letting him live would be advantageous.
That Dunny logic is what my townie self is upset about, why'd we switch to shadowez when algebra was obviously going to get lynched either today or tomorrow? If Dun argues a logical case for algebra I'll buddy her, or if I'm feeling ballsy I'll make the case myself.
If algebra lives through day 2, I think he'll go after Titus day 3.-
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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You could phrase it like this.
We know either Nn30 or Algebra are scummy. Finding the alignment of one likely points to the alignment of the other.
We played day 1 as if Algebra was absolutely the day 2 kill.
What if we lynch Nn30 instead - we gain the same information and we play day two differently than scum were expecting, potentially throwing off plans.
The more I think about it the more I think we should just let Algebra swing and play it by ear. It's possible we're trying to get too fancy.-
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If you get lynched, letting algebra live on would be less useful, as I'd need an extra mislynch anyway.
That sounds like it'd be a good move if you become under fire, but bringing you back into the lynch conversation seems like high risk low reward.
If at any point during the day there's a major algebra wagon and a less strong nn one, I might go with something like
"We can almost guarantee there is 1 scum in [nn30, algebra]. I do not believe they're a scumteam, due to them solely pushing eachother today, rather than attempting a townie mislynch.
Therefore, lynching one will give us the other's alignment. If we mislynch, we'll get a correct lynch tomorrow, but if we hit the scum today then we'll have a townie to trust in.
So far I wouldn't favour one over the other. So my logic is that:
Yesterday, we acted as if we'd lynch algebra 100% today. What if we lynch nn30, though? We'll gain the same info (this one is town, other is scum, vice versa), and we've done something scum weren't expecting us to do. If nn flips town, we've got the confirmed algebra lynch for tomorrow. If nn flips scum, we'll have a confirmed town algebra and one scum down."
Now that I've written it out, it sounds like I'm really defending my scumbudy algebra here, and trying to push a mislynch on you. What if this post got me lynched? They'd definitely hang algebra the next day, and since I pushed a nn lynch, you'll look like a townie. I could see leaving Dunny alive for the final mislynch, as I can see them choosing a Dun/Morning scumteam over an nn/Morning scumteam at that point.-
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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..."and since I pushed an nn lynch, you'll look like a townie."
Not sure how I feel about this. All the theory I've read has talked about scum bussing each other as being overrated. What do we do if the 1 scum among nn/Algebra logic gets brought back up? No matter how townie I look due to you bussing me, that logic isn't going away.-
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Lmao I literally contradicted myself with 2 adjacent sentences, you'd look like a townie for that day then it'd be immediately lost after algebra's flip. Had to make that post quicky, sorry about thatIn post 28, Morning Tweet wrote:They'd definitely hang algebra the next day
Since I pushed a nn lynch, you'll look like a townie.-
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Morning Tweet SheTeam Mafia WinnerShe
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Anyway pushing an nn lynch over algebra would look great for me if I were strong enough to get you lynched, but I think it'd most likely blow up in my face then the situation would play out very poorly for both of us.
Although I suppose passively going along with the easy lynches isn't going to help us in the long run, either.-
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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Morning Tweet SheTeam Mafia WinnerShe
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Morning Tweet SheTeam Mafia WinnerShe
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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Morning Tweet SheTeam Mafia WinnerShe
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If I can somehow create a reasonable case for algebra, it'd be optimal to do it. If I can make myself look like his buddy, this could work:
D2 - (5 Town v 2 Mafia) Lynch townie other than algebra
D3 - (3 Town v 2 Mafia) Lynch Morning Tweet, whom defended algebra and seems like his buddy. She flips scum.
D4- (2 Town v 1 Mafia) Lynch algebra whom is still alive, he's obviously Morning's buddy. Lynch algebra, scum wins.
For this to work the cop (if there is one) has absolutely GOT to be dead ASAP. The game lasts too long for him/her to get that many results.-
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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Xalxe He/himIt's pronounced "Xalxe"He/him
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Xalxe He/himIt's pronounced "Xalxe"He/him
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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A few things.
There's a 1-shot bulletproof.
I'm not being heavily scum read.
I think at day start you should wait long enough to get a feel for what the town is doing. If they're going to go after me, so be it. If not...
We may have a shot at playing off of Titus' investigating Zito.
My plan for tomorrow, if it isn't me, is to continually keep saying are you sure? We lose here if we're wrong. Are you sure (and giving reasons of course.)
Could buy me some town cred.
Any read on the 1 shot bp? My guess is Zito - he kept saying he tried to get killed. It's like he wanted us to target him.
Dunhally would be a good one lynch. She's heavily town read.
I'll do ISO's tomorrow and see if there's anyone we could frame.
WOOH we made it to LYLO.-
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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The bulletproof cannot reveal to confirm themself as long as we do not hit them tonight. If we hit the bulletproof, it could be very bad news for us.
I've been thinking about siking the town out by killing Empoof instead of Dunny. At the surface it seems pointless to frame Dun as she's so townread, but I could see it working. In addition I do not think Empoof is the BP. HOWEVER if he is BP it could still work out for us, as he is such an odd kill. All we'd have to do is counterclaim and I think one of us could beat him. Might be missing something, though, so Dunny might more safe.-
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Morning Tweet SheTeam Mafia WinnerShe
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If Dunny turns out to be BP it's not that big a deal, though, since they all think she's town anyway. Perhaps trying something fancy is a bad idea.
In a "Titus Empoof Zito nn Morning" town, I'd have more room to attack an Empoof scumteam. I'd have to make sure not to leave you out on accident, but I don't think it'd be a big problem.-
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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nn30 Mafia Scum
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