In post 1325, Gamma Emerald wrote:So now that you say that, I'm leaning less scum on you, and more scum on PP. Guess you were right about that unwillingness to follow not meaning anything.
In post 1327, Dierfire wrote:@Gamma EmeraldIn post 1323, Gamma Emerald wrote:I can see how you might say that, however, it is my personal policy to suspect whomever performed the suspicious action more than the person the action was performed at.
I have listed suspicious actions from both of you with regard to the other.
In post 1352, Zoronos wrote:In post 1351, Dierfire wrote:@ZoronosIn post 1334, Zoronos wrote:So, for the sake of clarity Dierfire, your scum reads are Eager, Gamma, and Penguin? You are further of the opinion that Gamma and Penguin's set of disagreements around the competing trains was theater / scum distancing and that they could be scum together?
Am I understanding this correctly?
Yes, that's correct.
I'm not married to the idea that all three are Mafia together, but I have independent reasons to read each as Mafia, associative reasons to read PenguinPower and Gamma Emerald as partners, and no associative reasons to doubt either as partners for eagerSnake (in fact, perhaps some associative reasons to read Gamma Emerald as a likely partner for eagerSnake given the hops on and off the eagerSnake wagon).
So, in short, your theory is that Gamma is Eager's scum partner, and who jumped on the lynch train when he thought it was going to complete for the town cred, then jumped off again when he thought he might be able to save his scum buddy?
In post 1365, boring wrote:In post 1364, Gamma Emerald wrote:So I never really voted for this reason, but I should address it anyways I feel.
Boring has a point about finding someone's play scummy even though they are likely town. There have been point where I've said "dude that's scummy" to people I townread.
I've forgotten. Why are you voting me, again?
In post 1372, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:I think he's disagreeing with himself, not boring.
In post 1375, nn30 wrote:@Boring - still not buying it.
If you were conflicted about your read on Eager, why the hell was he your second to top town read?
In post 1390, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:
I'm saying that Shadow made it look like he intended to counterclaim Snake and that when he did counterclaim, it conveniently was at time where there were some serious discussion and debate going on about the wagons on Gamma and Penguin.
In post 1395, Dierfire wrote:@Lil Uzi VertIn post 1390, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:I'm saying that Shadow made it look like he intended to counterclaim Snake and that when he did counterclaim, it conveniently was at time where there were some serious discussion and debate going on about the wagons on Gamma and Penguin.
I think that it's clear that Shadow_step was setting up to counter the claim from early in the game. I'm not certain why you find that suspicious. Why would Shadow_step, as Mafia, feel the need to start setting up to dispute the claim so early? Usually it is not difficult to dispose of an Ascetic role (by NK or by lynch).
I also don't think that Shadow_step needed to claim in order to create a distraction. The move that you describe would be one with low reward and high risk.
In post 1399, Dierfire wrote:If PenguinPower were Town, and you were Town, and Shadow_step were Mafia, then Shadow_step would have very little need to distract from the competing wagons.
Or are you saying that you're reading Shadow_step as Town because you're reading PenguinPower as Town?
In post 1417, Dierfire wrote:@Gamma Emerald
I'm not understanding this line at all.
The claim from Shadow_step decreased the sizes of the wagons on you and PenguinPower.
Your theory is that Shadow_step made this claim in order to look as though he were distracting from your wagons and thereby get you lynched (along with him).
I don't think that this makes sense, because Shadow_step had no need to sacrifice himself; he could have simply voted for one of the wagons and tried to push it to completion (potentially with assistance from other Mafia players). This has every probability of giving one lynch without cost. He could then push the other on some later day, leaving alive the Town players who looked likely to cooperate so as to ensure wagon viability. These maneuvers would be more reliable than banking on us drawing weird associations and less risky than putting a claim out there.
It's extraordinarily far-fetched to think that the focus of the claim by Shadow_step was any player other than eagerSnake.
In post 1421, Dierfire wrote:@Gamma Emerald
Yes, boring was of the opinion that the game was unlikely to contain two Town Ascetic roles (quote below). What is your interpretation of that?In post 1165, boring wrote:I think we've had quite enough role claims for Day 1, but suffice it to say that I find it very, very unlikely that we have two ascetics.
In post 1452, boring wrote:In post 1437, Zoronos wrote:@Boring - You didn't answer the question I posed last night. The short version was "Who is your best non-Eager scum read, if you want you can assume Eager is scum for the sake of this exercise."In post 1444, MariaR wrote:Hm I see your point but I don't see any other better lynches then LUV and that clearly isn't happening
I would like to lynch eager today, but if it's absolutely not going to happen, I'd be willing to settle for LUV. He's the most probable scum when I look outside the CC-related wagons. By that, I mean it seems like regardless of eager's flip, LUV could be scum. I admit that part of my reasoning is that he keeps trying to push S_s, which is making zero sense to me. That, and his eagerness to accept bizarre theories just to keep the S_s suspicions going.
In post 1477, Shadow_step wrote:LUV is unlikely to be scum, I know his play is terrible but that's more likely to come from VI. Scum have day chat.
Best course of action would be to bus eager.
I still think it's PP/GE/Eager.
Eager attacked boring but not PP(might be wrong on this have to cross check) for starughtaway jumping in his wagon after my CC.
In post 1472, eagerSnake wrote:Oh yeah, you forgot yeah right
In post 1487, boring wrote:As far as who is more likely to come up with (and follow) crazy theories, I think it's pretty individual. Some people have wild imaginations and are prone to conspiracy. Some people aren't. I can see such a person coming up with something crazy as town or scum (perhaps more likely as town, but how would they know it's crazy as scum if they think it's perfectly sane when they're town). I think scum (or insanely conf.biased town) is more likely to pretend to buy into someone else's crazy theory hoping it'll stick.
In post 1526, Gamma Emerald wrote:I have some good reasons me and Eager can't be scum together, but I'll wait until tomorrow.
In post 1631, Zoronos wrote:Sure... but why Shadowed? Do you think he's scum?
I have been reasonably confident in my town read there...
I'm trying to figure out what you're saying and I'm clearly missing a beat somewhere.
In post 1639, Zoronos wrote:In post 1637, Gamma Emerald wrote:Nah I think Prism is solid town. PP is a townread but if you can point out how his reaction to my idea was not genuine I'll definitely join you there.
Why is PP town?!?
Explain this to me like I'm five, because if you are super sure, then I am maybe missing something.
In post 1387, PenguinPower wrote:Oooh...that's an interesting variation on current events. Unlikely, but interesting nonetheless.
p-edit
Even more interesting. Thanks, LUV.
In post 1383, nn30 wrote:Moon logic here. This is pure speculation. Please don't take this as super serious - I'm just throwing it out there.
Shadow's CC, to most people's reading, was premeditated.
What if Boring's "scum read list" intentionally had Shadow as her top town read so that she could use it as justification for jumping on Snake?
Scum have day chat - if SS's claim was premeditated, he could have warned his scum buddies to set up bread crumbs they could point back to.
In post 1677, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:In post 1651, implosion wrote:@dierfire: last think I see you say about boring is that you've read up on her but don't find anything really alignment indicative. What do you think of her after the eager+maria townflips, and/or why don't you agree with my points on her?
@LUV: can you elaborate on why you disagree with the case on boring? Can you elaborate on your null-scum read on prism, and on your scumread of penguin (is it just lingering things from long ago, or is it more strongly based on his recent posting)?
You can find thoughts on boring when she had some serious heat on her are in #1048 and #1347. For current thoughts you will have to get back to me, still trying to understand why she's still currently voting for me.
As for Prism, I reread his ISO and something about his reads feel fake to me. I'm not sure if that's correct way to put it but basically the stances he is taking on everyone seem very safe. It feels like he can easily fall back on them or conveniently change them at a moments notice with little to no scrutiny.
My read on Penguin is still the same from #522. It has grown some with how quiet he's been and Gamma's insistence on basing his read on him on a reaction that could be easily faked.
In post 1696, boring wrote:In post 1671, PenguinPower wrote:In post 1616, Zoronos wrote:Looking at the lynch yesterday, he provided no arguments for why Eager specifically was scum in the pair, didn't make any strong efforts to decide between the two competing claims, and didn't seem to examine the alternative trains. He just parked and went effectively afk other than an occasional 'this needs rope' style comment.
That to me suggests scum happy to take an easy lynch. He doesn't make an effort to sort out the alignments of all three players being discussed (boring, Eager, SS) because he doesn't care.
No, I cared. I just legit thought that Eager was scum. You should probably put your vote back on me with how strongly you think I'm scum.
VOTE: Gamma
Unlike you, this vote is because I think he's scum.In post 1688, PenguinPower wrote:In post 1685, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:Never said you were my strongest scum read and I'm not refraining from anything. I'm taking my time and reevualting.
I was one of two of your scumreads in 522 which haven't changed, and I've only grown since then. According to you.
You seem to like to stay in an unvote state...it's kind of nice not to take a stance on anything, right? Gotta keep those options open until you can hammer town.
Actually, while looking back at vote counts at yours, Zoronos was in an unvote state in every. single. one. He has lots to say, but not much to do.
UNVOTE:
VOTE: Zoronos
Ewww..
In post 1704, PenguinPower wrote:In post 1702, boring wrote:He gave no explanation for voting you, and then abandoned you to vote for Zoronos for something that's been available for scrutiny for quite some time. It's arbitrary.
My reasons for Gamma were expressed in D1. I hadn't taken a look at Vote Counts until responding to LUV.
Next.
In post 1725, PenguinPower wrote:Ah, ok. That's how you took it. I should have been more specific.
In post 1741, Grendel wrote:Gamma Emerald wrote:I'm thinking I know what Grendel is talking about, and I don't have anything to say about that right now. So you may as well say it because I don't think you'll get anything out of me by being vague.
If you know what I'm talking about then why do you need me to spell it out for you?
If I have to go to that extent then I'm voting you. So give me a guess.
In post 1762, Dierfire wrote:@Gamma EmeraldIn post 1759, Gamma Emerald wrote:Why would I put up a defense on allegations of me and Eager being on a scum team if I was scum and knew he was town? I'd let the matter slide.
Ha ha, but you didn't put up a defense! You just promised that one would be forthcoming after the flip (and the flip obviated the need for the defense).
In post 1801, PenguinPower wrote:In post 1798, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:Woah, forgot about this game. I read up and this what I have so far.
I'm a little disturbed by Penguin's push on Zoro. It reads as if he's not been reading what Zoro been asking and thinking. Just skimming. Zoro has been sorting like a mad man and his conclusions and observations have been worth the read so far.
I also don't forget how you can forget a read on someone. This is the only thing that has pinged me about Gamma really. I find it hard to believe and the only explanation that seems to make sense is that he's faking his reads. The question then becomes, is this some sort of next level strategy to catch scum or is he scum feeling pressured to put up content?
So which one are you going to vote?
In post 1071, Gamma Emerald wrote:In post 1070, eagerSnake wrote:Also calling it 'scum theater' implies that there is 2 scum involved, which in this scenario would mean S_S and I are performing scum theater. Basically setting herself up to lynch him tomorrow when I flip
WHAT
You could have phrased that better.
In post 1526, Gamma Emerald wrote:I have some good reasons me and Eager can't be scum, but I'll wait until tomorrow.
In post 1804, Gamma Emerald wrote:In post 1071, Gamma Emerald wrote:In post 1070, eagerSnake wrote:Also calling it 'scum theater' implies that there is 2 scum involved, which in this scenario would mean S_S and I are performing scum theater. Basically setting herself up to lynch him tomorrow when I flip
WHAT
You could have phrased that better.
BTW, this was going to be my proof that me and Eager weren't buddies. Why the hell wouldn't I state this in the scum chat? I decided to quote this because boring raised the concern of my promising a defense on allegations of being buddies with Eager being a fake clear.
In post 1876, Zoronos wrote:In post 1873, PenguinPower wrote:In post 1872, Grendel wrote:The trouble with your D1 Gamma case is that Gamma always plays in that manner. You're town reading him for reasons I find non-AI as far as Gamma goes.
I do, begrudgingly, have to support this. He was almost mislynched in a newbie game I was obvscum in because he just wears it on his sleeve.
You were voting Gamma quite recently, and never really posted much to say your read had flipped, so why is this a begrudging agreement?
Also, this is a really odd phrasing if he was town at the time, since Grendel is arguing it makes him scum now.
In post 1888, boring wrote:Gamma. You're defending yourself very, very poorly. Your defences are nonsensical.
@Grendel - has he ever done this as town that you know of? He didn't try these stunts when he was town with me.
In post 1929, nn30 wrote:@Gamma - please explain why you chose to investigate Implosion over other people.
Who to cop in Mini 1838.
Night 1
Thoughts on me + Eager(anyone saying me and Eager were likely scum together is clear)
Clear: Shadow, Prism,
Not clear: Zoronos, nn30
Opinions on ascetics
Eager is wrong: Shadow
Both are right: Maria, Eager, implosion
Shadow is wrong: LUV, nn30
I’ll cop implosion because he was the strongest fighter for the two ascetics idea
In post 1935, boring wrote:In post 1930, Gamma Emerald wrote:In post 1929, nn30 wrote:@Gamma - please explain why you chose to investigate Implosion over other people.
I actually wrote this down to decide who to use my ability on.Who to cop in Mini 1838.
Night 1
Thoughts on me + Eager(anyone saying me and Eager were likely scum together is clear)
Clear: Shadow, Prism,
Not clear: Zoronos, nn30
Opinions on ascetics
Eager is wrong: Shadow
Both are right: Maria, Eager, implosion
Shadow is wrong: LUV, nn30
I’ll cop implosion because he was the strongest fighter for the two ascetics idea
Why'd you leave me, PP, Grendel, and Dierfire out of your reasoning, by the way?
In post 1977, PenguinPower wrote:Point out where I get aggressive in my scum games where I'm not a replacement. That's unfamiliar to me.
In post 1985, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:Hm, Shadow seemed like he had more to say about Gamma's claim. Want to hear more from him.
Why am I being scum read again? Anyone actually buy the cases boring and Prism are presenting?
In post 2041, boring wrote:In post 2039, Zoronos wrote:re: LUV
as I said earlier today, my boring suspicion remains moderate to high, so I'm vaguely uncomfortable with any train of which she is the voice.
Which I guess is a long way of saying, help me work through my boring read.
My boring read is stronger than my 'dumpster a person who is noncontributory / nonsensical' stance at the moment, so I'm not super comfortable swinging that direction. I get where you're coming from, but my hackles are too far up at Boring at the moment.
How about this: Help me lynch LUV. Then Day 3, you and I (and implosion too, if that's what we're into) can go into couples counseling together.
In post 2046, nn30 wrote:In post 2029, boring wrote:In post 2008, nn30 wrote:Town would be attempting to work with me and get me on their side. Because. Ya know. We need to work together to find scum.You guys are doing that thing again where you're projecting based on personality. Some people manipulate through cooperation, others, through hissy fits (AtE). Unless you guys know how Penguin plays, you have no way of knowing whether these weird tantrums are AI/NAI. Better to look at motivation.In post 2019, implosion wrote:Scum would be attempting to work with you and get on your side. Because. Ya know. They need to not die to win the game.
Which brings us to why meta is important.It helps you sort between personality and pathology. It's easy to say that meta is crap when you don't know any of the players (or you want them to not meta-read you), but it has its value.In post 2010, Zoronos wrote:I think we're in meta land again kinda.
What's the motivation for PP calling me a liar?
In post 2062, nn30 wrote:In post 1972, PenguinPower wrote:This is funny. Sorry, just want to call this one out for endgame (and as a blatant lie). None of my scum games have been anywhere close to this one. Feel free to meta me, anyone.
It was this, actually. Calling me a liar is what moved my weak scum read to a strong one. The only reason for me to lie would be if I were scum. Calling me a liar is implying that Penguin scum reads me. Scum reading me flies in the face of what everyone else in this town, except for Shadow_Step, has done to this point in the game. Either Penguin is town and not paying attention, or this was a scum slip.
In post 2173, nn30 wrote:@Gamma - when did Dier become a town read and why?
In post 2184, Zoronos wrote:Really, the facepalm is what sold you?
In post 2, Lil Uzi Vert wrote:This is my second game as scum, currently playing my first game as scum so I still have no idea how to play this faction.
In post 23, boring wrote:I was a little shocked no one said anything either. But meh, there are a lot of egos in this game. Big egos are vulnerable to buddying.
I'd like to ride my "Gamma's protector" act a little further. He really is lynchbait, but he's got an uncanny knack for making it to MYLO/LYLO. So I can either bitch about his wagon and look credible when he flips. or have a buddy when things get tighter.
I do have a consistent issue with my scum play, though. People gut-read me as scum, and then rationalize their way out of it with my content. It seems like most people here are newish, so they'll try to appear rational as much as possible, but if we get too many people content to follow their gut remaining toward the end, I'm gonna have to be bussed.
I'll try to buddy a "logical" player as we go, though.
Prism and LUV, how are you at LYLO as scum? We may need a hero.
In post 110, Prism wrote:First Gamma now Zoronos. Why does everyone lynchable have to be a PR? I want to scream.
In post 141, Prism wrote:I might finish my long-promised ISO on Dierfire early because god knows we can't afford Zoronos giving town another clear. I can handle all of Dier/PP/Grendel but I really, really don't want to go against nn30 at any point. I've gone too far in in my townread on him.
Shadow is going to have to be one of the mislynches if you go down today.