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Infinity 324 · Post Post #12 (isolation #0) » Thu Dec 22, 2016 1:39 am

In post 5, Realeo wrote:18.1% X 1/6 + 45.3% X 3 / 11 + 30.2% X 2 /5 + 6% X 5/9 = 3%

3.02% + 12.35% + 12.08% + 3.33% = 30.78%

I'm dissapointed real.

But your other calculation is correct

Infinity 324 · Post Post #13 (isolation #1) » Thu Dec 22, 2016 1:43 am

I'm also curious how you calculated the probability of lynching a certain amount of townies

Infinity 324 · Post Post #15 (isolation #2) » Thu Dec 22, 2016 2:59 am

In post 14, Realeo wrote:What? My calculator said 3.078 so I wrote 3.078%.= 3%

I missed by a SINGLE power of ten.

For your question : It has been solved by mith that EV = (town-maf) / (town+math)

ok thanks