This is a good point and another example of shaddow thinking deeper than I remember him doing as scum.In post 1422, shaddowez wrote:So, here's the reason I didn't want to comment after fitz' first catch up post until he was done....while the posts have a decent amount of content and supporting links in them, it feels like he's supporting pre-existing reads, rather than forming them based on the points he's making. I didn't want to point that out before he was done, but rather see if his following posts were any better.
Scum have to choose who they're going to read as town or scum based on what content they can pull from in the thread, whereas town has to use what's presented to make their reads. If you look at his reads, there's very little progression, rather an initial read on each slot and then more evidence to support that particular read. The only place this doesn't match up is nancy/farside, but the read changes at the replacement entrance, which is a convenient place to do so.
VOTE: havingfitz
I believe that'sL-1
DoY I: British Monarchy Mafia (Mini 1896) - Game Over :O
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I don't do pre-flip associatives. If fitz flips scum I'll reconsider.In post 1429, Commander Shepard wrote:
Do you think Wraith is bussing here?In post 1408, Infinity 324 wrote:
Wraith, prism, and fitz. Though I'm starting to doubt prism.In post 1401, The Wood Cutters wrote:Infinity, who are your top three scumreads again?
I should really catch up in order
I find it horribly unlikely Wraith as scum would vote scum in a situation where most pressure on him was scum generated. That pressure has disappeared since the last vote count.
Infinity your vote is bad.- Infinity 324
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@prismIn post 1362, Infinity 324 wrote:I would like you to go more into your read on me but I think it'll end up being an endless wall war. So I'll just ask: what do you think scum!me is trying to accomplish with this push?- Infinity 324
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I swear, if you're just buddying me...In post 1465, The Wood Cutters wrote:
I agree with it; I think the recent point on Fitz in particular is pretty strong.In post 1419, Infinity 324 wrote:Nacho, I think shaddow is showing a lot more depth than he did in OotS. Maybe I'm valuing the meta for one game too much, but what do you think
~Nacho~
But yeah shaddow is actually a relatively confident townread after he made that point.- Infinity 324
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Yeah, I haven't seen town be able to fabricate a case where they didn't have one before. I certainly can't do that for my PoE/gut reads.In post 1470, The Wood Cutters wrote:I think Infinity's point that Fitz's read is mostly based on POE and gut and here's this big asspull of a case looks more survivalistic than genuine.- Infinity 324
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You said thinking deep doesn't mean shit. I said it means he's town.In post 1509, havingfitz wrote:
I never said he was. I don't think he is.In post 1441, Infinity 324 wrote:Even if it is a mislynch, it doesn't mean shaddow is scum...- Infinity 324
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No. We have 7 and a half hours left, and fitz has done nothing town.In post 1510, The Wood Cutters wrote:Vote: Cloudkicker
Postie, Fitz, come vote CK with me.
As it stands right now AC is a stronger townread than Fitz is, but I think Fitz's posts when he is very very very close to death look town and CloudKicker is not looking so hot at the moment. I would vote Wraith, but 1) a surprising number of people are townreading him, and 2) voting him is basically a policy lynch for me at this point.- Infinity 324
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This is a dumb conversation but the reason why I brought that point up in the first place was to say that shaddow is town.In post 1529, havingfitz wrote:
My point being thinking deep is worthless if it gets you a mislynch. No alignment insinuated with that opinion.In post 1521, Infinity 324 wrote:
You said thinking deep doesn't mean shit. I said it means he's town.In post 1509, havingfitz wrote:
I never said he was. I don't think he is.In post 1441, Infinity 324 wrote:Even if it is a mislynch, it doesn't mean shaddow is scum...
I also thought the point he made was a good point and may have indicated you were scum, but I was not saying that thinking deeply meant shaddow was voting scum.- Infinity 324
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You'll have to walk me through it.In post 1531, The Wood Cutters wrote:I had last minute paranoia on fitz six hours ago, worked through it. I heavily doubt he's scum based on his recent posts.- Infinity 324
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You've done nothing that couldn't easily be done by scum. This is worrying because I can't say the same for your friends and enemies play. I've said this before.In post 1535, havingfitz wrote:
Well...I've revived a dead lurker slot. I may have correctly determined your alignment. I may have found scum.In post 1523, Infinity 324 wrote:fitz has done nothing town.
All good stuff.
What have I done that's scummy?- Infinity 324
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I read the last few posts, I really don't see how it's differentIn post 1534, The Wood Cutters wrote:viewtopic.php?t=69244&f=53&st=0&sk=t&sd ... ct%5B%5D=0
This is his response to getting lynched on Day 1 the last time I was town against him scum, by the way. Pay special attention to the end, it looks nothing like here.- Infinity 324
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This is the only real point in his favor, but I think the play arguments are stronger.In post 1538, The Wood Cutters wrote:I do think as scum in this position he would claim a stronger power role, I certainly would. One-shot commuter isn't a role that looks exceptionally town, and the thread temperature at the time (Farside said she'd vote him, CK had him as a scumread and the score otherwise was 6-5) said he was getting lynched unless he did something big, and claiming a weak power role like that is a really shitty thing to do to your scumteam since it's not going to draw a counterclaim. I know that Fitz is aware of this, and I doubt he would have made that claim to appeal to me specifically and based on the last time he was scum against me I don't think he thinks he could just talk his way out of it.- Infinity 324
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I think this is a weak point. I think scum could certainly make a last-ditch effort like this, and he could channel his frustration at being about to be lynched.In post 1540, The Wood Cutters wrote:I think that this post looks good, it dispels a lot of the concerns on him I brought up earlier. I think a lot of scum players struggle with maintaining this kind of energy in the face of almost certain death, and I think that Fitz is one of those people - as scum he might be able to fake the case but I don't think the "fuck the townies voting me" aspect of it would be as pronounced.- Infinity 324
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The one about how he could pull a case out of his assIn post 1561, The Wood Cutters wrote:
What play arguments specifically?In post 1557, Infinity 324 wrote:This is the only real point in his favor, but I think the play arguments are stronger.
Shadow's one about how he looked like he was trying to justify scumreads instead of developing them organically
The one about how I found him obvious town in a game I saw him in
The one about how CK's entrance looked towny- Infinity 324
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I'll trust you on this point, but you can always have anomalies.In post 1563, The Wood Cutters wrote:It's a player specific point. I can keep the energy up just fine when being lynched, you can just fine, Fitz can't.- Infinity 324
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I'm way too tired, sorry.In post 1566, The Wood Cutters wrote:How did CK's entrance look townie?
My vote is staying on fitz unless it needs to move to avoid a no lynch.- Infinity 324
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This is so easy to fake, especially when it's a common thought to have as town. Which it is for me and I could definitely imagine it being like that for others.In post 1541, The Wood Cutters wrote:
This in particular is one of those "fuck you" posts that seemed incredibly genuine to me.In post 1485, havingfitz wrote:
I love when people (scum or town) pushing mislynches shift all the blame on the person being lynched. It's not your fault town!TWC your read on my is shit. It's my fault for being so darn scummy. Shame on me!In post 1480, The Wood Cutters wrote:If you are town, I hope you change your approach in the future once you're spoiled.- Infinity 324
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Bleh maybeIn post 1542, The Wood Cutters wrote:
This interaction I also don't think happens if he's scum here; a couple people in this game have called this slot one of the scarier ones in the game, Fitz has seen me push lynches like nobody's business before, no way in hell his response to me as scum is "I'm not digging through your posts, you're scum, I'm not wasting time convincing you. If you want to talk, you need to make things concise and approach me." - this is not how scum talk when they are seconds away from death.In post 1478, havingfitz wrote:@TWC...I haven't dialogued with you because I think you're scum. Iirc you're voting me already. If there is a question your vote is hinging on..ask it. I'm not going to pour through your ISO looking for questions or respond in entirety to the wallpost you made wrt me yesterday.
What if he didn't have the energy like you said at first but then found it somehow. (Relating to RL circumstances or something)- Infinity 324
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It's not a jokeIn post 1559, The Wood Cutters wrote:
This is a joke rightIn post 1556, Infinity 324 wrote:I read the last few posts, I really don't see how it's different
Unless you mean that there's just not that much content there. Which is a fair point- Infinity 324
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You wouldn't vote fitz to avoid a no lynch?In post 1573, The Wood Cutters wrote:
Without us on the fitz wagon it simply doesn't have the numbers and I can promise you that our vote will not be on Fitz today. Simple logisticsIn post 1571, Infinity 324 wrote:
I'm way too tired, sorry.In post 1566, The Wood Cutters wrote:How did CK's entrance look townie?
My vote is staying on fitz unless it needs to move to avoid a no lynch.
So, if you don't switch, then it will in fact be a no lynch.
/Gin
...
...ok- Infinity 324
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TWC, I found this vaguely similar to the post he made in the game you linked.In post 1476, havingfitz wrote:I'm town town. Catching up in 50+ page game I replaced into to help mod and for player list only to be forced to claim and face D1 lyching for shit reasoning is very aggravating.
I'm town.
Town needs to exit my wagon and look elsewhere.- Infinity 324
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Different circumstances affect scum's reads. And, eventually he was much more cooperative with you.In post 1575, The Wood Cutters wrote:Oh, you're the one pushing the wagon on me?
Too bad, I think you're scum.
Just because it was the correct play to cooperate with you and appeal to you in the first place doesn't mean frustrated scum is going to do it.- Infinity 324
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I probably didn't look into it deeply enough.In post 1611, The Wood Cutters wrote:The "it sucks to be lynched for such shit reasons" also looks pretty different on its own.
Do you at least see my point that there's a pretty significant difference?- Infinity 324
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But this is not a breakout scum game except for that one point. The vast majority of fitz's posts I can easily ensivion from frustrated scum.In post 1572, The Wood Cutters wrote:Break out scum games exist but generally someone who is having a breakout scumgame sure as shit don't deserve to be lynched Day 1 since it's far more likely that they're just town.- Infinity 324
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Scum want a no lynch...In post 1741, Commander Shepard wrote:
No. Please fix this. If they were scum they would make sure of a lynch. Those are likely all Town.In post 1730, Infinity 324 wrote:All the wagons are town I think
Scum is in {dreal, prism, wraith} and maybe empking or someone- Infinity 324
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Commuter is barely a power role.In post 1748, Commander Shepard wrote:
Scum would want a lynch here based on numbers.In post 1743, Infinity 324 wrote:
Scum want a no lynch...In post 1741, Commander Shepard wrote:
No. Please fix this. If they were scum they would make sure of a lynch. Those are likely all Town.In post 1730, Infinity 324 wrote:All the wagons are town I think
Scum is in {dreal, prism, wraith} and maybe empking or someone
They would also want the commuter gone.
This wagon on Fitz is scum driven.
There are 13 players here. Town loses a mislynch if we no lynch and we lose a lot of info. If scum wanted a lynch then we would just no lynch and not give it to them. Scum lynch d1 is very rare anyway...- Infinity 324
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What?In post 1758, Prism wrote:for some reason thinks that advocating against TvT wagons is a scumtell- Infinity 324
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No. We need a flip to give us info and move forward. If fitz is town he'd probably just be lynched later on in the game and we'd have one less mislynch to work with. Scum don't need to plan shit more carefully, all it gives them is more lynch targets and less mislynches required to win.In post 1761, Commander Shepard wrote:No.
Just no.
Town loses a mislynch if we lynch wrong or no lynch. Hence why you should always vote scum or no lynch.
D1 scum lynches are rare but you never lynch someone with a strong belief they are Town ever.
No lynch is better because scum have to deal with evens. Which means a no lynch which means they have to plot kills and lynched more carefully with that in mind.- Infinity 324
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I forgot T&B too, lolIn post 1766, Prism wrote:Forgot T&B but top 4 for me are TWC, T&B, AC, and shaddow. I've mostly only had time to read during walks or meetings, latter of which is rude to type up a frenzy during but I'm doing it anyway now.
If I had the option to get a 1-shot doc if they were town and lose the game if they were scum, I'd take the free doc shot. There is no world in which they are scum.- Infinity 324
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Also if anyone wants to engage me on stuff we can do it d2. But please don't do so if you only want to argue and not listen.In post 1469, Infinity 324 wrote:
@prismIn post 1362, Infinity 324 wrote:I would like you to go more into your read on me but I think it'll end up being an endless wall war. So I'll just ask: what do you think scum!me is trying to accomplish with this push?- Infinity 324
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WhyIn post 1796, Prism wrote:Anyone who thinks Shephard is scum though I'm not sure if anyone thinks that at this point should slap themselves- Infinity 324
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I could never read Shepard's main. But I agree they do look town here.In post 1800, Almost Chara wrote:pedit: anyone who knows Sheperd's main (which i'm comfortable referencing as they've outed it themselves) would be townreading them, i think.- Infinity 324
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I don't. I don't really have any scumreadsIn post 1802, CloudKicker wrote:
why do you even scumread me? please tell me how i scum alignement told in any wayIn post 1786, Infinity 324 wrote:{T&B}
{TWC, AC}
{shaddow, farside}
{CK, Shepard, empking, dreal}
{prism, wraith}
I guess this is where I'm at pending a flip. It's a pretty gross list but I'd be surprised if anyone in the top 3 tiers is scum- Infinity 324
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Yeah it's bad. Yes I also have townreads.In post 1807, Commander Shepard wrote:Then you likely don't have any Town ones either as no scumreads = bad reads outside RVS.- Infinity 324
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I'm PoEing you down.In post 1812, CloudKicker wrote:
twc didnt poe me down, he jsut made a bullshit arguement about how much i lurk and that i was vanity voting when i was literraly vlad for daysIn post 1811, Infinity 324 wrote:CK is someone we should really look into I think (cause PoE). TWC may have been on the right track with that.
If you want to talk about my townreads we can talk d2.- Infinity 324
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Ok it's late for me now but we have:
T&B lock town
Chara town because meta and no strong CW
Wraith town because no strong CW
Farside town because tunnel looks genuine and backing out is a town move
Shepard town because...they look town
Shaddow town because meta
Empking maybe town because nacho said so
Dreal maybe town because his thoughts look genuine but I've seen him give very genuine thoughts as an SK. Never seen his scumgame though
Prism likely scum
CK likely scum
VOTE: CK- Infinity 324
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Mastina was barely even playing.
The CW to fitz was CK. Every other wagon had ample time to develop a CW but there wasn't one. You can't call a wagon that happened in the last few hours the counter to a wagon that lasted all day phase. That's not how it works.- Infinity 324
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Infinity 324 they (pl.)Survivor
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In post 1836, Tea and Biscuits wrote:Because scum can only do so much and don't have the power to magically create wagons without town's support.
-- Postie
How about on AC or on shaddow/fitz earlier on?
You think town were the ones sitting on vanity wagons and shit?
I don't- Infinity 324
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Infinity 324 they (pl.)Survivor
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MmmIn post 1265, Aristophanes wrote:
With 13 players alive, it takes 7 votes to lynch.
Day one ends Wednesday, April 12th at 6pm EST, or in (expired on 2017-04-12 18:00:00)
Mod Notes:
A two day extension has been granted per request and added to the counter. If this still seems insufficient, let me know. A lot can happen in 2 days though!
Also, Happy Scumday Infinity!!!
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Because town like to consolidate when the game is stalling to pressure people.
Also if scum was on either AC or shaddow/fitz they could've just switched to the other.
I mean you can't "just" do those types of things as scum but they could probably find a way
PEdit: I'm saying all the wagons were probably on town so scum was sitting on the sidelines not on any of them- Infinity 324
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Infinity 324 they (pl.)Survivor
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