Open 680.1 C9++ | Endgame

[Titus]

VOTE: davesaz

[Brian Skies]

I'm just gonna hang out on my vanity wagon. Let me know if you need me.

[Gamma Emerald]

I'm just gonna hang out on my vanity wagon. Let me know if you need me.

Why? What makes you think your vanity wagon will take off?

[Brian Skies]

I don't think my wagon will go anywhere. But you guys either 1) don't care about lynching (or helping me with) my scumreads or 2) want to lynch people I don't think are scum. So we are at an impasse.

And I don't think a single person has given a decent reason for lynching Dave as it is.

If you guys think Day 1 is a crapshoot and don't think I'm scum, you may as well all just sheep me.

[Titus]

And I don't think a single person has given a decent reason for lynching Dave as it is.

Davesaz has been tunnelling me all game and not focused on the game as a whole.

[Brian Skies]

Pretty sure his tunnel on you is coming from town.

[Alchemist21]

And I don't think a single person has given a decent reason for lynching Dave as it is.

Davesaz has been tunnelling me all game and not focused on the game as a whole.

This isn't true. He has placed focus elsewhere in most of his posts.

[Titus]

And I don't think a single person has given a decent reason for lynching Dave as it is.

Davesaz has been tunnelling me all game and not focused on the game as a whole.

This isn't true. He has placed focus elsewhere in most of his posts.

Not how I see it.

[Brian Skies]

*sigh*

You realize the people putting you off until D2 are doing so to give you the chance to use your shot, right?

You realize that if you are Town you are now in scum's crosshairs as a PR, right?

Town wants you dead. If you're Town, scum want you dead. When everyone wants you dead, you're not gonna live long enough to see a pay-off in waiting for your actions.

I also really hate this post.

[FireScreamer]

Why?

[ThinkBig]

Official Vote Count

davesaz

(4): Narna, FireScreamer, Gamma Emerald, Titus

Gamma Emerald

(3): RoryMK, Alchemist21, CommKnight

Almost50

(1): Firebringer

Alchemist21

(1): Green Crayons

FireScreamer

(1): davesaz

CommKnight

(1): Umlaut

RoryMK

(1): Brian Skies

Not Voting

(1): Almost50

With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.

Deadline

: (expired on 2017-05-03 20:06:48)

[Almost50]

LOL
One shot does not mean "use the shot day one".

If they don't, it's on them!

[Almost50]

VOTE: davesaz

Another one switches from "on FS with dave" to "on dave with FS". You lot are scummier than scummy.

VOTE: Titus

Town!Titus does not hop wagons like that.

[Titus]

Oh shannon's slot OMGUSes and we have town refusing to compromise.

[CommKnight]

VOTE: FireBringer

He went real quiet and we're near deadline now.

Also surprised Umlaut didn't jump on Gamma when he claimed BB. The mistake town made last game was to not account that T's have a 50% chance to be rolled and they looked to fill all 7 letters with anything but T's. I'm gonna go ahead now and assume we have 2 T's at the very least. This means we have a set-up like this right now:

BB*??TT - Assuming Gamma's claim is real, two letters are confirmed + FS's PR sof (which means 3 mafia is confirmed). I'm assuming FS is one letter for now (Won't make him claim 1-2). So that leaves two letters unknown with my assumption of at least 2 T's.

Mafia will know what letters reaimn based on what roles they have. But I'm going to do a bit of guess work with the current claims to get us going here.

TTTTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
TTTTTT = Goon + Godfather

TTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
TTTT = 2 Goons + Roleblocker
TTT = 2 Goons + Roleblocker, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
TT = Goon + Roleblocker + Godfather

T = Goon + Roleblocker + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
0 Ts = Goon + Roleblocker + Godfather

So unlike last game, I will assume the game is not the first two nor the last two set-ups due to T's being roughly 50% Which means 3.5 is the average. This leaves us with these.

TTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)

- Assuming FS soft is true.
TTTT = 2 Goons + Roleblocker
TTT = 2 Goons + Roleblocker, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
TT = Goon + Roleblocker + Godfather

Which means there is now 3 set-ups currently really available. For those wondering how I cross out the first two and last two. I based it on 20 randomizing tests. All falling in between 2-5 T's. The likelyhood of rolling 0-1 or 6-7 T's are evidently very low. So this is what I'm working with at least for today. (Technically anything is possible but we'll leave that analysis for later).

I will ask for vigs to not kill tonight. We have no cop investigation and you may hit a PR. So abstain from shooting please.

If we can get a Godfather to flip, I'd say it's the TT setup with pretty good confidence. If we can get an SK to flip, I'd say it's the TTT set-up with confidence. TTTT is a bit harder to find however.

[FireScreamer]

Oh shannon's slot OMGUSes and we have town refusing to compromise.

Who is the compromise wagon here apart from me?

[Titus]

Oh shannon's slot OMGUSes and we have town refusing to compromise.

Who is the compromise wagon here apart from me?

Davesaz, you're on it. Not thrilled about it but davesaz is scummy.

[FireScreamer]

Oh shannon's slot OMGUSes and we have town refusing to compromise.

Who is the compromise wagon here apart from me?

Davesaz, you're on it. Not thrilled about it but davesaz is scummy.

Do you agree that we likely have to flip Gamma tomorrow?

[FireScreamer]

I will ask for vigs to not kill tonight. We have no cop investigation and you may hit a PR. So abstain from shooting please.

Strongly disagree.

[Titus]

Oh shannon's slot OMGUSes and we have town refusing to compromise.

Who is the compromise wagon here apart from me?

Davesaz, you're on it. Not thrilled about it but davesaz is scummy.

Do you agree that we likely have to flip Gamma tomorrow?

Have to, no. Gamma's role requires a roleblocker. When we do a letters claim, that's how we sort the possibility. Gamma should use his action tonight though. Ideally on someone wagoned but who did not claim.

[CommKnight]

I will ask for vigs to not kill tonight. We have no cop investigation and you may hit a PR. So abstain from shooting please.

Strongly disagree.

If a vig were to shoot tonight, he'd do more harm than good.

[Titus]

I will ask for vigs to not kill tonight. We have no cop investigation and you may hit a PR. So abstain from shooting please.

Strongly disagree.

I agree here. Vigs should holster unless one shot. 1 shot vigs should shoot uncompromising lurkers.

If a vig were to shoot tonight, he'd do more harm than good.

[Titus]

I will ask for vigs to not kill tonight. We have no cop investigation and you may hit a PR. So abstain from shooting please.

Strongly disagree.

If a vig were to shoot tonight, he'd do more harm than good.

I agree here. Vigs should holster unless one shot. 1 shot vigs should shoot uncompromising lurkers.

My quote got eaten. Ebwop.

[Umlaut]

Titus, didn't you say last roll that one-shot RB claim was an autolynch?

[CommKnight]

Ha, I thought you were trying to mess with my quote Titus.