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- Michael Lee
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rb is town
glad flubber self hammered because I think thats scum giving up
I still have kasumeat melanora but if kasumeat flips scum then melanora gets towncred for lynching 2x scum so I'll reconsider her tbh
not sure who the 3rd would be but definitely look at the people who pushed tywin d1 + acted the scummiest imo, + who defended the scumflips the most (by that time we should have 2 scumflips)
thinking a bit ahead here- Michael Lee
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wait........ why are you asking vig to claim? vig should stay hidden, it is beyond obvious that gamma was nightkilled and kasumeat was viggedIn post 2997, Backhand wrote:I have a pretty bad feeling about my survival this day. Oops, don't be wrong about a scum lynch. Really surprised to see kasu flip town after flub scum,andthat he was killed at all. There are two obvious reasons, I think, someone might be willing to reveal one of them?
Vote melanora
Still the most scummy and my next-most plausible buddy with flub.
which means we have to look into the people that scumread gamma. surely, if town scumread gamma, scum would've hopped on. we also have to check between who scumread kasumeat, but not because it's a scumtell (hell, I was certain kasumeat was scum, everyone was), but more in the sense that at least 1 scum would've pushes kasumeat: AKA if there are 2-3 people still alive who all townread gamma, they're not a team. if they're 2-3 people still alive that all townread kasumeat, they're defiitely not a team.- Michael Lee
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so I think scum has:
1 or 0 on flubber vote
1 or 2 on tywin lynch, or, supporting the lynch
1 or 2 on gamma being scum
1 or 2 on kasumeat being scum
which should clear out a lot of possibilities. from my PoV I think they probably have at least 1 on me being scum as well, but since flubber pushed me and flipped scum, not sure that will still be true
also the people who called flubber out the earliest, were persistent in him getting lyched, and pushed flubber the hardest and didn't switch to gamma/kasumeat/etc. are lockclear towread as well- Michael Lee
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Is there a reason fuzzy is conf town?In post 3004, WhyMafia wrote:And I agree with RB
I believe that mela was the counter wagon to flubber, making her town. I haven't been hard scum reading her through most of the game anyway. That leaves CoolDog or Backhand as scum. Going to look at the voting patterns first
or is it for being on flubber
I didn't like his earlier posts but I like who he pushed
cooldog looks bad agree, not sure on backhand though- Michael Lee
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so you ignore everything that happened day 1?
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but from what I can remember, rb did want to lynch flubber day 1? and day 2. rb is like conf town for all I care, he made a BUNCH of good townreads and he manhandled the flubber lynch throughIn post 3018, CooLDoG wrote:no, I'm taking into account how rb didn't want to lynch flubber
d1, hopped and then bussed his teamate d2. Fucking duh. Look at the twyl wagon and then the flubber wagon... his buss isn't even that 'hard' given the fact that he posts very little and basically sat his vote there all day...
this is a vig claim, no?In post 3011, Melanora wrote:I should have shot rb instead.
Want to know why gamma is dead? Because he was confirmed town.
Rb is definitely scum at this point.
VOTE: CoolDog- Michael Lee
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What do you mean?In post 3029, WhyMafia wrote:
How?In post 3020, Michael Lee wrote:UNVOTE:
I'm not vig. If no one counterclaims Melanora is confirmed town
2 people died at night, melanora claims to be vig
are you saying there's another explanation? like I assume the vig shot kasumeat
I mean I assume scumvig/old dirty bastard/serial killer.etc - aren't allowed in normal setups right? so I assume there's a townvig
correct me if wrong though- Michael Lee
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I think cooldog is for sure scum and after that I'm willing to look into everyone againIn post 2862, TheFuzzylogic99 wrote:
if you think RB is confscum why are you not .In post 2857, Melanora wrote:I still think that voting cooldog is a play, and if Flubber flips town, RB is basically conf scum in my eyes, but I'll play this game.
VOTE: /vote Flubber
What are the arguments for rb?- Michael Lee
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it was my response to fuzzy, and it was a reason for me to think fuzzy could be townIn post 3063, Melanora wrote:Also, I did promise to vote for Flubb if I was wrong about TL, so... How is that bussing?
I think you're confirmed town unless if you get counterclaimed, simply for the vig
like if you're serial killer then we see another nightkill next night, but you claimed 1-shot, so that will solve itself. and I don't expect it, so I consider you confirmed town- Michael Lee
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wow didn't know I had a prod
alright so I don't have anything to add right now
other then I've given my thoughts of what scum does, and I think cooldog is scum for one, and the other will be find through that methode
and I obviously want to see more from cooldog/rb as well now, don't think rb has been prod dodging all game but just this weekend though- Michael Lee
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In post 903, Backhand wrote:Whymafia is probably town. If we're going to pick a compromise shrug of a lynch, I'd rather it be choof than flubber.In post 947, Backhand wrote:Boonskiies wrote:
Ugggghhh....he is so scummy! This makes me absolutely not okay with flubber being lynched.
Also against the flubber lynch--it just seems real unlikely that none of you (boon), gamma, rb, tywin, and whymafia are scum, and all of those people were ok with it.In post 948, Backhand wrote:EBWOP: and michael, forgot he was on the flubber wagon too.In post 1252, Backhand wrote:Sigh. I'm not seeing flub, won't be hammering. Rb, I kind of agree with you, but mostly don't want tfl to have made it to day 2, with 50 pages, without a single goddamn opinion.In post 1707, Backhand wrote:Woke up, caught up. On phone, will post more at work.
Two thoughts: choof really needs to not tell us, and ideally flip a coin, for protecting tywin tonight.
And flubber is the lynch that gets us the most info. I would have little confidence in whichever of the kasu or boon wagons we get going now, we're too scattered.
Vote flubberIn post 1824, Backhand wrote:
In order, I'd prefer:In post 1812, Kasumeat wrote:Backhand, would you be willing to lynch one his scumbros Michael or Gamma today instead?
Flub
Michael
Gamma
Yes, in the hypothetical I very clearly titled: Tywin is Scum.Boonskiies wrote:In post 1725, Backhand wrote:OK, let's break out the scenarios.
Tywin is scum
OK, he claims rolecop. He has to hope:
A. He doesn't get countered
B. He doesn't get targeted by choof and choof dies (WEAK jailkeeper, remember?)
C. There's not an SK, because they probably want him dead whether they believe him or not.
Now, smart mafia (I don't totally want to get into this but I assume they'll figure it out) might decide to target choof so either way, only choof dies. But if tywin is lying, we've got some other power roles I would think, they'll know what to do.
this implies that Backhand knew that if Choof targeted Tywin, that Choof would die. He tried to fix it, but the response given points towards it even more, as the conclusion from that shouldn't be to go and defend Tywin.
I don't see how you're not seeing that there are so many ways to verify his claim during the night.In post 1880, Backhand wrote:Doesn't the straight split also indicate that flub could be scum? In which case gamma/michael/why/cool are probably town and their switch isn't indicative.
For the record, thefunniestteam is mel/rb/tfl. They'd be having a great day without having really done a thing.In post 2688, Backhand wrote:Well.
OK flubwagon, if you think flub is scum you're running out of practical partners to pair him with. Time to move on?In post 2733, Backhand wrote:
Down for Mel, but who is third in that group?In post 2706, Michael Lee wrote:look I think flubber + mel could be scum together simply for they scream the same way, and their "HOW HOW HOW" posts remind me of each other (and ive seen scum do this a lot of time, prob unconsciously or they affect each other in the QT, same mindstate, etc. so they tend to act the same towards some things)
kill flubber today
In post 2715, TheFuzzylogic99 wrote:Vote Flub
Going on gut that Boon was a counter wagon on the Flub wagon
Counterwagon led by who exactly?In post 2768, Backhand wrote:
Mel was on the tywin lynch. . . just saying.In post 2767, Michael Lee wrote:honestly I do think entire scumteam was on the tywin lynch
Well, that's not true.In post 2747, Kasumeat wrote:The only people who townread Tywin are scum. Lynching him was correct.
We don't know that they're right, but we do at least know they were honest. Gets a slight promotion for that.In post 2740, TheFuzzylogic99 wrote: You are assuming that bc Boon flipped town his reads are good. Not sure if theres a term for assuming a flipped player reads are correct but it seems that this is whats happeningIn post 2769, Backhand wrote:
And to reiterate, I can't look at this vote count and think its at all likely that flub is scum.In post 1276, Dierfire wrote:VOTE COUNT 1.14
Flubbernugget (6): Gamma Emerald, WhyMafia, Michael Lee, Tywin Lannister, CooLDoG, rb
Tywin Lannister (4): Kasumeat, Backhand, Boonskiies, Flubbernugget
rb (1): choof
No Vote (2): Melanora, TheFuzzylogic99
With 13 players living, 7/13 votes are required to lynch.
ISO'd Backhand and quoted relevant posts. Has been pushing townies all game and like a lot of them - then pushes flubber for a moment which I wanted to give towncred BUT later on he goes on and keeps pushing townielynches over flubber all the time. This guy is almost confirmed scum. Quoted the cooldog-backhand post because I can't completely fit it inside my hand (as to whether they're a team or not) but it could be distancing so I won't read into that. I'll read into his actions and he hasn't pushed flubber/cooldog consistently / that hard.In post 2795, Backhand wrote:Better cool than flubber. . . although I'm not sure why ScumCool doesn't just hammer TownFlub.
VOTE: Backhand
honestly backhand - cooldog wouldn't be a crazy team right now right? if we're going to give boon and fuzzy some credit for killing flubber- Michael Lee
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wait you mean cooldog 100% scum, and the tfl 60% as being his partner right? almost read this wrong for a secIn post 3136, Backhand wrote:
I basically agree with this--and for what its worth I'd go 60 percent tfl, 30 percent rb, and 10 percent why.In post 3132, rb wrote:Tbh I'm trying to figure out who is town in that lynchpool more than anything. I'm certain that Melanora is town. Michael Lee is a really strong townread. If I have one more strong townread, we win the game no matter what. I want to make this lynchpool 3 ppl rather than 4 because we could still theoretically fuck it up if we lynch town twice in a row.
I find it hard to believe one of Backhand/Cooldog isn't scum though.- Michael Lee
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WhyMafia's ISO looks way worse than I thought
connects hard with rb / flubber extremely early on
like rb+whymafia have been asking to kill flubber for so long now
and truth be told, backhand had a scummy as hell ISO but on second thought it would be extremely dumb for town to play that way, like why not just bus flubber at this point
and I didn't like fuzzy earlier on so idk
but I think I may be down for a whymafia lynch today
I mean I've called people confirmed scum that flipped either town or scum but whymafia
"(This is probably really bad reasoning. My apologies. It's just that I'm really sure he's scum)"
on flubber.... thats almost a scumslip. and rb wanted flubber dead as well
like whymafia also kind of agreed when kasumeat called tywin vs boon scum vs scum which I found to be rediculous to begin with, but maybe it makes sense for town to suggest stupid things and for scum to confirm them by agreeing?
I will analyze the flashwagon on rb again though
like whymafia would quote me early on and say "meh
please comment what you think on Flubber"
this seems like such a hard bus attempt tbh
I mean it makes sense right
rb wanted backhad cooldog dead
backhand didnt act scummy after we "caught" him at all tbh
whymafia says backhand or me....
rofl im almost 100% whymafia is scum and backhand is town and then the other scum is probably rb possibly fuzzy
When I said something to whymafia he said "Yes I am very hard to read mwahahah" - not sure wtf he's laughing at, at outplaying us? town wants to be townread right, not laugh at being unreadable?
OMG I AM GOING TO TURN THIS GAME AROUND MAKE IT HAPPEN
TOWN WORK WITH ME
like whymafia barely gives any reason for me being scum he just votes flubber in 2928, doesn't mention me again and now says im scum- Michael Lee
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fuzzy + backhand is ruled out cause they would've hammered
rb hasn't been online so that's not really a good argument
I know I'm town so convincing me I must be scum is not going to work either
so really from my PoV it's either fuzzy/backhand + rb who's been lazy, or it's you, and I'm leaning towards you
but I think your posts today are extremely scummy and when I ISO'd you it makes more sense that you just hard bussed flubber tbh
like I scumread that you but you were beyond confident on ONLY flubber - like boon/kasum/etc were scummy as hell IMO and I doubt someone could "know" exactly only flubber is scum and not the others in this case
aka it screams off perfect information
I wouldn't be surprised at you+rb atm
fuzzy could've pushed me or backhand more by now. if I won't change my mind I'll kill you and rb if it's up to me- Michael Lee
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I think people should just concede that, these scumteams are ruled out:
rb + tfl
rb + backhand
tfl + backhand
because if those were scum I've given them the chance to win anyway
I know I'm not scum so for me, whymafia is confirmed scum at this point
he's scum with backhand, tfl, or rb. backhand actively wants whymafia dead. rb actively wants whymafia alive and now wants tfl+backhand dead (a scumteam I ruled out)
so for me it's whymafia 100%, and rb like very high chance as well. I rule out whymafia+backhand I think based on their 1v1 but yea idk. scum could do that for towncred. anyway whymafia is confscum from my PoV, he's the lynch 100%- Michael Lee
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it's either me or whymafia and rb doesn't see this (note he called me conf town earlier on so a switch would draw attention, but he also says I'm not cleared which is correct but he doesn't take a hard stance on me being scum, yet his suggested scumteam is ruled out and he ignores this fact which is extremely scummy)- Michael Lee
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No Vote (5): WhyMafia, Michael Lee, Backhand, TheFuzzylogic99, rb
With 5 players living, 3/5 votes are required to lynch.
me + any 2 that doesn't include whymafia = enough to lynch whymafia
so all teams that don't include whymafia or me are ruled out from anyone's PoV
myself or whymafia HAS to be conf. mafia at this point or scum would've won already
from my PoV whymafia is literally 100% conf. mafia- Michael Lee
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ok so if we're both town, any 2 of the others vote, and 3 votes = lynch, and it's mylo so they win?In post 3269, WhyMafia wrote:I'm completely baffled by your explanation
How are teams that don't include either of us ruled out?
unless if you're considering scum playing around docs/BP's/whatever. is that your argument?- Michael Lee
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If you think scum would throw a game when they see a vote on a townie on mylo made by another mylo then I don't know what to sayIn post 3270, WhyMafia wrote:
Bc I feel like you could be a misguided townieIn post 3268, Michael Lee wrote:No Vote (5): WhyMafia, Michael Lee, Backhand, TheFuzzylogic99, rb
With 5 players living, 3/5 votes are required to lynch.
me + any 2 that doesn't include whymafia = enough to lynch whymafia
so all teams that don't include whymafia or me are ruled out from anyone's PoV
myself or whymafia HAS to be conf. mafia at this point or scum would've won already
from my PoV whymafia is literally 100% conf. mafia
Therefore you vote me
But it' not like every other team that doesn't include us can be ruled out bc some people haven't been on concurrently
all 3 have responded so all 3 have been online, odds are they would've or would coordinate a hammer by now unless if they're going for most terrible scumteam of they year 2017?- Michael Lee
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dude I KNOW you are scum
and you know I know as well
which explains your play today. and really I had to spell it out for you that you had to scumread me before you did it....and your main defense is what, distracting (mentions at the host or vote count or top post per page), a lot of "I don't know" / excuses, and just weak and soft play overall? also missed all the obvious logical conclusions backhand and I got to. you and rb kept suggesting teams that were already ruled out, literally just scumplay right there. town doesn't play like that- Michael Lee
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rb isn't even posting and you're not even going against him. you're literally suggesting me+backhand because of "being active today" lol
and your "we don't vote together" makes 0 sense as why would both of us vote but not together? what would we be afraid of? right, nothing, your argument is invalid - Michael Lee
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